{"title":"Analysis of the Correlation Between Post‐Injection Wellhead Pressure Decay and Trailing Seismicity","authors":"R. Minetto,Z. Wang,O. Lengliné,J. Schmittbuhl","doi":"10.1029/2026gl125281","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl125281","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Fluid injection during reservoir stimulation aims to enhance reservoir permeability but induces seismic activity that persists for hours to months after injection has stopped. In this study, we investigate the correlation between the post‐injection wellhead pressure decay and the decrease in seismicity rate using data from multiple Enhanced Geothermal Systems injection operations characterized by an abrupt shut‐in. We evaluated several statistical models to represent the seismicity rate and the pressure decay. Using the best fitting model, we show that the time required to reach a given fraction of the initial seismicity rate and of the initial pressure are correlated, with the pressure relaxation being longer than the seismicity rate relaxation. No correlation is observed between seismicity decay and injection parameters such as injection volume, average injection pressure, or injection duration. These observations suggest that the relaxation of the pore pressure drives the decrease in seismicity, which has strong implications for reservoir management.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209652","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Satoru Okajima,Shoichiro Kido,Hiroyuki Tomita,Meghan F. Cronin
{"title":"Rectified Effect of Synoptic‐Scale Atmospheric Eddies on Global Ocean‐Atmosphere Heat Exchanges","authors":"Satoru Okajima,Shoichiro Kido,Hiroyuki Tomita,Meghan F. Cronin","doi":"10.1029/2026gl123091","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl123091","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Midlatitude oceans are characterized by vigorous turbulent heat flux (THF) from the ocean to the atmosphere. While the influence of sub‐weekly, synoptic‐scale atmospheric eddies on short‐term THF variability is well‐documented, their long‐term, “rectified” effect on air‐sea interactions remains poorly understood. Here we present a global assessment of these synoptic‐scale eddies' effects on climatological‐mean and interannual variability of THF. We demonstrate that synoptic‐scale atmospheric fluctuations enhance annual‐mean climatological upward THF almost globally, primarily by increasing wind speed. This enhancement is maximized around midlatitude oceanic frontal zones, reaching ∼30% of the climatology. In addition, atmospheric eddies amplify interannual THF variability in mid‐ and high‐latitudes although suppressing the variability in low‐latitudes. Our findings underscore the importance of synoptic‐scale atmospheric eddies for long‐term air‐sea interactions, especially in midlatitudes, and the need to appropriately represent storm‐tracks in climate models to obtain realistic mean states.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209647","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alex S. J. Wyatt,Timothy B. King,I‐Huan Lee,James J. Leichter
{"title":"Coral Reef‐Level Upwelling in an Internal Wave Hotspot Modulated by Mesoscale Dynamics","authors":"Alex S. J. Wyatt,Timothy B. King,I‐Huan Lee,James J. Leichter","doi":"10.1029/2025gl121018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025gl121018","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Coral reefs in the northern South China Sea experience some of the world’s most energetic internal waves (IWs), yet records of how these dynamics influence reef‐level conditions are rare. Using over 6 years of temperature data from Dongsha Atoll, we show that IWs drive diel temperature fluctuations that reduce subsurface heat exposure and entrain cool, nitrate‐rich water onto the reef slope. This internal‐wave‐driven upwelling is strongly modulated by mesoscale circulation: positive sea‐level anomalies associated with Kuroshio intrusion and long‐lived anticyclonic eddies cause a two‐stage suppression of internal‐wave generation and arrival, first near the Luzon Strait and subsequently over the reef. Reduced reef‐slope internal‐wave expression lowered nitrate exposure by >100‐fold at the reef. Typhoons injected near‐inertial energy but were followed by declines in cooling and nitrate supply until restratification. These results demonstrate mesoscale and episodic processes regulating internal‐wave cooling and nutrient upwelling, revealing coupled, multi‐scale physical‐biogeochemical controls on reef resilience under ocean warming.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"37 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209648","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hajin Song, Jae-Hun Park, Jeong-Yeob Chae, Kathleen A. Donohue, D. Randolph Watts, Ahyoung Ku, Kiduk Kim, Tae-Wan Kim, Jisoo Park
