{"title":"The BP Artificial Neural Network Model on Expressway Construction Phase Risk","authors":"Chenyun, Yi Zichun","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.01.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.01.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>According to the feature of expressway construction phase risk, an evaluation index system of expressway engineering construction phase risk was proposed. The BP artificial neural network model can be effectively used in engineering risk evaluation was built. The BP artificial neural network evaluation of the basic principles and process of engineering risk evaluation model, including the establishment of neural networks, learning and training, test results and case analysis, was explained.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"4 ","pages":"Pages 409-415"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.01.004","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78417809","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation of Beverage Enterprise Risks from System Engineering Perspective","authors":"Xu Yihong , Shi Mengju","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.026","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.026","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In the hope of guiding the beverage enterprises to reduce the marketing channel risks from System Engineering point of view, this paper has studied the marketing channel risks of the beverage enterprises in Wuhan city circle by adopting the methods of AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Through literature reviews and factor analysis, and on the basis of questionnaire survey, it has established an assessment target system and a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for the beverage enterprises in Wuhan city circle, and conducted a questionnaire reliability and validity analysis by using SPSS13.0. The result shows that the assessment target system is effectual, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is feasible, reasonable and scientific on the beverage enterprise marketing channel risks.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 240-248"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.026","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87270077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multi-stage Multi-objective Engineering Evaluation Method for the Ability of the Emergency Resources Reserve System","authors":"Juan Liu, Jianming Zhu, Jun Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Emergency Plans play an important role in engineering emergency management. Evaluating the ability of the current resources reserve system is the first step of developing Emergency Plans, while the demand of affected areas are always different for different kinds and levels of the disasters. In this paper, we will present a multi-stage multi-objective evaluation model. Based on satisfaction function of resource, we consider both the amount and arriving time of resource arrived at each affected area. Because of the dynamic rescue process, the transportation scheme is multi-stage and we divide the emergency rescue period into three stages. Then a heuristic algorithm is proposed for the evaluation model. Computational results show both the model and algorithm are helpful when evaluating the ability of reserve resource system.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 43-48"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.007","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74659955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Methods of Financial Engineering: Strategy on Locking Periods","authors":"Delong Lee , Chengchuan Pu","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>From the perspective of financial engineering, this article conducts empirical tests towards the impact of China's A Stocks’ Reform (unlocking the non-tradable stocks) using event study method and finds positive and negative abnormal returns under different conditions. Such reform has a great effect on individual stocks. However, it is difficult to predict bullish or bearish solely on ‘style’, such as industries, market capitalization, unlocking ratio and the size of the shareholders. A hedge portfolio based on shareholders and unlocking ratio does not bring significant abnormal returns.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 119-124"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.016","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82108270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Safety Risk Analysis in Flight Operations Quality Assurance","authors":"Shao Xueyan, Qi Mingliang, Gao Mingang","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Flight data recorded by Quick Access Recorder (QAR) is gradually used to analyze pilot's operations quality, especially for the QAR exceedances. In this paper, we use the values of flight parameters to construct the state-space of pilots’ operations. A flight is seen as a point in it. Basing on the distributions of normal flights and flights triggering an exceedance, risk analysis is carried out to divide this state-space into dangerous and safety regions. A multi-objective programming is established to analyze the safety risk in pilot's operations and we use Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to find the boundaries of regions-of-interest. The feasibility of this method is validated through experiments with real flight data.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 81-86"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.013","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88971618","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Economic Value Added for Performance Evaluation: A Financial Engineering","authors":"Zhao Xin’e , Wang Ting , Zheng Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.059","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.059","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article utilizes Financial Engineering method to build the performance evaluation system centering on the value creation ability of commercial banks. It makes the evaluating indicators dimensionless with the extreme value processing method to obtain comprehensive score and sequence of the performance for the sample commercial banks, and finally the conclusion is made that it is important and practical to replace traditional indicators with EVA indicator in the performance evaluation of commercial banks.