{"title":"Investigating Postseismic Creep in the Laboratory: Testing Dislocation-Based Models for Transient Creep in the Upper Mantle","authors":"D. Hein, L. N. Hansen, A. Dillman","doi":"10.1029/2026GL124424","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026GL124424","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Studies of postseismic creep often infer a strong reduction in upper-mantle viscosity after large earthquakes, yet the microphysical mechanism responsible for this behavior remains subject of debate. Here, we present new gas-medium apparatus experiments at 1100–1200°C on pre-dried, annealed Åheim dunite (grain size of 400 <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mi>μ</mi>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${upmu }$</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>m) designed to elucidate the microphysical mechanism of transient dislocation creep during postseismic relaxation. We demonstrate that the transient mechanical behavior of dunite matches well with predictions of an intragranular model that involves the evolution of dislocation density and long-range interactions among dislocations. Extrapolation to upper-mantle conditions illustrates that this model can also explain the 1–2 orders of magnitude reduction in upper-mantle viscosity that is inferred from studies of postseismic creep. We highlight opportunities to refine both intra- and intergranular models of transient dislocation creep.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2026GL124424","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149177309","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
S. Tulasi Ram,Princy K. Dubey,S. Mondal,Denny M. Oliveira,Jayashree Bulusu,Chinmaya Nayak,D. Rout,Anil Raghav,A. P. Dimri
{"title":"Quasi‐Homologous Solar Flares and Impacts on Thermospheric Density and Satellite Orbital Drag","authors":"S. Tulasi Ram,Princy K. Dubey,S. Mondal,Denny M. Oliveira,Jayashree Bulusu,Chinmaya Nayak,D. Rout,Anil Raghav,A. P. Dimri","doi":"10.1029/2026gl125768","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl125768","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Quasi‐Homologous Flaring (QHF) activity from active regions on the Sun releases intense electromagnetic radiation in recurrent bursts over extended periods. In this letter, we present the effects of recurrent impulsive extreme ultraviolet (EUV) heating on thermospheric neutral density and the resulting atmospheric drag on satellites based on Swarm‐A measurements. Significant density enhancements up to 25%–30% and 50%–75% sustained for a few days, on both day and night sides, were observed at ∼460 km altitudes during QHF from AR4366 (February 2026) and AR3664 (May 2024), respectively. As a result, Swarm‐A orbital decay rate is increased from 79.43 to 96.28 m/day, and from 19.91 to 42.43 m/day during the AR4366 and AR3664 QHF events, respectively. Repeated EUV heating at intervals shorter than the typical thermospheric relaxation time during QHF flares is responsible for sustained density enhancements and therefore needs to be considered one of the important drivers of satellite drag.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209649","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mohammad Abbasian,Daniel B. Wright,Michael Notaro,Steve Vavrus,Daniel J. Vimont
{"title":"Changes in Flood Frequency and Seasonality Across Midwestern U.S. Watersheds Under a Warming Climate: Insights From Convection‐Permitting Climate Simulations and Physics‐Based Hydrologic Models","authors":"Mohammad Abbasian,Daniel B. Wright,Michael Notaro,Steve Vavrus,Daniel J. Vimont","doi":"10.1029/2026gl124622","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl124622","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We combine CONUS404 convection‐permitting climate simulations with the physics‐based WRF‐Hydro model to assess how climate warming may influence flood frequency and seasonality across the Midwestern United States. This framework captures interactions among precipitation, soil moisture, and snowpack that shape flood generation. Both simulated warming and historical records show a regional shift toward more extreme warm‐season, rainfall‐driven floods. This regional signal, however, does not translate uniformly to individual watersheds, where flood responses reflect not only warming but also the influence of subregional climate variability and sampling uncertainty. Local flood‐frequency changes thus remain highly uncertain despite the thermodynamic tendency toward stronger convective precipitation. Ensembles of convection‐permitting simulations are needed to constrain plausible local outcomes. These findings suggest that flood risk communication under climate warming should distinguish broad climate‐driven tendencies from uncertain local responses.