Journal of The American Water Resources Association最新文献

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JAWRA—Looking ahead JAWRA——展望未来
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13154
Momcilo Markus
{"title":"JAWRA—Looking ahead","authors":"Momcilo Markus","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13154","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13154","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the capacity of the recently appointed Editor-in-Chief of the <i>Journal of the American Water Resources Association</i> (JAWRA), I would like to outline some of the issues, challenges and opportunities that are in my opinion going to be relevant to this journal in the foreseeable future. I would also like to comment on possible ways of meeting some of these challenges, ensuring that the journal continues its long and successful tradition of communicating the highest quality research.</p><p>JAWRA, one of the earliest journals on water resources and hydrology, began in 1965 as the Water Resources Bulletin, which was changed to its present name in 1997. Its long history and several decades of experience in publishing state-of-the-art research and applications made this journal highly regarded and recognized among water resources researchers and practitioners worldwide. To maintain its status and prominence in the future and to leverage its past excellence in producing highly impactful research, the journal needs to continue sustaining its visibility, attracting top-quality manuscripts and ensuring the highest professional standards of manuscript review and processing.</p><p>We are all witnessing the exponential rate of the accelerating change of history, driven primarily by technological innovations. For most of today's scientists, it is hard to comprehend that only several decades ago, the internet did not exist. Without search engines and databases, it is hard to imagine scientists who would wait for weeks or even months to receive a copy of a desired journal paper, only to read it and realize that another paper should have been ordered. The internet enabled scientists to transition from traditional extensive procedures to the modern-day efficient processes to search, communicate and collaborate more effectively, producing publications at a much faster rate than before. Moreover, by transitioning to open access and using social media, journals are reaching wider audiences beyond those limited to academic and government agencies, eventually leading to a broader readership and a higher impact. All these changes arguably redefined the publication arena, pressing journals to adopt new practices and standards in the transition to cope with the changes. It remains to be seen if, and to what degree, the emerging artificial intelligence-based tools are going to affect the publication processes. Despite all these changes, the key norms such as research novelty, integrity, and ethics continue to be paramount for JAWRA.</p><p>Along with the technological advances, an increasing globalization has been progressing for decades, clearly and strongly affecting the research and publishing, facilitating communication and collaborations and resulting in research products well beyond what was possible only a few decades earlier. While it is hard to predict the societal, technological, research and other future trends with confidence, some of those changes, non","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1752-1688.13154","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50123421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Measuring geomorphology in river assessment procedures 1: A global overview of current practices 河流评估程序中的地貌测量 1:当前做法全球概览
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-08-07 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13146
Elli Papangelakis, Marwan A. Hassan, David Luzi, Leif M. Burge, Sarah Peirce
{"title":"Measuring geomorphology in river assessment procedures 1: A global overview of current practices","authors":"Elli Papangelakis,&nbsp;Marwan A. Hassan,&nbsp;David Luzi,&nbsp;Leif M. Burge,&nbsp;Sarah Peirce","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13146","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1752-1688.13146","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Despite geomorphic processes being increasingly recognized as a vital component of river management projects, evidence suggests that they may not be adequately captured in common river assessment procedures. We reviewed 91 river assessment procedures from around the world to evaluate their effectiveness in capturing geomorphic processes relevant for river management goals. Our objectives were to summarize which common geomorphic indicators are measured and how in different types of river assessments categorized based on their main focus: geomorphic, physical habitat, mixed geomorphic and habitat, and hydromorphology. Our analysis identified differences in the types of geomorphic indicators included and measurement methodologies between the types of assessment procedures. Some geomorphic processes, such as sediment transport, are nearly completely absent from all assessments, despite their importance for geomorphic processes. The variability among assessment procedures suggests that a single procedure is unlikely to capture all geomorphic components required to support every river management programs. Here, we discuss how the strengths and limitations of different assessment types can be used to guide decisions around how to select assessments and geomorphic indicators to support management project goals. A companion paper expands the discussion of how to plan effective river assessment procedures to support unique management goals.</p>","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1752-1688.13146","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131889889","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Low-complexity floodplain inundation model performs well for ecological and management applications in a large river ecosystem 低复杂度洪泛区淹没模型在大型河流生态系统的生态和管理应用中表现出色
