Zhe Tu , Bisharat Hussain Chang , Raheel Gohar , Eunchan Kim , Mohammed Ahmar Uddin
{"title":"Climate policy uncertainty and its impact on energy demand: An empirical evidence using the Fourier augmented ARDL model","authors":"Zhe Tu , Bisharat Hussain Chang , Raheel Gohar , Eunchan Kim , Mohammed Ahmar Uddin","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.08.021","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.08.021","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Global climate change and its subsequent impact on energy demand present pressing issues for policymakers. Existing literature presents various determinants of energy demand, but the intricate relationship between energy demand and climate policy uncertainty (CPU) remains underexplored. Utilizing the Fourier-augmented ARDL (FA-ARDL) model and drawing from monthly data spanning March 1995 to August 2022, we investigate the impact of CPU on energy demand in China. Our study finds a significant long-run co-integration between climate policy uncertainty (CPU) and renewable energy demand. The FA-ARDL analysis shows that CPU negatively impacts renewable energy demand in both the short and long term, as it leads to higher renewable energy prices. These increased prices deter stakeholders from investing in or adopting renewable technologies, making renewables less competitive compared to traditional energy sources. Our findings are helpful for policymakers to communicate the climate objectives since mitigating climate-related uncertainties would substantially drive renewable energy consumption.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 374-390"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142173765","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Coming clean on your taxes","authors":"Sebastian Beer, Ruud de Mooij","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.08.032","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.08.032","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper develops a simple model to explore whether a higher detection probability of tax evaders—e.g., because of improved exchange of information between countries and/or due to digitalization of tax administrations—renders it optimal for governments to introduce a voluntary disclosure program (VDP) and, if so, under what terms. We find that if the VDP is unanticipated, it is likely to be optimal for a revenue-maximizing government to introduce a VDP with relatively generous terms, i.e., a low or even negative penalty. When anticipated, however, the VDP is neither incentive compatible nor optimal, as it induces otherwise compliant taxpayers to evade tax. A VDP can then only be beneficial if tax evasion induces an external social cost beyond the direct revenue foregone, e.g., due to adverse effects on overall tax morale. In contrast to the common view that VDPs should come along with additional enforcement effort, we find that governments should relax enforcement if the VDP itself provides more powerful incentives to come clean.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 455-474"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142230385","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does oil price uncertainty affect IPO underpricing? Evidence from China","authors":"Xin Xiang , Xu He , Yajie Han","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Oil is regarded as a crucial energy source impacting firms’ production, investments, and even financing. In this study, we investigate the relationship between oil price uncertainty and underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs). Using a sample of IPO firms in the Chinese A-share market between 2010 and 2022, we demonstrate that oil price uncertainty is positively associated with IPO underpricing. The transmission mechanism suggests that oil price uncertainty increases information asymmetry, prompting IPO firms to use underpricing to signal their profitability and ensure the participation of investors. Moreover, the positive relationship between oil price uncertainty and IPO underpricing is strengthened in state-owned enterprises and is weakened in firms with enhanced corporate governance. We contribute to the existing literature by establishing a new link between oil price uncertainty and IPO underpricing.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 240-259"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149922","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Advancing green innovation through the establishment of data regulatory bodies: Insights from the Big Data Bureau in China","authors":"Cuiying Shao , Zhanyu Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Digital technology serves as a significant catalyst for green innovation (GI), intricately linked with policy guidance and strategic planning. Recently, a notable strategic approach fostering the evolution of digital technology is the establishment of Data Regulatory Bodies (DRBs). Leveraging data from 293 cities between 2010 and 2020, this paper employs a difference-in-differences methodology to investigate the impact of DRB establishment on GI. The results reveal a substantial increase in GI levels following DRB establishment. This enhancement is facilitated by improved administrative efficiency, the cultivation of digital finance, and the advancement of enterprise digitization. Furthermore, the effectiveness of these effects is optimized when DRBs are established through the integration of existing departments’ functions into a new department, particularly in cities with stable power and high marketization levels. These findings provide actionable insights for governmental initiatives aimed at fostering GI.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 308-325"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Technological progress and economic dynamics: Unveiling the long memory of total factor productivity","authors":"Anran Xiao , Zeshui Xu , Tong Wu , Yong Qin , Marinko Skare","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study aims to explore the dynamics of total factor productivity (TFP) in 40 advanced economies and its implications for economic stability, growth patterns, and technological integration. Understanding the concept of long memory in TFP is crucial in comprehending the diverse paths of economic development and technological advancement in different nations. The study endeavors to clarify the concept of long memory in TFP and analyze its impact on economic stability, growth patterns, and technological integration on a global scale. The research employs a sophisticated methodological framework that integrates a combination of unit root tests, non-parametric methods, fractional integration techniques, and ARFIMA models. This multifaceted approach provides a nuanced understanding of the persistence in TFP series and helps distinguish between stable and mean-reverting TFP dynamics across different nations. The analysis highlights the varying trajectories of TFP across these economies, which sheds light on the diverse paths of economic development and technological advancement. The findings of this research are pivotal in comprehending the role of TFP in shaping growth convergence, influencing business cycle fluctuations, and technological progress. The study contributes to policy discourse by proposing strategic policy measures that harness the long-term trends of TFP. These recommendations encompass key areas such as labor, capital, institutional frameworks, and innovation policies. Countries can optimize sustainable economic development and foster effective technological integration in an increasingly interconnected global economy by implementing these measures.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 326-343"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142164206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Catalytic role of the digital economy in fostering corporate green technology innovation: a mechanism for sustainability transformation in China","authors":"Shixian Ling , Hongfu Gao , Di Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The digital economy is a novel catalyst for economic growth and sustainable development, representing an emerging trend in economic development. This study investigates the impact of the digital economy on green technology innovation within Chinese listed companies between 2009 and 2022. The empirical studies indicate the digital economy significantly promotes green technology innovation in corporations, especially in non-state-owned, large-sized, and mid-western companies. The analysis of the influence mechanism reveals that the digital economy has a substantial impact on the advancement of green technology innovation. This is achieved through alleviating financing constraints, promoting human capital agglomeration, and improving resource allocation efficiency. This research provides decision-making references for promoting green development and resolving the paradox of imbalanced and insufficient growth among companies with various ownership structures, total asset sizes, and regions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 278-292"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xiuyun Yang , Muhammad Nouman Shafiq , Arshian Sharif , Seemab Gillani , Xubin Zeng
