Forest Policy and Economics最新文献

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A hedonic analysis of chronic wasting disease's effect on hunting lease prices 慢性消耗性疾病对狩猎租赁价格影响的享乐分析
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103573
Neelam Chandra Poudyal , Ram K. Adhikari , James E. Henderson , Shaun M. Tanger , Robert K. Grala , Lisa I. Muller , Kevin M. Hunt , Sushma Bhattarai
{"title":"A hedonic analysis of chronic wasting disease's effect on hunting lease prices","authors":"Neelam Chandra Poudyal ,&nbsp;Ram K. Adhikari ,&nbsp;James E. Henderson ,&nbsp;Shaun M. Tanger ,&nbsp;Robert K. Grala ,&nbsp;Lisa I. Muller ,&nbsp;Kevin M. Hunt ,&nbsp;Sushma Bhattarai","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103573","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103573","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Healthy herds of game animals are critical in sustaining lease hunting, which is a significant source of income for many forest landowners in the U.S. However, the emergence of chronic wasting disease (CWD) in cervid populations of the southeastern region of the county has added uncertainty regarding the viability of lease hunting and the welfare of deer hunters. As it was not known whether and how CWD impacts the value of hunting leases, we employed a hedonic model of hunting lease prices and the characteristics of lease properties along with the presence of CWD to evaluate the externality of CWD on lease prices. While the presence of CWD on nearby properties had no significant effect, the presence of CWD in deer harvested on the property was associated with a $1.84/acre reduction (i.e., 22 %) in annual lease price. Findings provide new insights into the economic effects of CWD in terms of lost landowner income as well as hunter welfare. Aggregation of this implicit price with the estimated number of hunters and acreage affected due to CWD showed that the regional impact could be substantial, with lost economic output estimated to range from $153,000 in the CWD region only under the current prevalence rate to as high as $10.62 million across two states under a presumed full coverage rate scenario. Even though this study presented a case of CWD in deer hunting, findings will be useful in understanding the effects of game health on hunting lease demand, revenue collection, and the corresponding impact on regional economies, as well as for guiding investments in improving the health of the game population.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103573"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144556719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The cointegration of Polish timber sales channels: Patterns and implications 波兰木材销售渠道的协整:模式与启示
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103566
Maciej Wysocki , Wiktor Budziński , Marek Giergiczny , Robert Ślepaczuk
{"title":"The cointegration of Polish timber sales channels: Patterns and implications","authors":"Maciej Wysocki ,&nbsp;Wiktor Budziński ,&nbsp;Marek Giergiczny ,&nbsp;Robert Ślepaczuk","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103566","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103566","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the cointegration of timber prices across key sales channels in the Polish timber market, with a focus on competitive dynamics and international integration. Poland’s State Forests National Forest Holding, managing 82% of the country’s forested areas and providing over 95% industrial timber, has a near-monopoly structure. Timber sales are facilitated through three main channels: PL-D, the e-Drewno System, and e-Drewno Individual Auctions. Using cointegration analysis, we assess the connection between these channels and European timber markets. Our findings show limited cointegration in the PL-D and e-Drewno System channels, suggesting they are insulated from international price fluctuations due to restricted access requirements based on purchase history. Conversely, e-Drewno Individual Auctions – open to all without entry restrictions – demonstrate substantial cointegration with other European markets, indicating a higher level of competitiveness and responsiveness to external price trends. In addition, aggregate prices across all channels exhibit moderate cointegration with international markets, reflecting both price stability and adaptation to broader market trends. These findings reveal structural limitations in the Polish timber market: established firms benefit from stable pricing in restricted channels, while new entrants face higher costs in the more volatile, open channels. Policy implications suggest the need for reforms to enhance market inclusivity and prepare for potential supply constraints under changing environmental and regulatory conditions. This research highlights the critical role of channel-specific structures in shaping market behavior and influencing international integration in the timber industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103566"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144556720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Landowners' willingness to accept for sustainable forest management in the Cross-Timbers region, USA 美国交叉木材地区土地所有者接受可持续森林管理的意愿
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103574
Haotian Cheng , José R. Soto , Andres Susaeta , Aaron Russell , Omkar Joshi
