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Bayesian Modelling of Summer Daily Maximum Temperature Data 夏季日最高气温资料的贝叶斯模型
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2022.2.7
L. K. Debusho, T. A. Diriba
{"title":"Bayesian Modelling of Summer Daily Maximum Temperature Data","authors":"L. K. Debusho, T. A. Diriba","doi":"10.37394/232020.2022.2.7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2022.2.7","url":null,"abstract":"The extremes of summer daily maximum temperature was analyzed using the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to the Bisho weather station data, Eastern Cape Province, South Africa. Since the extreme events are naturally scarce it is expected that the use of a Bayesian inference may improve the efficiency of the parameters estimates of the distribution compared to the maximum likelihood method. Therefore, the Bayesian approach was also applied in the paper using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo for the generalized Pareto distribution. The expected improvement in efficiency is not fully achieved in this study using the noninformative and informative priors. However, the effects of informative prior constructed from historical data depends on the distance.","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"109 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79571824","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Probability Models of Natural Catastrophe Losses 自然灾害损失的概率模型
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2022.2.1
P. Jindrová, V. Pacáková
{"title":"Probability Models of Natural Catastrophe Losses","authors":"P. Jindrová, V. Pacáková","doi":"10.37394/232020.2022.2.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2022.2.1","url":null,"abstract":"In this article we describe parametric curve-fitting methods for modeling historical natural catastrophe losses. We summarize relevant theoretical results above Excess over Threshold Method (EOT) and provide its application to the data about total catastrophe losses in the world in period 1970-2014, published in No2/2015 Swiss Re study Sigma","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90801895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Its Standardization for BRT BRT的标准化
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2022.2.9
C. A. Sakurai, C. Fontana, Antonio Gil Da Silva Andrade
{"title":"Its Standardization for BRT","authors":"C. A. Sakurai, C. Fontana, Antonio Gil Da Silva Andrade","doi":"10.37394/232020.2022.2.9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2022.2.9","url":null,"abstract":"The Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) is an efficient transport system for cities that need to quickly expand its network of public transport, with minimal investment compared to other systems such as the Light Train, and providing a quality service to users. The BRT uses dedicated corridors to reduce user travel time, but these runners is within the existing road network, therefore it is necessary to implement automation systems that can coordinate BRT operations with other modes transport of city. This automation system, known as ITS, has features that perform this management, how to act at the traffic lights along the corridor in order to prioritize the passage of BRT also has other features in other areas that allow proper operation to BRT. This article brings to discussion the functionality of a BRT in order to define a map of required functionality for users, operators, managers, equipment providers, application providers and other interested parties can use as a guide for the execution of its activities.","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"349 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78438719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Non-stationary Response of a Beam for a New Rheological Model 一种新的流变模型下梁的非平稳响应
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2022.2.2
O. Martin
{"title":"Non-stationary Response of a Beam for a New Rheological Model","authors":"O. Martin","doi":"10.37394/232020.2022.2.2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2022.2.2","url":null,"abstract":"The paper is intended to provide the quasi-static and dynamic analysis of beam with fractional order viscoelastic material model, which was derived from integer order description using the Boltzmann superposition principle. The results were obtained for a fractional Zener model by the techniques of Laplace transform and binomial series. An example proves the accuracy of the solution for a simply-supported beam subjected to a uniform distributed load. Theoretical and numerical solutions can be easily extending to the complex structures configurations.","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86046245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An Automatic Approach for Documentation and Recovery of Rupestrian Paintings using Multisperspectral Remote Sensing 基于多光谱遥感的俄罗斯绘画自动记录与复原方法
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2022.2.5
Vicente Bayarri-Cayón, E. Castillo-López, J. Domínguez
{"title":"An Automatic Approach for Documentation and Recovery of Rupestrian Paintings using Multisperspectral Remote Sensing","authors":"Vicente Bayarri-Cayón, E. Castillo-López, J. Domínguez","doi":"10.37394/232020.2022.2.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2022.2.5","url":null,"abstract":"Today the majority of the research on rock art projects are based on the material remains in the form of painting and engraving. What exists now are not but the remains or part of that which the hand of man drew or recorded in the past. The combined action of natural and anthropogenic phenomena have been generating processes of deterioration which have led to the loss, on many occasions, an important part of the representations. Preserved signs are that make up the visible remains visually and therefore are the object of study by specialists. The implementation of a new mathematical techniques that work from data obtained using current of image acquisition, and mature technologies allow the recovery of representations, to a state of \"\"latent image\"\" after their deterioration process remain on the surface glyphs support, but are in no way visible to the human eye, and is the tool base used in the last years to document and analyse these figures. This makes that a large part of the knowledge generated in this period is only based on a part of the set of representations, the visible.The current conceptual, scientific and technological capabilities provide us tools to retrieve non-visible representations, helping to set up new models that tend to contain all of the information shown, changing in a very significant way representations or models for the study and the dissemination of cave images sets, forcing us logically","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88466886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Classic Probability Revisited (I): Mathematical Models of an Extended Probability Theory 经典概率论重访(一):扩展概率论的数学模型
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2022.2.10
Guoyin Wang
