{"title":"A comparative study of explainable machine learning models with Shapley values for diabetes prediction","authors":"Keona Pang","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100390","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100390","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the years, numerous machine learning models have been developed, leading to successful applications across various fields. This study uses a large dataset related to type 2 diabetes prediction from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in the United States. The dataset with 70692 samples has 21 input features and one output (non-diabetes or diabetes). In addition to health indicators like Body Mass Index (BMI), blood pressure, and cholesterol level, the features include socioeconomic factors (e.g., income, education) and lifestyle factors such as diet and physical activity. This paper aims to study how these features influence diabetes risk. 80 % of the dataset is used for training and 20 % for testing. Six machine learning models, as well as the Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) model, were used in the investigation. A detailed comparison of the performance of these models is given. Shapley values explain the nature of various machine learning models using visualization by color graphs to demonstrate the reliability of different machine learning models. This paper shows how Shapley values can improve their explainability and interpretability on diabetes prediction. We leverage the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) scores to provide information about the relative importance of each predictive feature, and these results shed light on the relationship between the features and the risk of developing type 2 diabetes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"7 ","pages":"Article 100390"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143629245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A recommender system with multi-objective hybrid Harris Hawk optimization for feature selection and disease diagnosis","authors":"Madhusree Kuanr, Puspanjali Mohapatra","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100384","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100384","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study proposes a health recommender system to analyze health risk and disease prediction by identifying the most responsible disease-causing factors using a hybrid Genetic–Harris Hawk optimization multi-objective feature selection approach. The proposed recommender system uses the Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool (TPOT) automated machine learning model to recommend the most suitable machine learning prediction model with the best classifier in terms of classification accuracy for a disease with the selected features. It also recommends the top three disease-causing features for a particular disease that can be utilized to analyze a person’s health risk. The proposed system has also been compared with the competing prediction approaches using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Singular Vector Decomposition (SVD), and Autoencoders. We show that the proposed system outperforms competing approaches in terms of classification accuracy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"7 ","pages":"Article 100384"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143172046","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An integrated machine learning and hyperparameter optimization framework for noninvasive creatinine estimation using photoplethysmography signals","authors":"Parama Sridevi, Zawad Arefin, Sheikh Iqbal Ahamed","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100395","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100395","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Frequent measurement of creatinine levels is vital for patients with chronic kidney disease. Traditional creatinine level measurement requires invasive blood test which has several disadvantages like discomfort, anxiety, panic, pain, risk of infection, etc. To address the issue, we propose a noninvasive machine learning (ML) model-based method to estimate creatinine level using photoplethysmography (PPG) signal. We obtained the PPG signal and gold-standard serum creatinine level of 404 patients from the Medical News Mart for Concentrated Care III (MIMIC III) database. In data preprocessing, we analyzed the PPG signal following several steps and created PPG feature set. We used multiple feature engineering methods to identify the most important features. We integrated Optuna, a hyperparameter optimization framework, with every ML model to get the optimal hyperparameters. We developed five ML models and compared their performance both with and without the application of Optuna. We found that Optuna significantly improves every model's performance. With Optuna, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) performed best among all five models. This XGBoost model had an accuracy of 85.2 %, an average k-fold cross validation score (k = 10) of 0.70, and a “receiver operating characteristic area under the curve” (ROC-AUC) score of 0.80. With the high performance exhibited by our developed model, the study can play a crucial role in the field of noninvasive creatinine estimation and diagnosis of chronic kidney disease.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"7 ","pages":"Article 100395"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143887787","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sara Al-Naabi , Noura Al Nasiri , Talal Al-Awadhi , Meshal Abdullah , Ammar Abulibdeh
