{"title":"Optimal portfolio selection of China's green bond and stock markets: Evidence from the multi-frequency extreme risk connectedness","authors":"Wei-Qiang Huang, Jing Dai","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.015","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.015","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the optimal portfolio of industry stocks with China's green bond (CBGB) at different time scales, through comparing minimum connectedness portfolio (MCoP1) and modified minimum connectedness portfolio (MCoP2) under the condition of minimizing extreme risk connectedness, as well as minimum VaR portfolio. First, we examine the ability of CBGB to provide diversification benefits for industry stocks at different scales, which employs extreme risk connectedness. Then, the portfolio performing optimally at each scale is explored by comparing specific performances of various portfolio methods. The empirical results show that: (1) CBGB is weakly related to industry stocks, whether in the time or frequency domain, and is the net receiver. (2) Most industry stocks play different roles (transmitter or receiver) in different scales, with time-varying characteristics. Therefore, industry stocks benefit highly from the diversification effects of CBGB, and their portfolio should possess frequency and time-varying characteristics. (3) Based on the comparison results of weight allocations, cumulative returns, and Sharpe ratios, the short-term optimal performance is achieved by MCoP2, while in medium- to long-term, MCoP1 outperforms MCoP2 and minimum VaR portfolio. This implies that considering extreme risk connectedness in the construction of portfolios can effectively enhance returns, but in the long term, market integration should also be taken into account.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 208-237"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143132222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Shadow banking contraction and employment decisions in manufacturing firms: Empirical evidence from China's new asset management regulations","authors":"Zhengrong Yuan , Qiuzuo Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study represents the inaugural exploration utilizing the 2018 \"New Asset Management Regulation\" (NAMR) as a quasi-natural experiment to examine the repercussions of the reduced scale of shadow banking, prompted by the regulation, on the employment scale of enterprises. Analyzing a dataset comprising Chinese manufacturing companies listed from 2015 to 2020, the empirical findings indicate a significant decline in the labor employment scale of companies exhibiting higher financialization levels post-implementation of the NAMR, as opposed to those with lower financialization levels. Mechanism analysis reveals that the policy heightens financing constraints and escalates debt default risks, thereby hindering employment in enterprises. The heterogeneity analysis demonstrates a more pronounced negative impact on employment in companies characterized by higher long-term use of short-term debt, diminished growth prospects, heightened involvement in shadow banking, and increased development levels in local shadow banking. Additionally, the policy primarily limits the employment size in firms that finance or engage in arbitrage through shadow banking, while also reducing the demand for low-educated labor within these firms. This study enhances understanding of the impact of shadow banking on the real economy. Moreover, it offers valuable insights for advancing the standardization and market-oriented development of asset management businesses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 131-149"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142747905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Qin Xiao , Yixiao Jin , Rong Yu , Enze Zhang , Yuechuan Zhao
{"title":"Does the Air Pollution Joint Prevention and Control Policy Work: Evidence from China","authors":"Qin Xiao , Yixiao Jin , Rong Yu , Enze Zhang , Yuechuan Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Developing countries face significant challenges in managing regional air pollution. While previous studies show the benefits of the Air Pollution Joint Prevention and Control (AJPC) policy, there needs to be more understanding of its implementation challenges. Using data from the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region in China and applying a tripartite evolutionary game (TEG) model along with a difference-in-differences (DID) method, our study talks about the effectiveness of AJPC policy. We find that the AJPC policy has positively impacted air quality. However, its effectiveness varies across regions and periods, making it difficult to achieve the original goals. Additionally, we identified challenges to implementing the policy, such as free-riding from governance spillover, the instability of central government regulation, and the limited policy-carrying capacity of micro-entities. Our findings highlight the complexity of regional pollution control and provide critical insights for refining pollution management strategies in developing countries, offering valuable guidance for policymakers aiming to enhance regional air quality control.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 2049-2070"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705648","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does regional integration promote the improvement of the green production efficiency of tourism industry?","authors":"Di Xu , Pengfei Shi , Chunyan Wu , Yu Diao","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper clarifies the essential connotation and mutual mechanism of regional integration and the green production efficiency of tourism industry (GPET) and verifies the effect of regional integration on the GPET. The results show that: (1) The GPET under the influence of regional integration shows an overall growth trend, the internal differences are gradually narrowing, and there exists significant spatial autocorrelation in the spatial pattern, with the High-High agglomeration in the east and the Low-Low agglomeration in the west. (2) Regional integration has a significant positive contribution to the GPET, but the spillover effect is not obvious. (3) The opening up and employment scale can significantly promote the GPET, but the local government's ability to intervene in the market, economic density and intensity of environmental regulation have the significant negative impact on the level of GPET in local. (4) Regional integration to promote high GPET is characterized by “multiple concurrency” and “asymmetry”. The types of high GPET drivers include “traveler flow-economic development” and “environmental protection-social security”.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 94-110"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142747804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dynamic spillovers between Shanghai crude oil futures and China's green markets: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile connectedness approach","authors":"Min Liu , Hongfei Liu , Weiying Ping","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper provides a preliminary investigation of the dynamic relationship between crude oil and different green assets by examining the spillover effects between the Shanghai crude oil futures (INE), carbon emissions trading (CET), ESG stocks (ESG), clean energy stocks (CSI) and green bonds (GB) markets. The innovation of this paper is its adoption of the quantile-on-quantile connectedness approach to analyze the spillover effects that occur in these markets across various quantiles and provide more accurate and comprehensive empirical results. