Geography and Sustainability最新文献_第5页

Changing of the coordination of socioeconomic development and the environment as sustainable development progresses

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.009

Dongliang Dang , Xiaobing Li , Xin Lyu , Shiliang Liu , Huashun Dou , Mengyuan Li , Kai Wang , Wanyu Cao

{"title":"Changing of the coordination of socioeconomic development and the environment as sustainable development progresses","authors":"Dongliang Dang , Xiaobing Li , Xin Lyu , Shiliang Liu , Huashun Dou , Mengyuan Li , Kai Wang , Wanyu Cao","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The relationship between socioeconomic development and the environment is intimately linked with the level of regional sustainable development. Clarifying the evolution pattern of this relationship during the sustainable development progress is crucial for achieving all of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), but less research has focused on this problem. Here, we have utilized statistical and remote sensing data from 290 municipal units in China to analyze the evolution of the coupling coordination degree (CCD) between socioeconomic development and the environment along a progression of sustainable development measured by the SDG Index. The results show that the hotspot areas of CCD are concentrated in coastal regions, gradually decreasing as they move inland. Additionally, as sustainable development progresses, both socioeconomic and environment levels exhibit a nonlinear rise. The coupling coordination between the two demonstrates a pattern of initial increasing, then decreasing, and finally increasing again, which may be related to changes in industrial structure. Our study delves deeply into the patterns of evolution in the relationship between socioeconomic and environments, exploring the challenges and opportunities faced by regions at different stages of sustainable development. The findings can deepen our understanding of sustainable development and provide policy suggestions and theoretical support for achieving SDGs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100245"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143685664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Increased corn cultivation exacerbated crop residue burning in Northeast China in the 21st century

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.008

Yiqun Shang , Yanyan Pei , Ping Fu , Chuantao Ren , Zhichao Li , Jianfeng Ren , Xinqi Zheng , Yuanyuan Di , Yan Zhou , Jinwei Dong

{"title":"Increased corn cultivation exacerbated crop residue burning in Northeast China in the 21st century","authors":"Yiqun Shang , Yanyan Pei , Ping Fu , Chuantao Ren , Zhichao Li , Jianfeng Ren , Xinqi Zheng , Yuanyuan Di , Yan Zhou , Jinwei Dong","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China’s endeavors to mitigate recurrent crop residue burning (CRB) and improve air quality have yielded positive results owing to recent pollution prevention policies. Nonetheless, persistent challenges remain, particularly in the Northeast China (NEC), where low temperature complicates crop residue management. Here, we examined the effects of cropping pattern adjustment on variations of CRB patterns in NEC during 2001–2021, utilizing the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) burned area dataset, the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) active fire dataset, and the high-accuracy crop planting area maps. Our results revealed an overall upward trend of 805.96 km<sup>2</sup>/yr in NEC CRB from 2001 to 2021. The corn CRB area accounted for more than 50% of the total CRB area in each CRB-intensive year (2013–2021), and the increasing corn CRB generally aligns with the growing corn cultivation fields. A seasonal shift in CRB was found around 2017, with intensive CRB activities transitioning from both autumn and spring to primarily spring, particularly in the Songnen Plain and Sanjiang Plain. The changing trend of PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration aligned spatially with the shift. Moreover, the CRBs in spring of 2020 and 2021 were more severe than the major burning seasons in previous years, likely due to the disruptions during COVID-19 lockdowns. In certain years, the explanatory power of spring CRB on PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentration was comparable to that of other natural factors, such as precipitation. This study underscores the critical need for sustained and region-specific strategies to tackle the challenges posed by CRBs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100244"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143685675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Impact of town planning on direct residential CO2 emissions in rural China