{"title":"An equity-based spatial analytics framework for evaluating pharmacy accessibility using geographical information systems","authors":"Sara Al-Naabi , Noura Al Nasiri , Talal Al-Awadhi , Meshal Abdullah , Ammar Abulibdeh","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100401","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2025.100401","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Healthcare services have a significant impact on socioeconomic and health development globally. In Oman, rapid development since the 1970s has led to a focus on the equitable distribution of public services. This research aims to evaluate the spatial accessibility and distribution of pharmacies in Muscat Governorate, Oman, using Geographical Information Systems (GIS) and spatial analysis techniques. The primary objective is to measure the equity in the spatial distribution of pharmacies within Muscat Governorate. The study utilizes spatial datasets, including administrative areas, pharmacy locations, settlement locations, transportation networks, and non-spatial datasets such as demographic data. The methodology involves spatial distribution analysis using Average Nearest Neighbor (ANN), Moran's I for spatial autocorrelation, Kernel Density Analysis (KDA), Thiessen polygons for catchment areas, and Network analysis for determining service areas and accessibility by walking and driving distances. Findings indicate a clustered distribution of pharmacies, with higher concentrations in densely populated northern Wilayats like Muttrah, AS Seeb, and Bawshar. Muttrah exhibits the highest accessibility, with 99 % coverage within a 2.5 km radius, whereas Muscat Wilaya lacks pharmacy services entirely. These findings highlight significant disparities in the spatial distribution of pharmacies, underscoring the need for policy interventions to ensure equitable access. Policymakers should consider geographic and demographic factors in health service planning to ensure fair distribution and accessibility across the governorate. Implementing these recommendations can help improve healthcare access and equity in Muscat, contributing to overall social and health development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"7 ","pages":"Article 100401"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144147169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimized early fusion of handcrafted and deep learning descriptors for voice pathology detection and classification","authors":"Roohum Jegan, R. Jayagowri","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100369","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100369","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study presents an automated noninvasive voice disorder detection and classification approach using an optimized fusion of modified glottal source estimation and deep transfer learning neural network descriptors. A new set of modified descriptors based on a glottal source estimator and pre-trained Inception-ResNet-v2 convolutional neural network-based features are proposed for the speech disorder detection and classification task. The modified feature set is obtained using mel-cepstral coefficients, harmonic model, phase discrimination means, distortion deviation descriptors, conventional wavelet, and glottal source estimation features. Early descriptor-level fusion is employed in this study for performance enhancement-however, the fusion results in higher feature vector dimensionality. A nature-inspired slime mould algorithm is utilized to remove redundant and select the best discriminating features. Finally, the classification is performed using the K-nearest neighbor (KNN) classifier. The proposed algorithm was evaluated using extensive experiments with different feature combinations, with and without feature selection, and with two popular datasets: the Arabic Voice Pathology Database (AVPD) and the Saarbrucken Voice Database (SVD). We show that the proposed optimized fusion method attained an enhanced voice pathology detection accuracy of 98.46%, encompassing a wide spectrum of voice disorders on the SVD database. Furthermore, compared to traditional handcrafted and deep neural network-based techniques, the proposed method demonstrates competitive performance with fewer features.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100369"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142742998","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ravi Vissapragada , Norma B. Bulamu , Roger Yazbeck , Jonathan Karnon , David I. Watson
{"title":"A Markov cohort model for Endoscopic surveillance and management of Barrett’s esophagus","authors":"Ravi Vissapragada , Norma B. Bulamu , Roger Yazbeck , Jonathan Karnon , David I. Watson","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100360","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100360","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Barrett's esophagus is an asymptomatic precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma. Its rising incidence due to lifestyle factors, coupled with healthcare costs, requires cost-effective alternatives for surveillance. We propose a decision-analytic Markov cohort model to simulate Barrett's esophagus's natural progression to esophageal adenocarcinoma using TreeAge Pro. Health states include metaplasia (non-dysplastic Barrett's esophagus), low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, and esophageal adenocarcinoma. Triplicates of these health states represent one non-stratified and two risk-stratified cohorts for devising risk-based strategies. A cycle length of six months and a time horizon of 35 years, totaling 70 cycles, is considered. Model inputs are derived from literature and, when unavailable from an extensive local database of 1087 patients (5081 person-years) from March 2003–2021, cleaned and analyzed with Rstudio (R version 3.6.3). Specific tests included descriptive statistics, Cox-proportional hazard models, and graphing. A seven-step calibration process is performed for risk-stratified and non-stratified groups simultaneously to match the progression to high-grade dysplasia and esophageal adenocarcinoma. This allows comparison between risk- and non-risk-based strategies. The calibration process included input parameterization, optimization, goodness of fit calculation, selection of sets meeting convergence criteria, and integration into probabilistic sensitivity analysis. This process generated 10,187 sets of transition probabilities, with 4358 meeting convergence criteria, ensuring equal model outputs in all groups. Mortality was 10.7% for cancer-related deaths, matching literature values. This process provides a robust framework for evaluating Barrett's esophagus progression and management strategies, supporting informed decision-making in healthcare.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100360"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772442524000625/pdfft?md5=39571667386e7018b829933792fd6ca7&pid=1-s2.0-S2772442524000625-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142147835","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yu-Chen Hu, Pelin Angin, Haiming Liu, Debnath Bhattacharyya
