{"title":"Dynamic spillovers between Shanghai crude oil futures and China's green markets: Evidence from quantile-on-quantile connectedness approach","authors":"Min Liu , Hongfei Liu , Weiying Ping","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper provides a preliminary investigation of the dynamic relationship between crude oil and different green assets by examining the spillover effects between the Shanghai crude oil futures (INE), carbon emissions trading (CET), ESG stocks (ESG), clean energy stocks (CSI) and green bonds (GB) markets. The innovation of this paper is its adoption of the quantile-on-quantile connectedness approach to analyze the spillover effects that occur in these markets across various quantiles and provide more accurate and comprehensive empirical results. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, CSI and ESG are positively correlated with INE during the sample period, while CET and GB are negatively correlated with INE. Second, CET has strong potential to hedge against oil shocks during normal market states, while GB shows better hedging performance during extreme market states. Third, regardless of the quantile level, ESG and CSI play the role of primary information transmitters in the network, while GB and CET act more as net spillover recipients. These findings help oil investors to realign their portfolios for risk avoidance and provide policymakers with a reference for formulating policy measures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"85 ","pages":"Pages 78-93"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142747806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Green public procurement and firms' pollution emissions: Does demand-side environmental policy matter?","authors":"Renjie Zhang , Guiyi Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Environmental governance requires both production-side and demand-side approaches. Previous literature has extensively studied environmental regulatory policies on the production side, while the role of demand side factors has often been neglected. This study constructs a staggered difference-in-difference model to investigate the impact of Green Public Procurement (GPP) on firms' pollution emissions taking the green procurement lists enacted by the Chinese government as a quasi-natural experiment. The results demonstrate that being selected into the green procurement lists significantly reduces firms' pollution emissions, and the findings still hold after endogeneity tests and a series of robustness tests. We identified the mechanisms responsible for this effect. The reduction in firms' pollution emissions mainly results from energy transition, enhanced technological innovation, and improved end-of-pipe treatment capacity. Heterogeneity analyses indicate that the pollution reduction effect of GPP differs depending on the procurement implementation modalities and firm characteristics. Finally, we use China's domestic input-output table to calculate the indicators of upstream and downstream industry linkages and examine the production network spillover effects of GPP. The results show that GPP effectively reduces the pollution emissions of upstream and downstream firms through production network linkages. This study provides empirical evidence from China on the effectiveness of GPP as a demand-side policy in pollution reduction, and offers valuable policy insights for further improving the policy system of environmental governance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1958-1978"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Digital economy, CO2 emissions and China's environmental sustainable development— an analysis based on TVP-VAR model","authors":"Xinyi Zhang , Yufan Chen , Tianqi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The growth of digital economy and sustainable development of environment are important issues related to high-quality economic development in the new era. This paper selects the yearly data of China from 2007 to 2021, constructs the China's Environmental Performance Index(EPI), and establishes the TVP-VAR model to investigate the dynamic time-varying relationship among digital economy growth, CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, and environment sustainability over short, medium and long-term. The results indicate that the relationships among them are time-varying at all terms. Specifically, in first, the growth of the digital economy exerts a negative impulse on CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, with its immediate consequences being more pronounced than its prolonged impacts. Secondly, there exist positive impulses between the the digital economy and environment sustainability. CO<sub>2</sub> emissions has a negative impact on sustainable development of environment. Thirdly, they have same influencing tendencies at certain time points, but different impact degrees. The impact of the digital economy on environmental sustainable development has significantly increased since the COVID-19 outbreak. Therefore, the development of digital economy can effectively reduce CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and promote the sustainable development of the environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1945-1957"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Political conformity and digital transformation: Evidence from China","authors":"Haiyan Yang , Linlin Chen , Yuyu Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the influence of political conformity on digital transformation in Chinese family businesses from 2011 to 2020. We find that political conformity significantly boosts digital transformation by strengthening strategic leadership, technology focus, and organizational capabilities. It also fosters risk-taking, reduces agency costs, and eases financial constraints. The impact is more pronounced in situations in contexts with high economic policy uncertainty, when executives have limited IT knowledge, family members hold positions in the party committee, and the firm is geographically proximate to the political center, Beijing. Additionally, aligning political conformity with technology strategies not only advances digital transformation but also enhances the businesses' Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) profile and firm value.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1979-1997"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of environmental regulation on enterprise green innovation","authors":"Qin Kun , Yao Chang , Niu Runkai","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper evaluates the real effects of the environmental regulation at the firm level. Using the implementation of Chinese Air Pollution Prevention and Control in 2013 as a quasi-natural experiment,difference-in-differences estimation shows that: (1) environmental regulation significantly improve the application of green innovation by firms, and this relationship is robust to different specifications and alternative measures; (2) three possible channels are the improved levels of the environmental protection subsidy, total factor productivity (TFP) and environmental protection investment of enterprises; (3) our findings are particularly pronounced in subsamples with the application of utility green innovation and state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Overall, this paper reveals the micro-mechanisms behind the real effects of environmental regulation on firm green innovation, thus providing timely implications for regulators concerned with environmental protection.