{"title":"Abundant Quasi-Repeating Earthquakes Occurring Within Repeater Sequences on the Erkenek-Pütürge Fault (SE Turkey)","authors":"Yijian Zhou, Abhijit Ghosh","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114367","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114367","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Repeaters are known as earthquakes that rupture the same asperity in similar manners. However, the complexity of repeater asperities is poorly investigated. In this study, we developed a new strategy to systematically detect quasi-repeaters that rupture the same asperities in different ways. It begins by identifying repeaters using waveform cross-correlation (CC) ≥0.9 and CC-measured Δ(S-P) times ≤0.01 s. We then adopt a much lower CC threshold to detect quasi-repeaters, classifying repeater sequences as simple (lacking quasi-repeaters) or complex (including quasi-repeaters). Applying this workflow to the Erkenek-Pütürge fault in Turkey, we detected 43 repeater sequences during 2020–2023/04. Notably, 30 sequences (∼70%) are complex. The repeater magnitudes show weak correlation with their recurrence interval, with only complex sequences following the 2023 M<sub>w</sub> 7.8 mainshock an exception. Moreover, ∼74% sequences have the first two events following the mainshocks exhibiting decreasing magnitude. These results suggest that slip rate and asperity complexity may be key factors in such modulation.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114367","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143699020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Markus Grimmer, Daniel Baggenstos, Jochen Schmitt, Florian Krauss, Sarah Shackleton, Jeffrey P. Severinghaus, Hubertus Fischer
{"title":"AMOC Modulates Ocean Heat Content During Deglaciations","authors":"Markus Grimmer, Daniel Baggenstos, Jochen Schmitt, Florian Krauss, Sarah Shackleton, Jeffrey P. Severinghaus, Hubertus Fischer","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114415","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114415","url":null,"abstract":"<p>During deglaciations, Earth takes up vast amounts of energy, about half of which heats the global ocean. Thus, ocean heat content (OHC) is a key metric to assess Earth's energy budget. Recent modeling studies suggest that OHC changes not only in response to orbitally driven climate change but is also modulated on millennial timescales by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Here, we present the first OHC record for the last four deglaciations using noble-gas ratios in the EPICA Dome C ice core. The record reveals millennial-scale OHC variability in all studied deglaciations, most prominently as OHC maxima at the end of Terminations II, III, and IV. These millennial-scale OHC changes are anti-correlated with AMOC strength, suggesting that the AMOC modulates OHC across different climate states. Furthermore, given the magnitude of the end-of-termination OHC maxima, AMOC-induced OHC changes may be an important control of early interglacial atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>, sea level, and climate.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114415","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143707402","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Luke Carberry, David A. Siegel, Nicholas J. Nidzieko
{"title":"Effect of Satellite Spatial Resolution on Submesoscale Variance in Ocean Color and Temperature","authors":"Luke Carberry, David A. Siegel, Nicholas J. Nidzieko","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114266","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114266","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The capability of moderate-spatial-resolution satellites to accurately resolve submesoscale variations in surface tracers remains an open question, one with relevance to observing physical-biological interactions in the surface ocean. In this study, we address this question by comparing the variance of two tracers, chlorophyll concentration (Chl) and sea surface temperature (SST), resolved by two satellites—MODIS Aqua, with a resolution of 1.5 km, and Landsat 8/9, with a resolution of 30 m. We quantify tracer variance resolved by both satellites on the submesoscale using spatial variance spectral slopes. We find that MODIS measures significantly higher variance compared to Landsat, in both Chl and SST. This is because, despite higher signal-to-noise ratio for MODIS per pixel, Landsat signal-to-noise ratio increases considerably when aggregating pixels. Furthermore, by comparing Chl to SST variance for each satellite we find Landsat to be better match to theory for resolving submesoscale physical-biological interactions.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114266","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143698960","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jiawei Jiang, Bowen Meng, Aifeng Zhou, Rong Chen, Cheng Zhao, Zhouqing Xie, Huanye Wang, Weiguo Liu, Zhonghui Liu, Peng Gong
