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Meltwater-Induced Lake Freshening and Muted Warming in Northern China Under Contemporary Global Warming
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-25 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL112819
Jiawei Jiang, Bowen Meng, Aifeng Zhou, Rong Chen, Cheng Zhao, Zhouqing Xie, Huanye Wang, Weiguo Liu, Zhonghui Liu, Peng Gong
{"title":"Meltwater-Induced Lake Freshening and Muted Warming in Northern China Under Contemporary Global Warming","authors":"Jiawei Jiang,&nbsp;Bowen Meng,&nbsp;Aifeng Zhou,&nbsp;Rong Chen,&nbsp;Cheng Zhao,&nbsp;Zhouqing Xie,&nbsp;Huanye Wang,&nbsp;Weiguo Liu,&nbsp;Zhonghui Liu,&nbsp;Peng Gong","doi":"10.1029/2024GL112819","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112819","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Despite clearly documented in instrumental temperature records, the warming amplitude over the current warm period (CWP) inferred from lacustrine archive is very limited. The potential role of meltwater pulses in lake hydrology and their influence on lake water temperature under anthropogenic warming remain poorly investigated. Here we present and summarize lake water temperature and hydrology records in northern China to address potential meltwater effects over the last millennium. Our results show abrupt freshening and muted warming of lake water over the CWP, which appears to have also occurred along with climatic warming previously. Hence, substantial meltwater pulses to lakes, a transient response to climatic warming, could partly account for the muted warming over the CWP as indicated by lake water temperature records.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL112819","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143698775","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A New Approach to Constrain Crustal Vp/Vs From Rayleigh Wave Phase Velocity and Local Amplification: Application to the Western US 从瑞利波相位速度和局部放大率推测地壳 Vp/Vs 的新方法:在美国西部的应用
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL111980
Yiran Huang, Colleen A. Dalton, Anant Hariharan
{"title":"A New Approach to Constrain Crustal Vp/Vs From Rayleigh Wave Phase Velocity and Local Amplification: Application to the Western US","authors":"Yiran Huang,&nbsp;Colleen A. Dalton,&nbsp;Anant Hariharan","doi":"10.1029/2024GL111980","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL111980","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The ratio of compressional- and shear-wave velocities, Vp/Vs, in the continental crust is a useful proxy for silica abundance and partial melt. However, constraining crustal Vp/Vs remains challenging. Rayleigh wave site amplification is a valuable complement to phase velocity and can constrain crustal Vp. We develop a two-step approach to jointly invert phase velocity and amplification for Vp/Vs in the crust and Vsv in the crust and uppermost mantle. We apply this joint inversion to construct new crustal Vp/Vs models for the western US from three different amplification data sets. The models contain Vp/Vs values in the range 1.6–1.85 and variations that are consistent between the three models and with previous results, including a westward increase of Vp/Vs across the Central Basin and Range. Crustal Vp/Vs across three regions of the Basin and Range are explored to gain insight into crustal composition and enhance understanding of crustal evolution.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL111980","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Projected Antarctic Land Warming and Uncertainty Driven by Atmospheric Heat Transport
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1029/2025GL114630
Yihan Zhang, Xiaoming Hu, Peixi Wang, Song Yang
{"title":"Projected Antarctic Land Warming and Uncertainty Driven by Atmospheric Heat Transport","authors":"Yihan Zhang,&nbsp;Xiaoming Hu,&nbsp;Peixi Wang,&nbsp;Song Yang","doi":"10.1029/2025GL114630","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL114630","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A significant warming is projected in Antarctic climate change under high CO<sub>2</sub> forcing, involving complex interactions between ocean and land surfaces. While previous studies have emphasized the seasonal mechanism driving Antarctic ocean surface warming, the processes governing land surface warming remain less explored. Here we show that, under abrupt quadrupled CO<sub>2</sub> forcing, Antarctic land surface experiences uniform warming throughout the year, primarily driven by poleward atmospheric heat transport, with latent energy transport playing a dominant role. This moisture-related transport not only delivers energy but also amplifies the water vapor feedback, significantly contributing to the warming. Our findings suggest that the discrepancies in representing these atmospheric processes across models, contribute substantially to the uncertainties in Antarctic land surface warming projections. The result emphasizes the need for improved understanding of the atmospheric dynamics in polar regions to reduce model uncertainties under future climate scenarios.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL114630","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Energetic Compact Strokes as the Major Source of Downward Terrestrial Gamma-Ray Flashes in Winter Thunderstorms
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL113194
Ting Wu, David M. Smith, Yuuki Wada, Kazuhiro Nakazawa, Manari Oguchi, Masashi Kamogawa, Tomoyuki Suzuki, Qingliu Yang, Daohong Wang