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.015

Qiang Zhou , Alberto Gianoli , Yong Liu , Shen Qu

{"title":"Impact of town planning on direct residential CO2 emissions in rural China","authors":"Qiang Zhou , Alberto Gianoli , Yong Liu , Shen Qu","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.015","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.015","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China’s commitment to carbon neutrality by 2060 has made decarbonization a key principle for spatial planning (also referred to as urban/city/town planning). Although the mitigation effect of spatial planning in urban areas has been well documented, its significance in rural development has yet to be investigated. This paper addresses this research gap by empirically examining the influence of town planning on rural direct residential CO<sub>2</sub> emissions (DRCEs) across 30 provinces in China. Based on various quantitative models, this study not only confirms the significant impact of town planning on rural DRCEs and the moderation effect of plan implementation capacity but also discloses that different dimensions of town planning have disparate roles in rural DRCE reduction. Additionally, regional variations in the mitigation effects of town planning on rural DRCEs were observed. The study also reveals spatial spillover effects, indicating that the influence of town planning on rural DRCEs extends beyond individual areas. Overall, China’s experiences demonstrate that well-managed town planning could play an essential role in low-carbon rural revitalization or, otherwise, it may augment rural DRCEs per capita. Consequently, governments should ascribe great importance to low-carbon town planning and allocate sufficient resources to towns, especially those in the central and western regions, so that they can afford professional planning consultation and adequate staffing in plan implementation. Moreover, governments should cooperate to promote knowledge sharing and transferring of low-carbon planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 2","pages":"Article 100240"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143512692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Integrating natural disasters into protected area designing for global primate conservation under climate change

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.006

Li Yang , Weiying Xu , Tao Chen , Yuxuan Fan , Pengfei Fan

{"title":"Integrating natural disasters into protected area designing for global primate conservation under climate change","authors":"Li Yang , Weiying Xu , Tao Chen , Yuxuan Fan , Pengfei Fan","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Disaster risk reduction, an essential function of protected areas (PAs), has been generally overlooked in PA design. Using primates as a model, we designed a disaster risk index (DRI) to measure the disaster sensitivity of primate species. High-conservation-need (HCN) areas were identified by both their richness and number of threatened primate species. We also constructed high-disaster-risk (HDR) areas and climate-sensitive (CS) areas based on a disaster risk assessment and temperature change under climate change. We overlaid HCN and HDR areas to obtain HDR-HCN areas. We defined species conservation targets as the percent of each species’ range that should be effectively conserved using “Zonation”. Landslides had the highest DRI (1.43 ± 0.88), but have been overlooked in previous studies. PA coverage in HDR-HCN (30 %) areas was similar to that in HCN areas (28 %), indicating that current PA design fails to account for disaster risk reduction. About 50 % of the HDR-HCN areas overlapped with CS areas. Presently, 43 % of primate species meet their conservation targets. Fifty-seven of primate species would meet their conservation targets and 67 % of primates could benefit from PA expansion if HDR-HCN areas are fully incorporated into PAs. Increasing PA coverage in HDR-HCN areas is essential to achieving both primate conservation and disaster risk reduction. The study calls for integrating disaster risk reduction into PA design guidelines, particularly in regions like the western Amazon, and recommends flexible conservation approaches in other areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100242"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143685677","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How does new-type urbanization promote green development efficiency in China? The mediating role of governments, enterprises, and residents

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.10.001

Haitao Ma , Kewen Wang , Chuanglin Fang

{"title":"How does new-type urbanization promote green development efficiency in China? The mediating role of governments, enterprises, and residents","authors":"Haitao Ma , Kewen Wang , Chuanglin Fang","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.10.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.10.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>New-type urbanization (NTU) is proposed by China to solve unsustainable issues and improve green development efficiency (GDE) during the process of rapid urbanization. However, the impact mechanism of NTU on GDE is unclear. Using panel data of 282 prefecture-level cities in China from 2010 to 2019, we measured NTU and GDE to describe their spatiotemporal pattern and relationship evolution. The fixed effects panel model and mediating effect panel model were further utilized to analyze the benchmark impact, mediating mechanism and spatiotemporal heterogeneity of NTU on GDE. The results showed that NTU improved, with the highest levels observed in the eastern region, while GDE increased with fluctuations, performing better in both the eastern and western regions. With the proportion of double-high cities increasing from 13.83 % to 43.62 %, the NTU-GDE relationship was upgraded. Overall, every 1 % improvement in NTU increased GDE by 0.3111 %, and the enterprise effect, resident effect and government effect played a positive mediating role from high to low. During the later stage of NTU, its impact on GDE strengthened significantly, and the mediating role of governments was optimized. The eastern region was the only region with three positive mediating roles of governments, enterprises and residents. These findings will promote GDE through NTU in China and serve as a valuable reference for sustainable global urbanization.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100241"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143685665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Increase in global per capita cropland imbalance across countries from 1985 to 2022: A threat to achieving Sustainable Development Goals

