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The impact mechanism of political risk on foreign renewable energy investment in developing countries: The mediating role of vulnerability
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114467
Weiling Jiang , Keyao Jiang , Zhihao Zhang , Igor Martek , Congping Ruan , Gan Lu
{"title":"The impact mechanism of political risk on foreign renewable energy investment in developing countries: The mediating role of vulnerability","authors":"Weiling Jiang ,&nbsp;Keyao Jiang ,&nbsp;Zhihao Zhang ,&nbsp;Igor Martek ,&nbsp;Congping Ruan ,&nbsp;Gan Lu","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114467","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114467","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Faced by the unprecedented challenge of energy transition and deteriorating global political environment, political risk is considered a major deterrent to foreign renewable energy investment, particularly in developing countries. Despite this recognition, the mechanism by which various impacts of political risk on foreign renewable energy investment across countries are mediated by the internal vulnerability has not been revealed. Therefore, this study endeavors to address this by analyzing the dataset covering 61 developing countries over the time period 1989 to 2022, using cluster analysis and partial least squares structural equation modeling. Results reveal that foreign renewable energy investment significantly suffers from governmental, societal, and economic environmental risks, with the risk exposure of renewable energy projects amplifying these impacts, in countries with high per capita GDP and low renewable energy consumption. In countries with low GDP and high renewable energy consumption, foreign renewable energy investment is mostly undeterred by policy and regulatory risks, while the capacity of multinational enterprises serves to moderate negative impacts. The findings add to body of knowledge in the domain of risk management in foreign renewable energy investment by highlighting the divergent mechanism pathways of FREI's vulnerability on political risk's impacts across different jurisdictional environments. This understanding of the sources of vulnerability to various manifestations of political risk should augment interested parties' efforts to facilitate greater success in foreign renewable energy investment, and promote the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114467"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099643","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does the cooking fuel transition lead to unexpected energy poverty? Evidence from the less-developed Tibetan region of China
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114471
Jie Yang , Jianjun Jin , Xin Qiu , Dan Liu
{"title":"Does the cooking fuel transition lead to unexpected energy poverty? Evidence from the less-developed Tibetan region of China","authors":"Jie Yang ,&nbsp;Jianjun Jin ,&nbsp;Xin Qiu ,&nbsp;Dan Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114471","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114471","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Energy poverty triggered by the cooking fuel transition poses challenges to the quality of life of rural households. However, little attention has been given to this topic. To fill this gap, this study aims to employ an economic-based approach to explore the effects of the cooking fuel transition on energy poverty using survey data from 419 rural households. The results reveal that the cooking fuel transition deepens energy poverty in three dimensions: incidence, depth, and average gap. Specifically, for the transitions from firewood to electricity, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and a combination of electricity and LPG, the incidence of energy poverty increased by 26.66%, 32.14%, and 33.32%, respectively. The depth of energy poverty increased from 1.25% to 1.83%, 2.52%, and 1.96%, respectively. The average energy poverty gap increased from 309.48 CNY to 432.50 CNY, 559.68 CNY, and 439.07 CNY. The results also demonstrate that “firewood to electricity” was the most cost-effective transition path and that low-income households were consistently the core of cultivating energy poverty. Our findings are expected to prompt the full attention of policy-makers to transition-induced energy poverty and then shed light on formulating targeted policies to alleviate rural household energy poverty.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114471"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143156882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fighting energy poverty: Barcelona and Warsaw in C40's Green New Deal Pilot program
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114464
Agnieszka Szpak , Szymon Ostrowski
{"title":"Fighting energy poverty: Barcelona and Warsaw in C40's Green New Deal Pilot program","authors":"Agnieszka Szpak ,&nbsp;Szymon Ostrowski","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114464","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114464","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The paper focuses on two European cities, Barcelona and Warsaw. It aims to establish which city is more advanced and creative in reducing energy poverty by comparing their strategies and implementing the C40 Global Green New Deal and its pilot project. The cities were selected due to their common features, such as being affected by energy poverty and participating in the mentioned pilot project, in which the C40 offers technical assistance through appointed city advisors to aid cities in achieving specific objectives in implementing the Global Green New Deal. It is also interesting to juxtapose an East/Central European city with a West/South European city as their climate conditions differ. The authors attempt to examine the most effective strategies for reducing energy poverty in these two case studies. The research methods include comparative analysis, case study, and constructive literature analysis. The research questions are as follows: Which tools have Barcelona and Warsaw used? What are the similarities and differences between Barcelona and Warsaw concerning their energy poverty problems and possible reactions? The research concludes that Barcelona and Warsaw use different tools to reduce energy poverty, which reflects different climate conditions in cities and overall different advancements in dealing with energy poverty.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114464"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Visible hands: The impact of subsidy withdrawal on new energy vehicle enterprises’ innovation behaviors
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114466