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1933-1944"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705635","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Employee stock ownership plans and controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors","authors":"Lei Zhou, Feng Wei","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using a large sample of Chinese non-financial listed firms from 2014 to 2021, we find that employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs) significantly reduce controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors, and this finding is robust after addressing endogeneity concerns. We then provide evidence to show that reducing the risk of control transfer and controlling shareholders’ private benefits of control are important channels in which ESOPs affect controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors. Furthermore, we find that effect of ESOPs on controlling shareholders’ over-appointing of directors is less pronounced when firms with stronger corporate governance. We also demonstrate that the type of ownership, the source of funding, and the lock-up period of ESOPs can affect the effectiveness of ESOPs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1747-1770"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142658477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How does macroprudential policy affect the relationship between financial openness and bank risk-taking","authors":"Hui-Jun Li , Deng-Kui Si , Meng-Long Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.11.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates how macroprudential policy affects the relationship between financial openness and bank risk-taking by utilizing Chinese commercial banking data from 2005 to 2021. We find that financial openness generally promotes bank risk-taking. Robustness checks consistently support this finding, including variable substitutions, sample period adjustments, controlling for other shocks, and endogeneity concerns. The impact of financial openness on risk-taking demonstrates potential heterogeneity, contingent upon factors such as bank financing constraints, risk management, and financial regulation. We delineate credit, interest rate, and asset price channels through which financial openness affects bank risk-taking, notably by amplifying bank credit volumes, diminishing credit asset ratios, compressing net interest margins and spreads, and elevating asset prices. Macroprudential policies are identified as effective countermeasures against the heightened bank risk-taking associated with financial openness, with the effectiveness of these policies varying by the specific regulatory instruments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1820-1839"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142658419","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effects of macroprudential policies on house prices: Evidence from non-ordinary house purchasing policy using China real transaction data","authors":"Sun LinLin , Zhang Yawen , Xue Xiaojun","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.10.057","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.10.057","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper contributes to the international policy debate on the effect of macroprudential policy on housing prices. Our identification relies on the fact that ordinary housing and non-ordinary housing in Beijing face different loan-to-value (LTV) restrictions and transaction tax rates. This paper uses regression discontinuity (RD) design to test whether the differentiated regulation of ordinary housing and non-ordinary housing caused a discontinuous change in housing prices with house-level transaction data. We find that housing prices have a significant discontinuous decline at the cutoff point caused by macroprudential policy, which we take 140 m<sup>2</sup> s since it is the identification standard of non-ordinary housing. Further, we carry out RD-DID analysis to investigate the influence of loan-to-value (LTV) restrictions on housing prices. We find that around 2 % decline in house prices is caused by credit policy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 2086-2101"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705649","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Danning Lu , Eddie Chi Man Hui , Jianfu Shen , Jianxun Shi
{"title":"Digital industry agglomeration and urban innovation: Evidence from China","authors":"Danning Lu , Eddie Chi Man Hui , Jianfu Shen , Jianxun Shi","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.10.047","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.10.047","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the relationship between digital economy and urban innovation from the perspective of economic agglomeration. Based on a panel data set of 285 Chinese cities from 2009 to 2019 and the classification of the digital industry by the National Bureau of Statistics, this study shows that an increased level of digital industry agglomeration significantly contributes to urban innovation, with more pronounced effects observed in larger cities and those in eastern and western regions. Further analysis of industry heterogeneity reveals that digital industry agglomeration not only boosts innovation within the digital industry but also enhances it in non-digital industries. Additionally, digital industry agglomeration appears more conducive to promoting innovation in green technology industries than in non-green technology industries. The mechanism analysis reveals the mediating effect of data capital accumulation, market size expansion, and digital technology spillover on urban innovation. The Sobel test reveals that data capital accumulation has the largest mediating effect on total patents, while digital technology spillover has the strongest mediating effect on invention patents. This study enriches the existing understanding of the agglomeration effect of the digital industry on urban innovation and sheds light on the mechanisms driving urban innovation in emerging economies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1998-2025"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142705647","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The economic implications of population aging on current account balance","authors":"Tomas Kabrt","doi":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.10.053","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eap.2024.10.053","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper focuses on the demographic determinants of current account balance (CAB) across income groups, continents, and time periods between 1993 and 2021. The benchmark model employs a panel data analysis, particularly a two-way effects estimator (<span><span>Baltagi, 2021</span></span>), with CAB as the main dependent variable, while savings rate (SAV) is used as an alternative dependent variable. It was found that the old dependency ratio, fertility rate, life expectancy, population growth, and mortality rate have a statistically significant effect on CAB and SAV, but the effects are heterogeneous across income groups and continents. In Africa, an increase in the old dependency ratio has a negative effect on CAB in accordance with the theories of <span><span>Modigliani and Sterling (1983)</span></span>, <span><span>Graham, (1987)</span></span>, and <span><span>Masson and Tryon (1990)</span></span>. Fertility rate has a negative effect on CAB in Africa while having an ambiguous effect in Asia and Europe. In line with the findings of <span><span>Mason and Lee (2006)</span></span>, there is a positive relationship between fertility rates and CAB and SAV in lower-middle-income countries and negative relationship in high-income countries. Conversely, population growth affects negatively CAB and SAV in lower middle-income countries and positively in high-income countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54200,"journal":{"name":"Economic Analysis and Policy","volume":"84 ","pages":"Pages 1895-1909"},"PeriodicalIF":7.9,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142658479","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}