{"title":"e-Health and artificial intelligence: Emerging trends, models, and applications","authors":"Yu-Chen Hu, Pelin Angin, Haiming Liu, Debnath Bhattacharyya","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100354","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100354","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100354"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143129681","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kenneth J. Locey, Brian D. Stein, Ryan Schipfer, Brittnie Dotson, Leslie Klemp
{"title":"An open-source application for obtaining retrospective and prospective insights into overall hospital quality star ratings","authors":"Kenneth J. Locey, Brian D. Stein, Ryan Schipfer, Brittnie Dotson, Leslie Klemp","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100371","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100371","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Overall Hospital Quality Star Ratings (overall star ratings) are designed to assist healthcare consumers by summarizing dozens of hospital quality measures. These ratings are also used by hospitals to direct quality improvements and are often used in healthcare research. However, no analytical tools have been developed to provide insights into the data, measures, and scores of the overall star rating system. To this end, we developed a novel open-source application to provide retrospective insights, prospective estimates, and research-ready data. Users can 1) examine changes in hospital performance from 2021 onward, 2) recalculate overall star ratings based on hypothetical improvements, 3) download data for all hospitals included in the overall star rating system since 2021, and 4) obtain prospective estimates based on the overall star rating methodology and its data source (Care Compare). We demonstrate 99.6% accuracy when estimating overall star ratings six months prior to public release. Estimates of whether hospitals will retain their star rating are up to 90% accurate a year before public release. We discuss the use of our application in healthcare research and the potential for similar tools to be developed for other hospital rating and ranking systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100371"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143129683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rasel Ahmed , Nafiz Fahad , Md Saef Ullah Miah , Md. Jakir Hossen , Md. Kishor Morol , Mufti Mahmud , M. Mostafizur Rahman
{"title":"A novel integrated logistic regression model enhanced with recursive feature elimination and explainable artificial intelligence for dementia prediction","authors":"Rasel Ahmed , Nafiz Fahad , Md Saef Ullah Miah , Md. Jakir Hossen , Md. Kishor Morol , Mufti Mahmud , M. Mostafizur Rahman","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100362","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100362","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Dementia is a major global health issue that significantly impacts millions of individuals, families, and societies worldwide, creating a substantial burden on healthcare systems. This study introduces a novel approach for predicting dementia by employing the Logistic Regression (LR) model, enhanced with Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), applied to a unique dataset comprising 1000 patients, with 49.60% male and 50.40% female. The LR model, recognized for its simplicity and effectiveness in binary classification tasks, is optimized through RFE, a technique that iteratively eliminates less significant features to improve model performance. The model’s effectiveness was assessed using comprehensive metrics, including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), and Kappa score. Furthermore, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were employed to increase the interpretability of the model, providing insights into the most influential features for dementia prediction. To address the issue of overfitting, a standardization technique was implemented, which enhanced the model’s predictive performance. The findings of this study hold potential implications for early dementia detection, informing intervention strategies, and optimizing healthcare resource allocation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100362"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772442524000649/pdfft?md5=1b759d8a985cabb4b185f0a36f88797f&pid=1-s2.0-S2772442524000649-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142272799","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An optimal control model for monkeypox transmission dynamics with vaccination and immunity loss following recovery","authors":"O.A. Adepoju, H.O. Ibrahim","doi":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100355","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.health.2024.100355","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The viral illness known as monkeypox causes symptoms such a rash that can appear on the hands, feet, chest, face, and lips or near the genitalia. This study presents a mathematical model for the kinetics of monkeypox transmission with vaccination and immunity loss following recovery. The theories of positivity and boundedness are used to analyze the model’s well-posedness. The next generation matrix is used to determine the model’s basic reproduction number. The model’s equilibrium points are discovered. We demonstrate that the disease-free equilibrium was locally asymptotically stable. The center manifold theory is used to establish the bifurcation analysis. The impact of the parameters related to the fundamental reproduction number <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> is investigated using the normalized forward sensitivity index. In addition, the model is expanded to incorporate time-dependent management of preventing interaction with contaminated rodents, avoiding contact with contaminated people, wearing personal protective equipment, and reducing rodent populations by utilizing an integrated pest management strategy. The model’s qualitative analysis is supported by numerical simulation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73222,"journal":{"name":"Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100355"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772442524000571/pdfft?md5=c42d8831c6521c0f5e1b1f9045af04e9&pid=1-s2.0-S2772442524000571-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141630149","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}