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International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management最新文献

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A reputation risk perspective on the Greek crisis 从声誉风险角度看希腊危机
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046643
Nikitas-Spiros Koutsoukis, Pantelis Sklias, Spyros A. Roukanas
{"title":"A reputation risk perspective on the Greek crisis","authors":"Nikitas-Spiros Koutsoukis, Pantelis Sklias, Spyros A. Roukanas","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046643","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046643","url":null,"abstract":"The economic crisis of Europe has realigned the notion of a nation's reputation (or its branding) in a prominent way. Using the case of Greece as an example, we interpret the Greek crisis from the fresh perspective of reputation risk management. From this perspective, we show that the Greek crisis, on one hand is deeper and more holistic than the pre-crisis dim macroeconomic outlook would suggest. From the other hand, we suggest that the crisis could have been avoided had reputation risk management been encapsulated as a mechanism for guiding Greece's decision-makers. We infer that, the lack of the equivalent of national-level reputation risk management techniques at the governance echelons is one of the root causes of the crisis and the key catalyst for the rapid escalation of what at first instance appeared to be bad nationwide public financial practices and policy making into a European and nearly global financial event.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"65 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128136349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Forecasting and planning: a review of contemporary issues and developments 预测和规划:对当代问题和发展的回顾
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046621
P. Bondarev, Andrey Fendyur
{"title":"Forecasting and planning: a review of contemporary issues and developments","authors":"P. Bondarev, Andrey Fendyur","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046621","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046621","url":null,"abstract":"The present review of remarkable developments in the forecasting/planning field aimed to provide highlights of conceptual and applied contributions that recently benefited scholar research and practice. The paper balanced conceptual and technical developments to show both qualitative and quantitative challenges that forecasting/planning faces. The study identified future research areas for academia and practice to pursue for achieving improvements in planning/forecasting and resulting leverage in business performance.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125234226","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating supply chain risk in Indian dairy industry: a case study 印度乳制品行业供应链风险评估:一个案例研究
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046610
P. Mishra, B. Shekhar
{"title":"Evaluating supply chain risk in Indian dairy industry: a case study","authors":"P. Mishra, B. Shekhar","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046610","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046610","url":null,"abstract":"Risk and uncertainty have been found to be one of the indispensable parts of any manufacturing or service supply chain. No matter how strong is the supply chain, risk and uncertainty come into the picture by disrupting the operational flow. The situation further gets complicated, if the nature of the material the supply chain deals in, is perishable requiring conditioned transportation and storage. In this context, dairy-food supply chain is not a deviation. The empirical paper describes the risks and uncertainties of a dairy-food supply chain case in India. The study involves all the stakeholders in the system to identify the potential risks for the entire chain and strategies to address the same. The data, from 1,063 sample respondents, at different levels of the supply chain, are collected and assessed to detect major operational risks for the dairy industry. In total, 15 significant risks are identified throughout the supply chain of which eight are assessed to be critical ones. Strategies to minimise the high risks are also mentioned at different levels so as to increase the efficiency of the supply chain.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"2338 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130366450","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 11
Recent developments in the differential equations of design and conformance quality 设计和一致性质量微分方程的最新进展
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046604
M. Roselli, P. Giovanni
{"title":"Recent developments in the differential equations of design and conformance quality","authors":"M. Roselli, P. Giovanni","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046604","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046604","url":null,"abstract":"This research proposes some new differential equations to be used by practitioners and theorists when investigating design and conformance quality. Although those two quality features have been already extensively studied, the literature reveals several limitations that this research attempts to overcome. The differential equations used so far in game theory are analysed, identifying their tradeoffs, interactions and limitations and then original equations are developed to explore both design and conformance quality. In order to study conformance quality, its differential equation should consider not only failures but also prevention and appraisal. The differential equation of design quality does not always increase, but instead, it increases and decreases over time according to a number of external factors. Design and conformance quality generate several economic tradeoffs and managerial interactions that firms need to consider when implementing a total quality strategy.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134229131","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
A decision model for executing plant strategy: maintaining the technical integrity of petroleum flowlines 执行工厂战略的决策模型:维持石油管线的技术完整性
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046602
R. Ratnayake
{"title":"A decision model for executing plant strategy: maintaining the technical integrity of petroleum flowlines","authors":"R. Ratnayake","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046602","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046602","url":null,"abstract":"The 'strategic' management of technical integrity has become a high profile subject matter over recent years within inspection and maintenance of assets in the process industry. The assets such as production and process facilities require being optimised, prioritised and cost-effective inspection and maintenance, depending on whether they are at the beginning or end of their design life. In both cases, it is vital to ensure that sufficient condition monitoring data from all relevant sources are collated and analysed as a part in a planned scheme of inspection and maintenance. This is largely driven by certifying authority requirements, sound mechanical and corrosion engineering principles as well as inspection and maintenance approaches, indicated in a plant strategy. This manuscript suggests a model to execute plant strategy using analytic hierarchy process method. The model indicates the incorporation of requirements specified in a plant strategy for reaching optimised, prioritised and cost-effective outcome.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120954347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 21
Production versus safety in a risky competitive industry 高风险竞争行业的生产与安全
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046614
K. Hausken
