{"title":"Regulação ineficaz para forçar alongamento: O caso da Previdência Complementar Aberta no Brasil","authors":"Luiz Guilherme Carpizo, M. G. P. García","doi":"10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.78756","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.78756","url":null,"abstract":"Despite the fall in the interest rate observed in Brazil in recent decades, and specific regulations on the private pension segment that encourage long-term risk taking, institutions in this segment appear to be considerably sensitive to short-term factors, while avoiding exposure to long-term risk factors. With portfolio allocation data from large entities, we implemented a VAR model to evaluate the impact of interest rate changes on portfolio management decisions and performed a counterfactual analysis to define the causal effect of regulation on additional risk taking. Results indicate that interest rate increases lead to significant and persistent reduction of investment in riskier assets with longer maturities, while the implemented regulation was not able to force greater risk-taking by institutions, in addition to generating distortions in segments of the Brazilian financial market.","PeriodicalId":152637,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Finance","volume":"65 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120906349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The natural yield curve in Brazil","authors":"A. D. C. F. Filho","doi":"10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.78914","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.78914","url":null,"abstract":"This paper estimates the term structure of natural interest rates for Brazil, a generalization of the concept of natural rate of interest for the yield curve. First, the Diebold-Li (2006) model is estimated with real yields. The latent factors of this model are then used in a model that includes an IS and a Phillips curve. The natural yield curve is obtained as the level, slope and curvature that closes the output gap at each point in time. This decomposition allows a broader indicator of the stance of monetary policy and a real-time measure of the natural rate. The difference between the slope of the real curve and its natural counterpart is highly correlated with the output gap.","PeriodicalId":152637,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Finance","volume":"85 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129468043","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A note on stochastic volatility model estimation","authors":"Omar Abbara, M. Zevallos","doi":"10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.79892","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.79892","url":null,"abstract":"The paper assesses the method proposed by Shumway and Stoffer (2006, Chapter 6, Section 10) to estimate the parameters and volatility of stochastic volatility models. First, the paper presents a Monte Carlo evaluation of the parameter estimates considering several distributions for the perturbations in the observation equation. Second, the method is assessed empirically, through backtesting evaluation of VaR forecasts of the S&P 500 time series returns. In both analyses, the paper also evaluates the convenience of using the Fuller transformation.","PeriodicalId":152637,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Finance","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122871542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Estrutura de controle e performance financeira: Uma análise de empresas\u0000 brasileiras listadas e deslistadas, negociadas no Brasil e nos Estados\u0000 Unidos","authors":"Alberto Granzotto, Igor Bernardi Sonza","doi":"10.12660/rbfin.v17n2.2019.77353","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v17n2.2019.77353","url":null,"abstract":"The present work sought to identify the influence of the control\u0000 structure on the accounting and market performance of listed and delisted\u0000 Brazilian companies traded only on B3 as compared to those with a double\u0000 listing with the US (ADRs). For this purpose, linear regressions were\u0000 applied by GMM-Sys with unbalanced panel data. It was evidenced that for\u0000 companies traded only on B3, the control structure is negatively related to\u0000 efficiency while listed and positively related when delisting occurs,\u0000 prevailing shareholder conflict. This context is inverse to that found in\u0000 the analysis of ADRs, where the control structure is positively related to\u0000 efficiency while listed and negatively related when delisting occur, proving\u0000 that, in this case, agency conflicts prevail. This study confirms that the\u0000 effects of US Commom Law also affect Brazilian companies that are traded in\u0000 the US.","PeriodicalId":152637,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Finance","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121341911","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}