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13152
Molly Van Appledorn, Nathan R. De Jager, Jason J. Rohweder
{"title":"Low-complexity floodplain inundation model performs well for ecological and management applications in a large river ecosystem","authors":"Molly Van Appledorn,&nbsp;Nathan R. De Jager,&nbsp;Jason J. Rohweder","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13152","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1752-1688.13152","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Flooding is a dominant physical process that drives the form and function of river-floodplain ecosystems. Efficiently characterizing flooding dynamics can be challenging, especially over geographically broad areas or at spatial and temporal scales relevant for ecosystem management activities. Here, we empirically evaluated a low-complexity geospatial model of floodplain inundation in six study segments of the Upper Mississippi River System (UMRS) by pairing spatially extensive, temporally limited and spatially limited, temporally extensive sampling designs. We found little evidence of systematic bias in model performance although discrepancies between model predictions and empirical data did occur locally. Assessments of model predictions revealed low segment-wide discrepancies of wetted extent under contrasting flow conditions and agreement for inundation event detection and duration. Model performance for predicting event frequency and duration was similar among sites expected to exhibit contrasting patterns of hydrologic connectivity with the main channel. Our results suggest that low-complexity models can efficiently characterize a critical physical process across geographically broad, complex river-floodplain ecosystems. Such tools have the potential for advancing scientific understanding of landscape-scale ecological patterns and for prioritizing management actions in large, complex river-floodplain ecosystems like the UMRS.</p>","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123866383","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The usability gap in water resources open data and actionable science initiatives 水资源开放数据和可操作科学计划的可用性差距
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13153
Melissa A. Kenney, Michael D. Gerst, Emily Read
{"title":"The usability gap in water resources open data and actionable science initiatives","authors":"Melissa A. Kenney,&nbsp;Michael D. Gerst,&nbsp;Emily Read","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13153","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1752-1688.13153","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The open data movement represents a major advancement for informed water management. Data that are findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable—or <i>FAIR</i>—are now prerequisite to responsible data stewardship. In contrast to FAIR, accessibility and usability case studies and guidelines designed around human access and understanding are lacking in the literature, especially for water resources. Such decision support guidelines are critical because (i) inherent visual design trade-offs are not best made using intuition or feedback (perceived preference), and (ii) choosing designs requires a nuanced understanding of why and how the design works (revealed effectiveness). Thus, the goal of this commentary is to highlight knowledge gaps and discuss a general usability testing method which can be applied to any water resources decision support product. The user-testing approach includes (i) interviews about visualization goals, audiences, and the uses and decisions made with the data products, (ii) diagnosis of usability challenges, and (iii) redesign of decision support products given best practices and control versus treatment with intended end-user audiences. We illustrate the method using high-profile U.S. Geological Survey water science products. In sum, optimizing and testing for usability and understandability are as central to stakeholder use as FAIR standards are, and warrant being part of the development of data products and geovisualizations.</p>","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1752-1688.13153","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115191044","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Wellfield optimization to minimize contaminant migration from a surficial to a semi-confined aquifer using numerical modeling 利用数值建模优化井场,尽量减少污染物从地表含水层向半封闭含水层的迁移
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13150
Sondipon Paul, Brian Waldron, Farhad Jazaei, Daniel Larsen
