npj climate action最新文献_第3页

Machine learning identifies key individual and nation-level factors predicting climate-relevant beliefs and behaviors. 机器学习识别预测气候相关信念和行为的关键个人和国家层面的因素。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00251-4

Boryana Todorova, David Steyrl, Matthew J Hornsey, Samuel Pearson, Cameron Brick, Florian Lange, Jay J Van Bavel, Madalina Vlasceanu, Claus Lamm, Kimberly C Doell

{"title":"Machine learning identifies key individual and nation-level factors predicting climate-relevant beliefs and behaviors.","authors":"Boryana Todorova, David Steyrl, Matthew J Hornsey, Samuel Pearson, Cameron Brick, Florian Lange, Jay J Van Bavel, Madalina Vlasceanu, Claus Lamm, Kimberly C Doell","doi":"10.1038/s44168-025-00251-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00251-4","url":null,"abstract":"While numerous studies have examined factors associated with climate-friendly beliefs and behaviors, a systematic, cross-national ranking of their key correlates is lacking. We use interpretable machine learning to quantify the extent to which different climate-relevant outcomes (climate change belief, policy support, willingness to share information on social media, and a pro-environmental behavioral task) are predictable and to rank 19 individual- and nation-level predictors in terms of their importance across 55 countries (N = 4635). We find notable differences in explained variance for the outcomes (e.g., 57% for climate change belief vs. 10% for pro-environmental behavior). Four predictors had consistent effects across all outcomes: environmentalist identity, trust in climate science, internal environmental motivation, and the Human Development Index. However, most of the predictors show divergent patterns, predicting some but not all outcomes or even having opposite effects. To better capture this complexity, future models should include multi-level factors and consider the different contexts (e.g., public vs private) in which climate-related cognition and action emerge.","PeriodicalId":519998,"journal":{"name":"npj climate action","volume":"4 1","pages":"46"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12061775/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144061164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Growing climate change risk concerns with rising regional disparities in China. 随着中国地区差异的扩大，气候变化的担忧日益加剧。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-20 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00272-z

Ziqian Xia, Jinquan Ye, Ramit Debnath, Xu Dong, Jinliang Xie, Ming Xu, Xi Tian, Jennifer Marlon, Chao Zhang, Jianxun Yang, Sara Constantino, Miaomiao Liu

引用次数: 0

Assessing national climate-neutrality plans through a modelling nexus lens: the case of Greece. 通过建模联系镜头评估国家气候中和计划：希腊的案例。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00318-2

Phoebe Koundouri, Angelos Alamanos, Ioannis Arampatzidis, Stathis Devves, Kostas Dellis, Christopher Deranian

{"title":"Assessing national climate-neutrality plans through a modelling nexus lens: the case of Greece.","authors":"Phoebe Koundouri, Angelos Alamanos, Ioannis Arampatzidis, Stathis Devves, Kostas Dellis, Christopher Deranian","doi":"10.1038/s44168-025-00318-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s44168-025-00318-2","url":null,"abstract":"Achieving climate-neutrality is a global imperative, requiring interdisciplinarity and science-supported policies across multiple sectors. For the first time, we simulated a scenario representing Greece's climate-neutrality goals drawing upon its key energy, agricultural and water policies. Using a linked-nexus framework encompassing the FABLE Calculator, the Low Emissions Analysis Platform, the WaterReqGCH, LandReqCalcGCH, and BiofuelGCH tools, we find that Greece's climate-neutrality policies can deliver large emission reductions by 2050, only under optimistic implementation assumptions. The energy-related emissions can be reduced almost fivefold by 2050, and total energy demand by ~20%. Further improvements can be achieved if domestic biofuel production potential is realized. Sectoral interdependencies and infrastructure constraints are overlooked in existing policies, such as land requirements to meet renewables' expansion targets, and trade-offs among land-energy-water policies. Our findings indicate that progress towards climate-neutrality depends strongly on full, coordinated policy implementation, and we provide recommendations for a timely, unified and holistic sustainable transition.","PeriodicalId":519998,"journal":{"name":"npj climate action","volume":"4 1","pages":"113"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12695636/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145759356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How scientists can contribute to the social movements essential to protecting climate and nature. 科学家如何为保护气候和自然的社会运动做出贡献。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00268-9

