Xinyu Wang, Yao Fan, Deyu Cui, Chen Li, Zhibo Qian, Niuniu Sun, Xiangfeng Dai
{"title":"Emergent spatiotemporal heterogeneity in networked epidemics: Turing instability driven by topology and mobility.","authors":"Xinyu Wang, Yao Fan, Deyu Cui, Chen Li, Zhibo Qian, Niuniu Sun, Xiangfeng Dai","doi":"10.1063/5.0272926","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0272926","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While pattern formation in reaction-diffusion systems has been widely explored for epidemics in continuous media, its manifestation in networked populations remains poorly understood. We propose a theoretical framework integrating metapopulation networks with susceptible-infected-susceptible epidemic dynamics, revealing how topology and mobility jointly drive emergent spatiotemporal heterogeneity through Turing instability. Linear stability analysis identifies critical thresholds where eigenvector localization in scale-free networks amplifies heterogeneity by destabilizing low-degree nodes. Numerical simulations demonstrate that an infection rate (β) governs epidemic magnitude and pattern geometry, while a network degree distribution shapes a hierarchical phenomenon. Analytical solutions quantify how hub nodes suppress local instability, yet enhance global transmission. This work establishes Turing mechanisms as fundamental to networked epidemic patterns, bridging network science with reaction-diffusion theory. Our findings offer predictive tools for identifying high-risk zones in real-world mobility systems and informing targeted intervention strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144282700","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Rare events in a stochastic vegetation-water dynamical system based on machine learning.","authors":"Yang Li, Shenglan Yuan, Shengyuan Xu","doi":"10.1063/5.0268331","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0268331","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Stochastic vegetation-water dynamical systems are fundamental to understanding ecological stability, biodiversity conservation, water resource sustainability, and climate change adaptation. In this study, we introduce an innovative machine learning framework for analyzing rare events in stochastic vegetation-water systems driven by multiplicative Gaussian noise. By integrating the Freidlin-Wentzell large deviation theory with deep learning techniques, we establish rigorous asymptotic formulations for both the quasipotential and the mean first exit time. Leveraging vector field decomposition principles, we develop a novel neural network architecture capable of accurately computing the most probable transition paths and mean first exit times across diverse boundary conditions, including both non-characteristic and characteristic scenarios. Our findings demonstrate that the proposed method significantly enhances the predictive capabilities for early detection of vegetation degradation, thereby offering robust theoretical foundations and advanced computational tools for ecological management and conservation strategies. Furthermore, this approach establishes a scalable framework for investigating more complex, high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems, opening new avenues for research in ecological modeling and environmental forecasting.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144246722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modeling the co-evolution of multi-information and interacting diseases with higher-order effects.","authors":"Xuemei You, Ruifeng Zhang, Xiaonan Fan","doi":"10.1063/5.0272381","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0272381","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>To enhance epidemic management for co-occurring diseases, we investigate how multi-information diffusion impacts the transmission of interacting diseases under three interaction modes (inhibition, facilitation, asymmetry) in higher-order networks. We formulate a two-layer Unaware-Aware-Unaware-Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, comprising an upper information-diffusion layer and a lower disease-transmission layer with higher-order interactions represented by simplicial complexes. Extending the microscopic Markov chain approach, we derive the evolutionary equations and validate them via Monte Carlo simulations. Key findings are as follows: (1) Disease interaction modes alter state probabilities distinctively compared to independent spreading; (2) Bistability persists despite multi-information interference, highlighting higher-order network effects; (3) Multi-information interactions show mode-specific patterns-increasing one information's transmission rate differently affects another depending on disease interaction modes; (4) Multi-information modulates both the duration of disease coexistence and the infection prevalence; moreover, elevating the transmission rate of one information type yields divergent impacts on the prevalence of the other disease across different interaction modes. These insights advance targeted intervention strategies for interacting epidemics.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144246721","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations.","authors":"L Heck, M Gelbrecht, M T Schaub, N Boers","doi":"10.1063/5.0257224","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0257224","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in such data, limiting their ability to capture stochastic dynamics accurately. We investigate this underestimation in detail and propose a straightforward solution; by including an explicit additional noise regularization in the loss function, we are able to learn a model that accurately captures the diffusion component of the data. We demonstrate our results on a conceptual model system that highlights the improved latent neural SDE's capability to model stochastic bistable dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144483364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Raheleh Davoodi, Mahtab Mehrabbeik, Sajad Jafari, Matjaž Perc
{"title":"Elevated EEG fractal dimension in Parkinson's during timing tasks.","authors":"Raheleh Davoodi, Mahtab Mehrabbeik, Sajad Jafari, Matjaž Perc","doi":"10.1063/5.0274411","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0274411","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Fractal Dimension (FD), a measure of signal complexity, offers unique insights into nonlinear brain dynamics in neurodegenerative disorders. While Electroencephalography (EEG)-based biomarkers for Parkinson's disease (PD) are emerging, the fractal properties of PD-related neural activity remain underexplored. Here, we introduce FD as a novel nonlinear biomarker to distinguish PD patients (n=74) from healthy controls (n=37) during interval-timing tasks (3/7 s durations). EEG recordings revealed significantly higher FD values in PD patients during response phases, particularly in frontotemporal, parietal, and motor regions, indicating disrupted neural adaptability. Our findings reveal that short intervals engaged sensorimotor areas, while long intervals implicated frontoparietal networks, which uncovered task-specific effects. These findings highlight FD's sensitivity to PD-related neural disorganization, offering a robust diagnostic tool for capturing disease-specific complexity changes. This study establishes FD as the first EEG-derived fractal biomarker for PD, advancing our understanding of its neurophysiological mechanisms.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144198348","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hongyan Zang, Haiyan Fu, Lili Huang, Tengfei Lei, Shaobo He
