Edward A. Ellis , David Chacón Castillo , Irving Uriel Hernández Gómez , Sergio Madrid Zubirán , Sara María Cuervo Vega
{"title":"Agricultural subsidies augmented tropical deforestation in the state of Campeche, Mexico","authors":"Edward A. Ellis , David Chacón Castillo , Irving Uriel Hernández Gómez , Sergio Madrid Zubirán , Sara María Cuervo Vega","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103525","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103525","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Stopping tropical deforestation is required to achieve climate change adaptation, conserve biodiversity and preserve forest livelihoods and cultures across the globe. We evaluate the causal impact of crop and livestock production subsidies (PROCAMPO and PROGAN) on deforestation in the state of Campeche, Mexico, with the highest national rate of forest cover loss. A quasi-experimental design was applied using covariate matching methods, specifically Mahalanobis distance matching, to evaluate the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) on deforestation between subsidized (treated) and unsubsidized (control) community-based land production territories (ejidos), while controlling for relevant geographical and socioeconomic covariates characterizing the ejidos and representing the main regional deforestation drivers. Sensitivity analyses were conducted applying the Rosenbaum test and using alternative matching estimators to assess the robustness of the statistical comparisons. ATT results estimate that PROCAMPO augmented deforestation in subsidized ejidos by a mean of 165 ha between 2004 and 2018 and PROGAN by a mean of 334 ha between 2011 and 2018. Sensitivity analyses confirmed these programs may have had a significant and positive effect on deforestation. Up to 30 % of tropical forest loss in Campeche during the study period may be attributed to these subsidies. To achieve national and state level forest conservation outcomes, effective enrollment, assistance and monitoring procedures need to be in place, ensuring that enrolled land uses are not converted forest land. Moreover, integrating past forestry programs, such as payments for environmental services (PES) and community forest management (CFM), could help halt deforestation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103525"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144115648","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Haojie Chen , Matthew R. Sloggy , Robert Costanza , Ida Kubiszewski , Tong Zhang , Luhua Wu
{"title":"Valuing the cultural services of a forest protected area in Southwestern China: The roles of online deliberation and sample selection","authors":"Haojie Chen , Matthew R. Sloggy , Robert Costanza , Ida Kubiszewski , Tong Zhang , Luhua Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103526","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103526","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Deliberation – the process of group discussion and consideration – has been increasingly integrated to valuation of ecosystem services. In an online stated preference survey on the Fanjing Mountain National Nature Reserve in the Southwestern China, we assessed participants' willingness to pay (WTP) for cultural services (non-material benefits gained through interacting with nature, including its ecological and geological elements and characteristics) before and after deliberation. However, among the initial participants, only a subset completed deliberation and the full survey. This dropout of participants may occur in any deliberation-based valuation survey, introducing sample selection bias for estimating the impacts of deliberation. To control sample selection bias, we applied the Heckman correction approach which uses the probability of a given observation being included in the sample based on its other observed characteristics. Overall, deliberation led to a more concentrated distribution of WTP and reduced the effects of sociodemographic drivers of WTP. Deliberation also had varied impacts on different participants' WTP, including increases, decreases, and no change. The median WTP remained unchanged, although the mean WTP became significantly lower after deliberation (even when controlling for sample selection bias that significantly influenced the effects of deliberation). The use value of the Reserve's cultural services for visitors was estimated at approximately 520 million CNY per year based on the pre-deliberation mean WTP, and 314 million CNY based on the post-deliberation mean WTP. This value reflects the Reserve's natural, cultural, and economic significance and the need for continued support for both nature conservation and sustainable tourism management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103526"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144107818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Michael A. Kilgore , Gregory E. Frey , Stephanie A. Snyder , Christopher Mihiar