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.005

Tingting Zhao , Xiao Zhang , Wendi Liu , Jinqing Wang , Zhehua Li , Liangyun Liu

{"title":"Increase in global per capita cropland imbalance across countries from 1985 to 2022: A threat to achieving Sustainable Development Goals","authors":"Tingting Zhao , Xiao Zhang , Wendi Liu , Jinqing Wang , Zhehua Li , Liangyun Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Sustainable Development Goal 2 (SDG 2, zero hunger) highlights that global hunger and food insecurity have worsened since 2015, driven in part by growing imbalance. Addressing the challenge of achieving SDG 2 in the face of rapid global population growth requires sustained attention to global and national cropland changes. Accurately quantifying the correlation between population and cropland area (i.e., SDG 2.4.1 per capita cropland) and analyzing the trends of global cropland imbalance are essential for a comprehensive understanding of SDG 2. In this study, we utilized a new global 30 m land-cover dynamic dataset (GLC_FCS30D) to analyze cropland dynamics, quantify per capita cropland and its changes across various countries and levels of development. Our results indicate that the global cropland area expanded by 0.944 million km<sup>2</sup> from 1985 to 2022, with an average expansion rate of 2.42 × 10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup>/yr. However, the global per capita cropland area decreased from 0.347 ha in 1985 to 0.217 ha in 2022, mainly due to a higher population increase of nearly 65 % in the same period. In the context of globalization, cropland expansion and per capita cropland exhibited spatial imbalances globally, particularly in developing countries. Developing countries saw an increase in total cropland area by 7.09 % but a significant decrease in per capita cropland area by 37.38 %. From a temporal perspective, the global imbalance has been steadily increasing with the Gini index rising from 0.895 in 1985 to 0.909 in 2022. Consequently, this study reveals an increasing imbalance of global per capita cropland across various countries, which threatens the attainment of the targets of SDG 2.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 2","pages":"Article 100239"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143519758","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Reciprocal regulation between rural settlement expansion and human-elephant conflict in China’s wild elephant range

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.014

Beibei Xu , Xin Zhang , Jiejing Zhang , Hui Fan

{"title":"Reciprocal regulation between rural settlement expansion and human-elephant conflict in China’s wild elephant range","authors":"Beibei Xu , Xin Zhang , Jiejing Zhang , Hui Fan","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Human-wildlife conflict (HWC) and its socioeconomic impacts are a pressing global issue. Accurately quantifying HWCs and their interaction with residential development is crucial for rural revitalization and biodiversity conservation efforts. This study investigates the interplay between rural residential expansion (RRE) with human-elephant conflict (HEC) in southern Yunnan Province using high-accuracy yearly land use/land cover data and Asian elephant accident data. A piecewise regression along with several metrics, including expansion intensity, rate of rural residential land, and residential density, were employed to analyze the spatial-temporal change characteristics of RRE. Then, a geographical detector and a bivariate spatial autocorrelation model were used to reveal the driving mechanisms of RRE, with particular emphasis on the spatial relations between RRE and HECs. The results indicate that HECs had a significant negative impact on RRE, exhibiting higher expansion intensity and rate of rural residential land in non-HEC areas than in HEC areas. High spatiotemporal consistency between accelerated RRE and intensified HECs occurred from 2010 onwards, which aligns with the year when the trend of settlement area expansion changed. RRE activities and ensuing land use conversions led to increased occurrences of HECs, which negatively affected the RRE. Compared to HECs, topography and locational factors exhibited a secondary effect on RRE activities. The findings underscore reciprocal feedback mechanisms between RRE and HECs and the elevated risk of adverse interactions between humans and elephants within the range of China’s wild elephants, providing theoretical support for coordinating conservation initiatives for Asian elephants with rural revitalization in the border areas of Southwest China.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 2","pages":"Article 100238"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143519756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Simulation of the future evolution track of “production–living–ecological” space in a coastal city based on multimodel coupling and wetland protection scenarios

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.004

Yitong Yin , Rongjin Yang , Zechen Song , Yuying Zhang , Yanrong Lu , Le Zhang , Meiying Sun , Xiuhong Li

