Juan E Megias-Vericat, Gines Escolar, Michele R Wilson, Pablo Mendez, Cheryl L McDade, Laura Vidal Barrientos, Radovan Tomic, Marco Panebianco, Stephan Linden, Songkai Yan
{"title":"Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis of Haemate-P versus other von Willebrand disease treatments in Spain.","authors":"Juan E Megias-Vericat, Gines Escolar, Michele R Wilson, Pablo Mendez, Cheryl L McDade, Laura Vidal Barrientos, Radovan Tomic, Marco Panebianco, Stephan Linden, Songkai Yan","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2474886","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2474886","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>von Willebrand Disease (vWD) is the most common congenital bleeding disorder, with an estimated prevalence in Spain of 0.01%. The aim was to assess the cost-utility of Haemate-P compared with present alternatives in the treatment of vWD in Spain.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A Markov model was developed in Microsoft Excel to estimate the cost-effectiveness of various treatments for vWD over a lifetime horizon. Transition probabilities among health states were based on age and number of bleeding events. Treatment strategies compared included Haemate-P, Fanhdi, and Wilate in long-term prophylaxis (LTP) or on-demand treatment (ODT). Costs and quality-of-life were measured based on patient age, treatment, and number of bleeding events incurred. Both costs and utilities were discounted at 3%. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>When comparing LTP regimens, Haemate-P was less costly and numerically more effective than both Fanhdi (incremental costs = -€1,313,845; incremental quality-adjusted life-years [QALY] = 0.13) and Wilate (incremental costs = -€2,233,940; incremental QALY = 0.29). For ODT, Haemate-P was assumed to have equal effectiveness as Fanhdi and Wilate but reduced the costs by €696,857 and €1,145,780, respectively. Haemate-P prophylaxis was more effective and less costly compared with Haemate-P on-demand in the base case (incremental costs = -€633,317; incremental QALY = 0.90). Results were generally robust to sensitivity analyses.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In patients with severe vWD experiencing a high bleed rate, Haemate-P prophylaxis is a less costly and potentially more effective treatment strategy and Haemate-P is cost-saving among on-demand strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"436-445"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143572833","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correction.","authors":"","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2477875","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13696998.2025.2477875","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":"28 1","pages":"377"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143605202","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Prakash S Masand, Mousam Parikh, Jamie Ta, Enrico Zanardo, Dominique Lejeune, Cristina Martínez, François Laliberté, Nadia Nabulsi
{"title":"The real-world impact of cariprazine on short- and long-term disability outcomes among commercially insured patients in the United States.","authors":"Prakash S Masand, Mousam Parikh, Jamie Ta, Enrico Zanardo, Dominique Lejeune, Cristina Martínez, François Laliberté, Nadia Nabulsi","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2470014","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2470014","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>To compare all-cause and mental health (MH)-related short-term and long-term disability leaves and associated costs among patients in the United States with bipolar disorder (BP), major depressive disorder (MDD), or schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SCZ) before versus after cariprazine initiation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Merative MarketScan Commercial and Health and Productivity Management (HPM) databases (January 2016 to December 2021) were utilized to identify adults diagnosed with BP, MDD, or SCZ with ≥2 pharmacy cariprazine claims (first claim = index), ≥3 months of cariprazine use (adjunctively for MDD), and continuous commercial insurance coverage and HPM eligibility during baseline (12 months pre-index) and ≥3 months post-index. Observation continued until cariprazine discontinuation, insurance or HPM eligibility end, 1 year post-index, or HPM data availability end. All-cause and MH-related disability claims, days, and costs were evaluated. Baseline versus post-index rates of disability claims (events) and days were compared using rate ratios (RR); costs were compared using mean cost differences. Comparisons were calculated from generalized estimating equation models. Analyses were replicated separately across indications.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There were 489 patients overall (BP = 238, MDD = 233, SCZ = 18; mean age = 43.3 years; 60.7% female; mean follow-up = 7.6 months). All-cause rates of disability events and days following cariprazine initiation were 29% (RR = 0.71 [95% CI = 0.57, 0.86]) and 28% (0.72 [0.53, 0.94]) lower than baseline, respectively (both <i>p</i> < .05). MH-related rates of disability events and days were 40% (0.60 [0.43, 0.80]) and 43% (0.57 [0.34, 0.84]) lower, respectively (both <i>p</i> < .01). All-cause disability costs were $2,917 lower and MH-related disability costs were $2,482 lower than baseline (40% and 51% decrease, respectively; both <i>p</i> < .01). Results were similar for indication-specific analyses.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>Limited generalizability to patients who are unemployed, uninsured, or have public insurance.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Rates of disability events, days, and mean costs were significantly lower after versus before cariprazine initiation. These results can help contextualize cariprazine's role in managing disability for these patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"335-345"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143449305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Joshua A Roth, David Kratochvil, Stephanie Dorman, Mark Bernauer
