Geophysical Research Letters最新文献

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Modeling Anisotropic Signature of Slab-Induced Mantle Plumes From Thermochemical Piles in the Lowermost Mantle 最下层地幔热化学桩中板块诱导地幔柱的各向异性特征建模
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL113299
Poulami Roy, Bernhard Steinberger, Manuele Faccenda, Michaël Pons
{"title":"Modeling Anisotropic Signature of Slab-Induced Mantle Plumes From Thermochemical Piles in the Lowermost Mantle","authors":"Poulami Roy,&nbsp;Bernhard Steinberger,&nbsp;Manuele Faccenda,&nbsp;Michaël Pons","doi":"10.1029/2024GL113299","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113299","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Seismic anisotropy, observed in the lowermost mantle near Large Low-Shear-Velocity Provinces (LLSVPs), is likely caused by strong deformation from mantle flow interacting with these regions and/or plume formation. This study explores slab-induced plume generation from LLSVPs under the assumption that LLSVPs are thermochemical piles and resulting flow behavior using 3-D regional-scale mantle convection models in ASPECT, coupled with mantle fabric simulations in ECOMAN. We tested various models with different LLSVP density and viscosity. The modeling of the crystallographic-preferred orientation with predominant activity of the slip system [001](100) for Bridgmanite and [100](001) for post-Perovskite reveals that substantial seismic anisotropy develops in the lowermost mantle, and specifically (a) at the margins of the rheologically stiffer LLSVP piles where deformation and upwelling of the surrounding mantle take place and fast horizontally polarized shear waves (<i>V</i><sub>sh</sub>) transition to fast <i>V</i><sub>sv</sub> and (b) within plume roots and conduits where vertically polarized shear waves (<i>V</i><sub>sv</sub>) are faster.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL113299","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144135685","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Large Decreases in Sea Ice Strength and Pressure Along Major Arctic Shipping Routes Projected for the Next Two Decades 预计未来20年北极主要航道海冰强度和压力将大幅减少
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1029/2025GL114831
Oleg A. Saenko, Neil F. Tandon, Stephen E. L. Howell
{"title":"Large Decreases in Sea Ice Strength and Pressure Along Major Arctic Shipping Routes Projected for the Next Two Decades","authors":"Oleg A. Saenko,&nbsp;Neil F. Tandon,&nbsp;Stephen E. L. Howell","doi":"10.1029/2025GL114831","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL114831","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The observed decline of sea ice in the Arctic, if it persists into the future, can create more favorable conditions for shipping activity in the region. To estimate possible changes in key sea ice characteristics over the next two decades, we use high-resolution climate models. The focus is on two shipping routes: the Northwest Passage and the Northeast Passage. In addition to more traditionally analyzed ice concentration and thickness, we present projected changes in ice strength and pressure, which are especially relevant for shipping hazards. Along both routes, the mean September values of ice strength and pressure, projected for the period 2041–2050, decrease by an order of magnitude relative to the period 2015–2024. The decrease is largely driven by changes in ice concentration, rather than thickness or velocity. Increasing ocean resolution from eddy-present to eddy-rich leads to less reduction of sea ice area, volume and strength with global warming.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL114831","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144135687","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Response of an Arctic Mixed-Phase Cloud to Ice-Nucleating Particle Perturbations and Warming 北极混合相云对冰核粒子扰动和变暖的响应
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114467
Britta Schäfer, Robert Oscar David, Øivind Hodnebrog, Trude Storelvmo
{"title":"Response of an Arctic Mixed-Phase Cloud to Ice-Nucleating Particle Perturbations and Warming","authors":"Britta Schäfer,&nbsp;Robert Oscar David,&nbsp;Øivind Hodnebrog,&nbsp;Trude Storelvmo","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114467","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114467","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Arctic is warming faster than any other region on Earth. This warming affects Arctic clouds, both directly and through changes in aerosol concentrations, triggering feedbacks that may further amplify the warming. Here we present simulations of a wintertime cloud case from Ny-Ålesund with parameterizations optimized for representing secondary ice production (SIP). We compare cloud phase and its impact on radiation in present-day conditions with simulations where we perturb (a) ice-nucleating particle concentrations (INPC) and (b) atmospheric and surface temperatures using a pseudo-global-warming approach. Increasing the INPC leads to cloud thinning and reduced downward longwave radiation at the surface (SDLR). Intriguingly, with warming we find an increase in cloud ice due to increased rime splintering (RS) and subsequent SIP, which also leads to reduced SDLR. This can be explained by an upward shift in the temperature region where RS is active to higher altitudes where more liquid water is present.