{"title":"Dismiss, ignore or integrate – The Swedish parliamentary parties' arguments on the new EU Forest strategy for 2030","authors":"Alice Annetorp, Johanna Johansson","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103581","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103581","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To address the critical consequences of climate change and achieve the environmental goals of Agenda 2030, the former European Commission launched the European Green Deal. To enhance the sustainable use of forests, the flagship initiative – the EU Forest Strategy for 2030 – aims to mitigate climate change and halt biodiversity loss across Europe by leveraging the role of forests. As one of Europe's most forested countries, Sweden has a significant responsibility in meeting these targets. Our study examined the perspectives and positions of Swedish parliamentary parties on the strategy and upcoming regulations, emphasizing the socio-economic functions of forests and their protection, restoration, and enlargement. The arguments were analyzed using an argumentative analysis targeting three main strategies: the adversarial strategy, the dismissive strategy, and the accommodative strategy. This analysis shows whether a political party integrates, dismisses, or ignores the political issue in their agenda. The results show that most Swedish parties expressed explicit negative concerns, arguing that the strategy threatens national sovereignty and current forest management practices of rotational forestry. Left-wing parties and the Green Party tended to integrate the issue, right-wing parties were more likely to ignore or dismiss it, and centrist parties used all three strategies, leaning towards ignoring and dismissing. By understanding these differences, we can better anticipate the implications for current and upcoming regulatory discussions and how they might shape Sweden's stance on future EU policy developments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103581"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144670987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Impact of economic growth and agricultural expansion on forest cover in ASEAN: New evidence for forest transition theory","authors":"Caihong Tang, Yunfei Long, Yu Tang, Yunyi Mao","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103576","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103576","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This research aims to analyze the impact of economic growth and agricultural expansion on forest resources in six developing ASEAN countries. Data from 1990 to 2022 are employed. The estimation methods applied are regression with Driscoll-Kraay standard errors, feasible generalized least squares, and quantile regression. The results find that economic growth leads to forest resources decline in the early stage, while with the continuous economic development and increase of people's awareness about environment protection, economic growth starts promoting forests recovery in ASEAN countries. It implies that the relation between economic growth and forest cover is a U-shaped trajectory, which supports Forest Transition Theory. Moreover, this research finds the impact of economic growth on forest resources loss is much stronger in lower quantiles and weaker in higher quantiles, suggesting countries initially with lower forest cover are more vulnerable economic growth pressures. Agricultural expansion is also found a significant driver of forest cover decline in ASEAN. Additionally, regression results show that population growth significantly contributes to forest cover decrease in ASEAN. The empirical results in this study provide insightful information to help policymakers strike a balance between sustainable forest management and economic development in ASEAN.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103576"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144653593","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zohreh Rafiee , James Breen , Kevin Kilcline , Mohammad Mohammadrezaei
{"title":"Factors affecting farmers' intentions to adopt of small-scale afforestation measures in Ireland: An application of the theory of planned behaviour","authors":"Zohreh Rafiee , James Breen , Kevin Kilcline , Mohammad Mohammadrezaei","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103577","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103577","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Small-Scale Afforestation Measures (SSAMs) recently introduced under the Common Agricultural Policy, aim to help meet Ireland's afforestation goals and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. However, little is known about farmers' willingness to adopt SSAMs and the factors influencing their intentions. This study explains farmers' intentions to adopt SSAMs using the Theory of Planned Behaviour in Ireland. A quantitative, cross-sectional survey was conducted with a nationally representative sample of Irish farmers (<em>n</em> = 563) through the Teagasc National Farm Survey. Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) was employed to examine the direct and indirect effects of Attitudes (ATT), Subjective Norm (SNs), and Perceived Behavioural Control (PBC) on farmers' intentions to adopt SSAMs. The results revealed that farmers were generally neutral in their willingness to adopt SSAMs, showing a slight preference for planting under the Agri-Climate Rural Environmental scheme. SEM analysis indicated that SNs were the strongest predictor of farmers' intentions, directly (<em>β</em> = 0.25) and indirectly (<em>β</em> = 0.39), positively influencing the intention. Among the SN related influences, the perceived financial importance of afforestation promoted by main influential bodies emerged as the most significant factor shaping farmers' intentions. ATT (<em>β</em> = 0.44) was the second strongest predictor, with farmers holding positive environmental beliefs but slightly negative ATT towards the economic and land permanence aspects of SSAMs. PBC (<em>β</em> = 0.23) also positively influenced intentions, with farmers reporting low control/confidence due to a lack of technical knowledge, limited access to expert advice, and administrative burdens. This study highlights the importance of social influences and the need for community-based knowledge-sharing to support farmers in adopting SSAMs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103577"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144653592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"From narrative to actions: Theoretical framework for the integration of reframed narratives into New Zealand's agricultural policy","authors":"M. Kirchner","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103583","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103583","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>New Zealand's food and fibre sector causes manifold environmental problems, ranging from greater levels of nitrogen and phosphorus in freshwater streams to immense biodiversity losses. New Zealand's politics intend to improve its environmental performance