Economic Analysis and Policy最新文献

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How does carbon transition risk drive corporate diversification? Evidence from heavy emitter firms in China
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.033
Khanh Hoang , Cuong Nguyen , Toan Luu Duc Huynh , Hailiang Zhang , Van Thi Thuy Vu
{"title":"How does carbon transition risk drive corporate diversification? Evidence from heavy emitter firms in China","authors":"Khanh Hoang ,&nbsp;Cuong Nguyen ,&nbsp;Toan Luu Duc Huynh ,&nbsp;Hailiang Zhang ,&nbsp;Van Thi Thuy Vu","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.033","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.033","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Carbon-intensive firms are increasingly exposed to carbon transition risks stemming from evolving climate policies, forcing them to adapt to a low-carbon economy. While prior research focuses on direct environmental initiatives to mitigate carbon transition risks, limited attention has been given to corporate diversification as an alternative strategy. This study investigates the impact of carbon transition risks on revenue diversification of Chinese listed firms, employing a difference-in-differences framework with the Paris Agreement as an exogenous shock. We find a significant increase in diversification of heavy-emitting firms following the Paris Agreement compared to their counterparts, without a corresponding increase in environmental investments or green technology adoption. This response is notably pronounced among firms with state ownership and is weakened when investment irreversibility is high. The findings align with the real options perspective and provide new insights into corporate responses to climate policy changes within the unique context of China.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 1971-1994"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143519839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Greening through economic complexity: New evidence from Chinese cities
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.034
Mengying Ni , Zimin Liu , Zhuang Zhang
{"title":"Greening through economic complexity: New evidence from Chinese cities","authors":"Mengying Ni ,&nbsp;Zimin Liu ,&nbsp;Zhuang Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.034","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.034","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>“The stronger get stronger, the weaker get weaker”? Does the process of urban economic complexity exhibit a preference for green? This research utilizes the reflection iteration method to measure the economic complexity of Chinese cities and examines the impact of economic complexity on urban green development and its underlying mechanisms. The results are as follows: (1) the enhancement of economic complexity promotes the green development of urban economies, with enduring effects; (2) the green impact of economic complexity exhibits an increasing marginal trend, meaning that the higher the urban complexity, the stronger the marginal effect; (3) mechanism analysis indicates that economic complexity, on one hand, optimizes the developmental path of urban industries by squeezing out pollution-intensive and resource-dependent industries; on the other hand, economic complexity contributes to strengthening the urban innovation ecosystem, such as enhancing levels of urban innovation, entrepreneurship, technological advancement, R&amp;D collaboration, and knowledge spillover. Additionally, the impact of economic complexity on urban green development is moderated by external constraints such as energy efficiency, environmental regulations, and public supervision; (4) heterogeneity analysis reveals that the green impact effect of economic complexity varies with the level of talent accumulation, administrative hierarchy, geographical location and industrial layout. This study offers valuable insights for optimizing urban development path and promoting green transformations in urban areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 2063-2090"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143548267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing geopolitical risk: Sovereign CDS insights from the Russo-Ukrainian War
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.027
Olivér Nagy , Gábor Neszveda
{"title":"Assessing geopolitical risk: Sovereign CDS insights from the Russo-Ukrainian War","authors":"Olivér Nagy ,&nbsp;Gábor Neszveda","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.027","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.027","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how sovereign Credit Default Swaps’ (CDS) reactions reflect a country’s financial resilience to military conflicts, specifically analyzing the Russo-Ukrainian War. We find that sovereign CDS offers unique insights compare to equity markets. Sovereign CDS spreads had already started to increase at least two weeks before the outbreak of the war. Second, prior to the war, abnormal sovereign CDS spreads is correlated with financial vulnerability such as the Debt-to-GDP ratio, while after the outbreak of the war NATO membership and distance from Moscow become the significant predictor of abnormal sovereign CDS spreads indicating a shift in risk assessment dynamics towards geopolitical considerations. This divergence between equity market and sovereign CDS responses highlights their ability to capture different aspects of market sentiment and risk, underscoring the importance of sovereign CDS in evaluating the financial implications of geopolitical instability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 1995-2006"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143548371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of low-carbon city pilot policy on public health: An empirical analysis of adult health in China