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114467","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144140335","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evidence for Petit-Spot Volcanism in the Puerto Rico Trench 波多黎各海沟小点火山活动的证据
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114362
Nicholas Harmon, William Danforth, Uri Ten Brink, J. Pablo Canales, Shuoshuo Han, Elizabeth Vanacore, Jose-Luis Granja-Bruña, Wayne Baldwin, Seth Ackerman, Liam Moser, Elisaveta Sokolkova
{"title":"Evidence for Petit-Spot Volcanism in the Puerto Rico Trench","authors":"Nicholas Harmon,&nbsp;William Danforth,&nbsp;Uri Ten Brink,&nbsp;J. Pablo Canales,&nbsp;Shuoshuo Han,&nbsp;Elizabeth Vanacore,&nbsp;Jose-Luis Granja-Bruña,&nbsp;Wayne Baldwin,&nbsp;Seth Ackerman,&nbsp;Liam Moser,&nbsp;Elisaveta Sokolkova","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114362","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Petit-spot volcanism occurs in intraplate settings along the outer rise of subducting plates. Here we present evidence for petit-spot type of volcanism from multibeam bathymetry and backscatter data from the Puerto Rico Trench (PRT). It is the first report of such volcanism in the Atlantic basin. Up to 34 possible petit-spot volcanic cones are mapped in the eastern section of the PRT, with an average diameter of 950 m and a mean height of 92 m. The seamounts are in a region of the PRT that has the longest and highest bending faults, up to 50.6 km long and 1.49 km high. Some of the volcanic cones are associated with fault scarps. The larger bending fault scarps in the region of the volcanic cones suggest the stress state in the eastern PRT is favorable for allowing asthenospheric melt to escape to the surface.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114362","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144140336","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Iron Isotope Evidence for Heightened Primary Productivity Triggered by Hydrothermally Sourced Nutrients During Oceanic Anoxic Event 2 海洋缺氧事件中热液源营养物引发初级生产力提高的铁同位素证据2
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-25 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114116
Binchen Li, Yong-Xiang Li, Yuqi Li, Weiqiang Li
{"title":"Iron Isotope Evidence for Heightened Primary Productivity Triggered by Hydrothermally Sourced Nutrients During Oceanic Anoxic Event 2","authors":"Binchen Li,&nbsp;Yong-Xiang Li,&nbsp;Yuqi Li,&nbsp;Weiqiang Li","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114116","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114116","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Oceanic Anoxic Event 2 (OAE2, ∼94 Ma) represents a major global cycle perturbation in the mid-Cretaceous greenhouse that is commonly attributed to increased biological primary productivity stimulated by elevated nutrients. However, whether increased nutrients were sourced from submarine volcanism or enhanced continental weathering remains elusive. Here we present a high-resolution whole-rock Fe isotope record of the expanded OAE2 interval at Gongzha section in southern Tibet to trace iron cycling through the biological, geological and geochemical processes across OAE2. δ<sup>56</sup>Fe<sub>T</sub> data show three notable negative shifts, corresponding to episodes of intensified volcanism as documented by the osmium isotope record, with the largest shift followed by a prolonged positive δ<sup>56</sup>Fe<sub>T</sub> excursion coeval with the positive δ<sup>13</sup>C shift of OAE2, compatible with a causal link between hydrothermally sourced iron and biological uptake. Similar δ<sup>56</sup>Fe<sub>T</sub> patterns are observed in other OAE2 sections of different settings, implying submarine volcanism as the driving force for initiating OAE2.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114116","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144135765","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of Penetrating Kelvin Waves on MJO Rainfall Propagation Through Deep Convection Modulation 穿透开尔文波对深对流调制MJO降雨传播的影响
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-25 DOI: 10.1029/2025GL116549
Xingchao Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Zhe Feng