{"title":"Wellfield optimization to minimize contaminant migration from a surficial to a semi-confined aquifer using numerical modeling","authors":"Sondipon Paul,&nbsp;Brian Waldron,&nbsp;Farhad Jazaei,&nbsp;Daniel Larsen","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13150","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1752-1688.13150","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The shallow, Memphis, and Fort Pillow aquifers are the three major water-bearing strata beneath Memphis, Tennessee, where the Memphis aquifer serves as the primary groundwater source. The upper Claiborne confining unit (UCCU) separates shallow and Memphis aquifers across the majority of Shelby County, acting as an upper protective layer for the Memphis aquifer. However, hydrogeologic breaches within the UCCU create a hydraulic connection and provide an avenue for potential contaminant migration from the shallow to the Memphis aquifer. This research aims to minimize contaminant migration, mitigate risks, extend existing wells' life that may face water contamination, and find suitable locations for future well construction. Several strategies are developed addressing well depth, seasonal well operation, and mapping no-drilling or red zones to provide practical solutions. A numerical groundwater modeling technique is developed for each strategy that includes stochastic simulation–optimization and customized simulation models depending on the strategy. The models result in thousands of numerical simulations for each scenario to identify recurring patterns of contaminant movement to and through the Memphis aquifer. The results indicate that optimum well positions (spatially and vertically) and modification to pumping can increase the life expectancy of wellfields, offer sustainable management of the Memphis aquifer, and reduce contaminant migration through 2050.</p>","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133584206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Silica Nanoparticles for Water Purification and Monitoring in Point-of-Use Water Supply Systems 二氧化硅纳米颗粒用于水净化和监测点用水供应系统
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.12691/ajwr-11-3-2
Hesham Mohamed Abdal-Salam Yehia, Said Mahmoud Said
{"title":"Silica Nanoparticles for Water Purification and Monitoring in Point-of-Use Water Supply Systems","authors":"Hesham Mohamed Abdal-Salam Yehia, Said Mahmoud Said","doi":"10.12691/ajwr-11-3-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12691/ajwr-11-3-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82156662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Domestic Water Quality Assessment in Nteingue Community, West Region of Cameroon 喀麦隆西部地区恩廷格社区生活水质评价
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-07-28 DOI: 10.12691/ajwr-11-3-1
Mofor Nelson Alakeh, M. Kenneth, Njoyim Estella Buleng Tamungang, Nchofua Festus Biosengazeh, Nkemajen Eugene Asongafac
{"title":"Domestic Water Quality Assessment in Nteingue Community, West Region of Cameroon","authors":"Mofor Nelson Alakeh, M. Kenneth, Njoyim Estella Buleng Tamungang, Nchofua Festus Biosengazeh, Nkemajen Eugene Asongafac","doi":"10.12691/ajwr-11-3-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12691/ajwr-11-3-1","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigated the quality of three main sources of water used in Nteingue community-a village in Santchou municipality of the Menoua division, West Region of Cameroon, in order to determine its suitability for domestic use following World Health Organisation (WHO) guidelines. Inhabitants of this locality consume water from these sources without any prior treatment, which can result in health problems if the water sources are contaminated. Three water sources: a spring in Plantain market, a tap (harnessed spring) in Nteingue market, and an open well in Nteingue-Mbouteuc quarter were sampled in the dry and rainy seasons of 2022 and examined for organoleptic, physicochemical and bacteriological parameters using standard methods recommended by WHO. Water samples had acceptable organoleptic characteristics except for the spring in the rainy season which was clear with tiny dark debris. Results of physical parameters revealed moderately acidic to neutral waters (5.6-7.2) with low mineral content, dissolved solids and turbidity. All major ions were within the WHO guideline values. There were significant seasonal differences observed in the variations of the concentrations of HCO 3-and K + (p <0.05). The water sources were","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76473603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Chesapeake Bay Land Change Model: Simulating future land use scenarios and potential impacts on water quality 切萨皮克湾土地变化模型:模拟未来的土地利用方案及对水质的潜在影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13131
Peter R. Claggett, Labeeb Ahmed, Frederick M. Irani, Sarah McDonald, Renee L. Thompson
{"title":"The Chesapeake Bay Land Change Model: Simulating future land use scenarios and potential impacts on water quality","authors":"Peter R. Claggett,&nbsp;Labeeb Ahmed,&nbsp;Frederick M. Irani,&nbsp;Sarah McDonald,&nbsp;Renee L. Thompson","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13131","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1752-1688.13131","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Chesapeake Bay Land Change Model (CBLCM) is an open-source pseudo-cellular automata land change model tailored for loose coupling with watershed models. The CBLCM simulates infill development, residential and commercial development, natural land and agricultural land conversion, and growth served by sewer or septic wastewater treatment. The CBLCM is unique among land change models by simulating multiple types of development and explicitly accounting for infill development and the spatial patterns of development densities. The CBLCM was used to simulate five future land use scenarios, holding population constant, for all counties within and adjacent to the Chesapeake Bay watershed from 2013 to 2055. Results are presented here for the state of Maryland over the period 2013–2025 to illustrate model functionality and validation. The growth management (GM) scenario achieved the least development and potential impacts to natural and agricultural lands while accommodating the same amount of population growth as the other four scenarios. Scenarios focusing exclusively on natural or agricultural land protection shifted development to unprotected areas resulting in unforeseen water quality consequences. Simultaneously achieving more compact development while protecting the most valued natural and agricultural lands requires a combination of GM and land conservation policies and actions.</p>","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131346355","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Subseasonal to seasonal streamflow forecasting in a semiarid watershed 半干旱流域的次季节至季节性流量预报