{"title":"Energetic Compact Strokes as the Major Source of Downward Terrestrial Gamma-Ray Flashes in Winter Thunderstorms","authors":"Ting Wu,&nbsp;David M. Smith,&nbsp;Yuuki Wada,&nbsp;Kazuhiro Nakazawa,&nbsp;Manari Oguchi,&nbsp;Masashi Kamogawa,&nbsp;Tomoyuki Suzuki,&nbsp;Qingliu Yang,&nbsp;Daohong Wang","doi":"10.1029/2024GL113194","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL113194","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Terrestrial gamma-ray flashes (TGFs) are short bursts of intense gamma radiation associated with lightning discharges. Although thousands of TGFs have been observed from space, TGFs detected at ground level, known as downward TGFs, are still very limited, and their relationship with lightning discharge processes remains elusive. Here we report a special type of strong negative lightning stroke, termed energetic compact stroke (ECS), in winter thunderstorms in Japan, and provide strong evidence that ECSs are consistently associated with downward TGFs. Based on this relationship, we successfully identified three new downward TGFs by the observations of ECSs. Further, 12 out of 19 (63%) of downward TGFs analyzed in this paper were associated with ECSs, indicating that ECSs are the major source of downward TGFs in winter thunderstorms in Japan. These findings open up the possibility of remotely monitoring a large fraction of downward TGFs with simple lightning observations.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL113194","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An Empirical Parameterization to Separate Coarse and Fine Mode Aerosol Optical Depth Over Land
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114397
Xiaohan Li, Paul Ginoux
{"title":"An Empirical Parameterization to Separate Coarse and Fine Mode Aerosol Optical Depth Over Land","authors":"Xiaohan Li,&nbsp;Paul Ginoux","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114397","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114397","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Retrieving the fine-mode fraction (FMF) of aerosol optical depth from satellite data is crucial for understanding the impact of natural versus anthropogenic aerosols on climate and air quality. However, few high-quality global FMF products from MODIS exist. To address this gap, this study derives a new formulation of FMF as a function of the Ångström exponent (AE) based on over 20 years of AERONET measurements. Our results reveal a consistent FMF-AE relationship across continental regions, supporting the feasibility of globally estimating FMF through a simple empirical function based on AE. Validation with independent NOAA GML data sets shows predicted FMF errors mostly within 0.1. Finally, applying this parameterization to MODIS Aqua and Terra data significantly improved satellite-derived FMF agreement with AERONET compared to previous derivations. This parameterization provides a simple, valuable tool for accurately deriving FMF over land from MODIS and understanding its impact on climate and air quality.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114397","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shear-Layer Thickness and Structure Evolves With Effective Stress in Subglacial Environments
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114109
Ian Madden, Dougal D. Hansen, Lucas K. Zoet, Jenny Suckale
{"title":"Shear-Layer Thickness and Structure Evolves With Effective Stress in Subglacial Environments","authors":"Ian Madden,&nbsp;Dougal D. Hansen,&nbsp;Lucas K. Zoet,&nbsp;Jenny Suckale","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114109","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114109","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Moving glaciers shear and deform the subglacial till beneath them, with deformation concentrated in a thin shear-layer. This shear-layer's properties are partially controlled by effective stress, which depends on ice thicknesses and subglacial hydrological networks. Understanding the relationship between effective stress and shear-layer thickness helps characterize basal resistance to ice motion and inform subglacial landform formation. While experiments agree increasing effective stresses beget decreasing shear-layer thicknesses at high effective stresses, a trend is unclear at low effective stresses. Continuum models predict that increased effective stresses yield increasing shear-layer thicknesses, inconsistent with experiments. Here, we identify how properties of a medium's persistent contact network lead to non-monotonic shear-layer thicknesses in effective stress through Discrete Element Method simulations. We find effective stress can alter both shear-layer thickness and structure, and thereby depth-averaged friction. We integrate these insights into an existing continuum model by modifying its yield parameters, resolving inconsistency between model and experiment.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114109","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean-Only Model
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114532
René M. van Westen, Michael Kliphuis, Henk A. Dijkstra
{"title":"Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean-Only Model","authors":"René M. van Westen,&nbsp;Michael Kliphuis,&nbsp;Henk A. Dijkstra","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114532","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114532","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) under a quasi-equilibrium freshwater forcing has now been found in a hierarchy of ocean-climate models and up to a fully-coupled climate model, the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, the effects of eddies on the ocean flows are represented in a highly idealized way in the CESM and it is unknown how these affect AMOC stability. Here, we show results of the first quasi-equilibrium hosing simulation with a strongly eddying ocean-only model in which the AMOC collapses. By comparing these results to those of a companion non-eddying simulation with the same model, it is found that eddies are able to maintain a weak (<span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>∼</mo>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${sim} $</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>5 Sv) AMOC flow in the collapsed state. In addition, we find that the AMOC induced freshwater transport at 34<span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>°</mo>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${}^{circ}$</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>S is a reliable physics-based early warning indicator for the onset of the AMOC collapse.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114532","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Thermobaric Activation of Fault Friction