{"title":"Meltwater-Induced Lake Freshening and Muted Warming in Northern China Under Contemporary Global Warming","authors":"Jiawei Jiang, Bowen Meng, Aifeng Zhou, Rong Chen, Cheng Zhao, Zhouqing Xie, Huanye Wang, Weiguo Liu, Zhonghui Liu, Peng Gong","doi":"10.1029/2024GL112819","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112819","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Despite clearly documented in instrumental temperature records, the warming amplitude over the current warm period (CWP) inferred from lacustrine archive is very limited. The potential role of meltwater pulses in lake hydrology and their influence on lake water temperature under anthropogenic warming remain poorly investigated. Here we present and summarize lake water temperature and hydrology records in northern China to address potential meltwater effects over the last millennium. Our results show abrupt freshening and muted warming of lake water over the CWP, which appears to have also occurred along with climatic warming previously. Hence, substantial meltwater pulses to lakes, a transient response to climatic warming, could partly account for the muted warming over the CWP as indicated by lake water temperature records.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL112819","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143698775","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A New Approach to Constrain Crustal Vp/Vs From Rayleigh Wave Phase Velocity and Local Amplification: Application to the Western US","authors":"Yiran Huang, Colleen A. Dalton, Anant Hariharan","doi":"10.1029/2024GL111980","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL111980","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The ratio of compressional- and shear-wave velocities, Vp/Vs, in the continental crust is a useful proxy for silica abundance and partial melt. However, constraining crustal Vp/Vs remains challenging. Rayleigh wave site amplification is a valuable complement to phase velocity and can constrain crustal Vp. We develop a two-step approach to jointly invert phase velocity and amplification for Vp/Vs in the crust and Vsv in the crust and uppermost mantle. We apply this joint inversion to construct new crustal Vp/Vs models for the western US from three different amplification data sets. The models contain Vp/Vs values in the range 1.6–1.85 and variations that are consistent between the three models and with previous results, including a westward increase of Vp/Vs across the Central Basin and Range. Crustal Vp/Vs across three regions of the Basin and Range are explored to gain insight into crustal composition and enhance understanding of crustal evolution.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL111980","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Projected Antarctic Land Warming and Uncertainty Driven by Atmospheric Heat Transport","authors":"Yihan Zhang, Xiaoming Hu, Peixi Wang, Song Yang","doi":"10.1029/2025GL114630","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL114630","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A significant warming is projected in Antarctic climate change under high CO<sub>2</sub> forcing, involving complex interactions between ocean and land surfaces. While previous studies have emphasized the seasonal mechanism driving Antarctic ocean surface warming, the processes governing land surface warming remain less explored. Here we show that, under abrupt quadrupled CO<sub>2</sub> forcing, Antarctic land surface experiences uniform warming throughout the year, primarily driven by poleward atmospheric heat transport, with latent energy transport playing a dominant role. This moisture-related transport not only delivers energy but also amplifies the water vapor feedback, significantly contributing to the warming. Our findings suggest that the discrepancies in representing these atmospheric processes across models, contribute substantially to the uncertainties in Antarctic land surface warming projections. The result emphasizes the need for improved understanding of the atmospheric dynamics in polar regions to reduce model uncertainties under future climate scenarios.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL114630","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ting Wu, David M. Smith, Yuuki Wada, Kazuhiro Nakazawa, Manari Oguchi, Masashi Kamogawa, Tomoyuki Suzuki, Qingliu Yang, Daohong Wang
{"title":"Energetic Compact Strokes as the Major Source of Downward Terrestrial Gamma-Ray Flashes in Winter Thunderstorms","authors":"Ting Wu, David M. Smith, Yuuki Wada, Kazuhiro Nakazawa, Manari Oguchi, Masashi Kamogawa, Tomoyuki Suzuki, Qingliu Yang, Daohong Wang","doi":"10.1029/2024GL113194","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL113194","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Terrestrial gamma-ray flashes (TGFs) are short bursts of intense gamma radiation associated with lightning discharges. Although thousands of TGFs have been observed from space, TGFs detected at ground level, known as downward TGFs, are still very limited, and their relationship with lightning discharge processes remains elusive. Here we report a special type of strong negative lightning stroke, termed energetic compact stroke (ECS), in winter thunderstorms in Japan, and provide strong evidence that ECSs are consistently associated with downward TGFs. Based on this relationship, we successfully identified three new downward TGFs by the observations of ECSs. Further, 12 out of 19 (63%) of downward TGFs analyzed in this paper were associated with ECSs, indicating that ECSs are the major source of downward TGFs in winter thunderstorms in Japan. These findings open up the possibility of remotely monitoring a large fraction of downward TGFs with simple lightning observations.