Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies最新文献

{"title":"Yacht Tourism on the Azov-Black Sea Coast of Russia as a Factor of Tourist Attractiveness of the Region","authors":"T. Poddubnaya, E. Zadneprovskaya","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.119.030.202202.324-341","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.119.030.202202.324-341","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The relevance of this considered scientific problem is due to the need to assess the recreational preferences of potential consumers of yachting services as a factor of tourist attractiveness and active promotion of the region. The purpose of the article is to determine the prospects for the development of yacht tourism on the Azov-Black Sea coast of Russia on the basis of the conducted analysis, which reflects the tourist attractiveness of the region in modern conditions.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. The authors analyzed panel statistics of the charter website 2Yachts, the informational and analytical agency SeaNews, the international broker of motor yachts Worldmarine, PKF International. To study the trends in the development of yacht tourism on the Azov-Black Sea coast of Russia, a number of indicators of the state of the yacht tourism industry of individual European countries have been studied, an investment project to create a network of marinas in the Republic of Crimea and the Krasnodar Territory has been considered.\u0000\u0000Results. The consumption preferences of clients in yacht tourism services on the Azov-Black Sea coast are revealed, the state of the yachting infrastructure of the region is assessed, the prospects for the development of yachting in the sea area of the Krasnodar Territory as a factor of tourist attractiveness of the region are outlined. The Azov-Black Sea coast of Russia has a significant potential for the development of yacht tourism (natural, socio-economic, cultural and historical resources). The development of yacht tourism should be carried out taking into account consumption preferences according to three basic criteria when choosing a yacht tour in the waters of the Azov and Black Seas – price, excursion program and tourist service.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. The modernization of the yacht infrastructure and the popularization of yachting will contribute to the additional development of the tourism industry and the tourist attractiveness of the region, and will also raise yacht tourism to a new international level. The results of the study can become the basis for the development of a strategy for the creation and promotion of a tourist product for potential yachting customers at the regional level, and are also taken into account in the development of programs of integrated tourist services.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44886151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Cross-Cultural Marriages in the Context of the Transformation of the Family Model: Russia and Iran","authors":"T. Rostovskaya, O. Kuchmaeva, M. Afzali, E. Irsetskaya","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.119.030.202202.405-423","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.119.030.202202.405-423","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The relevance of the study of cross-cultural marriages in Russia and Iran is due to the fact that Russia and Iran are characterized by both attention to the observance of cultural needs and the desire for innovative development. These contradictory manifestations are also manifested in family and marriage relations. There is a shortage of empirical studies that reflect the range of opinions of various social strata in Russia and Iran, allowing a comparative analysis of attitudes towards cross-cultural marriages to determine the prospects for state policy to support the institution of marriage in a cross-cultural environment. The purpose of the public research is to analyze the relationship with cross-cultural marriages in Russia and Iran against the background of the proposed family model.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. Sociological research is carried out by the method of a quantitative survey. 153 people were interviewed in total, urban residents of Russia and Iran aged 18 to 60 who are in cross-cultural marriages or an interethnic, interfaith environment. To analyze the results, descriptive statistics methods, frequency distributions, and a tabular data visualization method were used.\u0000\u0000Results. The survey results have revealed the presence of different ideas about the desired model of family and marriage both in Iran and Russia (both traditional and modern). The study has revealed a friendly attitude towards interethnic marriages in both countries (primarily for urban residents). In many ways, the success of cross-cultural marriages is determined by the attitude of relatives and the local community towards them.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. The results obtained can be used to develop strategies for the development of socio-cultural interaction between Russia and Iran. It is essential to consider the study’s conclusions when supporting cross-cultural families in the process of adaptation and acquaintance with the norms, traditions, and customs of a new culture spouse. It is necessary to conduct a study on a more representative sample to assess the differentiation and determinants of people’s opinions in interethnic marriages living in Iran and Russia.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49419233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Interregional Cooperation and Integration within the Framework of the Union State of Belarus and Russia: Specifics of Integration and Information Support","authors":"O. Bakhlova, Anastasiya N. Slugina","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.010-030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.010-030","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The relevance of the study is due to the need to ensure a synergetic effect within the framework of the Union State of Belarus and Russia, to create its positive image as an integration association in internal and external dimensions. The purpose of the study is to identify the specifics of cooperation between the regions of Russia and Belarus in the context of integration priorities of both countries.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. The research was based on the traditional study of documents, content analysis, comparative and multilevel analysis. The most important materials are official documents of Russia and Belarus, publications in the media, expert survey data, statistical information on the dynamics of interregional relations in the Union State. All of them together made it possible to concretize the signs of multifaceted communications in the field under consideration, to identify possible ways to improve the integration policy of the member states of the Union State in the face of escalated challenges and threats.