Pawan Acharya, Tabitha Garwe, Sara K Vesely, Amanda Janitz, Jennifer D Peck, Alisa M Cross
{"title":"Enhancing geriatric trauma mortality prediction: Modifying and assessing the Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score with net benefit and decision curve analysis.","authors":"Pawan Acharya, Tabitha Garwe, Sara K Vesely, Amanda Janitz, Jennifer D Peck, Alisa M Cross","doi":"10.1111/acem.15103","DOIUrl":"10.1111/acem.15103","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Calibration and discrimination indicators alone are insufficient for evaluating the clinical usefulness of prediction models, as they do not account for the cost of misclassification errors. This study aimed to modify the Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score (GTOS) and assess the clinical utility of the modified model using net benefit (NB) and decision curve analysis (DCA) for predicting in-hospital mortality.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The Trauma Quality Improvement Program (TQIP) 2017 was used to identify geriatric trauma patients (≥ 65 years) treated at Level I trauma centers. The outcome of interest was in-hospital mortality. The GTOS was modified to include additional patient, injury, and treatment characteristics identified through machine learning methods, focusing on early risk stratification. Calibration and discrimination indicators, along with NB and DCA, were utilized for evaluation.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of the 67,222 admitted geriatric trauma patients, 5.6% died in the hospital. The modified GTOS score included the following variables with associated weights: initial airway intervention (5), Glasgow Coma Scale ≤13 (5), packed red blood cell transfusion within 24 h (3), penetrating injury (2), age ≥ 75 years (2), preexisting comorbidity (1), and torso injury (1), with a total range from 0 to 19. The modified GTOS demonstrated a significantly higher area under the curve (0.92 vs. 0.84, p < 0.0001), lower misclassification error (4.9% vs. 5.2%), and lower Brier score (0.036 vs. 0.042) compared to the original GTOS. DCA showed that using the modified GTOS for predicting in-hospital mortality resulted in higher NB than treating all, treating none, and treating based on the original GTOS across a wide range of clinician preferences.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The modified GTOS model exhibited superior predictive ability and clinical utility compared to the original GTOS. NB and DCA offer valuable complementary methods to calibration and discrimination indicators, comprehensively evaluating the clinical usefulness of prediction models and decision strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":"668-680"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12171684/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143254294","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Whitney W Schwarz, Amanda M Lee, Andrew D J Meyer, Dylan Z Erwin, Mark R Zonfrillo
{"title":"Emergency medicine providers' experience with posttonsillectomy hemorrhage in the emergency department.","authors":"Whitney W Schwarz, Amanda M Lee, Andrew D J Meyer, Dylan Z Erwin, Mark R Zonfrillo","doi":"10.1111/acem.15092","DOIUrl":"10.1111/acem.15092","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":"702-704"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143373478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sari Luthfiyah, Triwiyanto Triwiyanto, Mohammed Ismath
{"title":"Enhancing geriatric trauma mortality prediction: Modifying and assessing the geriatric trauma outcome score with net benefit and decision curve analysis.","authors":"Sari Luthfiyah, Triwiyanto Triwiyanto, Mohammed Ismath","doi":"10.1111/acem.70027","DOIUrl":"10.1111/acem.70027","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":"716-717"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143690654","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Daniel S Tsze, Rebecca K Burger, Eileen J Klein, Todd P Chang, Neil G Uspal, Alessandra Guiner-da Silva, Lorin R Browne, Keli D Coleman, Corrie E Chumpitazi, Amy L Drendel
{"title":"Research priorities for pediatric pain management in emergency medicine.","authors":"Daniel S Tsze, Rebecca K Burger, Eileen J Klein, Todd P Chang, Neil G Uspal, Alessandra Guiner-da Silva, Lorin R Browne, Keli D Coleman, Corrie E Chumpitazi, Amy L Drendel","doi":"10.1111/acem.70028","DOIUrl":"10.1111/acem.70028","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>There is a high prevalence of acute pain in children cared for in the emergency care setting. However, there are still significant gaps in knowledge regarding optimal pain management. We aimed to develop a prioritized research agenda that identifies key questions for pediatric pain management in the emergency care setting that will guide future research and optimize care for children.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We used a modified Delphi approach to achieve consensus among a multidisciplinary and geographically diverse expert advisory group. An initial list of 108 research questions was identified, with successive rounds of questionnaires conducted until there was a convergence of opinion or a point of diminishing returns was reached. The list was iteratively refined each round by advisory group members who ranked research questions and provided suggestions for potential additional questions and feedback regarding questions considered.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Twenty-nine advisory group members participated in the modified Delphi approach. Over the course of two rounds, we identified 10 research questions as the highest priority for future investigation. These questions included topics addressing short- and long-term outcomes related to inadequately assessed and treated pain, patient- and family-centered outcomes, optimizing analgesia in the emergency department (ED) and at home after discharge from the ED, nonpharmacologic/integrative treatments, novel analgesic treatments and strategies, children with difficult-to-treat pain, prehospital pain management, eliminating health disparities, opioid misuse/abuse, and dissemination and implementation.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The 10 research questions identified as highest priority can inform future work by researchers, funders, policy makers, and other key decision makers who aim to meaningfully advance the management of pain in children cared for in the emergency care setting.</p>","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":"688-698"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143778724","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maria L Fernandez Olivera, Carl Pafford, Thomas Lardaro, Steven K Roumpf, Michele Saysana, Benton R Hunter