{"title":"Cost-efficiency and expanded access modeling of conversion to biosimilar bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal and non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer in Medicare.","authors":"Joshua A Roth, David Kratochvil, Stephanie Dorman, Mark Bernauer","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2474884","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2474884","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Biosimilars to originator bevacizumab (Avastin), such as bevacizumab-bvzr (Zirabev), can deliver substantial savings and/or expanded access to biologic therapy for patients with metastatic colorectal (mCRC) and non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC). The objective of this study is to explore the cost-efficiency and budget-neutral expanded access of bevacizumab-bvzr in mCRC and mNSCLC in Medicare.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We developed a Medicare payer perspective simulation model of patients treated for mCRC and mNSCLC to estimate cost-savings from converting bevacizumab (originator) to bevacizumab-bvzr or alternative biosimilars such as bevacizumab-awwb, -maly, and -abcd. The target patient population receiving annual first-line systemic therapy was calculated using Medicare enrollment data, SEER cancer incidence rates in patients age ≥65, and an assumption that 39.3% and 77.2% of new diagnoses receive systemic therapy for mCRC and mNSCLC respectively based on recent evidence. 76.0% of systemically treated mCRC patients and 11.4% of incident mNSCLC patients were expected to be treated with bevacizumab-based regimens based on recent evidence. Costs were derived from the 2024 Average Sales Price (ASP). Results include per-patient per-month (PPPM) cost savings (vs. originator), total monthly savings in the cohort, and number needed to convert (NNC) to biosimilar to fund the treatment of an additional 100 patients.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>PPPM savings from conversion to bevacizumab-bvzr were $4,205 in mCRC and $8,410 in mNSCLC. In 100% conversion scenarios, full cohort monthly savings were $27,664,432 in mCRC (<i>n</i> = 6,579) and $32,319,323 in mNSCLC (<i>n</i> = 3,843), respectively. At 100% conversion, monthly savings from biosimilar conversion could fund up to 13,887 additional mCRC patient-months of treatment with bevacizumab-bvzr + FOLFOX, and up to 8,959 additional mNSCLC patient-months of treatment with bevacizumab-bvzr + paclitaxel + carboplatin. In mCRC and mNSCLC the biosimilar NNC from the originator was 47 and 43, respectively. The biosimilar NNC from other biosimilars ranged from 60-4,564 and 55-4,422 for mCRC and NSCLC, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In the first cost-efficiency and expanded access study of biosimilar bevacizumab in mCRC and mNSCLC, we find that bevacizumab-bvzr-based regimens can result in substantial cost savings relative to originator-based first line treatment in Medicare. These cost savings could be reinvested to treat a substantial number of additional patients with mCRC or mNSCLC, or fund other costs of care in Medicare, on a budget-neutral basis.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"378-386"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143542360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
David Cherney, Aleksandra Drzewiecka, Kerstin Folkerts, Pierre Levy, Aurélie Millier, Stephen Morris, Michał Pochopień, Prabir Roy-Chaudhury, Sean D Sullivan, Paul Mernagh
{"title":"Cost-effectiveness of finerenone therapy for patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes in England & Wales: results of the FINE-CKD model.","authors":"David Cherney, Aleksandra Drzewiecka, Kerstin Folkerts, Pierre Levy, Aurélie Millier, Stephen Morris, Michał Pochopień, Prabir Roy-Chaudhury, Sean D Sullivan, Paul Mernagh","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2451526","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2451526","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is the leading cause of kidney failure, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), and cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). The FIDELIO-DKD trial demonstrated that finerenone lowered the risk of renal and CV events in patients with CKD and T2D, regardless of cardiovascular disease history. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of finerenone added to background treatment (finerenone + BT) versus background treatment (BT) alone in patients with CKD and T2D from the perspective of the National Health Service in England and Wales.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A lifetime Markov model assessed the indicated usage of finerenone for the treatment of stage 3 or 4 CKD with albuminuria associated with T2D in adults, as per the relevant marketing authorization. The model structure considered kidney disease progression and CV risk, with health states encompassing patients' kidney disease stage and CV event profiles, using patient-level data from the FIDELIO-DKD trial. Model outcomes were life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), per-patient costs, incremental costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Sensitivity and scenario analysis were performed, including an analysis exploring the impact of real-world data which suggests more frequent sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitor use in the United Kingdom since FIDELIO-DKD.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Patients receiving finerenone experienced kidney and CV benefits, including reduced rates of nonfatal CV events and CV deaths, translating to improvements in survival and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 6.11 and 5.97 per patient for finerenone + BT versus BT, respectively. Total discounted per-patient costs were £48,940 for finerenone + BT and £47,716 for BT alone, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £8,808 per QALY gained for finerenone + BT versus BT.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Sensitivity and scenario analyses, including more frequent SGLT2 inhibitor use consistent with real-world data, indicate a robust ICER that remains within the bounds of what is typically considered cost-effective.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"196-206"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142950176","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fredrik Nilsson, Martina Aldvén, Christian Gerdesköld Rappe, Tendai Mugwagwa