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-23 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL112959
S. Barbot, S. E. Guvercin, L. Zhang, H. Zhang, Z. Yang
{"title":"Thermobaric Activation of Fault Friction","authors":"S. Barbot,&nbsp;S. E. Guvercin,&nbsp;L. Zhang,&nbsp;H. Zhang,&nbsp;Z. Yang","doi":"10.1029/2024GL112959","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL112959","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The constitutive behavior of faults intervenes in virtually every aspect of the seismic phenomenon but is poorly understood, particularly regarding how effective normal stress affects the boundaries of the seismogenic zone. Here, we explore the mechanical properties of Pelona schist, Westerly granite, phyllosilicate-rich gouge, gabbro, hornblende, lawsonite blueschist, montmorillonite, and smectite in hydrothermal conditions at various confining pressures and explain the laboratory observations with a physical model of fault friction. The thermobaric activation of healing and deformation mechanisms explains the boundaries of unstable slip as a function of slip-rate, temperature, and effective normal stress for a given lithology. The constitutive law affords extrapolation of laboratory data in the conditions relevant to seismic cycles throughout the crust, explaining the focus of large earthquakes in collision, subduction, and continental and oceanic transform settings.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL112959","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678250","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Machine Learning Tool for Determining the Required Sample Size for GEV Fitting in Climate Applications
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-23 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL112737
R. J. Matear, P. Jyoteeshkumar Reddy
{"title":"A Machine Learning Tool for Determining the Required Sample Size for GEV Fitting in Climate Applications","authors":"R. J. Matear,&nbsp;P. Jyoteeshkumar Reddy","doi":"10.1029/2024GL112737","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL112737","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Extreme climate events (ECEs) like heavy rainfall and heatwaves significantly impact society, and climate change is altering their magnitude and frequency. Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distributions help quantify these ECEs and guide human system design. We train a machine learning (ML) model using a set of arbitrary GEV distributions to estimate the sample size required to determine a return value with specific uncertainty. For ECEs like heatwaves with a negative GEV shape parameter the maximum extreme temperatures of heatwaves are bounded and fewer samples are needed to estimate the return value to given uncertainty than rainfall extremes which have positive shape parameter with unbounded extreme values. For example, if a 1-in-20-year heatwave event requires 400 samples to estimate return value to <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <mo>±</mo>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> $pm $</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>1% uncertainty, one would need 20 different 20-year simulations. Achieving such quantities will require extensive climate downscaling simulations, potentially aided by ML-based downscaling methods to increase the ensemble size.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL112737","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Vegetation-Driven Spatial Heterogeneity of Land Surface Temperature Changes on the Chinese Loess Plateau
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-23 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL112555
H. X. Lu, W. G. Liu, Z. H. Liu, Y. B. Sun, H. Y. Wang, Z. Wang, J. B. Dong, M. Xing, S. G. Kang, H. Liu, X. Liu, W. J. Sheng, Y. N. Cao, J. Hu
{"title":"Vegetation-Driven Spatial Heterogeneity of Land Surface Temperature Changes on the Chinese Loess Plateau","authors":"H. X. Lu,&nbsp;W. G. Liu,&nbsp;Z. H. Liu,&nbsp;Y. B. Sun,&nbsp;H. Y. Wang,&nbsp;Z. Wang,&nbsp;J. B. Dong,&nbsp;M. Xing,&nbsp;S. G. Kang,&nbsp;H. Liu,&nbsp;X. Liu,&nbsp;W. J. Sheng,&nbsp;Y. N. Cao,&nbsp;J. Hu","doi":"10.1029/2024GL112555","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL112555","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A comprehensive understanding of the processes and mechanisms driving Holocene temperature changes is crucial for resolving the ongoing Holocene temperature controversy. Here, we reconstructed land surface temperature (LST) variations over the past 27,000 years in two loess-paleosol profiles from the Chinese Loess Plateau based on soil bacterial lipid signatures. By combining our data with other published records derived from the same proxy, we identify notable spatial inconsistencies in LST trends across geographically proximate areas with distinct vegetation cover, despite the expectation that air temperature trends should be consistent. By integrating modern meteorological data, we propose that rainfall-induced changes in surface vegetation dynamics are a key factor contributing to this divergence. This contributes to our understanding of past climate dynamics in East Asia and underscores the importance of considering vegetation effects when interpreting paleoclimate data and resolving controversies over Holocene temperature trends.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL112555","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143678246","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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