{"title":"Production versus safety in a risky competitive industry","authors":"K. Hausken","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046614","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046614","url":null,"abstract":"Each of two firms has a resource that can be converted into safety versus productive investment in the first stage, with Bertrand competition on price in the second stage of a two-stage game. The firms produce differentiated products in a risky environment. If risks are negligible, investing more in safety decreases the price, and producing more increases the price. The results depend on whether risks get reduced concavely or convexly. With concave (convex) risk reduction, higher safety investment by the competitor causes higher (lower) own safety investment. With concave (convex) risk reduction, lower firm loyalty by consumers implies lower (higher) safety investment, higher product substitutability implies higher (lower) safety investment, and more adverse implications of the competitor's productive investment on the demand intercept of the firm implies lower (higher) safety investment. When each firm independently maximises profit in a Nash equilibrium, safety investment is lower than when a social planner maximises social welfare and when maximising joint industry profits. The impact of the income, substitution, and interdependence effects on safety investment and price is finally analysed.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"158 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114239995","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Ranking football teams with AHP and TOPSIS methods 运用AHP和TOPSIS方法对足球队进行排名
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046620
R. K. Mavi, N. K. Mavi, Leila Kiani
{"title":"Ranking football teams with AHP and TOPSIS methods","authors":"R. K. Mavi, N. K. Mavi, Leila Kiani","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046620","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046620","url":null,"abstract":"Managers continually seek improved methods to measure the performance of their organisations because they are committed to improve efficiency and effectiveness in their operating units. The sporting performance of professional football teams has often been assessed considering their results in the major regular competition, namely the national league. On the other hand, ranking teams is a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem. Therefore by taking data for the season 1999/2000 from Haas et al. (2004) we study the efficiency of football teams in the German Bundesliga by MCDM techniques. Based on the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the technique for order preferences by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), this paper applies an MCDM approach to evaluate the performance of football teams in the German Bundesliga. The non-parametric Spearman test of relationship (rs) and the Kendall's Tau test (τ) of correlation verify the results of DEA and TOPSIS.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127633706","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 18
Decision tree analysis for project risk mitigation options for underground metro rail project 地下轨道交通项目风险缓解方案的决策树分析
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046613
D. Sarkar
{"title":"Decision tree analysis for project risk mitigation options for underground metro rail project","authors":"D. Sarkar","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046613","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046613","url":null,"abstract":"Risk mitigation is an integral facet of project risk management for infrastructure projects. Complex infrastructure transportation projects like construction of underground corridor for metro rail operations are subject to various risks and uncertainties through all the phases of the project like feasibility, development, execution and operation. Project risks primarily deal with the risks and uncertainties pertaining to project schedule and cost, particularly for the feasibility, development and execution phases. Maximum risks occur during the execution phase. These risks need to be mitigated through the risk mitigation tools. Carrying out proper risk management process would enable the project authorities to identify a number of options for risk mitigation. This paper aims to develop a tool through decision tree analysis (DTA) to enable decision making about the most feasible option that the project authorities should adopt so that the project is executed most effectively and economically within the stipulated time and cost frame.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116701008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Multiscale Fama-French and VaR explanatory factor analysis: evidence to the French market 多尺度Fama-French和VaR解释因子分析:对法国市场的证据
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2012-05-03 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046605
Anyssa Trimech, Saloua Benammou
{"title":"Multiscale Fama-French and VaR explanatory factor analysis: evidence to the French market","authors":"Anyssa Trimech, Saloua Benammou","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046605","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2012.046605","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this paper is to consider the utilities of using value at risk (VaR) as an explanatory factor of stock returns in addition to the Fama-French risk factors over different investment periods. In order to describe the relationships between factors and stock returns and to examine the explanatory power of the four factor model at different timescales, we exploit the properties of the multi-resolution analysis (MRA) based on maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT). The four factor model proposed by Turan G. Bali and Nusret Cakici illustrates well the cross-sectional returns while the timescale increases. The portfolio returns are more sensitive to the market risk and size risk. The portfolio risk effect, measured by the VaR, is handed-over in question because its weakness and the addressed criticism following the current financial crisis.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"41 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115508696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Decision making linked to the outsourcing risks 与外包风险相关的决策
International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management Pub Date : 2011-06-21 DOI: 10.1504/IJDSRM.2011.040747
Salma Bellaaj, A. E. Mhamedi, Y. Boujelbene, L. Kermad
{"title":"Decision making linked to the outsourcing risks","authors":"Salma Bellaaj, A. E. Mhamedi, Y. Boujelbene, L. Kermad","doi":"10.1504/IJDSRM.2011.040747","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJDSRM.2011.040747","url":null,"abstract":"The examination of outsourcing – the purchase of goods or services that were previously provided internally (Lacity and Hirschheim, 1993a) – has been an investigation domain for several years. When we consider the potential gains that can be achieved through outsourcing, most of academic discussions have addressed the questions of ‘why’, ‘what’ and ‘how’ to outsource. This research focuses on ‘what are the risks of outsourcing?’. In fact, certain decisions of outsourcing involve unforeseen risks. So, our goal in this research consists in proposing modes and steps of adaptation to the risks related to the strategies of outsourcing and adapting those within a sample of Tunisian outsourced companies. The suggested assistance to these firms consists in developing an interactive system of decision-making aid which allows them to diminish the effect of risk on success of the strategy.","PeriodicalId":170104,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Decision Sciences, Risk and Management","volume":"104 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2011-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123290527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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