{"title":"Cost-effectiveness of outpatient COVID-19 antiviral treatment with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir versus usual care in Swedish patients with various risk factors.","authors":"Fredrik Nilsson, Martina Aldvén, Christian Gerdesköld Rappe, Tendai Mugwagwa","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444836","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444836","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NMV/r) is an orally administered antiviral indicated for the outpatient treatment of adult patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 at high risk for disease progression to severe illness. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of NMV/r versus best supportive care for 54 patient cohorts, specified according to age, vaccination status and comorbidity burden.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>A previously published and validated cost-effectiveness model was utilized and adapted to the Swedish setting. The model used a short-term decision-tree (1 year) followed by a lifetime 2-state Markov model. The short-term decision-tree captured costs and outcomes associated with the primary infection. Post-acute COVID-19 syndrome was only considered in terms of quality-of-life decrements for one year. Baseline hospitalization and mortality risks were taken from a Swedish, nationwide, uniquely granular, Omicron-era, real-world study. NMV/r effectiveness were taken from an Omicron-era US real-world study. Remaining inputs were informed by previous COVID-19 studies and publicly available Swedish sources.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) showed a large variation ranging from almost nine million SEK for some of the youngest cohorts to being dominant (i.e. cost-saving with higher gains in quality-of-life vs standard of care) for twelve elderly cohorts. In general, higher age in combination with non-recent (>180 days) or no vaccination led to lower ICERs. Specifically, NMV/r was cost-effective for all but one patient cohorts at least 70 years old, and for most patient cohorts 60-69 years old.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>As the COVID-19 landscape changes, symptom burden and baseline risks constantly change. Thus, the cost-effectiveness of NMV/r will change with time. However, the future risks could be related to the risks in the current study, and thus remain useful for decision makers.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study shows that NMV/r is a cost-effective or even cost-saving treatment option for many patient cohorts, including most elderly and not-recently vaccinated patients with at least some comorbidity burden.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"186-195"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142864541","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Niklaus Meier, Daniel Ammann, Mark Pletscher, Jano Probst, Matthias Schwenkglenks
{"title":"Systematic review of cost-effectiveness modelling studies for haemophilia.","authors":"Niklaus Meier, Daniel Ammann, Mark Pletscher, Jano Probst, Matthias Schwenkglenks","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444157","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444157","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Haemophilia is a rare genetic disease that hinders blood clotting. We aimed to review model-based cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) of haemophilia treatments, describe the sources of clinical evidence used by these CEAs, summarize the reported cost-effectiveness of different treatment strategies, and assess the quality and risk of bias.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a systematic literature review of model-based CEAs of haemophilia treatments by searching databases, the Tufts Medical Center CEA registry, and grey literature. We summarized and qualitatively synthesized the approaches and results of the included CEAs, without a meta-analysis due the diversity of the studies.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>32 eligible studies were performed in 12 countries and reported 53 pairwise comparisons. Most studies analysed patients with haemophilia A rather than haemophilia B. Comparisons of prophylactic versus on-demand treatment indicated that prophylaxis may not be cost-effective, but there was no clear consensus. Emicizumab was generally cost-effective compared with clotting factor treatments and was always dominant for patients with inhibitors. Immune tolerance induction following a Malmö protocol was found to be cost-effective compared to bypassing agents, while there was no consensus for the other protocols. Gene therapies as well as treatment with extended half-life coagulation factors were always cost-effective over their comparators. Studies were highly heterogenous regarding their time horizons, model structures, the inclusion of bleeding-related mortality and quality-of-life impacts. This heterogeneity limited the comparability of the studies. 19 of the 32 included studies received industry funding, which may have biased their results.</p><p><strong>Limitations: </strong>It was not possible to perform a quantitative synthesis of the results due to the heterogeneity of the underlying studies.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Differences in results between previous CEAs may have been driven by heterogeneity in modelling approaches, clinical input data, and potential funding biases. A more consistent evidence base and modelling approach would enhance the comparability between CEAs.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"89-104"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142854539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
T E Detlie, L N Karlsen, E Jørgensen, N Nanu, R F Pollock
