Geography and Sustainability最新文献

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Improving service accessibility and equity for sustainable development goals without newly facilities by rural settlement reconstruction
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.07.006
Caihui Cui , Zhigang Han , Feng Liu , Jingru Ma , Haiying Wang , Xiang Chen
{"title":"Improving service accessibility and equity for sustainable development goals without newly facilities by rural settlement reconstruction","authors":"Caihui Cui ,&nbsp;Zhigang Han ,&nbsp;Feng Liu ,&nbsp;Jingru Ma ,&nbsp;Haiying Wang ,&nbsp;Xiang Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.07.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.07.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ensuring the provision of accessible, affordable, and high-quality public services to all individuals aligns with one of the paramount aims of the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In the face of escalating urbanization and a dwindling rural populace in China, reconstructing rural settlements to enhance public service accessibility has become a fundamental strategy for achieving the SDGs in rural areas. However, few studies have examined the optimal methods for rural settlement reconstruction that ensure accessible and equitable public services while considering multiple existing facilities and service provisions. This paper focuses on rural settlement reconstruction in the context of the SDGs, employing an inverted MCLP-CC (maximal coverage location problem for complementary coverage) model to identify optimal rural settlements and a rank-based method for their relocation. Conducted in Changyuan, a county-level city in Henan Province, China, this study observed significant enhancements in both accessibility and equity following rural settlement reconstruction by utilizing the MH3SFCA (modified Huff 3-step floating catchment area) and the spatial Lorenz curve method. Remarkably, these improvements were achieved without the addition of new facilities, with the accessibility increasing by 44.21 %, 4.97 %, and 3.11 %; Gini coefficients decreasing by 19.53 %, 1.64 %, and 3.18 %; Ricci-Schutz coefficients decreasing by 21.09 %, 2.09 %, and 4.33 % for educational, medical, and cultural and sports facilities, respectively. It indicated that rural settlement reconstruction can bolster the accessibility and equity of public services by leveraging existing facilities. This paper provides a new framework for stakeholders to better reconstruct rural settlements and promote sustainable development in rural areas in China.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100215"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139318","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Complex adaptive systems science in the era of global sustainability crisis
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.011
Li An , B.L. Turner II , Jianguo Liu , Volker Grimm , Qi Zhang , Zhangyang Wang , Ruihong Huang
{"title":"Complex adaptive systems science in the era of global sustainability crisis","authors":"Li An ,&nbsp;B.L. Turner II ,&nbsp;Jianguo Liu ,&nbsp;Volker Grimm ,&nbsp;Qi Zhang ,&nbsp;Zhangyang Wang ,&nbsp;Ruihong Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.09.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A significant number and range of challenges besetting sustainability can be traced to the actions and interactions of multiple autonomous agents (people mostly) and the entities they create (e.g., institutions, policies, social network) in the corresponding social-environmental systems (SES). To address these challenges, we need to understand decisions made and actions taken by agents, the outcomes of their actions, including the feedbacks on the corresponding agents and environment. The science of complex adaptive systems—complex adaptive systems (CAS) science—has a significant potential to handle such challenges. We address the advantages of CAS science for sustainability by identifying the key elements and challenges in sustainability science, the generic features of CAS, and the key advances and challenges in modeling CAS. Artificial intelligence and data science combined with agent-based modeling promise to improve understanding of agents’ behaviors, detect SES structures, and formulate SES mechanisms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100250"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139311","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessment of Chinese urban land-use efficiency (SDG11.3.1) utilizing high-precision urban built-up area data
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.06.007
Hao Wang , Yafei Liu , Lianze Sun , Xiaogang Ning , Guangzhe Li
{"title":"Assessment of Chinese urban land-use efficiency (SDG11.3.1) utilizing high-precision urban built-up area data","authors":"Hao Wang ,&nbsp;Yafei Liu ,&nbsp;Lianze Sun ,&nbsp;Xiaogang Ning ,&nbsp;Guangzhe Li","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.06.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.06.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Assessment of SDG11.3.1 indicator of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is a valuable tool for policymakers in urban planning. This study aims to enhance the accuracy of the SDG11.3.1 evaluation and explore the impact of varying precision levels in urban built-up area on the indicator’s assessment outcomes. We developed an algorithm to generate accurate urban built-up area data products based on China’s Geographical Condition Monitoring data with a 2 m resolution. The study evaluates urban land-use efficiency in China from 2015 to 2020 across different geographical units using both the research product and data derived from other studies utilizing medium and low-resolution imagery. The results indicate: (1) A significant improvement in the accuracy of our urban built-up area data, with the SDG11.3.1 evaluation results demonstrating a more precise reflection of spatiotemporal characteristics. The indicator shows a positive correlation with the accuracy level of the built-up area data; (2) From 2015 to 2020, Chinese prefecture-level cities have undergone faster urbanization in terms of land expansion relative to population growth, leading to less optimal land resource utilization. Only in extra-large cities does urban population growth show a relatively balanced pattern. However, urban population growth in other regions and cities of various sizes lags behind land urbanization. Notably, Northeast China and small to medium cities encounter significant challenges in urban population growth. The comprehensive framework developed for evaluating SDG11.3.1 with high-precision urban built-up area data can be adapted to different national regions, yielding more accurate SDG11.3.1 outcomes. Our urban area and built-up area data products provide crucial inputs for calculating at least four indicators related to SDG11.