{"title":"Landowners' willingness to accept for sustainable forest management in the Cross-Timbers region, USA","authors":"Haotian Cheng ,&nbsp;José R. Soto ,&nbsp;Andres Susaeta ,&nbsp;Aaron Russell ,&nbsp;Omkar Joshi","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103574","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103574","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Cross-Timbers (CT) region, spanning southern Kansas through central Oklahoma into Texas, is a vital forested area with millions of residents in urban centers like Tulsa, Oklahoma City, and the Dallas Metroplex. Covering nearly 27 million acres suitable for livestock, this region plays a critical role in agriculture and recreation. However, much of the land remains underutilized in terms of active management for ecosystem services. This study evaluates landowners' preferences for sustainable forest management using a novel survey method, Double-Bounded Best-Worst Choice (DBBWC), which combines Best-Worst Scaling with Double-Bound Contingent Valuation. The results reveal that landowners prioritize compensation of $110 per ha acre per year, compensation of $80 per ha acre per year, and low-intensity thinning as the most preferred forest management practices. In contrast, prescribed burning once a year was ranked least favorable. Additionally, landowners' willingness to accept (WTA) compensation for implementing prescribed burning annually was $96.77 per acre, while for high-intensity thinning, the WTA was $35.86. These findings provide valuable insights into landowners' preferences for forest management and suggest how financial incentives could influence decisions about ecosystem service provision. The study's results are relevant for policy development, particularly for U.S. Forest Service Land Management Plans and broader National Forest Management strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103574"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144556789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Factors influencing the shift from cocoa to rubber production in Wasa Amenfi Central District in the Western region of Ghana 影响加纳西部Wasa Amenfi中心区从可可生产转向橡胶生产的因素
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103568
Mary Badu , Margaret Aba Sam Hagan , Camillus Abawiera Wongnaa , Christopher Kudzinawo , Dadson Awunyo-Vitor
{"title":"Factors influencing the shift from cocoa to rubber production in Wasa Amenfi Central District in the Western region of Ghana","authors":"Mary Badu ,&nbsp;Margaret Aba Sam Hagan ,&nbsp;Camillus Abawiera Wongnaa ,&nbsp;Christopher Kudzinawo ,&nbsp;Dadson Awunyo-Vitor","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103568","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103568","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ghana's economy largely depends on proceeds from cocoa production and trade. However, one issue that has been hindering the cocoa sector in recent times is the case of cocoa farmers diverting to rubber production. Previous studies that worked on the issue of cocoa farm abandonment have concentrated on productivity challenges and poor price mechanisms without analysing the shift from cocoa production to the production of other crops as well as the factors influencing the shifts. This paper aims to examine the factors that influence the switch from cocoa to rubber production as well as the constraints in cocoa production using cross-sectional data from 360 cocoa farmers in Ghana. The logistic regression model and Kendall's Coefficient of Concordance were the methods of analysis. The results showed that farmers who switched from cocoa to rubber production were significantly motivated by attractive benefits in rubber production including high price for produce, ready market and the promise of perpetual farm income in their old age. Farmers' decisions to switch from cocoa to rubber production were influenced by the expected age of the rubber farm before harvest, the age of their cocoa farm, access to better seeds, financial facilities, and fertilizer usage. According to the farmers, the most severe constraint facing them is lack of policy issues, with a mean score of 9.48, while the least constraint is marketing constraints, with a mean score of 29.38. The research proposes that measures be put in place to make sure government policies are clearly communicated to the farmers, and that the government should set fair and justifiable prices for cocoa to sustain the incomes of farmers. Also, future studies should consider undertaking longitudinal researches to trace the variations in farmer behaviour and intensions overtime.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103568"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144549613","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sustainable poverty alleviation? The impact and mechanisms of forestry training on the economic welfare of rural households over time in Southern China 可持续的扶贫?林业培训对南方农户经济福利的影响及机制
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103565
Xin Zhao, Rong Zhao
{"title":"Sustainable poverty alleviation? The impact and mechanisms of forestry training on the economic welfare of rural households over time in Southern China","authors":"Xin Zhao,&nbsp;Rong Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103565","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103565","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Investigating the transformation of farmers' forestry income and household economic vulnerability is crucial for enriching the forest-poverty dynamic relationship, especially in understanding the role of forest intervention policies in supporting sustainable poverty alleviation for nearly 250 million extremely poor farmers dependent on forest resources. This paper develops an economic model to examine the relationship between forestry training and the growth of forestry income, where such training may provide technical skills and information to support sustainable poverty alleviation. Using survey data from 305 rural households in designated assistance counties from the National Forestry and Grassland Administration (NFGA) of China in 2023, it analyzes the impact of forestry training on the forestry income and economic vulnerability of rural households who have moved out of poverty through the China's “Sustainable Poverty Alleviation Policy” (SPAP). The study also explores the policy heterogeneity among different groups and identifies potential transmission mechanisms. The findings indicate that forestry training significantly increases income and reduces poverty for these farmers. Heterogeneity tests reveal that the income-increasing effect is more pronounced among households with low to moderate forestry income, while the preventing returning to poverty effect follows an “inverted U-shaped” pattern. Additionally, forestry training is particularly beneficial for vulnerable farmers with small landholdings. Mechanism analysis suggests that the training encourages greater labor force participation in the forestry sector, thereby activating the forest land assets of rural poverty-alleviated households. Finally, the study offers policy recommendations to strengthen the long-term impact of forestry training on the livelihoods of the rural poor population.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103565"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144549616","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ways to maintain and challenge hegemony: Actor coalitions in Finnish forest governance 维持和挑战霸权的方式:芬兰森林治理中的行动者联盟
