{"title":"The impact of women's political empowerment on renewable energy demand: Evidence from OECD countries","authors":"Giray Gozgor, Jing Li, Irfan Saleem, Riazullah Shinwari","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108081","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108081","url":null,"abstract":"The paper examines how women's political empowerment affects renewable energy demand, considering factors like energy costs, green technologies, and gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the panel dataset of 36 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) economies from 1990 to 2022. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operators (LASSOs) algorithms select the critical drivers of renewable energy demand. Then, the paper applies Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), Partialing-out Linear Regression (POLR), Double Selection Linear Regression (DSLR), and Cross-fit Partialing-out Linear Regression (Cross-fit POLR) LASSO techniques to check the robustness of the LASSOs findings. It is found that gender inequality and green technologies have significant positive effects on renewable energy demand. Conversely, GDP growth exhibits a significant negative influence, while the effect of energy costs is found to be statistically insignificant. Potential policy implications are also discussed.","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142790070","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-28DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108092
Mostafa Monzur Hasan, Xiaomeng Charlene Chen
{"title":"Business strategies and carbon emissions","authors":"Mostafa Monzur Hasan, Xiaomeng Charlene Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108092","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108092","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the relationship between business strategies and corporate carbon (CO2) emissions. Using a sample of US publicly listed firms, we document that firms following a prospector-type business strategy emit significantly less CO2 than those adopting a defender-type strategy. We also find that this relationship holds for Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 emissions. This connection is more evident in firms with greater board gender diversity, those operating in environmentally sensitive industries, and those headquartered in regions with high social capital. Our mechanism analysis demonstrates that the innovation culture of prospector firms plays a crucial role in reducing CO2 emissions. We conduct a series of robustness tests, including two-stage least-squares and difference-in-differences, and show that our findings are not influenced by endogeneity issues. Further analysis reveals that higher CO2 emissions by prospectors result in a decline in firm value. Overall, our results underscore the importance of strategic alignment with environmental objectives for both environmental sustainability and firm performance.","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"82 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142790100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-27DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108002
Zied Ftiti, Haithem Awijen, Hachmi Ben Ameur, Wael Louhichi
{"title":"Understanding the drivers of energy capacity transitions: New evidence from a dual approach","authors":"Zied Ftiti, Haithem Awijen, Hachmi Ben Ameur, Wael Louhichi","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108002","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the drivers of renewable energy capacity in 25 OECD countries from 1989 to 2019, with a particular focus on the complex role of oil prices in the energy transition. Given their strong correlation with major fossil fuels like coal and gas, understanding the impact of oil price shocks is crucial for shaping effective transition strategies. We examine this impact from a climate mitigation perspective, recognising it as a key dimension of a just transition. Unlike previous research, our approach suggests that policymakers, stakeholders, and investors should focus on two key areas to ensure a sustainable transition: promoting renewable energy capacity and reducing non-renewable energy capacity. We propose a dual-focus approach that acknowledges the importance of both enhancing renewable energy adoption and diminishing reliance on non-renewable sources. By identifying and leveraging both sets of drivers, policymakers and stakeholders can create more balanced and comprehensive strategies for energy transition. We categorise the drivers into four levels: (1) the interplay between oil prices, climate mitigation finance, and green innovation; (2) macroeconomic factors; (3) climate degradation; and (4) environmental management policies. Our results confirm our hypothesis by highlighting the role of certain drivers in reducing non-renewable energy capacity and certain others in promoting renewable energy capacity. Furthermore, our findings underscore the direct and indirect channels through which oil price dynamics influence the promotion of renewable energy capacity and reduction of non-renewable capacity, notably through the climate mitigation finance channel. This multifaceted approach aims to provide a deeper understanding of the various factors influencing energy transition and offer actionable insights for effective policy formulation.","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"82 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142825382","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-27DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108041
Reinhard Ellwanger
