Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2026-10-01DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109651
Yijia Song,Qinyi Huang,Jiaqi Chen,Xitao Li
{"title":"Electrifying the factory and beyond: The impact of digital proximity on energy transition","authors":"Yijia Song,Qinyi Huang,Jiaqi Chen,Xitao Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109651","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109651","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"54 1","pages":"109651"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149210792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2026-10-01DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109644
Debbie J. Dupuis,Pierre-Olivier Pineau,Luca Trapin
{"title":"Critical peak pricing or rebate? An impact analysis in a cold climate market","authors":"Debbie J. Dupuis,Pierre-Olivier Pineau,Luca Trapin","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109644","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109644","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"1 1","pages":"109644"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149210791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2026-10-01DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109652
Xinyu Cao,Yan Li,Zongxin Qian
{"title":"The role of memory structure in tail risk forecasting for WTI crude oil futures","authors":"Xinyu Cao,Yan Li,Zongxin Qian","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109652","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109652","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"5 1","pages":"109652"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149210795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2026-10-01DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109649
Jalal Siddiki,Prakash Singh
{"title":"Risk premia in the UK electricity market under policy uncertainty and market fragmentation","authors":"Jalal Siddiki,Prakash Singh","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109649","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109649","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"28 1","pages":"109649"},"PeriodicalIF":12.8,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149210798","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-05-22DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109393
Anchal Gupta , Ashish Dwivedi , Sachin Kumar Mangla , Harreet Kaur , Manjari Garg , Sarah Ben Amor
{"title":"Attaining carbon neutrality goals in the energy sector: A MCDM study towards sustainable energy development","authors":"Anchal Gupta , Ashish Dwivedi , Sachin Kumar Mangla , Harreet Kaur , Manjari Garg , Sarah Ben Amor","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109393","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109393","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The energy sector is considered to be one of the major producers of carbon emissions. The carbon emissions represent a significant contributor to global environmental degradation. Thus, there is a need to reduce carbon emissions and promote long-term sustainable development. This study provides insights into strategic policy approaches that target carbon footprint reduction and thereby enhance energy sustainability. This study develops a decision-making framework for assessing carbon emissions and developing carbon reduction programs. Initially, the study addresses significant concerns in the energy sector using the Situation-Actor-Process-Learnings-Actions-Performance (SAP-LAP) approach. After variable identification from SAP-LAP analysis, an Interpretive Ranking Process (IRP) is applied to establish interrelationships between actions and performance measures, and finally, actions are ranked. The results from the study underscore the necessity of proactive efforts such as carbon pricing mechanisms, subsidised and incentive energy utilization plans, and personnel and sustainable infrastructure requirements for enhancing energy resource efficiency to promote sustainability. The results highlight the necessity for strategic efforts and policies to reduce carbon emissions and support the goal of sustainable energy development. The findings from the IRP approach conclude that major initiatives, such as Government approvals, strategic planning, and smart grid integration, are the most effective steps in reaching carbon neutrality. Such findings present actionable recommendations for policymakers and business leaders to help make investment decisions and policy interventions to speed up the shift to clean energy. This study offers a novel contribution by identifying practical policy aligned actions and prioritizing them to strengthen overall performance while reducing emissions in the energy sectors of developing economies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"159 ","pages":"Article 109393"},"PeriodicalIF":14.2,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148168579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-05-20DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109409
Yan Bu, Bole Zhang, Ziteng Wang
{"title":"Environmental dividends of population migration: The collaborative reduction of pollutant and carbon emissions","authors":"Yan Bu, Bole Zhang, Ziteng Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109409","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109409","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Large-scale interregional population migration (PM) in China exerts a profound impact on the environment, and how PM affects the Collaborative Reduction of Pollutant and Carbon Emissions (CRPC) has become a critical issue in environmental economics. Using panel data from 278 Chinese cities (2006–2021) and quantifying CRPC through a marginal abatement cost approach, this study shows that PM significantly promotes CRPC. The effect is more pronounced in cities governed by local-origin officials, those included in key environmental protection programs, and those with a healthier government-business relationship. From a full production-process perspective, PM fosters CRPC improvement through three interconnected pathways: enhancing green innovation capacity (source prevention), optimizing labor allocation (process optimization), and facilitating industrial agglomeration (end-of-pipe governance). Talent introduction policies further reinforce these mechanisms. Further analysis reveals that relaxing hukou restrictions amplifies the environmental dividend of migration, and that this migration-induced dividend materializes only when local R&D intensity exceeds a threshold of 1.92%.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"159 ","pages":"Article 109409"},"PeriodicalIF":14.2,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148168576","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Energy EconomicsPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-05-25DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109413
Haiying Liu , Ming Yang
{"title":"Artificial intelligence-powered hybrid probability density prediction for ultra-short-term offshore wind power: A model integrating TVFEMD, R2CMSE, and MCQRNNG","authors":"Haiying Liu , Ming Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109413","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109413","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The volatility of offshore wind power poses challenges for grid stability, necessitating reliable uncertainty quantification beyond deterministic forecasts. We propose a TRMG model that integrates time-varying filter empirical mode decomposition (TVFEMD), rapid refined composite multi-timescale entropy (R2CMSE), and an AI-based monotonic composite quantile regression neural network (QRNN) with Gaussian kernel estimation (MCQRNNG) for probabilistic prediction. Experiments conducted on TenneT offshore wind data demonstrated the TRMG’s strategic emphasis on uncertainty metrics over point accuracy. Compared to the EMD-based hybrid ERMG, TRMG reduces interval width by 53.846% (prediction interval normalized averaged width (PINAW): 0.036 vs. 0.078) and probabilistic error by 29.062% (pinball loss: 29.745 vs. 41.931 MW). Compared with the sample-entropy-based TSMG model, TRMG achieved superior coverage (prediction interval coverage probability: 0.841 vs. 0.403), 25.000% narrower intervals (PINAW: 0.036 vs. 0.048), and 70.555% lower distributional errors (pinball loss: 29.745 vs. 101.018 MW). Notably, when compared with the unconstrained quantile model TRQG with identical inputs, TRMG delivered 82.439% tighter intervals (PINAW: 0.036 vs. 0.205) through the monotonicity constraints of the MCQRNN, eliminated quantile crossing (0.000 vs. 0.510 MW for the two-layer QRNN), and provided the narrowest prediction bounds in the industry. The TRMG equips grid operators with decision-ready uncertainty estimates, which are essential for renewable integration and energy-security planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"159 ","pages":"Article 109413"},"PeriodicalIF":14.2,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148168577","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}