{"title":"Impact of Penetrating Kelvin Waves on MJO Rainfall Propagation Through Deep Convection Modulation","authors":"Xingchao Chen,&nbsp;L. Ruby Leung,&nbsp;Zhe Feng","doi":"10.1029/2025GL116549","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116549","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a dominant intraseasonal oscillation in the tropics. As MJOs propagate over the Indian Ocean, some of them can be penetrated by fast-moving equatorial Kelvin waves originating to the west of the MJOs. Through a series of sensitivity experiments, we demonstrate that these penetrating Kelvin waves can modulate the eastward propagation speed of MJO rainfall. Deep convection in the western MJO rainfall envelope initiates more frequently and produces greater lifetime rainfall when a convectively active Kelvin phase is present, while the opposite occurs during a convectively suppressed Kelvin phase. This alteration in deep convection activity can lead to notable changes in the propagation of the large-scale MJO rainfall envelope. The modulation of deep convection lifetime rainfall by penetrating Kelvin waves primarily occurs through their impact on deep convection rainfall area, which is closely related to the variations in lower-tropospheric moisture induced by the Kelvin waves.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL116549","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144135776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Marine Magnetic Anomalies Enhanced by Internal Stress in Rapidly Cooled Submarine Basalts 快速冷却海底玄武岩内应力增强的海洋磁异常
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1029/2025GL115045
Fei Han, Huapei Wang, Yiliang Lv, Greig A. Paterson, Andrew J. Biggin, Wyn Williams, Tao Yang, Junxiang Miao, Ting Cao, Duowen Zhu, Chen Wen, Shaochen Hu, Xiaowei Chen, Mengqing Wang, Yiming Ma, Jiakun Fang, Jiabo Liu
{"title":"Marine Magnetic Anomalies Enhanced by Internal Stress in Rapidly Cooled Submarine Basalts","authors":"Fei Han,&nbsp;Huapei Wang,&nbsp;Yiliang Lv,&nbsp;Greig A. Paterson,&nbsp;Andrew J. Biggin,&nbsp;Wyn Williams,&nbsp;Tao Yang,&nbsp;Junxiang Miao,&nbsp;Ting Cao,&nbsp;Duowen Zhu,&nbsp;Chen Wen,&nbsp;Shaochen Hu,&nbsp;Xiaowei Chen,&nbsp;Mengqing Wang,&nbsp;Yiming Ma,&nbsp;Jiakun Fang,&nbsp;Jiabo Liu","doi":"10.1029/2025GL115045","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2025GL115045","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Marine magnetic anomalies are pivotal to our understanding of plate tectonics, geomagnetic fields, and deep Earth dynamics. However, the question of how Ti-rich titanomagnetites, the primary remanence carriers in oceanic crust rocks, can faithfully preserve geomagnetic field information for tens of millions of years is not well understood. Here, we combine microscopic, micromagnetic, and rock magnetic analyses, including 14-T high-field measurements, to show that the magnetic micro-anisotropy of a fresh pillow lava dredged from the Juan de Fuca Ridge is dominated by internal stress throughout its chilled margin to its interior. Internal stress, which is generated primarily by the contraction of hot lava erupting into cold seawater, increased the natural remanent magnetization in this lava by a factor of ∼3. We suggest that stress-induced magnetic domain state transformation from multidomain to single vortex (or single domain) in extrusive pillow lavas significantly enhances oceanic crustal magnetic remanence strength and stability.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2025GL115045","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144130663","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Contrasting Mechanisms Controlling Pb Isotopes of Dust in Inland and Marine Archives 内陆和海洋档案中粉尘铅同位素控制机制对比
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114133
Ruxi Dou, Jianjun Zou, Xuefa Shi, Zhi Dong, Yonghua Wu, Aimei Zhu, Xuguang Feng, Xinqing Zou, Sergey Gorbarenko, Yuriy Vasilenko, Aleksandr Bosin
{"title":"Contrasting Mechanisms Controlling Pb Isotopes of Dust in Inland and Marine Archives","authors":"Ruxi Dou,&nbsp;Jianjun Zou,&nbsp;Xuefa Shi,&nbsp;Zhi Dong,&nbsp;Yonghua Wu,&nbsp;Aimei Zhu,&nbsp;Xuguang Feng,&nbsp;Xinqing Zou,&nbsp;Sergey Gorbarenko,&nbsp;Yuriy Vasilenko,&nbsp;Aleksandr Bosin","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114133","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114133","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Lead (Pb) isotopes are powerful tools for tracing dust provenance and reconstructing paleoclimate. However, variations in Pb isotopic compositions among different grain-size fractions in sediments complicate their use. We examine the Nd-Pb isotopic compositions of two sediment fractions (&lt;2 μm and 30–63 μm) from the central Japan Sea during the last glaciation (26–12 ka BP). Our results indicate that these sediments primarily consist of aeolian dust transported by the East Asian Winter Monsoon. The &lt;2 μm fraction exhibits more radiogenic Pb isotopes than the 30–63 μm fraction. This size-dependent discrepancy in Pb isotopes is attributed to differences in sediment composition, governed by the incongruent weathering of minerals in source rocks and transport sorting. Comparisons of dust records from inland and marine archives reveal contrasting mechanisms that control Pb isotopic compositions. We propose that greater caution is necessary when using Pb isotopes in paleoclimatology and paleoceanography.