{"title":"Simulation of the future evolution track of “production–living–ecological” space in a coastal city based on multimodel coupling and wetland protection scenarios","authors":"Yitong Yin , Rongjin Yang , Zechen Song , Yuying Zhang , Yanrong Lu , Le Zhang , Meiying Sun , Xiuhong Li","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Coastal cities hold a special position in the fields of production, living, and ecological research because of their unique wetland resource advantages. However, with global urbanization and rapid economic development, conflicts among production, living and ecological land are prevalent in coastal cities in the process of maintaining sustainable wetland resources and further developing the social economy. By establishing an SD-PLUS-CCD coupling model, this paper analysed the evolution characteristics and driving mechanism of the production–living–ecological space (PLES) and the effects of wetland protection (WLP) on promoting or inhibiting the coordinated development of the PLES in Dongying city during 2005–2060. The results show that (1) from 2005 to 2020, the increase in urban population resulted in a significant transfer of arable land and a reduction of 914 km<sup>2</sup> in production space (PS); (2) from 2020 to 2060, under the WLP scenario, the conversion of wetland ecological space will reduce the PS and living space (LS) by 193.92 km<sup>2</sup> and 107.14 km<sup>2</sup>, respectively, and increase the ecological space (ES) by 327.52 km<sup>2</sup>; and (3) wetland protection has an inhibitory effect on the coordinated development of PLES in the study area, and the total proportion of noncoordinated areas of PE and living–ecological space will continue to increase during the simulation period. This paper provides a solid theoretical support for the sustainable management and protection of wetlands in coastal cities and possible PLES conflict patterns and provides a scientific basis for future territorial spatial planning and policy balance analysis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100237"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143685676","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Combinatorial innovation and lifecycle analysis of low-carbon energy technologies in China

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.013

Zerun Jin , Shengjun Zhu

{"title":"Combinatorial innovation and lifecycle analysis of low-carbon energy technologies in China","authors":"Zerun Jin , Shengjun Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.08.013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Measuring the lifecycle of low-carbon energy technologies is critical to better understanding the innovation pattern. However, previous studies on lifecycle either focus on technical details or just provide a general overview, due to the lack of connection with innovation theories. This article attempts to fill this gap by analyzing the lifecycle from a combinatorial innovation perspective, based on patent data of ten low-carbon energy technologies in China from 1999 to 2018. The problem of estimating lifecycle stages can be transformed into analyzing the rise and fall of knowledge combinations. By building the international patent classification (IPC) co-occurrence matrix, this paper demonstrates the lifecycle evolution of technologies and develops an efficient quantitative index to define lifecycle stages. The mathematical measurement can effectively reflect the evolutionary pattern of technologies. Additionally, this article relates the macro evolution of lifecycle to the micro dynamic mechanism of technology paradigms. The sign of technology maturity is that new inventions tend to follow the patterns established by prior ones. Following this logic, this paper identifies different trends of paradigms in each technology field and analyze their transition. Furthermore, catching-up literature shows that drastic transformation of technology paradigms may open “windows of opportunity” for laggard regions. From the results of this paper, it is clear to see that latecomers can catch up with pioneers especially when there is a radical change in paradigms. Therefore, it is important for policy makers to capture such opportunities during the technology lifecycle and coordinate regional innovation resources.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 2","pages":"Article 100236"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143535049","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Long-term stability in protected-areas? A vision from American/New World amphibians 保护区的长期稳定性？美洲/新世界两栖动物的愿景

IF 8 1区环境科学与生态学

Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.003

Leticia M. Ochoa-Ochoa , Julián A. Velasco

{"title":"Long-term stability in protected-areas? A vision from American/New World amphibians","authors":"Leticia M. Ochoa-Ochoa , Julián A. Velasco","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Protected areas (PA) have proven to be one of the best ways to conserve biodiversity against environmental changes. Amphibians are considered the most threatened group, with habitat loss due to deforestation identified as their major threat. Here, we assessed for each PA of the American continent: 1) amphibian’s occurrence (Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) vs. International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) data); 2) temperature velocity and estimated the climate residence time, and using the latest models of the land future use; 3) we estimated the changes of natural vs. modified cover in three future scenarios. Amphibian occurrence showed differences between databases, while GBIF data shows that 52 % of the amphibian species occurring in the continent are in PA, based on IUCN data, 85 % are protected. Results from climate change show a low pace of climate velocity during the last century that is maintained in the green scenario (SSP126). However, change in temperature increases in rate in the rest of the scenarios, with scenario SSP58 showing the highest velocity of temperature change. Future estimates of residence times in PA show that lower levels as emission scenarios tend to be higher. These results are worrisome since climate lag, specifically temperature increase over the PA will probably affect amphibian communities as shown in previous studies. Changes in climate patterns have a direct—mostly negative—impact on amphibians’ ability to disperse and reproduce. The results of land use change were unexpected, since the categories showed minimal changes. However, the data on urbanization changes do not seem to be reflecting the trends of other databases, which may be causing artifacts in the comparisons in the future models of land use. Further research will be necessary to evaluate the extent of similarities and differences in future projections of land use including urbanization and human population between different databases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"5 4","pages":"Pages 673-683"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142529699","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0