in land use practices. The “Moving the Middle” (MtM) research project aims to contribute to this goal by influencing land managers' surrounding systems and system dynamics using leverage points. The aim of the paper is to shed light on the processes of how narratives could lead to actions. This research gap has been largely ignored by idea-based approaches, especially at the empirical level, by not providing observable methods and tools to analyse power. We want to discover how reframed narratives can be effectively transferred into practice using interest and power mechanisms that leverage system changes to actors who influence land use. To answer the question and test our three hypotheses, we developed a narrative definition based on the Actor-centred power approach and adapted the Research-Integration-Utilisation model for knowledge transfer to transfer reframed narratives to actors. Within a pre-test, our results revealed that the existing narratives in New Zealand's land use sector consisted of dominant and shared information. Furthermore, we identified and characterised four different integration forums where reframed narratives could be introduced. From a theoretical perspective, the study bridges the interest-based theory and the idea-based post-positivist-constructivist world views at an empirical-analytical level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103583"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144653488","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"From asking “would I be ready?” to “would I belong?”: Preparedness perceptions of forest and natural resources university students in the United States to enter the workforce","authors":"Kamana Chamlagain , Pipiet Larasatie , Elena Rubino , Shanna Knowles","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103580","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103580","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite its economic contribution, the forest and related natural resource (FNR) sector in the U.S. faces significant challenges, which higher education has been instrumental in overcoming. This study aims to investigate the patterns of entry of university students into the FNR workforce, with a focus on their perceptions of preparedness to enter the workforce. We followed the perceived fit theory as a framework to model students' preparedness.</div><div>Based on survey results, we found students chose “analysis, synthesis, and critical skills” as their highest level of competency development. However, within the same measurement, the recruiters placed significantly high importance on “responsibility and perseverance” competency. We discuss the differences in perceptions between Gen X recruiters and Gen Z students from generational perspectives in the workplace. Furthermore, we highlight the broader competency units that these students and recruiters have selected. Theoretically, “analysis, synthesis, and critical skills” and “responsibility and perseverance” are grouped into “lifelong learning.” However, despite lifelong learning being considered essential for cultivating a versatile, adaptive, and employable workforce, further analysis reveals a significant negative correlation between students' lifelong learning competencies and their perceived preparedness for entering the workforce. The significant negative correlation is also found on student respondents who identified themselves as Black, or woman, or other gender identity, suggesting the less sense of belonging. Leaders of the FNR program could facilitate chances for students to articulate their experiences of belonging, through mentorship or networking based on shared social identities or life stages.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103580"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144653595","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Testing the load capacity curve for deforestation: A critical investigation using novel methods for the United States","authors":"Umut Uzar , Kemal Eyuboglu","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103579","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103579","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding whether the relationship between economic activity and forest ecosystems entails a trade-off or synergy is crucial for sustainable development. Although the Environmental Kuznets Curve has been widely used to explore this dynamic, its reliance on demand-side indicators poses a notable limitation. In this regard, the Load Capacity Curve for Deforestation (LCCd) hypothesis provides a more comprehensive framework by simultaneously capturing the supply and demand aspects of environmental sustainability. Despite its conceptual relevance, empirical validation of the LCCd hypothesis remains highly limited. This study addresses this gap by examining the validity of LCCd for the United States from 1980 to 2022, employing a novel Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach. In addition, the analysis encompasses economic growth, financial development, trade openness, and urbanization. Results reveal a U-shaped relationship between economic growth and forest load capacity, confirming the LCCd hypothesis. While trade openness contributes positively to forest sustainability, financial development has a negative effect, and urbanization appears to be insignificant in the long run. Robustness checks support the main findings. Overall, this study provides pioneering empirical evidence in support of the LCCd hypothesis and underscores the importance of aligning financial development with environmental objectives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103579"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144653594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Invasive alien tree species (Acacia mearnsii) shaping the energy insecurity complex in rural South Africa","authors":"Saul Ngarava","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103578","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103578","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Combined with the residential energy shortages being currently faced in South Africa, as well as a policy vacuum in the use of <em>Acacia mearnsii</em> (black wattle) as a residential energy source, the study sought to assess the drivers of utilizing the black wattle and its consequences on residential energy insecurity. A mixed sample cross sectional survey of 1184 households from Matatiele, Magareng and Greater Taung Local Municipalities was used. The Heckman 2 step model and Endogenous Switching Regression model were used for data analysis. The results indicate that marital status, main source of income, employment status and households size affected the utilization of black wattle, while tenure was a driver for the residential energy insecurity. Ethnicity was also significant in utilization of black wattle and residential energy insecurity. In addition, utilization of black wattle, favoring its clearance and having a positive perception towards its underground water usage reduced residential energy insecurity. The study concludes that various socio-economic factors drive the utilization of black wattle as a residential energy source and using it reduced residential energy insecurity. The study recommends promoting the value addition of black wattle products and further evaluation on the perceptive drivers of the use of black wattle.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103578"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144634190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Neelam Chandra Poudyal , Ram K. Adhikari , James E. Henderson , Shaun M. Tanger , Robert K. Grala , Lisa I. Muller , Kevin M. Hunt , Sushma Bhattarai