{"title":"Factors influencing a forest landowner's choice of incentive program commitment length","authors":"Michael A. Kilgore , Gregory E. Frey , Stephanie A. Snyder , Christopher Mihiar","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103513","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103513","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>State preferential forest property tax programs (PFPTP) are commonly used to incentivize landowners to keep their land in a forested condition. For those PFPTPs that offer multiple enrollment periods, an important decision landowners face is the length of time they commit their land to the program, especially if the program's financial benefits are linked to the length of time enrolled. This study explores what factors influence the program length commitment decisions forest landowners make when choosing to participate in a PFPTP that offers multiple commitment lengths and associated financial benefits. To do so, it used enrollment data from Minnesota's Sustainable Forest Incentives Act (SFIA). The SFIA is a state PFPTP that provides annual compensation to enrollees in return for agreeing not to develop their land. It offers enrollees the choice of multiple program commitment lengths, each with a different annual payment. We developed a theoretical model of how a profit-maximizing forest landowner would choose one of several commitment length options available, given their opportunity cost of not being able to sell their forest land for development while enrolled. This model was tested using over 1100 unique SFIA enrollments from 2002 to 2021, which found the program commitment length SFIA enrollees select is not driven by their desire to maximize the financial benefit of enrolling. A second model was then developed to evaluate how owner and forest land characteristics are associated with the choice of SFIA commitment length, finding several attributes are significantly associated with their commitment length decision.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103513"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144107816","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Social sustainability in the forest-based bioeconomy: A narrative review","authors":"Jukka Luhas, Mirja Mikkilä","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103523","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103523","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social sustainability aims to enhance societal wealth, and the forest-based bioeconomy contributes to this goal by leveraging forests and wood to create products and services. Recently, the forest-based bioeconomy has been critically examined through a social sustainability lens, emphasizing its evolving nature and the engagement of local communities. This study used a narrative literature review with qualitative content analysis to interpret peer-reviewed publications on social sustainability in the forest-based bioeconomy in Finland, including its aspects and temporal and spatial scales, while presenting the associated challenges and recommendations. The findings reveal that social sustainability exerts both supportive and conflicting influences on the forest-based bioeconomy, notably through the aspects of employment, welfare, and power dynamics. Although a future perspective is considered, the connection between the forest-based bioeconomy and the interests of future generations remains weak. The geographic scale, including the local, regional, national, European Union, and global levels, is also applied and integrated because it is crucial in understanding the global value chains of the forest-based bioeconomy. Overall, <em>our findings indicate that while social sustainability is recognized as an important component of the forest-based bioeconomy, there remains a significant gap between policies and tangible and verifiable implementation.</em> Achieving comprehensive social sustainability in the forest-based bioeconomy is complex, if not unfeasible, due to divergent aspects across various temporal and spatial scales. Nevertheless, social sustainability can be strengthened by developing tools and programs for policy, practical and research purposes, refining terminology, and fostering inclusion through participatory policy processes in a verifiable manner.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103523"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144067560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Wei Duan , Yicheng Jiang , Nicholas J. Hogarth , Lan Gao , Bo Ouyang
{"title":"The legacy of fortress approaches to conservation: Impact of early-life experiences on contemporary natural resource use in Giant Panda Nature reserves, China","authors":"Wei Duan , Yicheng Jiang , Nicholas J. Hogarth , Lan Gao , Bo Ouyang","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103499","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103499","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The natural resource utilization behavior of rural households adjacent to nature reserves (NRs) critically determines the success of biodiversity conservation efforts. However, the enduring impacts of households' early experiences with NR establishment—particularly exposure to abrupt “fortress conservation” policies—on their subsequent resource use, and how these effects vary across generations based on their age during exposure, remain understudied in the scientific literature. This study addresses this gap by investigating how generational exposure to NR establishment shapes contemporary resource use heterogeneity. Based on surveys of 449 rural households conducted in 17 NRs across Sichuan and Shaanxi provinces, China, this study used the double hurdle model to estimate the empirical model. The results reveal striking generational disparities: household heads who were adults or adolescents during NR establishment exhibit significantly higher natural resource extraction intensity compared to those who were infants/children at the time. Mechanistic analysis showed that adults/adolescents exposed to fortress conservation develop persistent negative attitudes toward NR management and maintain weaker linkages with NR authorities. By demonstrating how historical policy shocks create path-dependent behaviors through generational memory, this study challenges static models of resource use. It underscores the urgency of adopting inclusive policies to reduce the contradiction between conservation and development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103499"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143943211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Russell Warman , Simon Lawson , Morag Glen , Harriot Beazley , Madaline Healey