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, CSI and ESG are positively correlated with INE during the sample period, while CET and GB are negatively correlated with INE. Second, CET has strong potential to hedge against oil shocks during normal market states, while GB shows better hedging performance during extreme market states. Third, regardless of the quantile level, ESG and CSI play the role of primary information transmitters in the network, while GB and CET act more as net spillover recipients. These findings help oil investors to realign their portfolios for risk avoidance and provide policymakers with a reference for formulating policy measures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 78-93"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142747806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Green public procurement and firms' pollution emissions: Does demand-side environmental policy matter?","authors":"Renjie Zhang , Guiyi Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Environmental governance requires both production-side and demand-side approaches. Previous literature has extensively studied environmental regulatory policies on the production side, while the role of demand side factors has often been neglected. This study constructs a staggered difference-in-difference model to investigate the impact of Green Public Procurement (GPP) on firms' pollution emissions taking the green procurement lists enacted by the Chinese government as a quasi-natural experiment. The results demonstrate that being selected into the green procurement lists significantly reduces firms' pollution emissions, and the findings still hold after endogeneity tests and a series of robustness tests. We identified the mechanisms responsible for this effect. The reduction in firms' pollution emissions mainly results from energy transition, enhanced technological innovation, and improved end-of-pipe treatment capacity. Heterogeneity analyses indicate that the pollution reduction effect of GPP differs depending on the procurement implementation modalities and firm characteristics. Finally, we use China's domestic input-output table to calculate the indicators of upstream and downstream industry linkages and examine the production network spillover effects of GPP. The results show that GPP effectively reduces the pollution emissions of upstream and downstream firms through production network linkages. This study provides empirical evidence from China on the effectiveness of GPP as a demand-side policy in pollution reduction, and offers valuable policy insights for further improving the policy system of environmental governance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1958-1978"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Digital economy, CO2 emissions and China's environmental sustainable development— an analysis based on TVP-VAR model","authors":"Xinyi Zhang , Yufan Chen , Tianqi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The growth of digital economy and sustainable development of environment are important issues related to high-quality economic development in the new era. This paper selects the yearly data of China from 2007 to 2021, constructs the China's Environmental Performance Index(EPI), and establishes the TVP-VAR model to investigate the dynamic time-varying relationship among digital economy growth, CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, and environment sustainability over short, medium and long-term. The results indicate that the relationships among them are time-varying at all terms. Specifically, in first, the growth of the digital economy exerts a negative impulse on CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, with its immediate consequences being more pronounced than its prolonged impacts. Secondly, there exist positive impulses between the the digital economy and environment sustainability. CO<sub>2</sub> emissions has a negative impact on sustainable development of environment. Thirdly, they have same influencing tendencies at certain time points, but different impact degrees. The impact of the digital economy on environmental sustainable development has significantly increased since the COVID-19 outbreak. Therefore, the development of digital economy can effectively reduce CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and promote the sustainable development of the environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1945-1957"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Political conformity and digital transformation: Evidence from China","authors":"Haiyan Yang , Linlin Chen , Yuyu Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the influence of political conformity on digital transformation in Chinese family businesses from 2011 to 2020. We find that political conformity significantly boosts digital transformation by strengthening strategic leadership, technology focus, and organizational capabilities. It also fosters risk-taking, reduces agency costs, and eases financial constraints. The impact is more pronounced in situations in contexts with high economic policy uncertainty, when executives have limited IT knowledge, family members hold positions in the party committee, and the firm is geographically proximate to the political center, Beijing. Additionally, aligning political conformity with technology strategies not only advances digital transformation but also enhances the businesses' Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) profile and firm value.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1979-1997"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of environmental regulation on enterprise green innovation","authors":"Qin Kun , Yao Chang , Niu Runkai","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper evaluates the real effects of the environmental regulation at the firm level. Using the implementation of Chinese Air Pollution Prevention and Control in 2013 as a quasi-natural experiment,difference-in-differences estimation shows that: (1) environmental regulation significantly improve the application of green innovation by firms, and this relationship is robust to different specifications and alternative measures; (2) three possible channels are the improved levels of the environmental protection subsidy, total factor productivity (TFP) and environmental protection investment of enterprises; (3) our findings are particularly pronounced in subsamples with the application of utility green innovation and state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Overall, this paper reveals the micro-mechanisms behind the real effects of environmental regulation on firm green innovation, thus providing timely implications for regulators concerned with environmental protection.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1933-1944"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705635","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Employee stock ownership plans and controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors","authors":"Lei Zhou, Feng Wei","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using a large sample of Chinese non-financial listed firms from 2014 to 2021, we find that employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs) significantly reduce controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors, and this finding is robust after addressing endogeneity concerns. We then provide evidence to show that reducing the risk of control transfer and controlling shareholders’ private benefits of control are important channels in which ESOPs affect controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors. Furthermore, we find that effect of ESOPs on controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors is less pronounced when firms with stronger corporate governance. We also demonstrate that the type of ownership, the source of funding, and the lock-up period of ESOPs can affect the effectiveness of ESOPs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1747-1770"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142658477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}