{"title":"A hedonic analysis of chronic wasting disease's effect on hunting lease prices","authors":"Neelam Chandra Poudyal , Ram K. Adhikari , James E. Henderson , Shaun M. Tanger , Robert K. Grala , Lisa I. Muller , Kevin M. Hunt , Sushma Bhattarai","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103573","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103573","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Healthy herds of game animals are critical in sustaining lease hunting, which is a significant source of income for many forest landowners in the U.S. However, the emergence of chronic wasting disease (CWD) in cervid populations of the southeastern region of the county has added uncertainty regarding the viability of lease hunting and the welfare of deer hunters. As it was not known whether and how CWD impacts the value of hunting leases, we employed a hedonic model of hunting lease prices and the characteristics of lease properties along with the presence of CWD to evaluate the externality of CWD on lease prices. While the presence of CWD on nearby properties had no significant effect, the presence of CWD in deer harvested on the property was associated with a $1.84/acre reduction (i.e., 22 %) in annual lease price. Findings provide new insights into the economic effects of CWD in terms of lost landowner income as well as hunter welfare. Aggregation of this implicit price with the estimated number of hunters and acreage affected due to CWD showed that the regional impact could be substantial, with lost economic output estimated to range from $153,000 in the CWD region only under the current prevalence rate to as high as $10.62 million across two states under a presumed full coverage rate scenario. Even though this study presented a case of CWD in deer hunting, findings will be useful in understanding the effects of game health on hunting lease demand, revenue collection, and the corresponding impact on regional economies, as well as for guiding investments in improving the health of the game population.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103573"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144556719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maciej Wysocki , Wiktor Budziński , Marek Giergiczny , Robert Ślepaczuk
{"title":"The cointegration of Polish timber sales channels: Patterns and implications","authors":"Maciej Wysocki , Wiktor Budziński , Marek Giergiczny , Robert Ślepaczuk","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103566","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103566","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the cointegration of timber prices across key sales channels in the Polish timber market, with a focus on competitive dynamics and international integration. Poland’s State Forests National Forest Holding, managing 82% of the country’s forested areas and providing over 95% industrial timber, has a near-monopoly structure. Timber sales are facilitated through three main channels: PL-D, the e-Drewno System, and e-Drewno Individual Auctions. Using cointegration analysis, we assess the connection between these channels and European timber markets. Our findings show limited cointegration in the PL-D and e-Drewno System channels, suggesting they are insulated from international price fluctuations due to restricted access requirements based on purchase history. Conversely, e-Drewno Individual Auctions – open to all without entry restrictions – demonstrate substantial cointegration with other European markets, indicating a higher level of competitiveness and responsiveness to external price trends. In addition, aggregate prices across all channels exhibit moderate cointegration with international markets, reflecting both price stability and adaptation to broader market trends. These findings reveal structural limitations in the Polish timber market: established firms benefit from stable pricing in restricted channels, while new entrants face higher costs in the more volatile, open channels. Policy implications suggest the need for reforms to enhance market inclusivity and prepare for potential supply constraints under changing environmental and regulatory conditions. This research highlights the critical role of channel-specific structures in shaping market behavior and influencing international integration in the timber industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103566"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144556720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Haotian Cheng , José R. Soto , Andres Susaeta , Aaron Russell , Omkar Joshi
{"title":"Landowners' willingness to accept for sustainable forest management in the Cross-Timbers region, USA","authors":"Haotian Cheng , José R. Soto , Andres Susaeta , Aaron Russell , Omkar Joshi","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103574","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103574","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Cross-Timbers (CT) region, spanning southern Kansas through central Oklahoma into Texas, is a vital forested area with millions of residents in urban centers like Tulsa, Oklahoma City, and the Dallas Metroplex. Covering nearly 27 million acres suitable for livestock, this region plays a critical role in agriculture and recreation. However, much of the land remains underutilized in terms of active management for ecosystem services. This study evaluates landowners' preferences for sustainable forest management using a novel survey method, Double-Bounded Best-Worst Choice (DBBWC), which combines Best-Worst Scaling with Double-Bound Contingent Valuation. The results reveal that landowners prioritize compensation of $110 per ha acre per year, compensation of $80 per ha acre per year, and low-intensity thinning as the most preferred forest management practices. In contrast, prescribed burning once a year was ranked least favorable. Additionally, landowners' willingness to accept (WTA) compensation for implementing prescribed burning annually was $96.77 per acre, while for high-intensity thinning, the WTA was $35.86. These findings provide valuable insights into landowners' preferences for forest management and suggest how financial incentives could influence decisions about ecosystem service provision. The study's results are relevant for policy development, particularly for U.S. Forest Service Land Management Plans and broader National Forest Management strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103574"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144556789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}