{"title":"Evaluating the cost-utility of ferric derisomaltose versus ferric carboxymaltose in patients with inflammatory bowel disease and iron deficiency anaemia in Norway.","authors":"T E Detlie, L N Karlsen, E Jørgensen, N Nanu, R F Pollock","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444833","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444833","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>Iron deficiency anemia (IDA) is among the most common extraintestinal sequelae of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Intravenous iron is often the preferred treatment in patients with active inflammation with or without active bleeding, iron malabsorption, or intolerance to oral iron. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the cost-utility of ferric derisomaltose (FDI) versus ferric carboyxymaltose (FCM) in patients with IBD and IDA in Norway.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>A published patient-level simulation model was used to evaluate the cost-utility of FDI versus FCM in patients with IBD and IDA from a Norwegian national payer perspective. Iron need was modelled based on bivariate distributions of hemoglobin and bodyweight combined with simplified tables of iron need from the FDI and FCM summaries of product characteristics. Patient characteristics and disease-related quality of life data were obtained from the PHOSPHARE-IBD trial. Cost-utility was evaluated in Norwegian Kroner (NOK) over a five-year time horizon.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Patients required 1.64 fewer infusions of FDI than FCM over five years (5.62 versus 7.26), corresponding to 0.41 fewer infusions per treatment course. The reduction in the number of infusions resulted in cost savings of NOK 5,236 (NOK 35,830 with FDI versus NOK 41,066 with FCM). The need for phosphate testing in patients treated with FCM resulted in further cost savings with FDI (no costs with FDI versus NOK 4,470 with FCM). Total cost savings with FDI were therefore NOK 9,707. FDI also increased quality-adjusted life expectancy by 0.071 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) driven by reduced incidence of hypophosphatemia and fewer interactions with the healthcare system.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>FDI resulted in cost savings and improved quality-adjusted life expectancy versus FCM in patients with IDA and IBD in Norway. FDI therefore represents the economically preferable iron formulation in Norwegian patients with IBD and IDA in whom it is indicated.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"291-301"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142864560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Bridging the gap in public healthcare services in developing countries: lessons from the family doctor contract services in China.","authors":"Mohammad Habibullah Pulok","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2480479","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2025.2480479","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"445-447"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143649278","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Juan Carlos Trujillo, Joan B Soriano, Mercè Marzo, Oliver Higuera, Luis Gorospe, Virginia Pajares, María Eugenia Olmedo, Natalia Arrabal, Andrés Flores, José Francisco García, María Crespo, David Carcedo, Carolina Heuser, Milan M S Obradović, Nicolò Olghi, Eran N Choman, Luis M Seijo
{"title":"Cost-effectiveness of a machine learning risk prediction model (LungFlag) in the selection of high-risk individuals for non-small cell lung cancer screening in Spain.","authors":"Juan Carlos Trujillo, Joan B Soriano, Mercè Marzo, Oliver Higuera, Luis Gorospe, Virginia Pajares, María Eugenia Olmedo, Natalia Arrabal, Andrés Flores, José Francisco García, María Crespo, David Carcedo, Carolina Heuser, Milan M S Obradović, Nicolò Olghi, Eran N Choman, Luis M Seijo","doi":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444781","DOIUrl":"10.1080/13696998.2024.2444781","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>The LungFlag risk prediction model uses individualized clinical variables to identify individuals at high-risk of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) for screening with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT). This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of LungFlag implementation in the Spanish setting for the identification of individuals at high-risk of NSCLC.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A model combining a decision-tree with a Markov model was adapted to the Spanish setting to calculate health outcomes and costs over a lifetime horizon, comparing two hypothetical scenarios: screening with LungFlag versus non-screening, and screening with LungFlag versus screening the entire population meeting 2013 US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) criteria. Model inputs were obtained from the literature and the clinical practice of a multidisciplinary expert panel. Only direct costs (€of 2023), obtained from local sources, were considered. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of our results.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A cohort of 3,835,128 individuals meeting 2013 USPSTF criteria would require 2,147,672 LDCTs scans. However, using LungFlag would only require 232,120 LDCTs scans. Cost-effectiveness results showed that LungFlag was dominant versus non-screening scenario, and outperformed the scenario where the entire population were screened since the observed loss of effectiveness (-224,031 life years [LYs] and -97,612 quality-adjusted life years [QALYs]) was largely offset by the significant cost savings provided (€7,053 million). The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for this strategy of screening the whole population versus using LungFlag was €72,000/QALY, showing that LungFlag is cost-effective. Various were described, such as the source of the efficacy or adherence rates, and other limitations inherent to cost-effectiveness analyses.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Using LungFlag for the selection of high-risk individuals for NSCLC screening in Spain would be a cost-effective strategy over screening the entire population meeting USPSTF 2013 criteria and is dominant over non-screening.</p>","PeriodicalId":16229,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Medical Economics","volume":" ","pages":"147-156"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142854530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}