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"130 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209653","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correcting Unwrapping Errors Toward Reliable Rock Glacier Velocity From InSAR Time Series","authors":"Mengze Li,Lin Liu,Chengyan Fan,Reynald Delaloye,Zhangyu Sun,Line Rouyet","doi":"10.1029/2026gl124711","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl124711","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Rock Glacier Velocity is an Essential Climate Variable Permafrost Quantity, providing a quantifiable indicator of mountain permafrost evolution. Despite its wide usage, multi‐temporal InSAR often substantially underestimates rock glacier velocities compared to ground‐based measurements, limiting its reliability. In this study, we identified ubiquitous unwrapping errors in Sentinel‐1 interferograms as the dominant source of underestimation over 17 rock glaciers in the European Alps. To address this issue, we developed a method combining manual correction for short‐span interferograms and phase‐closure‐based correction for long‐span interferograms. Our method substantially mitigated velocity underestimation for the rock glacier Grosses Gufer, increasing the maximum velocity from ∼0.5 to ∼2.5 m/yr and achieving strong agreement with independent GNSS data (, ) for velocities . This approach provides an important step toward reliable construction of Rock Glacier Velocity time series using InSAR, enhancing its application in alpine permafrost studies.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"68 1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209680","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Qidi Pan,Junran Li,Qiangqiang Sun,Danfeng Sun,Jinbao Li,Heqiang Du,Huijie Xiao,Huixin Zhu,Lexin Li
{"title":"An Improved Dust Emission Modeling With Multiple Endmember Spectral Mixture Analysis","authors":"Qidi Pan,Junran Li,Qiangqiang Sun,Danfeng Sun,Jinbao Li,Heqiang Du,Huijie Xiao,Huixin Zhu,Lexin Li","doi":"10.1029/2026gl125044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl125044","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Traditional dust emission schemes typically rely on photosynthetic vegetation (PV) alone when parameterizing key surface properties. Here, we integrate five endmembers from the multiple endmember spectral mixture analysis (MESMA), namely PV, non‐photosynthetic vegetation, bare soil, dark surface, and ice/snow (IS), into a well‐established dust emission scheme to simultaneously constrain surface roughness and the erodible fraction, avoiding the common reliance on PV alone as in traditional dust emission schemes. By evaluating three severe dust events in East Asia in 2021, 2023, and 2024, the MESMA‐constrained configurations reduce total dust emissions by 22.2%–49.7% and show substantially improved agreement with station observations. By enabling a physically realistic characterization of dryland surface heterogeneity through multiple endmembers, this approach substantially alleviates the systematic overestimation that is typical when using PV‐based parameterizations.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jing‐Yi Zhuo,Chia‐Ying Lee,Suzana J. Camargo,Adam H. Sobel,Gabriel A. Vecchi
{"title":"Impacts of Sea Surface Temperature Warming Pattern Biases on Tropical Cyclone Activity and Hazard","authors":"Jing‐Yi Zhuo,Chia‐Ying Lee,Suzana J. Camargo,Adam H. Sobel,Gabriel A. Vecchi","doi":"10.1029/2026gl124022","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl124022","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Most climate models simulate greater warming in the equatorial eastern Pacific than in the west under historical forcing, resulting in a reduced zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient and a weakened Walker circulation. This contrasts with observed trends and highlights a persistent model–observation discrepancy with far‐reaching impacts on regional climate extremes. The authors' previous work showed that reducing mean‐state biases in a coupled model yields SST trends more consistent with observations. Here, we downscale tropical cyclones (TCs) from these simulations and find that a strengthened zonal SST gradient is associated with increased TC frequency and hazards in the North Atlantic and suppresses activity in the South Pacific. In future projections, both biased and bias‐corrected models simulate relative eastern Pacific warming, yet their TC responses differ regionally, with the bias‐corrected model projecting greater TC activity and hazards over the North Atlantic.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209654","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The 2 May 2025 Mw 7.4 Drake Passage Earthquake: Insights Into Tectonics at the Shackleton Fracture Zone–Chilean Trench Transition","authors":"A. Vuan,G. Brancatelli,G. Brancolini,L. Gasperini,R. Geletti,E. Lodolo,A. Magrin,M. Menichetti,M. Plasencia,A. Polonia,M. Santulin,A. Tassone","doi":"10.1029/2026gl122178","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl122178","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract On 2 May 2025, an Mw 7.4 earthquake occurred ∼120 km off the southern tip of Tierra del Fuego, at the transition of the Shackleton Fracture Zone and the Chile Trench. This event exhibits reverse‐faulting mechanisms with relatively steeply dipping planes and is the largest recorded along this complex plate boundary. Most aftershocks have similar mechanisms, although some show strike‐slip and normal faulting. To better resolve the activated fault system under limited station coverage, we relocated events and incorporated pP‐sP phases identified using a trained classifier to refine focal depths. A multichannel seismic reflection line provides additional insights into the structure of the subduction complex. We infer that the mainshock nucleated on the subduction interface or within the plate of the southernmost Chilean subduction system, with aftershocks marking activation of steeper structures. This behavior emphasizes how convergent and strike‐slip fault systems interact to complicate earthquake rupture at plate boundary transitions.