{"title":"Biosecurity problem representation(s) by tree and forest health actors in Southeast Asia","authors":"Russell Warman , Simon Lawson , Morag Glen , Harriot Beazley , Madaline Healey","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103509","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103509","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Tree and forest biosecurity policies and practices are evolving in response to changing and growing threats. While much research is reflected in the literature on solving the problem(s) of biosecurity, less has been written about how the problem is represented. We analysed how the problem of tree and forest biosecurity is represented by researchers, quarantine and government officials in Southeast Asian countries. Foremost, we find, is a problem representation of protecting trees and forests from pest and disease threats, driven by the movement of goods and people across borders, for social and ecological benefits. Inside this problem representation there is an elaboration of technical and administrative challenges—what we call ‘inner’ problems. Away from these inner problems, however, we find less engagement with contextual issues in the problem representation—‘outer’ problems. These outer problems of social, economic and political aspects of the biosecurity problem are pivotal to understanding biosecurity's central dilemma, that is, conducting trade and movement of people while managing the risk of pest and disease spread. Representing biosecurity as a technical and administrative problem alone consolidates the idea of biosecurity as a problem only for experts. Here, we argue this representation should be challenged when a growing body of biosecurity research and policy discussion points to the need for relational, networked and shared responsibilities in biosecurity systems. Paying attention to how biosecurity is problematised, inner <em>and</em> outer, provides an opportunity to support policymakers and practitioners in developing diversified forest biosecurity social networks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103509"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143947409","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chamali Rodrigo , Omkar Joshi , Neelam C. Poudyal , Aaron Russell , Andres Susaeta
{"title":"Landowner willingness to adopt active management practices in the Cross-Timbers forests in USA","authors":"Chamali Rodrigo , Omkar Joshi , Neelam C. Poudyal , Aaron Russell , Andres Susaeta","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103522","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103522","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cross-Timbers (CT) forests, located in a transition ecoregion between eastern forests and western grasslands of the southern Great Plains of the United States, provide numerous ecosystem services to the residents of Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas. Growing climate variability, decades of fire suppression, woody plant encroachment, anthropogenic activities, and notable lack of active management have altered the original composition of these forests. As most CT forestlands are privately owned, understanding the factors influencing landowners' willingness to implement active forest management is very important. This study investigated landowner preferences regarding thinning and prescribed burning, which are two key forest management practices –– through a mixed-mode survey of forestland owners in the CT region. Results suggested that landowners' willingness to adopt thinning is significantly influenced by the age of forest landowners, forest land holding size, and status of encroachment by woody plants. Similarly, landowners' willingness to adopt prescribed burning is significantly influenced by forest land holding size, status of encroachment by woody plants, education level, and non-timber ownership objectives such as wildlife habitat management, recreational hunting and fishing, and land investment. These findings are useful to stakeholders in identifying likely or unlikely adaptors of these management practices, initiating or tailoring educational programs, Extension and outreach strategies to relevant audience, and adopting policies that can promote sustainable management of CT forests.