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13147
Patrick D. Broxton, Willem J. D. van Leeuwen, Bohumil M. Svoma, James Walter, Joel A. Biederman
{"title":"Subseasonal to seasonal streamflow forecasting in a semiarid watershed","authors":"Patrick D. Broxton,&nbsp;Willem J. D. van Leeuwen,&nbsp;Bohumil M. Svoma,&nbsp;James Walter,&nbsp;Joel A. Biederman","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13147","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1752-1688.13147","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Operational streamflow forecasting is critically important to managers of river basins that supply water, hydropower, and flood protection. While seasonal water supply forecasts (WSFs) are important for long-term water resources planning operations, shorter term (e.g., 1–5 weeks) streamflow forecasts are critical for balancing water conservation with flood risk during wet periods. In this study, we designed a streamflow forecasting system with the water resources group at the Salt River Project (SRP), a provider of water and power to millions of customers in central Arizona (AZ), to provide streamflow forecasts for a diverse and operationally important set of watersheds in AZ. The forecast system uses machine learning to make seasonal WSFs, a rainfall–runoff model driven by ensemble meteorological forecasts to make 35-day streamflow forecasts, and an innovative approach to improve the WSFs based on the 35-day streamflow forecasts. This model integration allows for an assessment of the impact of different meteorological forecasts on WSFs, helping SRP to balance water conservation goals with shorter term flood risks. In addition, seasonal WSFs are improved in the early winter when they incorporate the 35-day streamflow predictions. Furthermore, these improvements are larger than when they incorporate 7-day streamflow predictions, demonstrating the value of using subseasonal to seasonal (S2S, &gt;1–2 weeks) forecasts to improve seasonal WSFs in these watersheds.</p>","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115323288","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Water quality impacts of climate change, land use, and population growth in the Chesapeake Bay watershed 切萨皮克湾流域气候变化、土地利用和人口增长对水质的影响
IF 2.4 4区 环境科学与生态学
Journal of The American Water Resources Association Pub Date : 2023-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13144
Gopal Bhatt, Lewis Linker, Gary Shenk, Isabella Bertani, Richard Tian, Jessica Rigelman, Kyle Hinson, Peter Claggett
{"title":"Water quality impacts of climate change, land use, and population growth in the Chesapeake Bay watershed","authors":"Gopal Bhatt,&nbsp;Lewis Linker,&nbsp;Gary Shenk,&nbsp;Isabella Bertani,&nbsp;Richard Tian,&nbsp;Jessica Rigelman,&nbsp;Kyle Hinson,&nbsp;Peter Claggett","doi":"10.1111/1752-1688.13144","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1752-1688.13144","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The 2010 Chesapeake Bay Total Maximum Daily Load was established for the water quality and ecological restoration of the Chesapeake Bay. In 2017, the latest science, data, and modeling tools were used to develop revised Watershed Implementation Plans (WIPs). In this article, we examine the vulnerability of the Chesapeake Bay watershed to the combined pressures of climate change and growth in population, agricultural intensity, and economic activity for the 60-year period 1995–2055. The results will be used to revise WIPs, as needed, to account for expected increases in loads. Assessing changes relative to 1995 for the years 2025, 2035, 2045, and 2055, mean annual precipitation increases of 3.11%, 4.21%, 5.34%, and 6.91%, respectively, air temperature increases of 1.12, 1.45, 1.84, and 2.12°C, respectively, and potential evapotranspiration increases of 3.36%, 4.43%, 5.54%, and 6.35%, respectively, are projected. Population in the watershed is expected to grow by 3.5 million between 2025 and 2055. Watershed model results show incremental increases in streamflow (2.3%–6.2%), nitrogen (2.6%–10.8%), phosphorus (4.5%–26.7%), and sediment (3.8%–18.8%) loads to the tidal Bay due to climate change. Growth in population, agricultural intensity, development, and economic activity resulted in relatively smaller increases in loads compared to climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":17234,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The American Water Resources Association","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2023-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1752-1688.13144","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116459393","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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