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103572
Naveed Imran , Simo Sarkki , Anna Krzywoszynska , Hannu I. Heikkinen
{"title":"Ways to maintain and challenge hegemony: Actor coalitions in Finnish forest governance","authors":"Naveed Imran ,&nbsp;Simo Sarkki ,&nbsp;Anna Krzywoszynska ,&nbsp;Hannu I. Heikkinen","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103572","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103572","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding tensions between hegemony and counter-hegemony is crucial for identifying dynamics of socio-political persistence and change. This study examines Finnish forest governance and highlights its shift from a corporativist, monocentric model to a more decentralised, polycentric governance landscape illustrated by the diversification of actors in the domains of policy, civil society, science and business. We analyse two major Forest Act revisions (1994–96, 2010–13) and ongoing debates on the EU Nature Restoration Law to assess whether and how biodiversity concerns are incorporated into legislation and how these relate to the perspectives of the Forestry and Environmental coalitions. Our findings reveal that mainstreaming biodiversity into forest policy and practice has been hampered by cosmetic changes in policy (Forest Act 1996), by arranging multi-actor processes but without impact on policy priorities (Forest Act 2013), and by stressing the importance of economy and national sovereignty over biodiversity concerns (regarding EU Nature Restoration Law). We discuss ways for maintaining and challenging hegemony by Forestry and Environmental coalitions. Our major conclusion is that a shift towards polycentrism through diversification of the forest governance landscape does not necessarily imply changes in hegemony defined as a power to influence the rules of the game within the existing governance landscape. Yet, the ongoing process of preparing the national restoration plans and their actual implementation will show whether the Forestry coalition is able to sustain its hegemonic position in the context of EU Nature Restoration Law.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103572"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144549614","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Combating new challenges with old political solutions? Policy responses to climate change and climate- induced disturbances in European forests 用旧的政治解决办法应对新的挑战?欧洲森林对气候变化和气候引起的干扰的政策反应
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103561
Annica Sandström , Karin Beland-Lindahl , Marcin Mielewczyk , Krzysztof Niedzialkowski , Jens Nilsson , Špela Pezdevšek Malovrh , Pascal Renaud-Bernath , Metodi Sotirov , Zala Uhan
{"title":"Combating new challenges with old political solutions? Policy responses to climate change and climate- induced disturbances in European forests","authors":"Annica Sandström ,&nbsp;Karin Beland-Lindahl ,&nbsp;Marcin Mielewczyk ,&nbsp;Krzysztof Niedzialkowski ,&nbsp;Jens Nilsson ,&nbsp;Špela Pezdevšek Malovrh ,&nbsp;Pascal Renaud-Bernath ,&nbsp;Metodi Sotirov ,&nbsp;Zala Uhan","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103561","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103561","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study focuses on the role of external events – in the form of climate change and climate-induced disturbance – for policy forest development. The aim is to explore the evolution of European forest policy through a longitudinal analysis of Germany, Poland, Slovenia, and Sweden, assessing how climate change and climate-induced disturbances are considered in policy goals, problem perceptions, governance approaches, and preferred management solutions. First, we map and analyze policy development within each country over a period of two decades. Second<em>,</em> we discuss how these findings relate to climate change and climate-induced disturbances. Third<em>,</em> and finally, we reflect on the similarities and differences of the four countries. The empirical results provide an overview of forest policy development and show how responsive the governance systems have been to the new challenges posed by a rapidly changing climate. While much stability has characterized European forest policy, revisions and substantial changes, partly motivated by increasing climate change and climate-induced disturbances, are evident in different ways and to varying degrees in the countries studied. The magnitude and consequences of these disruptive events, existing institutional structures, and present advocacy coalitions are suggested as explanations for variations among countries. The lessons about past responsiveness may predict the pace of implementation of new forest policies and adaptation to disturbances in the future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103561"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144518931","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Actors' participation and power manifestations in tax regimes of small-scale tree growing 小规模林木种植税收制度中的行动者参与与权力表现
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103570
Ubaldus J. Tumaini , Irmeli Mustalahti , Aristarik H. Maro , Edda T. Lwoga