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 379-387"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.059","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73094814","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Social Network Developing Process Driven by Conflict in Mass Contingency Events","authors":"Dehai Liu , Weiguo Wang , Qingquan Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.044","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.044","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Two evolutionary mechanisms of mass contingency events are discussed, which are the cognition structure and the social network structure of the vulnerable groups and also the important problem in public security engineering of developing country. The paper analyzes the developing process of social network driven by conflict. Because the abundant participants share the expensive protest cost, the opinion leaders or sponsors organize the social network in the vulnerable group to maintain their legitimate rights and interests. The theoretical research shows that the protest strategy is feasible as soon as the social network reaches the minimal numbers. The CHAM strike event in 2010 provides an excellent case to explain the three-phase developing process of mass contingency events and the hiberarchy social network driven by the conflict. Lastly, it makes the simulation analysis about the social network of the CHAM strike under the Netlogo platform, where the simulating result is in accordance with the theoretical analysis.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 283-288"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.044","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74422113","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xiaohua Song, Lixiao Wang, Dongxiao Niu, Pie Zu, Yiwei Guo
{"title":"on Merging the Wind Power Equipment Manufacturing Enterprises into the Wind Power Generation Engineering Group","authors":"Xiaohua Song, Lixiao Wang, Dongxiao Niu, Pie Zu, Yiwei Guo","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.061","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.061","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As one of the most important follow-up energy sources, wind energy has a good prospect. Wind power equipment manufacturing industry is at the upstream level of the wind power industry chain. The development of the wind power industry is inseparable from the wind power equipment, which promotes the development of the wind power equipment manufacturing industry. The wind power generation engineering group chooses the right time to go into wind power equipment manufacturing industry, which will be conducive to the development of the wind power industry of China, corresponds with the development of the wind energy of China and conforms to the trends new energy strategy. This article constructs a framework of the feasibility study on merging a wind power equipment manufacturing enterprise into a power generation engineering group. From forecasting the prospects of the wind power equipment market, screening the target enterprises and analyzing the risk factors, the article argues that merging the wind power equipment manufacturing enterprises into power generation engineering group is feasible.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"4 ","pages":"Pages 161-167"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.061","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82171315","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Study of Auditing Monitor Mode in Electric Power Engineering","authors":"Zhao Baozhu, Rong Haiyun, Liu Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Electric power grid enterprises have made huge investment in electric power engineering every year. When the increasing number of projects has made management of projects stumble badly, auditing monitor has become extremely important. However, it is obvious that the shortage of auditing resource can not meet the demand of 100% engineering audit coverage when faced with huge oversee work. Therefore, it is necessary to study and innovate a new monitored mode to resolve the problem between huge oversee work and the shortage of auditing resource. This paper focuses on discussing how to choose the monitor mode of engineering audit and how to construct real-time dynamic auditing monitor system.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"3 ","pages":"Pages 69-76"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2011.11.010","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87330761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Emergency Scheduling Engineering in Single Resource Center","authors":"Xianyu Yu , Yulin Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.017","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.017","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper attempts to study the scheduling scheme in emergency resource center. The scheduling engineering in resource center can be divided into two stages: the normal stage and emergency stage. In the normal stage, orders come brokenly to the resource center in small number, and the order seldom has emergency requirement. In contrast, a large number of orders, which always have different emergency requirements, reach the resource center in a very short time. This paper analyzes the differences between the normal stage and emergency stage, and proposes the corresponding scheduling methods of two stages. In order to feed the different emergency requirements of orders, various weights are given to different orders. A polynomial algorithm is proposed to minimize the weighted makespan of emergency resource scheduling. Furthermore, a dynamic algorithm is designed to solve the dynamic emergency scheduling.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101207,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering Procedia","volume":"5 ","pages":"Pages 107-112"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.sepro.2012.04.017","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85425533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}