{"title":"Classic Probability Revisited (I): Mathematical Models of an Extended Probability Theory","authors":"Guoyin Wang","doi":"10.37394/232020.2022.2.10","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2022.2.10","url":null,"abstract":"Part I of this paper presents a set of extended mathematical models of probability theory in order to explain the nature, properties, and rules of general probability. It is found that probability is a hyperstructure beyond those of the traditional monotonic and one-dimensional discrete structures. The sample space of probability is not invariant in general cases. Types of vents in the sample space may be refined as joint or disjoint and dependent, independent, or mutuallyexclusive. These newly identified properties lead to a three-dimensional dynamic model of probability structures constrained by the type of sample spaces, the relation of events, and the dependency of events. A set of algebraic operators on the mathematical structures of the general probability theory is derived based on the extended mathematical models of probability. It is revealed that the Bayes’ law needs to be extended in order to fit more general contexts on variant sample spaces and complex event properties in fundamental probability theories. The revisited probability theory enables a rigorous treatment of uncertainty events and causations in formal inference, qualification, quantification, and semantic analysis in contemporary fields such as cognitive informatics, computational intelligence, cognitive robots, complex systems, soft computing, and brain informatics.","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"232 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79479250","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the Stokes Nonlinear Waves in 2D 二维Stokes非线性波的研究
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2022-03-17 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2022.2.3
N. Khatiashvili
{"title":"On the Stokes Nonlinear Waves in 2D","authors":"N. Khatiashvili","doi":"10.37394/232020.2022.2.3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2022.2.3","url":null,"abstract":"The Stokes nonlinear waves associated with the nonlinear problem of a free boundary with peaks in incompressible heavy fluid are studied in 2D. In the early works of the author by using the conformal mapping method this problem was reduced to the nonlinear integral equation with the weakly singular kernel. In this paper one parameter of the mapping is chosen sufficiently small and the equation is linearized. The approximate solution of the linearized equation is obtained. The profile of the free boundary is plotted by means of Maple-12.","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91255895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Advancing in-memory Arithmetic Based on CMOS-integrable Memristive Crossbar Structures 基于cmos可积记忆横梁结构的内存算法改进
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2021-11-27 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2021.1.12
E. Linn, Heidemarie Schmidt
{"title":"Advancing in-memory Arithmetic Based on CMOS-integrable Memristive Crossbar Structures","authors":"E. Linn, Heidemarie Schmidt","doi":"10.37394/232020.2021.1.12","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2021.1.12","url":null,"abstract":"Memristive computing will be advantageous in large-scale, highly parallel mixed-mode processing architectures because processing can be performed directly within memristive memory architectures and intrachip communication can be implemented by a memristive crossbar structure with reconfigurable logic gates. Here we report on the development of a new concept for in-memory adders, using XOR functionality. Exploited memristive crossbar structures are based on memristive complementary resistive switches, e.g. TaOx, and BiFeO3.","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89070494","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Formal Theories of Engineering Management 工程管理形式化理论“，
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2021-10-18 DOI: 10.37394/232020.2021.1.11
Guoyin Wang
{"title":"Formal Theories of Engineering Management","authors":"Guoyin Wang","doi":"10.37394/232020.2021.1.11","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37394/232020.2021.1.11","url":null,"abstract":"What is the key underpinning factor that determines the efficiency of group work? How does human group provide a mechanism for enabling the exchange between labor and time? This paper presents a coordinative work organization theory for explaining the fundamental mechanisms of engineering organization and management. The coordinative work organization theory is derived based on analyzing the nature of group workload and the exchange mechanisms between labor and time in team work. The human error mechanisms in task performance in groups are explored in order to develop a formal quality assurance theory in engineering management. Applications of the formal engineering organization theory have been demonstrated in efficient engineering project organization and optimization in supplement to traditional empirical practices in engineering management.","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82902456","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating witness testimony: Juror knowledge, false memory, and the utility of evidence-based directions. 评估证人证词:陪审员知识、错误记忆和循证指导的效用。
The international journal of evidence & proof Pub Date : 2021-10-01 Epub Date: 2021-09-16 DOI: 10.1177/13657127211031018
Rebecca K Helm
{"title":"Evaluating witness testimony: Juror knowledge, false memory, and the utility of evidence-based directions.","authors":"Rebecca K Helm","doi":"10.1177/13657127211031018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/13657127211031018","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Eyewitness evidence is often important in criminal cases, but false or misleading eyewitness evidence is known to be a leading cause of wrongful convictions. One explanation for mistakes that jurors are making when evaluating eyewitness evidence is their lack of accurate knowledge relating to false memory. This article examines lay beliefs relating to memory and ways in which they diverge from expert consensus. It identifies ways in which current directions provided to jurors in this area are likely to be deficient in influencing juror knowledge and in helping them apply that knowledge in a case context, and develops criteria that can be used to assess the likely effectiveness of directions. A new evidence-based training direction is designed based on these criteria, and tested in a mock jury study (N = 411). Results suggest that the proposed direction is more effective than a basic direction in influencing juror knowledge and facilitating the application of that knowledge to case facts.</p>","PeriodicalId":93382,"journal":{"name":"The international journal of evidence & proof","volume":"25 4","pages":"264-285"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8508426/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39526886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
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