{"title":"The tail risk premium in the oil market","authors":"Reinhard Ellwanger","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108041","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108041","url":null,"abstract":"This paper studies tail risk and its option-implied risk compensation in the crude oil market. We identify economically large premia for upside and downside tail risks that significantly forecast crude oil futures returns. These premia are also reflected in the convenience yield for physical oil, which amplifies the predictive power for spot returns. Oil tail risk premia are not spanned by aggregate uncertainty measures, suggesting that shifts in market-specific risk attitudes contribute to commodity price volatility and return predictability.","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142873882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-26DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108090
Bowen Fu , Yixiang Zhang , Sholeh Maani , Le Wen
{"title":"Green finance and job creation: Analyzing employment effects in China's manufacturing industry within green finance innovation and reform pilot zones","authors":"Bowen Fu , Yixiang Zhang , Sholeh Maani , Le Wen","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108090","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108090","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As environmental issues related to global climate change intensify, green finance (GF) policies have emerged as vital tools for promoting sustainable development. This study examines the impact of GF policies on employment in China's manufacturing sector. Using unbalanced panel data of Chinese listed manufacturing enterprises from 2012 to 2021, and employing the difference-in-differences model, this study analyzes the impact of establishing China's GF innovation and reform pilot zones on manufacturing employment. The results show that the implementation of GF policies significantly increases employment in the manufacturing sector, with a more pronounced effect in non-state-owned enterprises, non-heavy-polluting industries, and high-tech manufacturing enterprises. Additionally, the study finds that GF policies alleviate financing constraints, enhancing employment levels in manufacturing enterprises. This research contributes to the existing literature by elucidating the employment effects of GF and providing insights for policymakers to use in fostering GF for economic growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 108090"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142743867","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Higher moments interaction between the US treasury yields, energy assets, and green cryptos: Dynamic analysis with portfolio implications","authors":"Najaf Iqbal , Zaghum Umar , Zhang Shaoyong , Tatiana Sokolova","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108077","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108077","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine how the US treasury yields are connected with traditional energy and green cryptocurrencies in higher moments. For this purpose, we first compute the US treasury yield curve's Level, Slope, and Curvature based on different maturities from October 2017 to December 2023 and then apply the TVP-VAR model on return, volatility, Skewness, and Kurtosis measures. We find that returns are the most connected compared with the higher moments. The dynamic connectedness represents distinct spikes in each moment's case, sharing patterns during the 2017 crypto rally, the COVID-19 outburst in 2020, and the Russia-Ukraine war eruption in 2022. Despite being the leading shock transmitters, green cryptocurrencies share weak connections in the higher moments, making them suitable diversifiers in turbulent times. We also compute minimum variance, minimum connectedness, and minimum correlation portfolios and their hedging effectiveness. Green cryptos significantly reduce variance in traditional energy portfolios, which is evident from their high hedging effectiveness. The connectedness patterns support the Global Financial Cycle Hypothesis, showing integration in extreme market conditions, partly affected by the US treasury yields. We discuss the important implications of these findings for portfolio managers and policymakers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 108077"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142758810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-26DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108078
Yichao He , Huili Wang , Yixuan Zheng , Yueyi Feng , Xiaojun Chen , Ling Jin , Yu Lei
{"title":"Revealing air quality impacts of the clean heating campaign in northern China","authors":"Yichao He , Huili Wang , Yixuan Zheng , Yueyi Feng , Xiaojun Chen , Ling Jin , Yu Lei","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108078","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108078","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To mitigate air pollution caused by bulk coal burning for heating in northern China during winter, the Chinese government initiated a clean heating campaign in Beijing and the surrounding region starting in 2017. The impact of this historic campaign remained unclear at a fine spatial and temporal resolution. Based on the annually updated high spatial resolution surveyed coal substitution data, this study coupled the multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) model with the two-stage DID model and found that bulk coal substitution would have led to a spatially and temporally averaged reduction by 4.0 μg/m<sup>3</sup> in wintertime PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration over Beijing and the surrounding region. Furthermore, taking advantage of the spatially disaggregated data, spillover effects associated with air pollution transportation were further quantified. Considering these effects, the estimated air quality benefit would increase to 8.2 μg/m<sup>3</sup>. Additionally, these benefits exhibit sustainability, with the fourth year post-implementation 3.6 times greater than the initial year, suggesting cumulative effects of the policy. On average, every 1kt of bulk coal substitution resulted to 0.3 μg/m<sup>3</sup> PM<sub>2.5</sub> reduction at a 0.1° × 0.1° grid. These findings, validated through extensive robustness testing, underscore the effectiveness and sustainability of the clean heating campaign and would offer valuable insights for relevant policy formulation in China or other developing countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 108078"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142759421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-26DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108085