{"title":"Actors' participation and power manifestations in tax regimes of small-scale tree growing","authors":"Ubaldus J. Tumaini ,&nbsp;Irmeli Mustalahti ,&nbsp;Aristarik H. Maro ,&nbsp;Edda T. Lwoga","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103570","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103570","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Small-scale tree growing is a rapidly expanding yet overlooked subsector with distinct challenges. While most national forest policies target large-scale plantations, they fail to address the unique needs of small-scale tree growing sub-sector. This paper highlights research and policy gaps and examines inconsistencies in local tax decisions and timber trade regulations affecting this subsector, calling for targeted reforms. A pre-study and snowball sampling technique was used to choose a total of 28 informants who took part in two rounds of data collection in the Southern Highlands of Tanzania. The informants included actors who are village and urban-based tree growers, farm service providers, business persons, NGOs and government officials. These actors are not mutually exclusive; a village-based farmer may be a timber buyer or a government official may also be a tree farmer. Using qualitative content analysis, our empirical data shows how government agencies control the decision-making processes regarding taxes and levies. Small-scale non-state actors are consulted for input, but taxing authorities retain final decision-making power. This leads to distrust between small-scale tree growers and government tax agencies, discouraging future investment in the subsector. We conclude that there is inadequate participation of non-state actors, mostly tax papers, in the entire decision-making process, resulting in decisions that disregard their interests. Targeted forest policies that explicitly address the needs of small-scale tree growers should be developed. In addition, a thorough research is required to examine taxation practices from other countries where small-scale tree growing is national interest and integrated into national policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103570"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144514021","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The abscence of labour in sustainable transitions: Migrant workers and the just transitions in the Swedish forestry sector 可持续转型中的劳动力缺失:瑞典林业部门的移徙工人和公正转型
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103569
Irma Olofsson
{"title":"The abscence of labour in sustainable transitions: Migrant workers and the just transitions in the Swedish forestry sector","authors":"Irma Olofsson","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103569","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103569","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The topic of sustainability is continually current and in Sweden, the bioeconomy and more specifically forestry, are pointed to as a central part of the sustainable transition. Swedish forestry is, to a large extent, done by seasonal labour migrants who are a group of workers that are often highly exploited. Decent work, equality and social aspects of sustainability are all part of the UN and EU's work on sustainability, and by continuation, Sweden's as well. By using the concepts of ‘just-transition’ and decent work, with interview data and policy analysis, this article examines workers', and especially migrant workers' place in the sustainable transition efforts in Sweden. The article finds that migrant workers in forestry have a difficult time exercising the rights they are entitled to, but also that they are practically invisible when it comes to how forestry in Sweden is portrayed, especially in a sustainability context.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103569"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144518930","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Deforestation and human development in the Brazilian tropical dry forest 巴西热带干燥森林的森林砍伐与人类发展
IF 4 2区 农林科学
Forest Policy and Economics Pub Date : 2025-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103571
Lucas Alencar , Luke Parry , Felipe Melo
{"title":"Deforestation and human development in the Brazilian tropical dry forest","authors":"Lucas Alencar ,&nbsp;Luke Parry ,&nbsp;Felipe Melo","doi":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103571","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.forpol.2025.103571","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The relationship between tropical deforestation and human development is unclear and contested. We evaluated the boom-bust hypothesis across agricultural frontiers in the Brazilian Caatinga dry forest, one of the largest dry forests in the world and home to 28 million people. We used panel data (1991, 2000 and 2010), and cross-sectional data (2010) from 1207 municipalities to assess how development indicators are linked to deforestation through a quasi-experimental approach. Our main finding is that deforestation in the Caatinga is associated with a boom-bust development pattern or at least to a stagnation in development in highly deforested municipalities. Municipalities at the advanced stage of deforestation (&lt;33 % of forest cover remaining) in 1991 generally had higher development indicators than the initial stage (&gt;66 % remaining), but differences between these groups disappeared by 2010. Intermediate stage municipalities (33–66 % remaining) consistently outperformed initial and/or advanced stage municipalities in four out of six development indicators (longevity, monetary income, extreme poverty prevalence, and child mortality), indicating a temporary ‘boom’ during frontier advance, followed by a stagnation. Evidence of a boom-bust was supported by cross-sectional analysis of 2010 data using propensity score weighting and a spatial autoregressive model. Overall, our findings contribute to on-going debate and strengthen the boom-bust hypothesis. By implication, the mere consumption of natural resources is inadequate to ensure sustained development progress. Achieving sustainability in Brazil's agricultural frontiers necessitates more than apolitical technical solutions; it requires active engagement by the state, non-state institutions, and society as a whole to address the country's deep-seated inequalities and imbalanced power dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12451,"journal":{"name":"Forest Policy and Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103571"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144491105","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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