\u0000\u0000Results. The peculiarities of the approaches of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus to the interpretation of interregional cooperation and integration in the format of the Union State are shown. The positions of the border regions are characterized. The content and orientation of media publications of different levels are analyzed, certain vulnerabilities are highlighted. Insufficient degree of interrelation of strategic orientations of integration and interregional interaction is found. The lack of manifestation of conflicting motives is offset by distancing from substantive coverage and discussion of topical issues, including by regional and local communities.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. The performed research shows that the tasks of information support of the Union State, organization of “demand for integration”, training of personnel for “integration marketing” at the level of the regions of the two countries and expansion of their communication channels are unsolved. The recommendations made as a result are intended for representatives of state authorities and local self-government bodies and are aimed at improving the current situation through more effective use of existing advantages and mechanisms and the formation of new ones that meet the needs of integrating states and their regions.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48321658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"External Migration and Loss of Social Capital in the Regional Society","authors":"M. Y. Bareev, Oksana N. Kurmyshkina","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.031-054","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.031-054","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The relevance of the research is due to the unfavorable migration situation in the Republic of Mordovia. The constant migration outflow of the population affects the composition of the region’s human resource and its social capital. The article examines the social capital of respondents with an active migration strategy.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. The article is based on the sociological study “Harmonization of social relations of the population of the Republic of Mordovia”, in 2020. 1000 people were interviewed for the study. The quota criteria: gender, age, and place of residence of the respondents. The characteristics and unique features of the migrant’s social capital are determined. The authors identified possible risks for the region associated with migration.\u0000\u0000Results. Migration strategies of the population of the Republic of Mordovia are studied. The economic factors are shown as the determinants of possible migration. Thе specific and unique features of social capital of potential migrants have been identified. So, the article defines the reciprocal correlation between factors and migration strategies.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. According to the results of the study, the economically productive and young part of the population adheres to an active migration strategy. The materials of the article can be useful for regional authorities to solve migration policy issues and to regulate migration flows.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48886045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Media Coverage of the Activities in the Field of Culture and Public Resonance (on the Material of the Republic of Mordovia)","authors":"G. A. Kursheva, I. Lapteva, А.V. Chernov, E. N. Bikeykin","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.226-243","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.226-243","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The relevance of the research lies in the study of the media coverage of cultural events of the national project “Culture”. The purpose of the research is to analyze the work of the mass media of the Republic of Mordovia to cover events related to the implementation of regional projects in the field of culture, and to study the public response to these events in order to improve them.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. Based on materials in regional mass media, including those in native languages and posted on social networks: a monitoring methodology was developed, including a summary table on information sources, quantitative and qualitative characteristics of events and responses to them; comparative and quantitative analysis of the activity of consumers (participants, readers, Internet users, etc.) was made and the quarterly dynamics of public interest in media materials was shown.\u0000\u0000Results. The prerequisites for successful media coverage of cultural events in epidemiological conditions, which are related to the speed of news release, easy navigation of electronic media versions, lack of strict moderation in social networks regarding users’ comments, were found. The dependence of the population activity to cultural events on external circumstances related to the situation of complete lockdown and other restrictions was revealed. Recommendations to improve the coverage of the national project activities were proposed in order to attract a wider public audience to cultural events.\u0000\u0000Discussion and the Conclusion. The conducted research contributes to the formation of favorable conditions for effective communication between cultural institutions and society in order to enhance digitalization and intensify social and cultural potential. The theoretical significance of the work consists in the methodology of monitoring the materials of the regional media in order to: increase attendance of cultural events; motivate participation in volunteer work; expand opportunities for self-realization and development of talents; educate a socially responsible person on the basis of values, historical, national and cultural traditions of the peoples of the Russian Federation. The practical significance of the study consists in recommendations how to improve the communication process between organizers of activities of the national project “Culture” and the consumer audience, as well as to use the regional projects potential (including digital) to improve the quality of life in the region.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43432537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Environmental Practices of Waste Management in the Small Towns of the European Part in the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation","authors":"V. Kozlovskiy, Elena V. Nedoseka, S. Tishkov","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.129-154","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.129-154","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The relevance of the study is determined by the negative consequences for the environment from the constant increase in the amount of municipal solid waste. The most vulnerable in this situation are small towns in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation. The remoteness, inaccessibility, as well as the difficult socio-economic situation of these settlements are serious obstacles to achieving both the effectiveness of the implementation of the reform of production and consumption waste management, and the goals of sustainable development of the region. The purpose of the article is to identify the value foundations prevailing in environmental consciousness and the prevailing types of environmental behavior of the population of small towns in the European part of the Russian Arctic in the field of solid waste management.