{"title":"Balancing progress and preservation: analyzing the role of technological innovation in mitigating environmental degradation caused by energy consumption in China","authors":"Xiuyun Yang , Muhammad Nouman Shafiq , Arshian Sharif , Seemab Gillani , Xubin Zeng","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>China is undergoing a significant transition as it modernizes its energy consumption system and changes its approach to economic development. However, this transformation comes at the expense of environmental quality. The utilization of technological innovation has emerged as a significant catalyst for China's pursuit of environmentally conscious and sustainable development. Accordingly, this study utilizes panel data from 30 Chinese provinces spanning the years 1997–2021. The research employs the MMQR and BSQR to conduct an empirical analysis to find the influence of energy consumption (EC) and technological innovation (TI) on environmental degradation (ED). The findings of the research indicate that EC is a prominent manifestation of ED, while TI contributes negatively to ED. The inclusion of an interaction term suggests that the relationship between TI and ED can be influenced by the extent to which energy conservation and emission reduction are improved. The study's conclusion revealed that economic growth, population, and industrial structure are positively associated with CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in China. This study offers a set of recommendations for policymakers to formulate policies related to environmental quality.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 391-409"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142173769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jianda Wang , Weijian Lyu , Xi Chen , Senmiao Yang , Xiucheng Dong
{"title":"Navigating total-factor carbon emission efficiency in the digital era: A case study from industry structure, environmental regulations, and trade spillover","authors":"Jianda Wang , Weijian Lyu , Xi Chen , Senmiao Yang , Xiucheng Dong","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.09.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Digital technology innovation has become essential to China's sustainable, low-carbon social development strategy. However, its spatial impact on carbon reduction and efficiency is unclear. This study innovatively utilizes patent search to define digital technology innovation and spatial econometric modeling to assess its association with total-factor carbon emission efficiency (TCEE) in 286 Chinese cities. There are some exciting research findings: (1) Digital technology innovation effectively accelerates local TCEE and contributes to TCEE in surrounding cities through spatial spillover effects. (2) The heterogeneous results show that digital technology innovation increases the local TCEE in the western region, inhibits the local TCEE in the eastern and northeastern areas, and shows apparent positive spillover effects in both the eastern and western areas; the positive effects of digital technology innovation on TCEE in non-resource cities and small cities are all-encompassing. (3) Both industrial structure upgrading and optimization can enhance the spatial spillover effect of digital technology innovation on TCEE; both formal and informal environmental regulations (ER) can effectively accelerate the TCEE enhancement effect of digital technology innovation on local and surrounding cities. (4) Digital technology innovation affects the TCEE of trading partners through domestic bilateral trade. This manuscript provides an actionable reference for measuring digital technology innovation and China's path to achieving an efficient low-carbon pathway.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 260-277"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149923","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Energy transitions across household distributions in northern India","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.05.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.05.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates sustainable household energy transitions including a reduction in kerosene lamp use and increases in solar home systems and solar lanterns. We use a large and detailed survey of around 9,000 households in northern India in 2015 and 2018. Our key analytical insights focus on inequality across economic and wealth distributions, including the lack of major distributional changes between the two survey waves. We find that a positive relationship between economic resources and solar home system use is driven by the upper end of economic distributions. Kerosene use is also substantially lower for the top of the economic distribution, especially in the 2018 survey. In contrast, economic resources have a weak relationship with solar lantern use. Future policies can be devised with reference to our results showing a more robust relationship between assets, rather than income, and household energy transitions. The stronger influence of assets is evident for a range of asset variables and for a composite wealth index which we construct. Detailed analysis of socio-economic distributions has value for informing policy attempts to target support to constrained households.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"83 ","pages":"Pages 1151-1163"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0313592624001176/pdfft?md5=75aa8338b8e4a7a5c2b9bf5170358638&pid=1-s2.0-S0313592624001176-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141045207","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jiacai Xiong , Ling Huang , Xin Wang , Martin Bai , Yafeng Qin
{"title":"Local government fiscal stress and regional entrepreneurship: Evidence from a natural experiment in China","authors":"Jiacai Xiong , Ling Huang , Xin Wang , Martin Bai , Yafeng Qin","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.08.026","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.08.026","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Employing the abolition of the agricultural taxes in 2005 in China as a natural experiment, this paper investigates the impact of local government fiscal stress on regional entrepreneurship. We find that the reform results in increased fiscal expenditure and decreased new firm entry. This result suggests that local government fiscal stress is a significant hindrance to regional entrepreneurship, particularly in areas with low fiscal self-sufficiency, limited financial development, and weak legal systems. We also explore the mechanisms through which agricultural tax abolition affects entrepreneurial activities. Our findings indicate that four mechanisms are effective in influencing entrepreneurship, including enhanced tax collection and management, increased local debt, rising land prices, and heightened uncertainty perception by entrepreneurs. Overall, our research provides new insights into the relationship between local fiscal stress and economic development from the perspective of regional entrepreneurship.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 177-193"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142149919","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}