{"title":"Decreased racial disparities in sepsis mortality after an order set-driven initiative: An analysis of 8151 patients.","authors":"Maria L Fernandez Olivera, Carl Pafford, Thomas Lardaro, Steven K Roumpf, Michele Saysana, Benton R Hunter","doi":"10.1111/acem.15083","DOIUrl":"10.1111/acem.15083","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Sepsis is a leading cause of hospital mortality and there is evidence that outcomes vary by patient demographics including race and gender. Our objectives were to determine whether the introduction of a standardized sepsis order set was associated with (1) changes in overall mortality or early antibiotic administration or (2) changes in outcome disparities based on race or gender.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Patients seen in the emergency department and admitted to the hospital with a diagnosis code of sepsis were identified and divided into a preintervention cohort seen during the 18 months prior to the initiation of a new sepsis order set and an intervention cohort seen during the 18 months after a quality initiative driven by introducing the order set. Associations between time period, race, gender, and mortality were assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models. Other outcomes included early antibiotic administration (<3 h from arrival).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall mortality was unchanged during the intervention period (7.8% vs. 7.2%) in both univariate (relative risk [RR] 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93-1.26) and multivariate logistic regression (RR 1.11, 95% CI 0.93-1.28) models. Although male gender tended to have higher mortality, there was no statistically significant association between gender and mortality in either cohort. In the multivariable model, Black race was associated with increased risk of death in the preintervention period (RR 1.41, 95% CI 1.02-1.94), but this association was not present in the intervention period. Patients of color also saw significantly more improvement in early antibiotic administration during the intervention period than White patients.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>An order set-driven sepsis initiative was not associated with overall improved mortality but was associated with decreased racial disparities in sepsis mortality and early antibiotics.</p>","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":"598-603"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12171656/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142930053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Response to racial disparities and patient-centered choice in medications for opioid use disorder: A commentary on Hazekamp et al.","authors":"Corey Hazekamp, Anthony Scoccimarro","doi":"10.1111/acem.70072","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/acem.70072","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144155533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Safety of treating low-risk patients with acute pulmonary embolism at home.","authors":"Sophia Bouzrara, Raymond Beyda","doi":"10.1111/acem.70044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/acem.70044","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144141098","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Aniket A Kawatkar, Praveen Thokala, Steve Goodacre, Aileen S Baecker, Adam L Sharp, Rita F Redberg, Ming-Sum Lee, Maros Ferencik, Benjamin C Sun
{"title":"Cost-effectiveness of early noninvasive cardiac testing for suspected acute coronary syndrome.","authors":"Aniket A Kawatkar, Praveen Thokala, Steve Goodacre, Aileen S Baecker, Adam L Sharp, Rita F Redberg, Ming-Sum Lee, Maros Ferencik, Benjamin C Sun","doi":"10.1111/acem.70066","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/acem.70066","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Early noninvasive cardiac testing (NIT) is often performed in the initial workup of patients who present to the emergency department (ED) with suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Our study objective was to calculate the cost-effectiveness of adopting early NIT for risk stratification to avoid future nonfatal acute myocardial infarction (MI) or death.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>To obtain the incremental difference in cost and clinical outcomes, we first conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study within the member population of the Kaiser Permanente Southern California integrated health care delivery system. We then adapted existing cost effectiveness models to generate long-term costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained by NIT.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The cohort included 89,387 patients (mean age 57 years, 58% female) and 19% received early NIT. Total cost was higher by $2357 (95% confidence interval [CI] $77 to $4821) for early NIT compared to no early NIT and was mainly due to the increased cost of the index ED visit. Early NIT was associated with lower composite risk of death/nonfatal MI (absolute risk difference -3.7%, 95% CI -4.4% to -3.01%) during a 1-year follow-up. From a payor's perspective, early NIT was cost-effective at $5268/QALYs.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In patients with suspected ACS evaluated in the ED, incorporation of early NIT was associated with an overall increase in cost of health care that was driven by increased cost of the initial ED visit. However, due to the significant clinical benefits, early NIT was cost-effective in the low- and intermediate-risk patients while it is a dominant strategy in high-risk patients saving cost and QALYs.</p>","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144136200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Racial disparities and patient-centered choice in medications for opioid use disorder: A commentary on Hazekamp et al.","authors":"Wen Ling Chen, Lien-Chung Wei","doi":"10.1111/acem.70071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/acem.70071","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":7105,"journal":{"name":"Academic Emergency Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144136204","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}