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL113194","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Empirical Parameterization to Separate Coarse and Fine Mode Aerosol Optical Depth Over Land","authors":"Xiaohan Li, Paul Ginoux","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114397","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114397","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Retrieving the fine-mode fraction (FMF) of aerosol optical depth from satellite data is crucial for understanding the impact of natural versus anthropogenic aerosols on climate and air quality. However, few high-quality global FMF products from MODIS exist. To address this gap, this study derives a new formulation of FMF as a function of the Ångström exponent (AE) based on over 20 years of AERONET measurements. Our results reveal a consistent FMF-AE relationship across continental regions, supporting the feasibility of globally estimating FMF through a simple empirical function based on AE. Validation with independent NOAA GML data sets shows predicted FMF errors mostly within 0.1. Finally, applying this parameterization to MODIS Aqua and Terra data significantly improved satellite-derived FMF agreement with AERONET compared to previous derivations. This parameterization provides a simple, valuable tool for accurately deriving FMF over land from MODIS and understanding its impact on climate and air quality.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114397","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ian Madden, Dougal D. Hansen, Lucas K. Zoet, Jenny Suckale
{"title":"Shear-Layer Thickness and Structure Evolves With Effective Stress in Subglacial Environments","authors":"Ian Madden, Dougal D. Hansen, Lucas K. Zoet, Jenny Suckale","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114109","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114109","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Moving glaciers shear and deform the subglacial till beneath them, with deformation concentrated in a thin shear-layer. This shear-layer's properties are partially controlled by effective stress, which depends on ice thicknesses and subglacial hydrological networks. Understanding the relationship between effective stress and shear-layer thickness helps characterize basal resistance to ice motion and inform subglacial landform formation. While experiments agree increasing effective stresses beget decreasing shear-layer thicknesses at high effective stresses, a trend is unclear at low effective stresses. Continuum models predict that increased effective stresses yield increasing shear-layer thicknesses, inconsistent with experiments. Here, we identify how properties of a medium's persistent contact network lead to non-monotonic shear-layer thicknesses in effective stress through Discrete Element Method simulations. We find effective stress can alter both shear-layer thickness and structure, and thereby depth-averaged friction. We integrate these insights into an existing continuum model by modifying its yield parameters, resolving inconsistency between model and experiment.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114109","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
René M. van Westen, Michael Kliphuis, Henk A. Dijkstra
{"title":"Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean-Only Model","authors":"René M. van Westen, Michael Kliphuis, Henk A. Dijkstra","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114532","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114532","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) under a quasi-equilibrium freshwater forcing has now been found in a hierarchy of ocean-climate models and up to a fully-coupled climate model, the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, the effects of eddies on the ocean flows are represented in a highly idealized way in the CESM and it is unknown how these affect AMOC stability. Here, we show results of the first quasi-equilibrium hosing simulation with a strongly eddying ocean-only model in which the AMOC collapses. By comparing these results to those of a companion non-eddying simulation with the same model, it is found that eddies are able to maintain a weak (<span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>∼</mo>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${sim} $</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>5 Sv) AMOC flow in the collapsed state. In addition, we find that the AMOC induced freshwater transport at 34<span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>°</mo>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${}^{circ}$</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>S is a reliable physics-based early warning indicator for the onset of the AMOC collapse.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114532","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}