{"title":"ENSO's Imprint on the Southern Ocean: Wind Waves Drive Surface Cross-Frontal Flow","authors":"Hajin Song, Jae-Hun Park, Jeong-Yeob Chae, Kathleen A. Donohue, D. Randolph Watts, Ahyoung Ku, Kiduk Kim, Tae-Wan Kim, Jisoo Park","doi":"10.1029/2026GL124921","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026GL124921","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Tropical teleconnection associated with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is widely recognized for regulating multiple physical processes in the Southern Ocean. However, despite its influence on Southern Ocean wind patterns, the response of surface flow has received little attention. Here, we investigate surface flow in the Southern Ocean using surface-drifting buoy trajectories collected during September 2022–May 2023 and November 2023–June 2024. Drifter observations exhibit significant cross-frontal movements primarily driven by Stokes drift rather than Ekman velocity. The observations also show interannual variability, with strong poleward cross-frontal flow in 2024 during a strong El Niño event. Further analyses over the past approximately 31 years indicate that ENSO teleconnection is the primary driver of this interannual variability. These findings provide a new perspective on how tropical teleconnection influences cross-frontal flow via wind waves and highlight their potential role in tracer transport across fronts.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2026GL124921","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149177261","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fractal Dimension of Shallow Cumulus Cloud Boundaries Beyond Bulk Fractal Scaling","authors":"Qiqi Song,Jingyi Chen,Martin Janssens,Chunsong Lu","doi":"10.1029/2026gl123830","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl123830","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Cloud boundaries reflect turbulent mixing and cloud–environment interactions, but their geometric complexity remains poorly quantified. Here, we investigate the complexity of shallow cumulus cloud edge using two fractal approaches: the bulk area–perimeter method and the individual‐cloud box‐counting method. Using large‐eddy simulations, we find that the box‐counting dimension better captures boundary complexity by resolving cloud‐scale irregularities, whereas the bulk dimension smooths individual morphological variability. Larger clouds exhibit higher box‐counting dimensions and increased deviations from idealized stochastic self‐similar scaling, indicating increasing boundary heterogeneity with cloud size and shape complexity. Wind induces scale‐dependent morphological responses, smoothing small clouds while enhancing boundary complexity in larger clouds through competing dynamical effects. Moreover, box‐counting dimension shows a stronger association with precipitation‐related properties, suggesting a closer link between boundary evolution and cloud processes. These results highlight individual‐cloud fractal analysis as a useful framework for quantifying shallow cumulus complexity and its environmental controls.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"7 20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Patch Interactions on a Heterogeneous Fault Drive Nearby Slow and Fast Earthquakes","authors":"Yuki Watanabe, Yuta Mitsui","doi":"10.1029/2026GL123096","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026GL123096","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Tectonic tremor and repeating/regular earthquakes off Iwate in the shallow Japan Trench occur episodically and in spatially overlapping areas, implying a common aseismic driver. We investigate how small aseismic slip triggers events across multiple slip-rate regimes using fully dynamic earthquake-cycle simulations governed by rate-and-state friction. Along-fault heterogeneity is imposed by alternating velocity-weakening (VW) and velocity-strengthening (VS) patches, and events are classified based on peak slip velocity <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <msub>\u0000 <mi>V</mi>\u0000 <mi>max</mi>\u0000 </msub>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${V}_{max }$</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math>. A single VW patch produces only aseismic events, whereas a multi-patch heterogeneous model generates sub-seismic slip and earthquakes, often nearly synchronous across VW patches. Inter-event transient slip in VS patches raises stress during subsequent VW nucleation. Transitions in <span></span><math>\u0000 <semantics>\u0000 <mrow>\u0000 <msub>\u0000 <mi>V</mi>\u0000 <mi>max</mi>\u0000 </msub>\u0000 </mrow>\u0000 <annotation> ${V}_{max }$</annotation>\u0000 </semantics></math> and rupture properties are controlled by subtle stress differences between nucleating VW patches and surrounding VS patches. This mechanism provides a simple physical explanation for why slow and fast earthquakes can emerge from interacting fault patches with spatial overlap and close temporal proximity.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2026GL123096","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149177224","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yang Zheng,Kang Duan,Huiru Lei,Di Wang,Qiangyong Zhang,Dejun Liu
{"title":"Mechanical Irreversibility and Strength Overcompensation in a Gypsum Dehydration–Rehydration Cycle","authors":"Yang Zheng,Kang Duan,Huiru Lei,Di Wang,Qiangyong Zhang,Dejun Liu","doi":"10.1029/2026gl125928","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl125928","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Dehydration–rehydration reactions of hydrous minerals modify rock strength, fluid transport, and deformation in reactive geological environments. Although dehydration‐induced weakening is widely studied, the mechanical consequences of subsequent rehydration remain poorly constrained. We combine triaxial compression tests with microstructural and pore‐network analyses of original gypsum, fully dehydrated anhydrite, and rehydrated gypsum. Dehydration markedly reduces strength and suppresses pronounced serrated stress drops, whereas rehydration produces strength overcompensation and a more localized strain‐softening response. Rehydration does not simply restore the original fabric but produces a reconstructed microstructure containing newly formed gypsum crystals, locally infilled voids, and a reconfigured accessible pore‐throat network. Reaction‐induced stresses may contribute to this restructuring but were not measured directly. These results show that gypsum rehydration can create a mechanically distinct, overcompensated state rather than simply reverse dehydration.