{"title":"关于随机波动率模型估计的一个注意事项","authors":"Omar Abbara, M. Zevallos","doi":"10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.79892","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The paper assesses the method proposed by Shumway and Stoffer (2006, Chapter 6, Section 10) to estimate the parameters and volatility of stochastic volatility models. First, the paper presents a Monte Carlo evaluation of the parameter estimates considering several distributions for the perturbations in the observation equation. Second, the method is assessed empirically, through backtesting evaluation of VaR forecasts of the S&P 500 time series returns. In both analyses, the paper also evaluates the convenience of using the Fuller transformation.","PeriodicalId":152637,"journal":{"name":"Brazilian Review of Finance","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A note on stochastic volatility model estimation\",\"authors\":\"Omar Abbara, M. Zevallos\",\"doi\":\"10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.79892\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The paper assesses the method proposed by Shumway and Stoffer (2006, Chapter 6, Section 10) to estimate the parameters and volatility of stochastic volatility models. First, the paper presents a Monte Carlo evaluation of the parameter estimates considering several distributions for the perturbations in the observation equation. Second, the method is assessed empirically, through backtesting evaluation of VaR forecasts of the S&P 500 time series returns. In both analyses, the paper also evaluates the convenience of using the Fuller transformation.\",\"PeriodicalId\":152637,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Brazilian Review of Finance\",\"volume\":\"30 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-12-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Brazilian Review of Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.79892\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Brazilian Review of Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.12660/rbfin.v17n4.2019.79892","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The paper assesses the method proposed by Shumway and Stoffer (2006, Chapter 6, Section 10) to estimate the parameters and volatility of stochastic volatility models. First, the paper presents a Monte Carlo evaluation of the parameter estimates considering several distributions for the perturbations in the observation equation. Second, the method is assessed empirically, through backtesting evaluation of VaR forecasts of the S&P 500 time series returns. In both analyses, the paper also evaluates the convenience of using the Fuller transformation.