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Generalized Analytical Model for Marine Gas Hydrate Stability Zones With Thermodynamically Constrained Pressure–Temperature Phase Boundary","authors":"Haibing Yu,Xin Luo","doi":"10.1029/2026gl125255","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl125255","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Accurate thermodynamic delineation of marine gas hydrate stability zones (GHSZs) is a fundamental prerequisite for assessing methane hydrate inventories, quantifying the vulnerability of methane dissociation to climate change, and evaluating overpressure‐induced submarine geohazards. However, the commonly adopted pressure–temperature phase boundaries are predominantly calibrated under idealized conditions and fail to capture natural marine conditions, leading to persistent uncertainties and systematic biases in global GHSZ delineation. Here, we assemble a globally representative dataset of field‐constrained hydrate records to refine and calibrate a thermodynamically constrained phase boundary tailored to natural marine environments. The resulting field‐calibrated phase boundary features clear physical interpretability, robust extrapolation reliability, and enables the GHSZ boundary depth to be calculated directly using an explicit closed‐from analytical solution. The analytical model delineates thermodynamically admissible GHSZ configurations and is validated against global observations for the prevalent single basal‐interface case, providing an efficient framework for regional‐to‐global hydrate‐related assessments.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Seawall‐Induced Isolation Alters Hydrological‐Biogeochemical Conditions in Coastal Wetlands","authors":"Bingnan Zhao,Zhijun Dai,Xixing Liang,Wensheng Zhang,Fangbing Xu,Xuefei Mei,Sergio Fagherazzi","doi":"10.1029/2026gl125301","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl125301","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Coastal wetlands are increasingly impacted by tropical cyclones and storm surges. Seawalls and levees built to reduce these hazards disconnect wetlands from adjacent uplands, yet their hydroecological effects remain poorly understood. Using continuous hydrological observations in Chongming Island, Changjiang Estuary, China, we compared seaward and landward wetlands separated by a seawall. CTD sensor data, water quality measurements, and plot surveys revealed that seawall construction weakens tidal connectivity and reduces hydrological exchange landward. Seaward wetlands exhibit tidal‐dominated dynamics with higher salinity and lower chlorophyll (CHL), chemical oxygen demand (COD), and total organic carbon (TOC), associated with presence of Phragmites australis . Interior wetlands show reduced salinity, higher values of CHL, COD and TOC, stronger rainfall‐driven responses, and are characterized by more terrestrial vegetation species. These findings suggest that seawalls can substantially alter wetland hydrodynamics and ecosystem structure, highlighting the importance of incorporating hydrological connectivity into seawall design to sustain wetland functions.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A Hybrid Superdroplet–Bin Microphysics Approach Reveals How Large Salt Particles Trigger Rain in Non-Precipitating Warm Convective Clouds","authors":"Shaofeng Hua, Baojun Chen, Jing Yang, Shujing Shen, Weiguo Liu, Yueqin Shi, Yubao Liu, Ping Tian, Xijing Liu, Yunfei Che","doi":"10.1029/2026GL125603","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026GL125603","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study develops a Superdroplet-Bin hybrid microphysics scheme within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to investigate hygroscopic seeding of warm convective clouds. The Super-droplet method describes 3D transport, deliquescence, condensation, and collision-coalescence growth of seeding agents or solution droplets, while the spectral bin method simulates liquid-phase processes. Idealized simulations indicate that seeding full-spectrum salt near cloud base can produce a maximum accumulated precipitation of 11.59 mm in 3 h. Further sensitivity experiments on seeding particle size reveal that rainfall enhancement primarily originates from particles ≥4 μm, with 5 μm yielding the most pronounced effect. This is because particles ≥4 μm can nucleate to form droplets ≥20 μm, shifting collision-coalescence from the low-efficiency regime below 20 μm to the high-efficiency regime between large and drizzle-sized droplets. The tail and rain-embryo effects are identified as the dominant mechanisms, competition alone cannot effectively broaden the droplet spectrum or trigger precipitation.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2026GL125603","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149177029","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}