Yanyu Wang , Ting Lu , Yuanbo Qiao
{"title":"Visible hands: The impact of subsidy withdrawal on new energy vehicle enterprises’ innovation behaviors","authors":"Yanyu Wang ,&nbsp;Ting Lu ,&nbsp;Yuanbo Qiao","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114466","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114466","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the impact of government subsidy withdrawal on firms' innovation behavior, focusing on China's new energy vehicle (NEV) industry. The sector provides a compelling case, having transitioned from significant government support to a gradual subsidy withdrawal. We begin by reviewing the industry's evolution and proposing theoretical hypotheses. Using a lasso model, we evaluate the overall policy effects of subsidy withdrawal. Subsequently, we test these hypotheses with a regression discontinuity design, based on data from Chinese-listed NEV manufacturers from 2009 to 2020. The findings highlight that the subsidy withdrawal significantly influenced firms' innovation strategies. In response, companies increased their R&amp;D investment while reducing symbolic innovation activities, with the effect being more pronounced among non-state-owned enterprises. This study offers new insights into policy evaluation and provides strategic guidance for NEV firms navigating subsidy withdrawal.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114466"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Counteracting the duck curve: Prosumage with time-varying import and export electricity tariffs
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114461
Lisa Restel , Kelvin Say
{"title":"Counteracting the duck curve: Prosumage with time-varying import and export electricity tariffs","authors":"Lisa Restel ,&nbsp;Kelvin Say","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114461","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114461","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Australia is a frontrunner in household solar photovoltaic (PV) adoption, which has helped to accelerate the energy transition but has changed demand such that the power system faces operational challenges, known as the solar ‘duck curve’. The growing adoption of household batteries will change demand once again and policymakers have the means to reshape this demand through time-varying tariffs. This study evaluates the impact of time-varying import and export tariffs on household load profiles using data from 400 Melbourne households, each equipped with a 9 kW<sub>P</sub> <!--> <!-->PV and 12 kWh battery, and a dispatch optimisation model.</div><div>Our findings indicate that time-varying export tariffs have significantly more influence on residual load profiles compared to time-varying import tariffs. With time-varying import tariffs only, households still maintain grid feed-in during the day and rely on self-consumption in the evening, exacerbating midday feed-in but preventing peak demand growth. We find that time-varying export tariffs alone reduce midday feed-in by 55.6% and extend exports past sunset. This actively counteracts the ‘duck curve’ by reducing midday feed-in and decreasing peak evening operational demand. This suggests that time-varying export tariffs may be a useful policy lever to enhance grid utilisation and renewable energy integration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114461"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099635","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Detecting energy injustices: Climbing the ladder of “hidden morality”
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114465
Nynke van Uffelen , Sander ten Caat
{"title":"Detecting energy injustices: Climbing the ladder of “hidden morality”","authors":"Nynke van Uffelen ,&nbsp;Sander ten Caat","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114465","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114465","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Governing a just energy transition requires detecting and anticipating energy injustices. Although much scholarly attention has been given to frameworks to <em>analyse</em> energy injustices, a consistent framework for policymakers and researchers to <em>detect</em> them is lacking. Current methods for detecting what the publics perceive as (un)just rely on explicit articulations of grievances by citizens in official participatory settings or during energy conflicts. However, it is implausible that all injustices manifest within these contexts. This study introduces a framework to understand why injustices might remain unseen and unaddressed, inspired by the concept of <em>hidden morality</em> as introduced by the philosopher Axel Honneth. The framework of hidden morality conceptualises several steps between an injustice and social change: (1) experience of injustices; (2) expression of injustices; (3) collective action; (4) uptake in public discourse; (5) reformulation; and (6) social change. Between each of these steps, different obstacles can arise. The paper explores the mechanisms that prevent energy injustices from surfacing and being resolved through philosophical literature and two case studies. Its contribution is twofold: it raises awareness of the fact that injustices can remain undetected, and it proposes a framework that is the first systematic tool for policymakers to detect injustices when making energy policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114465"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
High electricity price despite expansion in renewables: How market trends shape Germany’s power market in the coming years
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114448
Mario Liebensteiner , Fabian Ocker , Anas Abuzayed
{"title":"High electricity price despite expansion in renewables: How market trends shape Germany’s power market in the coming years","authors":"Mario Liebensteiner ,&nbsp;Fabian Ocker ,&nbsp;Anas Abuzayed","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114448","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114448","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Expectations about future energy prices are crucial for investment decisions, market reform debates, and public policy. Yet, the recent energy crisis caused dramatic market uncertainty. This study investigates Germany’s near-future wholesale electricity price in the context of evolving market trends. A flexible econometric model is applied to high-frequency, near-time data, spanning January 2015 through May 2023. A potential endogeneity bias of trade is circumvented by an instrumental-variables approach. Results indicate that expanding renewable energy exerts downward pressure on price, countering trends like the nuclear phaseout, a rising carbon price, increased electrification, and a high gas price. The collective impact suggests a considerably higher electricity price in the coming years compared to pre-crisis levels. This finding is corroborated by a fundamental energy system model. The potential rise in renewables’ production volatility may amplify electricity price volatility. A high and volatile near-future electricity price could spur investments in renewables and flexibility technologies but pose challenges for consumers. Our analysis aids evidence-based decision-making amid the post-crisis landscape.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114448"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamic changes in water use patterns of coal power generation during China's energy transition