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. The article presents the results of an empirical study conducted by a questionnaire survey in August-November 2020 in the Arctic territories of the Republic of Karelia and the Murmansk region. The number of respondents is 1303. The questionnaire method is used to carry out a mass representative survey of residents of the Arctic territories on the problem of municipal solid waste. Statistical methods for processing quantitative data makes it possible to identify the main correlations between variables in relation to grassroots practices in the management of municipal solid waste by gender, age and place of residence of the respondents.\u0000\u0000Results. The paper shows the findings of a sociological study, during which the peculiarities of the perception of the population of small towns in the Republic of Karelia and the Murmansk region of environmental problems were identified and an assessment of the degree of threat to the environment from illegal dumps and household waste was given. The authors studied the direct practices of handling household waste and the willingness of respondents to change the traditional poorly environmentally oriented behavior to environmentally conscious actions.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. The study showed that the problem of the increasing amount of MSW is relevant and causes a high degree of concern among the population. At the same time, the majority of respondents implement behavioral practices that indirectly affect the environment. The decisive problem for the population of remote areas of the Russian Arctic is the poor organization of the waste management process: lack of investment attractiveness for business, low level of infrastructure development, little funding, which determines low motivation and mobilization of the population to master various environmental practices. The results obtained can be used by regional and municipal authorities, regional operators and specialists of environmental nongovernment organizations.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49218164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"City and “Urbanˮ: Identity and Difference","authors":"V. Filonenko, L. Shtompel, O. Shtompel","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.204-225","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.204-225","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The current global trend of changing the urban form, which is expressed in the development of suburbs and in the transfer of business centers in megalopolises from central business districts to peripheral ones, actualizes the problem of identifying what is preserving in these new urban formations from “urban” properly. Purpose of the article is on the basis of theoretical understanding of the essence of “urbanicity” and the results of the conducted empirical research to identify the possibility of preserving “urban” during the transformation of the urban form.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. The materials of the study were the data of a sociological survey of residents of southern Russian cities. 1532 people from all types of cities in the Southern Federal District were interviewed by the questionnaire method. The conceptual framework of the analysis was a combination of spatial and cultural-anthropological approaches. This made it possible to interpret the citizens’ assessments of their life in cities as a representation of the degree of presence of the urban element in their lives.\u0000\u0000Results. The performed analysis of the collected empirical material has revealed that “urban” in modern southern Russian cities is being eroded. This is expressed in the general dissatisfaction with the cultural level of those around them, in the feeling of insufficient security, in the incompleteness of the feeling of happiness from life in the city, in the highlighted shortcomings of open public spaces, in the passivity of the townspeople.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. The future of cities is determined not only by spatial transformations and technological innovations, but by the ability to preserve the “urban” basis per se: that is, the ability to ensure the safety, diversity, communication and freedom of townspeople. “Urban” is an effective connection with the city of every city dweller as an active participant in its life, and not only as a consumer of ready-made urban forms. The analysis of the collected material has been targeted at the regional authorities implementing urban and cultural policy. The research results may prove useful to civil society institutions promoting interaction between the administration and urban residents.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42954400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The State of the Organizational Culture of Industrial Clusters in the Region","authors":"O. B. Tomilin, I. M. Fadeeva, O. Tomilin","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.178-203","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.178-203","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The study of organizational culture of Russian companies as a tool of improving production efficiency has been actively carried out since the beginning of the XXI century. In this regard, the study of diagnostics of new characteristics of the organizational culture of enterprises and the prediction of their responds to changes in the external environment and management systems is an topical task. The aim of the article is to carry out sustainability diagnostics of industrial enterprises of the Republic of Mordovia based on new characteristics of organizational culture, as well as to determine the factors that have an impact on various socio-demographic groups involved in the clusters of the industrial enterprises.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. The study was conducted in 2019 using the expert evaluation method in accord with the adapted OСAI methodology. In the study 458 respondents of 7 industrial enterprises of the Republic of Mordovia were interviewed. The obtained expert evaluations were arranged and generalized in the framework of two groups of industrial clusters of the Republic of Mordovia. The clusters differed from each other by the types of their production and the number of employees.