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100210"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Targeted poverty alleviation promotes sustainable socio-economic and ecological development in China’s poor areas 定点扶贫促进中国贫困地区社会经济和生态可持续发展
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.04.007
Xunhuan Li , Yang Zhou
{"title":"Targeted poverty alleviation promotes sustainable socio-economic and ecological development in China’s poor areas","authors":"Xunhuan Li ,&nbsp;Yang Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.04.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.04.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ending extreme poverty and achieving sustainable development by 2030 poses a significant challenge for developing countries. In the past decade, China has pioneered the Targeted Poverty Alleviation (TPA) strategy and implemented a range of anti-poverty programs, aiming to reconcile poverty reduction with environmental restoration. However, the effectiveness of the TPA strategy in facilitating sustainable development in the poor areas of China (PAC) remains unclear. Drawing on a perspective of systems, this study compiles a panel dataset of 832 nationally designated poverty-stricken counties in China from 2013 to 2020 and employ the coupling coordination degree model to examine the coupling and coordination relationships among economic, social, and environmental systems in the PAC. We find that during the TPA period, the socioeconomic level developed rapidly, while the environmental quality was slightly improved in the PAC. The TPA strategy promotes the coordinated development of social, economic, and ecological systems in the PAC, shifting the relationship between human and environment from imbalance to coordination. Our findings underscore the necessity for the Chinese government to persist in its environmental restoration efforts in the PAC to guarantee a sustained development progress.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100200"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141697892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mapping and modelling impacts of tobacco farming on local higher plant diversity: A case study in Yunnan Province, China
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.06.009
Jiacheng Shao , Qingyu Zhang , Jinnan Wang
{"title":"Mapping and modelling impacts of tobacco farming on local higher plant diversity: A case study in Yunnan Province, China","authors":"Jiacheng Shao ,&nbsp;Qingyu Zhang ,&nbsp;Jinnan Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.06.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.06.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid expansion of tobacco farming poses a significant threat to biodiversity in Yunnan Province, China, a region known for its rich biodiversity. This study aims to understand the trade-offs between tobacco farming and higher plant species diversity, and to identify priority counties for conservation. We employed an integrated approach combining species distribution modeling, GIS overlay analysis, and empirical spatial regression to empirically assess the impact of tobacco farming intensity on biodiversity risk. Our findings reveal a compelling negative spatial correlation between tobacco farming expansion and higher plant species diversity. Specifically, southern counties in Wenshan and Honghe prefectures are major priority areas of conservation that exhibit significant spatial correlations between biodiversity risks and high tobacco farming intensity. Quantitatively, at county level, a 1 % increase in tobacco farming area corresponds to a 0.094 % decrease in endemic higher plant species richness across the entire province. These results underscore the need for targeted and region-specific regulations to mitigate biodiversity loss and promote sustainable development in Yunnan Province. The integrated approach used in this study provides a comprehensive assessment of the tobacco-biodiversity trade-offs, offering actionable insights for policymaking.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100212"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Household farms facing barriers in indigenous knowledge-based adaptation to extreme climatic events — Evidence from the Huangshui Basin
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.07.007
Hailin Zhang, Jinyan Zhan, Zheng Yang, Huihui Wang, Naikang Xu, Chunyue Bai, Yufei He, Yuhan Cao