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.039
Hongwen Chen , Jie Dian , Sihan Fan , Ying Fang
{"title":"The effect of low-carbon city pilot policy on public health: An empirical analysis of adult health in China","authors":"Hongwen Chen ,&nbsp;Jie Dian ,&nbsp;Sihan Fan ,&nbsp;Ying Fang","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.039","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.039","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Growing concern about climate change and the promotion of green and low-carbon development has led to an increase in attention given to the health effects of Low-Carbon City Pilot (LCCP) policy on adults in developing countries. However, limited research has been conducted in this area. This study employs the difference-in-differences approach to analyse the impact of LCCP policy on adult health and its mechanism. Our results indicate that LCCP policy has significantly improved the health of adults by decreasing the likelihood of residents' illness or injury in the last four weeks, reducing the probability of high blood pressure, and decreasing the prevalence of overnutrition. Robustness tests were conducted, and the results remain consistent. Our mechanism analysis reveals that LCCP policy has improved adult health by reducing pollutant emissions, upgrading industrial structures, and enhancing public services. Heterogeneity analysis suggests that urban areas and higher-income households are significantly impacted by the policy. Our study provides valuable insights into the evaluation of LCCP policy, recommending that policymakers consider implementing targeted measures in similar contexts to promote public health and sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 2043-2062"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143548266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Economic impact and policies for the obesity pandemic in emerging economies
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.009
Carlos J. García
{"title":"Economic impact and policies for the obesity pandemic in emerging economies","authors":"Carlos J. García","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A complementary methodology to traditional econometric analysis is proposed to estimate the economic impact of healthy eating and to evaluate policies against the obesity pandemic in emerging countries. The impact of healthy eating is quantified with a structural model based on stylized facts to define preferences, the relationship between disease and obesity, and agents’ perception of healthy eating. To illustrate the methodology, the model is estimated with Bayesian econometrics for a representative emerging country (Chile). The methodology is complementary to other alternatives, contributing to quantify the second-round benefits of food programs and public policies. Thus, to the extent that evaluation programs indicate that one or another alternative is beneficial, our proposal will show how these benefits are transferred to the entire economy and its productivity. This helps to add another criterion to classify the different policies, reinforcing the design and debate of public policies in this area and, also, with other matters of public interest. The results indicate that an emerging economy may be foregoing a substantial part of its growth if the obesity pandemic is not adequately addressed with policies that change agents’ behavior.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 1949-1970"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143509239","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
National river conservation plan and water pollutants in India
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.031
Apra Sinha , Ashish Kumar Sedai
{"title":"National river conservation plan and water pollutants in India","authors":"Apra Sinha ,&nbsp;Ashish Kumar Sedai","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.031","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.031","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines pollution sources in major Indian rivers and assesses the effectiveness of the National River Conservation Plan (NRCP) in reducing water pollution. Using an extended Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) framework that includes socio-economic characteristics, institutional factors and accounts for cross-sectional dependence, we find that rising income effectively reduces chemical pollutants but worsens pollution from untreated sewage and biodegradable waste in developing economies. Our analysis shows that the NRCP significantly reduced water pollution, particularly chemical effluents. Furthermore, increased newspaper circulation correlates with lower pollution levels, emphasizing the role of public awareness in enhancing water quality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 2192-2206"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143578198","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The good, the bad: How digital technology shapes welfare for formal and flexible workers?
