Arnold Stromberg, Jie Chen, Teresa Paula Costa Azinheira Oliveira, Yichuan Zhao, Ramin Moghaddass, Milan Stehlik
{"title":"Editorial to the special issue: statistical perspectives on analytics for COVID-19 data.","authors":"Arnold Stromberg, Jie Chen, Teresa Paula Costa Azinheira Oliveira, Yichuan Zhao, Ramin Moghaddass, Milan Stehlik","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2023.2228597","DOIUrl":"10.1080/02664763.2023.2228597","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 11-12","pages":"2287-2293"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10388801/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10294239","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A Tchorbadjieff, L P Tomov, V Velev, G Dezhov, V Manev, P Mayster
{"title":"On regime changes of COVID-19 outbreak.","authors":"A Tchorbadjieff, L P Tomov, V Velev, G Dezhov, V Manev, P Mayster","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2023.2177625","DOIUrl":"10.1080/02664763.2023.2177625","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The COVID-19 pandemic has had a very serious impact on societies and caused large-scale economic changes and death toll worldwide. The first cases were detected in China, but soon the virus spread quickly worldwide and the intensity of newly reported infections grew high during this initial period almost everywhere. Later, despite all imposed measures, the intensity shifted abruptly multiple times during the two-year period between 2020 and 2022 causing waves of too high infection rates in almost every part of the world. To target this problem, we assume the data heterogeneity as multiple consecutive regime changes. The research study includes the development of a model based on automatic regime change detection and their combination with the linear birth-death process for long-run data fits. The results are empirically verified on data for 38 countries and US states for the period from February 2020 to April 2022. Finally, the initial phase (conditions) properties of infection development are studied.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 11-12","pages":"2343-2359"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10388815/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9922918","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Editorial to the special issue: Statistical Approaches for Big Data and Machine Learning.","authors":"Yichuan Zhao, Chi-Hua Chen, Feng Feng, Dragan Pamucar","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2023.2162471","DOIUrl":"10.1080/02664763.2023.2162471","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 3","pages":"451-455"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9930862/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10756759","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Homogeneity test of relative risk ratios for stratified bilateral data under different algorithms.","authors":"Ke-Yi Mou, Chang-Xing Ma, Zhi-Ming Li","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2021.2017412","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.2017412","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Medical clinical studies about paired body parts often involve stratified bilateral data. The correlation between responses from paired parts should be taken into account to avoid biased or misleading results. This paper aims to test if the relative risk ratios across strata are equal under the optimal algorithms. Based on different algorithms, we obtain the desired global and constrained maximum likelihood estimations (MLEs). Three asymptotic test statistics (i.e. <math><msub><mi>T</mi> <mrow><mi>L</mi></mrow> </msub> </math> , <math><msub><mi>T</mi> <mrow><mi>S</mi> <mi>C</mi></mrow> </msub> </math> and <math><msub><mi>T</mi> <mrow><mi>W</mi></mrow> </msub> </math> ) are proposed. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the performance of these algorithms with respect to mean square errors of MLEs and convergence rate. The empirical results show Fisher scoring algorithm is usually better than other methods since it has effective convergence rate for global MLEs, and makes mean-square error lower for constrained MLEs. Three test statistics are compared in terms of type I error rate (TIE) and power. Among these statistics, <math><msub><mi>T</mi> <mrow><mi>S</mi> <mi>C</mi></mrow> </msub> </math> is recommended according to its robust TIEs and satisfactory power.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 5","pages":"1060-1077"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10062238/pdf/CJAS_50_2017412.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9236023","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
J C S Vasconcelos, G M Cordeiro, E M M Ortega, G O Silva
{"title":"A random effect regression based on the odd log-logistic generalized inverse Gaussian distribution.","authors":"J C S Vasconcelos, G M Cordeiro, E M M Ortega, G O Silva","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2021.2024515","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.2024515","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In recent decades, the use of regression models with random effects has made great progress. Among these models' attractions is the flexibility to analyze correlated data. In various situations, the distribution of the response variable presents asymmetry or bimodality. In these cases, it is possible to use the normal regression with random effect at the intercept. In light of these contexts, i.e. the desire to analyze correlated data in the presence of bimodality or asymmetry, in this paper we propose a regression model with random effect at the intercept based onthe generalized inverse Gaussian distribution model with correlated data. The maximum likelihood is adopted to estimate the parameters and various simulations are performed for correlated data. A type of residuals for the new regression is proposed whose empirical distribution is close to normal. The versatility of the new regression is demonstrated by estimating the average price per hectare of bare land in 10 municipalities in the state of São Paulo (Brazil). In this context, various databases are constantly emerging, requiring flexible modeling. Thus, it is likely to be of interest to data analysts, and can make a good contribution to the statistical literature.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 5","pages":"1199-1214"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10062225/pdf/CJAS_50_2024515.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9248466","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
José Clelto Barros Gomes, Reiko Aoki, Victor Hugo Lachos, Gilberto Alvarenga Paula, Cibele Maria Russo