{"title":"Design chaotic maps with elegance of mathematical equations and strengthened by the discrete memristor.","authors":"Hongyan Zang, Haiyan Fu, Lili Huang, Tengfei Lei, Shaobo He","doi":"10.1063/5.0261309","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0261309","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite the plethora of classical chaotic maps that have been proposed, the endeavor to discover novel chaotic maps exhibiting various forms of nonlinearity remains a formidable challenge. Inspired by the esthetic allure of mathematical curves, such as the cardioid and rose curves, a series of chaotic maps have been proposed. The results demonstrate that the resultant phase diagrams reflect the contours of these sophisticated curves. The presence of chaos is substantiated through the estimation of Lyapunov exponents and the application of the 0-1 test algorithm. Upon incorporating the discrete memristor into chaotic maps in two distinct manners, it is revealed that the resultant memristive chaotic maps exhibit heightened complexity. Given that the discrete memristor augments the dimensionality of the chaotic maps, hyperchaos phenomena are observed. Finally, analog circuits of two chaotic maps, namely, a cardioid chaotic map and its counterpart with a discrete memristor, are designed to show the physical realizability. This approach offers an alternative method for the design of chaotic maps and underscores the efficacy of discrete memristors in the enhancement of chaotic behaviors.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144215093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dmitri V Alexandrov, Irina A Bashkirtseva, Lev B Ryashko
{"title":"The wonders of colored noise in a climate model.","authors":"Dmitri V Alexandrov, Irina A Bashkirtseva, Lev B Ryashko","doi":"10.1063/5.0275848","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0275848","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The problem of identifying possible dynamic mechanisms causing a global climate change is considered. This problem is investigated on the basis of a conceptual mathematical model describing the dynamic interaction of a sea ice latitude and bulk ocean temperature in the presence of parametric random fluctuations given by colored noise. It is shown how, under the influence of random perturbations, the equilibrium modes of the initial deterministic model are transformed into large-amplitude oscillatory modes. The dependence of these stochastic effects on the temporal correlation characteristics of the colored noises is investigated in detail. In this study, along with direct numerical simulations of random solutions, a new mathematical technique of stochastic sensitivity analysis of systems with colored noise and the confidence ellipses method is effectively used. The zone of the most active colored noise causing resonance phenomena has been identified.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144215095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A P Kuznetsov, I R Sataev, N V Stankevich, L V Turukina
{"title":"On chaos with additional zero Lyapunov exponents and related effects. Overview and illustrations.","authors":"A P Kuznetsov, I R Sataev, N V Stankevich, L V Turukina","doi":"10.1063/5.0273932","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0273932","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The problem of high-dimensional chaos with additional zero Lyapunov exponents is discussed. A review of both early and modern publications is presented. Specific examples of systems of different nature and model systems are considered. The review is supplemented with illustrations on the example of a discrete version of the Lorenz-84 system and a flow system consisting of subsystems with multi-frequency quasiperiodicity and chaos. Related effects such as quasi-periodic resonant tongues, quasi-periodic windows in chaos, and quasi-periodic shrimps are also discussed.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144316003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Path integral approach for predicting the diffusive statistics of geometric phases in chaotic Hamiltonian systems.","authors":"Ana Silva, Efi Efrati","doi":"10.1063/5.0271479","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0271479","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>From the integer quantum Hall effect to swimming at a low Reynolds number, geometric phases arise in the description of many different physical systems. In many of these systems, the temporal evolution prescribed by the geometric phase can be directly measured by an external observer. By definition, geometric phases rely on the history of the system's internal dynamics, and so their measurement is directly related to the temporal correlations in the system. They, thus, provide a sensitive tool for studying chaotic Hamiltonian systems. In this work, we present a toy model consisting of an autonomous, low-dimensional, chaotic Hamiltonian system designed to have a simple planar internal state space and a single geometric phase. The diffusive phase dynamics in the highly chaotic regime is, thus, governed by the loop statistics of planar random walks. We show that the naïve loop statistics result in ballistic behavior of the phase and recover the diffusive behavior by considering a bounded shape space or a quadratic confining potential.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144265389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A simulation-supported thought experiment for measuring low-dimensional chaotic systems subjected to parameter drift.","authors":"M Herein, T Tél, T Haszpra","doi":"10.1063/5.0230984","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0230984","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We argue that a physics experiment with systems involving drifting parameters requires a paradigm shift: the measured signal, a curve, should be compared with a band resulting from simulations. Based on earlier theoretical results, an accurate description of drifting dissipative chaotic systems can only be given by following an ensemble of trajectories. After convergence to a time-dependent attractor (to the so-called snapshot attractor), the ensemble faithfully represents the dynamics. We point out that an experimentally measured signal should wander within the spread of the converged numerical ensemble, i.e., to behave as any of the ensemble members on the snapshot attractor. If that is the case, the model (a set of ordinary differential equations) used for the simulation can be considered credible. The transient period preceding the arrival to the attractor can be divided into two phases when using two initially localized ensembles. In the first one, a quick spread of the ensembles takes place, and a plume diagram evolves. The next, intermediate phase corresponds to a convergence of the no longer localized ensembles to the same unique time-dependent attractor and lasts approximately as long as the averages and other statistical moments of the two ensembles remain distinct.</p>","PeriodicalId":9974,"journal":{"name":"Chaos","volume":"35 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144483360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}