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103522"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143947408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Forest property rights within community forests and their role in enhancing economic well-being in rural Ethiopia","authors":"Akalu Assfaw Wolde , Enrico Bertacchini","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103498","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103498","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the distribution of forest property rights and their impact on the economic well-being of community forest users in rural Ethiopia. Addressing a critical gap in the literature, the research explores the differentiated effects of operational-level and collective-choice rights on financial gains within community-based forest management (CBFM). Primary data from 365 community forest users were analyzed using OLS, Quantile, and IV regression methods. The findings reveal that community forest users exercise moderate operational rights but perceive significant restrictions on their collective-choice rights. Women and marginalized groups report particularly lower security regarding these rights. Econometric analyses indicate that specific rights—such as access, management, and alienation rights—significantly influence income from community forests. Additionally, both operational and collective-choice rights are found to positively affect income at the aggregate level, underscoring the importance of secure forest property rights. However, the results also highlight notable disparities in the impact of property rights. Households with a male head, small forests, and those with high forest dependence experience greater benefits from secure rights. Moreover, access to private forest plots consistently reduces the benefits derived from community forests, suggesting lower investment efforts in communal forest resources by private forest owners. The study underscores the need to strengthen forest property rights, implement targeted interventions, and promote integrated land-use practices to enhance the economic, social, and environmental outcomes of community forests in Ethiopia and similar contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103498"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144204235","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Is forest conservation a socially optimal strategy for increasing forest carbon sequestration?","authors":"Peichen Gong , Andres Susaeta","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103511","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103511","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Previous studies show that the optimal rotation period would be infinitely long when carbon price is sufficiently high, indicating that forest preservation could serve as an optimal strategy for mitigating global warming. This paper examines the impact of the substitution effect of harvested wood products (HWP) and the risk of natural disturbances on the optimality of infinitely long rotation period. Our analysis shows that when the substitution effects of HWP are significant, the optimal rotation remains finite regardless of how high the carbon price is. Conversely, when the substitution effects are minimal, there exists a threshold carbon price beyond which the optimal rotation period becomes infinite. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the risk of natural disturbances can either increase or decrease the likelihood that forest preservation remains the optimal choice for climate change mitigation. A numerical example illustrates that even with conservative assumptions about the substitution effect of HWP, the optimal rotation remains finite, and the risk of forest damage further reduces the optimal rotation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103511"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143946999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Katrin Beer , Michael Böcher , Caroline Ganzer , Anke Blöbaum , Lukas Engel , Theresa De Paula Sieverding , Kai Sundmacher , Ellen Matthies
{"title":"Forest-based bioeconomy and bio-based chemical production in the European Union: Policy issues, institutions, actors, and instruments in a changing forest policy subsystem","authors":"Katrin Beer , Michael Böcher , Caroline Ganzer , Anke Blöbaum , Lukas Engel , Theresa De Paula Sieverding , Kai Sundmacher , Ellen Matthies","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103521","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103521","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The chemical industry is one of the largest consumers of fossil raw materials in the European Union (EU). Phasing out the use of fossil carbon both for energetic and material use (decarbonization/defossilization) requires the introduction of alternative processes and systems of production and consumption. One strategy that brings forward the defossilization of the chemistry sector is the use of biomass (bio-based carbon) as a raw material to produce bio-based chemical products. Our analysis focuses on the intersection of the forest-based bioeconomy, bio-based chemical production, and consumer preferences. It points out how the sustainability transition of the chemical industry changes the forest-based bioeconomy policy subsystem in the EU. Drawing on the Political Process inherent Dynamics Approach (PIDA), we apply a mixed-methods research design that integrates three scientific perspectives in an interdisciplinary approach. We illustrate how shifts in forestry, the chemical industry, and consumer preferences change the forest-based bioeconomy policy subsystem. Numerous strategies and goals referring to international agreements have been introduced by the EU in recent years and new actors from the chemical industry are entering the policy subsystem. Yet, new instruments are needed and developed for the regulation of the carbon cycle and negative emissions. The study provides directions for research on the defossilization of the chemical industry through the use of forest biomass and points out potential conflicts and trade-offs in production, consumption, and regulation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103521"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143943210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}