{"title":"Fast inference for robust nonlinear mixed-effects models.","authors":"José Clelto Barros Gomes, Reiko Aoki, Victor Hugo Lachos, Gilberto Alvarenga Paula, Cibele Maria Russo","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2022.2034141","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2022.2034141","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The interest for nonlinear mixed-effects models comes from application areas as pharmacokinetics, growth curves and HIV viral dynamics. However, the modeling procedure usually leads to many difficulties, as the inclusion of random effects, the estimation process and the model sensitivity to atypical or nonnormal data. The scale mixture of normal distributions include heavy-tailed models, as the Student-<i>t</i>, slash and contaminated normal distributions, and provide competitive alternatives to the usual models, enabling the obtention of robust estimates against outlying observations. Our proposal is to compare two estimation methods in nonlinear mixed-effects models where the random components follow a multivariate scale mixture of normal distributions. For this purpose, a Monte Carlo expectation-maximization algorithm (MCEM) and an efficient likelihood-based approximate method are developed. Results show that the approximate method is much faster and enables a fairly efficient likelihood maximization, although a slightly larger bias may be produced, especially for the fixed-effects parameters. A discussion on the robustness aspects of the proposed models are also provided. Two real nonlinear applications are discussed and a brief simulation study is presented.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 7","pages":"1568-1591"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10184608/pdf/CJAS_50_2034141.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9541785","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Determination of new multiple deferred state sampling plan with economic perspective under Weibull distribution.","authors":"Jeyadurga Periyasamypandian, Saminathan Balamurali","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2022.2091526","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2022.2091526","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study focuses on designing a new multiple deferred state sampling plan to ensure products' mean lifetime that complies with Weibull distribution. The parameters that characterize the proposed plan are determined by considering two specified points on the operating characteristic curve. Practical applications of the proposed plan for assuring mean lifetimes of electrical appliances as well as Lithium-ion batteries are explained by using real-time data and simulated data respectively. Sensitivity analysis on testing time of the life test is done and theoretical average sample number is compared with the same obtained by simulation. By comparing the proposed plan with other existing sampling plans based on discriminating power, the number of units required for lot sentencing, it is observed that the new multiple deferred state sampling plan provides quality assurance for the products with low inspection costs compared to the other existing sampling plans. Besides, this study investigates the economic design of a new multiple deferred state sampling plan and compares the total cost needed in the proposed plan with the same required for some other existing sampling plans.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 13","pages":"2796-2816"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10503450/pdf/CJAS_50_2091526.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10279976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Theodoros Perdikis, Stelios Psarakis, Philippe Castagliola, Athanasios C Rakitzis, Petros E Maravelakis
{"title":"The EWMA sign chart revisited: performance and alternatives without and with ties.","authors":"Theodoros Perdikis, Stelios Psarakis, Philippe Castagliola, Athanasios C Rakitzis, Petros E Maravelakis","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2021.1982879","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.1982879","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The EWMA Sign control chart is an efficient tool for monitoring shifts in a process regardless the observations' underlying distribution. Recent studies have shown that, for nonparametric control charts, due to the discrete nature of the statistics being used (such as the Sign statistic), it is impossible to accurately compute their Run Length properties using Markov chain or integral equation methods. In this work, a modified nonparametric Phase II EWMA chart based on the Sign statistic is proposed and its <i>exact</i> Run Length properties are discussed. A continuous transformation of the Sign statistic, combined with the classical Markov Chain method, is used for the determination of the chart's in- and out-of-control Run Length properties. Additionally, we show that when ties occur due to measurement rounding-off errors, the EWMA Sign control chart is no longer distribution-free and a Bernoulli trial approach is discussed to handle the occurrence of ties and makes the proposed chart almost distribution-free. Finally, an illustrative example is provided to show the practical implementation of our proposed chart.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 1","pages":"170-194"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9754043/pdf/CJAS_50_1982879.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10399948","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Component selection for exponential power mixture models.","authors":"Xinyi Wang, Zhenghui Feng","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2021.1990225","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.1990225","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Exponential Power (EP) family is a much flexible distribution family including Gaussian family as a sub-family. In this article, we study component selection and estimation for EP mixture models and regressions. The assumption on zero component mean in [X. Cao, Q. Zhao, D. Meng, Y. Chen, and Z. Xu, Robust low-rank matrix factorization under general mixture noise distributions, IEEE. Trans. Image. Process. 25 (2016), pp. 4677-4690.] is relaxed. To select components and estimate parameters simultaneously, we propose a penalized likelihood method, which can shrink mixing proportions to zero to achieve components selection. Modified EM algorithms are proposed, and the consistency of estimated component number is obtained. Simulation studies show the advantages of the proposed methods on accuracies of component number selection, parameter estimation, and density estimation. Analysis of value at risk of SHIBOR and a climate change data are given as illustration.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 2","pages":"291-314"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9870023/pdf/CJAS_50_1990225.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10622322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kevin D Dayaratna, Drew Gonshorowski, Mary Kolesar
{"title":"Hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal modeling of COVID-19 in the United States.","authors":"Kevin D Dayaratna, Drew Gonshorowski, Mary Kolesar","doi":"10.1080/02664763.2022.2069232","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2022.2069232","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We examine the impact of economic, demographic, and mobility-related factors have had on the transmission of COVID-19 in 2020. While many models in the academic literature employ linear/generalized linear models, few contributions exist that incorporate spatial analysis, which is useful for understanding factors influencing the proliferation of the disease before the introduction of vaccines. We utilize a Poisson generalized linear model coupled with a spatial autoregressive structure to do so. Our analysis yields a number of insights including that, in some areas of the country, the counterintuitive result that staying at home can lead to increased disease proliferation. Additionally, we find some positive effects from increased gathering at grocery stores, negative effects of visiting retail stores and workplaces, and even small effects on visiting parks highlighting the complexities travel and migration have on the transmission of diseases.</p>","PeriodicalId":15239,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Applied Statistics","volume":"50 11-12","pages":"2663-2680"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10388819/pdf/CJAS_50_2069232.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10197707","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}