{"title":"Household farms facing barriers in indigenous knowledge-based adaptation to extreme climatic events — Evidence from the Huangshui Basin","authors":"Hailin Zhang,&nbsp;Jinyan Zhan,&nbsp;Zheng Yang,&nbsp;Huihui Wang,&nbsp;Naikang Xu,&nbsp;Chunyue Bai,&nbsp;Yufei He,&nbsp;Yuhan Cao","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.07.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.07.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Global warming has led to the frequent occurrence of extreme climatic events (ECEs) in the ecologically fragile Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. Rural households face strong barriers in adaption, and food production is seriously threatened. Current methods for increasing household adaptability take a holistic point of view, but do not accurately identify groups experiencing different adaptive barriers. To better identify different barriers, this paper examines natural, economic, cognitive, and technical barriers. A total of 17 indicators were selected to comprehensively evaluate the degree of barriers to crops adaptation in response to ECEs. Key factors were further analyzed to identify paths to break down the barriers. The results showed the following. (1) Natural barriers were present at the highest degree, economic barriers appear to be smallest, and the overall barriers were biased towards the lower quartile. 10.82 % of the households with the highest barriers. (2) 67.38 % of households report taking adaptive measures in crops production. The increase of the barriers leads to an increase and then a decrease in the possibility of adaptive behavior. (3) Addressing technical barriers is key to rapidly increasing household adaptive behavior in response to ECEs. The study provides recommendations for local governments to improve household adaptation behavior from two perspectives: short-term and long-term optimization pathways. This study can help governments quickly locate households with different classes of barriers, and propose more targeted adaptation policies. The ultimate goal is to ensure the sustainability of crops production and the well-being of households in northeastern part of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100216"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143139298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global urbanization indirectly ‘enhances’ the carbon sequestration capacity of urban vegetation
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100268
Jieming Kang , Baolei Zhang , Qian Zhang , Chunlin Li , Jun Ma , Jiabo Yin , Kailiang Yu , Yuanman Hu , Elie Bou-Zeid
{"title":"Global urbanization indirectly ‘enhances’ the carbon sequestration capacity of urban vegetation","authors":"Jieming Kang ,&nbsp;Baolei Zhang ,&nbsp;Qian Zhang ,&nbsp;Chunlin Li ,&nbsp;Jun Ma ,&nbsp;Jiabo Yin ,&nbsp;Kailiang Yu ,&nbsp;Yuanman Hu ,&nbsp;Elie Bou-Zeid","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100268","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100268","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urbanization radically alters the climatic environment and landscape patterns of urban areas, but its impact on the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation remains uncertain. Given the limitations of current small-scale ground-based in situ experiments, the response of vegetation carbon sequestration capacity to urbanization and the factors influencing it remain unclear at the global scale. Using multisource remote sensing data, we quantified and differentiated the direct and indirect impacts of urbanization on the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation in 508 large urban areas globally from 2000 to 2020. The results revealed that the direct impacts of urbanization were generally negative. However, 446 cities experienced an indirect enhancement in vegetation carbon sequestration capacity during urbanization, averaging 19.6 % globally and offsetting 14.7 % of the direct loss due to urbanization. These positive indirect effects were most pronounced in environments with limited hydrothermal conditions and increased most in densely populated temperate and cold regions. Furthermore, indirect impacts were closely related to urbanization intensity, human footprint, and level of urban development. Our study enhances the understanding of how the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation dynamically responds to changes in the urban environment, which is crucial for improving future urban vegetation management and building sustainable cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100268"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143767920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ensemble modelling for smart conservation strategies for forest reptile species at their range edges in Europe amidst climate change
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100266
Oksana Nekrasova , Mihails Pupins , Volodymyr Tytar , Andris Čeirāns , Oleksii Marushchak , Arturs Škute , Kathrin Theissinger , Jean-Yves Georges
{"title":"Ensemble modelling for smart conservation strategies for forest reptile species at their range edges in Europe amidst climate change","authors":"Oksana Nekrasova ,&nbsp;Mihails Pupins ,&nbsp;Volodymyr Tytar ,&nbsp;Andris Čeirāns ,&nbsp;Oleksii Marushchak ,&nbsp;Arturs Škute ,&nbsp;Kathrin Theissinger ,&nbsp;Jean-Yves Georges","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100266","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100266","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reptile fauna should be considered a conservation objective, especially in respect of the impacts of climate change on their distribution and range’s dynamics. Investigating the environmental drivers of reptile species richness and identifying their suitable habitats is a fundamental prerequisite to setting efficient long-term conservation measures. This study focused on geographical patterns and estimations of species richness for herpetofauna widely spread <em>Z. vivipara, N. natrix, V. berus, A. colchica</em>, and protected in Latvia <em>C. austriaca, E. orbicularis, L. agilis</em> inhabiting northern (model territory Latvia) and southern (model territory Ukraine) part of their European range. The ultimate goal was to designate a conservation network that will meet long-term goals for survival of the target species in the context of climate change. We used stacked species distribution models for creating maps depicting the distribution of species richness under current and future (by 2050) climates for marginal reptilepopulations. Using cluster analysis, we showed that this herpeto-complex can be divided into “widespread species” and “forest species”. For all forest species we predicted a climate-driven reduction in their distribution range both North (Latvia) and South (Ukraine). The most vulnerable populations of “forest species” tend to be located in the South of their range, as a consequence of northward shifts by 2050. By 2050 the greatest reduction in range is predicted for currently widely spread <em>Z. vivipara</em> (by 1.4 times) and <em>V. berus</em> (by 2.2 times). In terms of designing an effective protected-area network, these results permit to identify priority conservation areas where the full ensemble of selected reptile species can be found, and confirms the relevance of abiotic multi-factor GIS-modelling for achieving this goal.