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"181 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regime Shifts During Compound Drought-Heatwave Events Amplify Ecosystem and Heat Stress Risks","authors":"Yi Yang, Jianping Tang","doi":"10.1029/2026GL125653","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026GL125653","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Compound drought-heatwave events (CDHEs) can cause severe ecological and socioeconomic impacts worldwide. However, their mechanisms are often inferred from seasonal statistics or event-mean composites that obscure within-event process evolution. Here we develop a daily regime-based framework to characterize global summer CDHE lifecycles using reanalysis data from 1961 to 2022. Most events remain within a single thermodynamic regime, whereas a recurrent minority undergoes within-event regime shifts. The two leading transition pathways remain far less frequent than steady pathways, but events following them last longer, are more severe, and have increased significantly over recent decades. Sunny-Humid to Advective transitions are linked to strengthened warm air transport and amplified human heat stress, whereas Sunny-Humid to Sunny-Dry transitions reflect a shift toward moisture-limited conditions and larger declines in ecosystem productivity. Accounting for daily process evolution can therefore improve assessments of compound drought-heatwave risks in a warming climate.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2026GL125653","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149177222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Micromechanical Insights Into the Cyclic Behavior of Fault-Valve Systems","authors":"Oussama Larkem, Luc Scholtès, Fabrice Golfier","doi":"10.1029/2026GL124845","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026GL124845","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Cyclic fluid pressurization can promote repeated fault reactivation and transient permeability changes, a behavior often discussed within the fault-valve concept in which faults alternate between acting as hydraulic barriers and conduits. To investigate the micromechanical processes involved during fluid induced reactivations, we simulate cyclic fluid injection into a pre-sheared granular gouge using a discrete element model. The simulations reproduce key behaviors observed in laboratory and in situ studies and reveal pronounced cycle-to-cycle variability in the onset of reactivation and slip magnitude. Some cycles generate large slip episodes, whereas others produce comparatively small slip under similar loading conditions. Micromechanical analysis of force-chain evolution reveals a strong inverse correlation between slip magnitude and the population of load-bearing chains, with sparser force-chain backbones generating larger slip events. Our results highlight the role of micromechanical processes in controlling macroscopic cyclic fault behavior, offering a physically grounded perspective on fault-valve behavior.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"53 20","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2026GL124845","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149177542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Potential Benefits of Assimilating Phased Array Radar Data for Convective‐Scale Analysis and Prediction of Supercell Storms: A Proof‐of‐Concept OSSE Study","authors":"Jidong Gao,Derek R. Stratman","doi":"10.1029/2026gl125172","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl125172","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This study investigates the impact of phased array radar (PAR) scanning strategies on short‐term convective‐scale analyses and forecasts through an Observing System Simulation Experiment framework. The Weather Research and Forecasting model, coupled with the Data Assimilation Research Testbed ensemble adjustment Kalman filter, is used to assimilate synthetic radar observations from PAR and WSR‐88D scanning strategies across three idealized supercell cases: slow‐moving, fast‐moving, and fast‐moving/fast‐growing storms. For the slow‐moving storm, PAR and WSR‐88D experiments produce comparable analyses and forecasts, with only marginal improvement from PAR. In contrast, for fast‐moving and fast‐growing storms, the 5‐min WSR‐88D scan introduces substantial temporal errors associated with storm advection and evolution, resulting in distorted storm structure. The rapid 1‐min update capability of PAR significantly reduces these errors, producing superior analyses and forecasts. These findings suggest that the implementation of a future US national PAR network would substantially enhance the accuracy of short‐term severe weather forecasts.","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"86 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.2,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149209635","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}