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114133","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144130666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mechanisms Linking Stratospheric Gravity Wave Activity to Hurricane Intensification: Insights From Model Simulation of Hurricane Joaquin 将平流层重力波活动与飓风增强联系起来的机制:来自飓风华金模式模拟的见解
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL113531
X. Wu, L. Hoffmann, C. J. Wright, N. P. Hindley, M. J. Alexander, X. Wang, B. Chen, Y. Wang, M. Li
{"title":"Mechanisms Linking Stratospheric Gravity Wave Activity to Hurricane Intensification: Insights From Model Simulation of Hurricane Joaquin","authors":"X. Wu,&nbsp;L. Hoffmann,&nbsp;C. J. Wright,&nbsp;N. P. Hindley,&nbsp;M. J. Alexander,&nbsp;X. Wang,&nbsp;B. Chen,&nbsp;Y. Wang,&nbsp;M. Li","doi":"10.1029/2024GL113531","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL113531","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Previous studies based on satellite observations and model simulations have revealed a significant correlation between intense stratospheric gravity wave (GW) activity and hurricane intensification. This research further investigated the underlying mechanism of this correlation by analyzing the properties and propagation characteristics of stratospheric GWs excited by Hurricane Joaquin based on a Weather Research and Forecasting model simulation. By employing the 3-D Stockwell wave analysis method, we found that GWs excited during hurricane intensification display relatively higher intrinsic frequencies, shorter horizontal wavelengths, and longer vertical wavelengths than during weakening. Analysis of these GWs' propagation using the GROGRAT ray-tracing model revealed that they can reach the middle stratosphere rapidly within 20 min. This quick propagation enabled the observation of intense stratospheric GWs before the hurricane reached its peak intensity, offering a potential indicator for hurricane intensification. These findings strengthened the basis for considering stratospheric GW activity as a proxy for hurricane intensification under specific conditions.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL113531","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144130665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Samudra: An AI Global Ocean Emulator for Climate Samudra:一个AI全球海洋气候模拟器
IF 4.6 1区 地球科学
Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1029/2024GL114318
Surya Dheeshjith, Adam Subel, Alistair Adcroft, Julius Busecke, Carlos Fernandez-Granda, Shubham Gupta, Laure Zanna
{"title":"Samudra: An AI Global Ocean Emulator for Climate","authors":"Surya Dheeshjith,&nbsp;Adam Subel,&nbsp;Alistair Adcroft,&nbsp;Julius Busecke,&nbsp;Carlos Fernandez-Granda,&nbsp;Shubham Gupta,&nbsp;Laure Zanna","doi":"10.1029/2024GL114318","DOIUrl":"10.1029/2024GL114318","url":null,"abstract":"<p>AI emulators for forecasting have emerged as powerful tools that can outperform conventional numerical predictions. The next frontier is to build emulators for long climate simulations with skill across a range of spatiotemporal scales, a particularly important goal for the ocean. Our work builds a skillful global emulator of the ocean component of a state-of-the-art climate model. We emulate key ocean variables, sea surface height, horizontal velocities, temperature, and salinity, across their full depth. We use a modified ConvNeXt UNet architecture trained on multi-depth levels of ocean data. We show that the ocean emulator—<i>Samudra</i>—which exhibits no drift relative to the truth, can reproduce the depth structure of ocean variables and their interannual variability. Samudra is stable for centuries and 150 times faster than the original ocean model. Samudra struggles to capture the correct magnitude of the forcing trends and simultaneously remain stable, requiring further work.</p>","PeriodicalId":12523,"journal":{"name":"Geophysical Research Letters","volume":"52 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024GL114318","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144130667","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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