Mariya Gubareva , Muhammad Shafiullah , Tamara Teplova
{"title":"Cross-quantile risk assessment: The interplay of crude oil, artificial intelligence, clean tech, and other markets","authors":"Mariya Gubareva , Muhammad Shafiullah , Tamara Teplova","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108085","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108085","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper explores the interconnections among oil, artificial intelligence (AI), clean technology, and traditional markets. We apply a novel generalized quantile-on-quantile connectedness method that assesses variable cross-quantile interdependencies, analyzing data from 2018 to 2023. Our study provides a detailed examination of risk transmission dynamics between oil, AI, clean technology, and major markets including equity, debt, and currency. Our findings indicate that tail risk spillovers are more pronounced than median quantiles. In contrast, the analysis shows negative spillovers across these tails in markets for U.S. government debt, the U.S. dollar, and gold. The dynamic risk transmission analysis reveals that while the stock and AI markets generally act as net transmitters of risk across all quantiles, the crude oil and USD index markets consistently receive net risk spillovers, particularly in the right tail of the distribution. Our results suggest that, on average, AI, and clean technology markets, along with the stock markets, are more likely to transfer risk spillovers compared to debt, currency, or other commodity markets. This positions the USD and crude oil as potential buffers against extreme risk transmissions emanating from the AI and clean technology sectors. This study highlights the complex risk dynamics and the pivotal role of oil in the interplay between emerging technologies and traditional financial markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 108085"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142743866","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-26DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108061
Maximilian Boeck , Thomas O. Zörner
{"title":"Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation","authors":"Maximilian Boeck , Thomas O. Zörner","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108061","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108061","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the recent increase in natural gas prices, the sensitivity of inflation expectations, and the pass-through to inflation. Using a semi-structural vector autoregression, we identify a natural gas price shock in the euro area with a combination of sign and zero restrictions. We rely on market-based measures of inflation expectations. The results show that shocks to the real price of natural gas affect both inflation and inflation expectations. To investigate the relative importance of the pass-through of inflation expectations to inflation, we conduct a structural scenario analysis in which inflation expectations are insensitive to movements in the real price of natural gas. The results indicate the presence of strong second-round effects via expectations. Our analysis provides guidance for policymakers to better understand the potential trade-offs of different policy responses to natural gas price shocks, particularly with respect to the potential for a de-anchoring of inflation expectations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 108061"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142759223","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2024-11-26DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108086
Niven Winchester, Lynn Riggs, Livvy Mitchell, Dominic White
{"title":"Searching for a just transition: Micro-level employment impacts of climate policies","authors":"Niven Winchester, Lynn Riggs, Livvy Mitchell, Dominic White","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108086","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108086","url":null,"abstract":"We develop and apply a modelling framework to estimate the micro-level employment impacts of climate policies in Aotearoa New Zealand. Our approach links an economy-wide model with a micro simulation module to calculate employment changes for different groups of the population across several dimensions (and combinations of dimensions), including sectoral, geospatial, demographic, and socio-economic categories. By simulating the linked modelling framework out to 2050 for proposed climate policies, we estimate which industries, workers, and jobs are expected to be most affected by these policies. Industries that experience the largest negative employment impacts include coal mining, oil and gas extraction, and some manufacturing activities. Reflecting the deployment of labour-intensive abatement options, some agriculture industries experience the largest employment increases. Workers that incur a disproportionate share of the transition are older, have lower levels of education, or are Māori. Employment transitions are also concentrated in certain regions. The results and modelling tools can help the New Zealand government formulate policies to ensure a ‘just transition’ to a low carbon future.","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142790072","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}