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114460
Zijie Zhang , Chao Zhang , Yan Hao , Lixiao Zhang , Xinqing Li , Yuqin Li
{"title":"Dynamic changes in water use patterns of coal power generation during China's energy transition","authors":"Zijie Zhang ,&nbsp;Chao Zhang ,&nbsp;Yan Hao ,&nbsp;Lixiao Zhang ,&nbsp;Xinqing Li ,&nbsp;Yuqin Li","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114460","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114460","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Soaring electricity demand and rapid development of power generation technology are substantially reshaping the water use patterns associated with coal power generation. The evolution of water use patterns that pose a threat to freshwater availability in China, as well as their variation across different geographic regions, remains inadequately understood. In this study, we compiled spatiotemporally-explicit data from 2011 to 2021 on freshwater consumption and withdrawal for coal-fired electric power generation in China to explore the factors driving these changes and provide the detailed spatial distribution information of freshwater usage at a grid level. Results indicate contrasting trends: while withdrawal volume decreased by 3.9 × 10<sup>9</sup> m<sup>3</sup> yr<sup>−1</sup>, consumption volume increased by 8.1 × 10<sup>8</sup> m<sup>3</sup> yr<sup>−1</sup>. This research also highlights the regional disparities in the impacts of power generation technology improvement on freshwater resources. The tension between coal power production and freshwater resources has been alleviated in the “Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei”. However, it has intensified in several arid regions of the northwest. These results help prioritize geo-targeted efforts to balance power system decarbonization and water usage, which collectively affect the regional sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114460"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143094946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Machine learning framework for evaluating energy performance certificate (EPC) effectiveness in real estate: A case study of Turin’s private residential market
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114407
Federico Dell’Anna
{"title":"Machine learning framework for evaluating energy performance certificate (EPC) effectiveness in real estate: A case study of Turin’s private residential market","authors":"Federico Dell’Anna","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114407","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114407","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) is a key tool for advancing building energy efficiency across Europe. By offering standardized information on a property’s energy use, it shapes buyer and tenant preferences, influencing property values. This data-driven policy analysis assesses the EPC's effectiveness.</div><div>To assess the impact of EPC on property prices in Turin, Italy, a comprehensive machine learning (ML) framework is employed. This framework includes unsupervised hierarchical clustering and supervised algorithms including Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM). These techniques facilitate an in-depth analysis of the complex relationships between EPC ratings and property prices.</div><div>Furthermore, the integration of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) enhances the transparency of these models, providing clear insights into how EPC ratings affect prices across different property sub-markets. By demystifying the decision-making processes of complex algorithms, this approach makes the findings more accessible to stakeholders.</div><div>The flexibility of this framework suggests that it can be applied to other European contexts, offering a valuable tool for policymakers aiming to craft more effective energy efficiency strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114407"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099640","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Distributional justice and hydropower development: A case study of Chile's equity tariff scheme
IF 9.3 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114439
Nelyda Campos-Requena , Felipe Vásquez-Lavín , Manuel Barrientos , Roberto D. Ponce Oliva
{"title":"Distributional justice and hydropower development: A case study of Chile's equity tariff scheme","authors":"Nelyda Campos-Requena ,&nbsp;Felipe Vásquez-Lavín ,&nbsp;Manuel Barrientos ,&nbsp;Roberto D. Ponce Oliva","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114439","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114439","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Implementing hydropower projects requires understanding community acceptance, especially regarding equity tariff schemes. This study assesses an equity tariff scheme as a compensation mechanism for accepting new hydropower projects by considering reducing local electricity tariffs while increasing in non-electricity-generating communities. We consider two scenarios involving a small-medium hydropower project (up to 100 MW) in Southern Chile: one in a zone with existing hydropower plants and another without previous hydropower experience but with high potential. Using a discrete choice experiment with 340 respondents, we analyzed the data through mixed logit models. Our results indicate that economic incentives alone cannot counter negative social perceptions of new hydropower projects, even in areas without prior experience. These findings highlight the necessity for an integrative strategy combining adequate monetary compensation with non-monetary approaches, such as community engagement and environmental mitigation measures, to ensure a fair and inclusive hydropower project development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 114439"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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