\u0000\u0000Results. The study shows that the economic and administrative-management status of the region have a major impact on the current organizational culture of the industrial enterprises. It was found that the current profile of organizational culture of the enterprises has not achieved a balance ensuring most favorable conditions for sustainable development. The desired profile of organizational culture of the regional enterprises shows the aspiration of employees, regardless of their job positions, to achieve the balance state. The study has revealed that administrative and management personnel are more stressed than production personnel due to the responsibility for the current and future state of the enterprise.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. The research analyzes the influence of the specifics of the industrial activities of enterprises on achieving a balanced state of organizational culture as a condition for sustainable development. It shows that the development of organizational culture of industrial enterprises is affected by major regional influence consisting of a set of factors that characterizes the state of the economy, the regional labor market and the administrative management of the region. The implementation of organizational changes leading to an increase in the efficiency of the industrial activities of enterprises can be carried out on the basis of the results of this study. The article can be used by the heads of industrial enterprises of Mordovia to map an integral program for the development of the regional enterprises as efficient and fully-fledged participants of market economy.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47758501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Influence of the Population Religious Diversity on the Socio-Economic Indicators of the Russian Federation Regions","authors":"A. A. Gravchikova","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.055-075","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.055-075","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. In the modern world globalization leads to the active interaction of representatives of different cultures. However, there are questions of how this affects the life of society. The purpose of this article is to assess the religious diversity impact on the well-being level of the population of the Russian Federation regions.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. For analysis the author has used data from the Atlas of Religions and Nationalities of Russia “Arena” and the Federal Agency for Ethnic Affairs. Religious diversity was assessed using two indicators: the Simpson Diversity Index and the Polarization Index. The paper considers the consumption level as an indicator of well-being. On the one hand, the consumption level reflects independently the standard of living; on the other hand, it is an element of gross output. The correlation between religious heterogeneity and the well-being indicator was checked by using regression analysis. Besides the panel regressions were also evaluated.\u0000\u0000Results. The economic analysis confirms that religious diversity is directly proportional to the divorce rate, which has a negative impact on the consumption level in the Russian Federation regions. In addition, there are direct negative relationship between confessional heterogeneity and consumption. The results lead to the conclusion that religious diversity negatively affects economic indicators through the social sphere.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. The general conclusion is that during the period under consideration, there is trend of the gradual reduce of the religious diversity. These processes are a favorable basis for increasing the well-being indicators of society because they reduce the negative impact of religious heterogeneity on the whole as well as on the consumption level. The data, the methods and the obtained results can be used as a basis for further research. The estimates and the conclusions could be taken into account in the socio-economic policy.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48373656","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Adaptive Tourism Modeling: Experience, Problems and Prospects of Application at the Regional Level","authors":"A. Aleksandrova, V. Dombrovskaya","doi":"10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.076-102","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15507/2413-1407.118.030.202201.076-102","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction. The crisis of the tourist industry caused by the COVID-19 pandemic emphasized the existing regional asymmetry in the development of Russian tourism. Despite the diversity of tourist and recreational potentials in the regions, the main reason for such significant differences in the efficiency of the field of industry and hospitality lies in the tourist activity management. The most important tool for regional policies is forecasting. The purpose of the article is to consider the prognostic capabilities of adaptive models in relation to tourist studies at a regional large-scale level based on data from official statistics.\u0000\u0000Materials and Methods. The study is based on the adaptive modeling method, which has proven itself to obtain short-term forecasts of a number of small samples developing under uncertainty. As the objects of modeling were the series of the dynamics of indicators characterizing tourist activities in the Baikal region. Modeling was based on the series inherent in the regional tourism with a pronounced seasonal component and time series with annual indicators, where only the trend component is detected during decomposition.\u0000\u0000Results. Adaptive models have shown high prognostic capabilities with the exception of series in which a sharp collapse of the indicator caused in this case by the introduction of restrictions on tourist mobility occurs during one last time step. The model under these conditions objectively does not have time to adapt. If there is a temporary possibility of to “learning”, the forecast even of a sharp decline in the tests under study has a confirmed high accuracy.\u0000\u0000Discussion and Conclusion. According to the results of the study, it is confirmed by the possibility of using adaptive modeling to predict the series of dynamics of tourist activity indicators at the regional level, undergoing sharp changes in the conditions of uncertainty. The results of the work may be useful to specialists in the field of regional policies, in particular to employees of tourist administrations, a business community, as well as scientific and pedagogical personnel in the relevant area and can be used in the preparation of specialists of higher and secondary vocational education in tourism.","PeriodicalId":53833,"journal":{"name":"Regionologiya-Regionology Russian Journal of Regional Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49442356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}