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.037
Su Zhang , Yan Xia , Huijuan Wang , Jiaofeng Pan
{"title":"The good, the bad: How digital technology shapes welfare for formal and flexible workers?","authors":"Su Zhang ,&nbsp;Yan Xia ,&nbsp;Huijuan Wang ,&nbsp;Jiaofeng Pan","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.037","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.037","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Digital technology has a profound impact on China's labor market. How does the welfare inequality between formal and flexible workers change under the influence of digital technology? In this paper, theoretical and empirical studies are carried out respectively. In theory, the welfare effect of individual dimension is considered based on building a general equilibrium model including market production sector and household production sector; In the empirical aspect, the pooled four-wave data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) from 2014 to 2020 are used to test the effects of digital technology on the welfare inequality between the formal and flexible workers. The findings reveal that digital technology widens wage disparity and non-wage benefit inequality between formal and flexible workers. Sectoral analysis indicates that digital technology significantly increases wage disparity in high-digitalization sectors, while non-wage benefit inequality is primarily exacerbated in low-digitalization sectors. Mechanism analysis demonstrates that the substitution effect and productivity effect negatively impact wage disparity, whereas the creation effect and the flexibility of flexible workers mitigate it. Regarding non-wage benefit inequality, digital skill gaps caused by digital technology exacerbate inequality, while legal efficiency and regulatory quality help alleviate it. In addition, the wage disparity and non-wage benefits inequality between the formal and flexible workers caused by digital technology are significantly different in different education levels, gender, time and regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 2007-2029"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143548372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of increasing labour market rigidity on employment growth in OECD countries
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.03.010
Rasmus Wiese , João Tovar Jalles , Jakob de Haan
{"title":"The impact of increasing labour market rigidity on employment growth in OECD countries","authors":"Rasmus Wiese ,&nbsp;João Tovar Jalles ,&nbsp;Jakob de Haan","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.03.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.03.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how labour market counter-reforms, i.e., measures that make it more difficult to hire and fire workers and that increase unemployment benefits, affect employment growth in 25 OECD countries. Although counter-reforms occur frequently, they have received little attention in empirical research. The theoretical effects of labour market counter-reforms on employment are ambiguous. For instance, higher firing costs may decrease employment as employers are less willing to hire. However, employment may also increase as layoffs may decline due to more stringent firing constraints. Moreover, the effects may depend on the type of contract; workers with a temporary contract have less employment protection. Increasing their protection may increase labour supply notably in an economic upswing when the labour market is tight. Our results suggest that employment protection counter-reforms for temporary workers increase employment growth when the economy is performing above trend. The effects of counter-reforms of unemployment benefits are insignificant.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 2265-2275"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143578199","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sunrise, sunset, and adverse effects of the inflexible schedule on the health of students: Evidence from China
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.03.001
Zhicheng Xu, Qingqi Zhao
{"title":"Sunrise, sunset, and adverse effects of the inflexible schedule on the health of students: Evidence from China","authors":"Zhicheng Xu,&nbsp;Qingqi Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.03.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.03.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Industrialization has changed the human life rhythm synchronized with the sunrise/sunset, yet human biological features cannot fully adapt to these changes. The unified time zone and inelastic schedule in China make it difficult to coordinate sunrise and sunset times with daily routines, potentially leading to health issues. This paper examines the effects of exogenous variations in sunrise/sunset times across different seasons and regions on the time allocation and health outcomes of school children in China. Using the China Family Panel Studies, we find that later sunsets lead to sleep deprivation, increased indoor leisure time, and reduced extracurricular learning and physical exercise, which can impair physical and mental health. However, rigid morning schedule prevents students from compensating for sleep by late wake-up. Moreover, non-boarding and G9/12 students are more negatively affected. Our findings highlight the costs of the discrepancy between sunrise/sunset times and rigid daily life schedules and suggest adopting more flexible schedules that account for the seasonal and regional changes in sunset times.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 2180-2191"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143578197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Consumer preference for fresh produce: Does the biological control influence their choices?
IF 7.9 2区 经济学
Economic Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.040
Zhenzhen Liu , Xianhui Geng , Zhifeng Gao , Jingqiu Zhang
{"title":"Consumer preference for fresh produce: Does the biological control influence their choices?","authors":"Zhenzhen Liu ,&nbsp;Xianhui Geng ,&nbsp;Zhifeng Gao ,&nbsp;Jingqiu Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.040","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2025.02.040","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the impact of Biological Control (BC) methods on Chinese consumer preferences for fresh produce, with a particular focus on enhancing the functional components of pears. A Choice Experiment (CE) was conducted with 758 respondents from China, employing mixed Logit and Latent Class (LC) models to ascertain preference heterogeneity. Results indicate a strong consumer preference for pears enriched with vitamin C and fiber through BC, with consumers demonstrating a higher willingness to pay (WTP) for these functional attributes. Additionally, consumers prioritize food safety and environmental friendliness in their food choices, yet show indifference to the use of BC or other production technologies. The observed preference heterogeneity highlights the importance of market segmentation. Based on these insights, the study recommends leveraging labeling and branding strategies to communicate these quality attributes. The research contributes to understanding the evolving consumer demand for functional and environmentally friendly produce, providing valuable guidance for producers to align their offerings with market expectations and adopt biological control methods in a competitive market.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 2030-2042"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143548265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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