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 2","pages":"Article 100266"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143395601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Searching for the best post-land abandonment management to enhance long-term carbon storage in Mediterranean mountain areas
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100265
Melani Cortijos-López , Teodoro Lasanta , Erik Cammeraat , Estela Nadal-Romero
{"title":"Searching for the best post-land abandonment management to enhance long-term carbon storage in Mediterranean mountain areas","authors":"Melani Cortijos-López ,&nbsp;Teodoro Lasanta ,&nbsp;Erik Cammeraat ,&nbsp;Estela Nadal-Romero","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100265","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2025.100265","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The abandonment of rural activities in the Mediterranean mid-mountains has led to the activation of revegetation processes, as well as the subsequent implementation of various management measures to mitigate the associated ecosystem disservices. Focusing on soil environment and its growing importance in a climate change scenario, it is of great interest to study how land management and landscape changes can affect, not only the soil carbon storage process, but also its dynamics. A study was conducted in La Rioja (Iberian System, Spain), comparing three post-abandonment management strategies: secondary succession, forest management, and shrub clearing and extensive grazing. These strategies were analysed in two types of soil environments (acid and alkaline) and for two depth ranges (0–20 cm and 20–40 cm). Laboratory analyses were performed on aggregate stability and soil organic carbon fractionation with regard to three aggregate sizes (&lt; 2 mm, 2–5 mm, &gt; 5 mm) and three density fractions (free labile, occluded, and heavy fraction). The results showed that: 1) SOC content in aggregates &lt; 2 mm (relative to total SOC) increases with shrub clearing and grazing strategy in acid environments; 2) aggregate stability benefits from the implementation of afforestation in acid environments and from all three study strategies in alkaline ones; 3) in acid environments, the percentage of labile fractions (free and occluded) in afforested sites is significantly higher compared with shrubland, while in alkaline environments, recalcitrant SOC is significantly higher in shrub clearing sites. Thus, land management should be focused on SOC storage after land abandonment in Mediterranean mountainous environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 2","pages":"Article 100265"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143376585","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The spatio-temporal distribution of snowmelt floods and disaster risk assessment in the Northwest China
IF 8 1区 环境科学与生态学
Geography and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.geosus.2024.100261
Xi Zhang , Min Xu , Shichang Kang , Haidong Han , Hao Wu
{"title":"The spatio-temporal distribution of snowmelt floods and disaster risk assessment in the Northwest China","authors":"Xi Zhang ,&nbsp;Min Xu ,&nbsp;Shichang Kang ,&nbsp;Haidong Han ,&nbsp;Hao Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.100261","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.geosus.2024.100261","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Snowmelt runoff is an important component of water resources in the Northwest China (NWC). With global climate warming and the increasing frequency of extreme events, snowmelt floods have caused significant damage. However, current studies lack comprehensive research and systematic risk assessments of snowmelt floods across the NWC. Based on the snowmelt runoff simulated by GLDAS-NOAH model (1948–2022), the multiple indicators of snowmelt floods were retrieved by Peaks Over Threshold (POT) model in the NWC, and comprehensive risk assessment was conducted by integrating socio-economic data. The results indicated that the snowmelt runoff in the NWC shows a significant increasing trend and exhibits a spatial pattern of being more abundant in the northwest and southwest edges while less in the central and eastern regions. In Northern Xinjiang, snowmelt floods occurred relatively infrequently but with large magnitudes, while around the Qilian Mountains, snowmelt floods were more frequent but of smaller magnitudes. The longest duration of snowmelt floods was observed in the Kashgar and Yarkant River. Basins near mountainous areas are prone to snowmelt floods, especially the Tongtian and Lancang River basins, as well as the Ebinur Lake, Ili River basin, and the rivers south of the Altai Mountains, which face the highest risk of snowmelt floods. Based on comprehensive assessment of hazard, exposure, vulnerability and adaptability, high and very high-risk areas account for 15.5 % of the NWC. It is urgent to enhance monitoring, early warning systems, and implement corresponding disaster prevention and mitigation measures in large mountainous basins.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52374,"journal":{"name":"Geography and Sustainability","volume":"6 3","pages":"Article 100261"},"PeriodicalIF":8.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143739130","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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