Abigail J Perrin, Stuart Capstick, Tracey Elliott, Peter Knapp, Aaron Thierry, Tristram D Wyatt, Charlie J Gardner

引用次数: 0

Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries. 揭示经合组织国家采用后关于强硬气候政策争论的条件。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-28 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00270-1

Ksenia V Anisimova, James J Patterson

{"title":"Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries.","authors":"Ksenia V Anisimova, James J Patterson","doi":"10.1038/s44168-025-00270-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s44168-025-00270-1","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding drivers of public contestation over hard climate policies is crucial for advancing climate action. While existing literature provides insights into conditions for policy support and adoption, conditions for policy contestation at the post-adoption stage remain opaque. We investigate conditions for policy contestation at the post-adoption stage in a sample of 27 national climate policies in OECD countries (2009-2022). We employ fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis drawing on primary (62 structured expert interviews) and secondary (media, datasets, academic and grey literature, policy documents) data. Findings reveal that policy contestation arises from a combination of conditions, especially when policy is perceived as demanding and unfair, sometimes also combined with socio-political polarization, lack of climate change concern, and lack of information provision. This supports ex-ante work on expected conditions of contestation but also suggests a need for attention to conjunctural causation, complex socio-political constructs, and analyzing policy content and policy context jointly.","PeriodicalId":519998,"journal":{"name":"npj climate action","volume":"4 1","pages":"61"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12206158/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144532661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Navigating the politics of transformational adaptation in international climate negotiations. 引导国际气候谈判中的转型适应政治。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00279-6

Robbert Biesbroek, Emilie Broek, Dore Engbersen, Max van Deursen, Rohan Agarwal, Adelle Thomas, Aditi Mukherji, Lucy Njuguna

引用次数: 0

Political enablers of ambitious climate policies: a framework and thematic review. 雄心勃勃的气候政策的政治推动力：框架和专题审查。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-14 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-024-00206-1

Simon Montfort, Lukas Fesenfeld, Karin Ingold, William F Lamb, Marina Andrijevic

引用次数: 0

Pricing instruments in environmental and climate policy when polluters are boundedly rational. 当污染者是有限理性的时候，环境和气候政策中的定价工具。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00284-9

Elisabeth Gsottbauer, Jeroen C J M van den Bergh

{"title":"Pricing instruments in environmental and climate policy when polluters are boundedly rational.","authors":"Elisabeth Gsottbauer, Jeroen C J M van den Bergh","doi":"10.1038/s44168-025-00284-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s44168-025-00284-9","url":null,"abstract":"The use of pricing instruments in environmental policy has been argued to have certain advantages, notably related to static and dynamic efficiency as well as effectiveness due to economy-wide scope. This paper adopts a broad perspective to provide a complete set of arguments in favour of price-based instruments in environmental policy, illustrated for climate policy. Pricing instruments are still not used to their full potential. The reason is that there is still considerable unfounded scepticism, including by researchers in the social environmental sciences, about their functioning and performance. Different disciplines express distinct and partly inconsistent ideas on the desirability of pricing instruments. An important recent criticism is that traditional economic arguments for pricing instruments are based on rational agents and are inconsistent with findings of behavioural economics. We examine this argument by assessing how instruments behave under various realistic behavioural assumptions in line with bounded rationality and other-regarding behaviour. We find that the case is strengthened for cap-and-trade versus environmental taxation. We also discuss additional instruments to effectively counter environmental and climate challenges under bounded rationality and social interactions.","PeriodicalId":519998,"journal":{"name":"npj climate action","volume":"4 1","pages":"96"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12535476/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145338484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How an economic and financial perspective could guide transformational adaptation to sea level rise. 经济和金融视角如何指导对海平面上升的转型适应。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00297-4

Kees C H van Ginkel, Bart Rijken, Marco Hoogvliet, Wesley van Veggel, W J Wouter Botzen, Tatiana Filatova

引用次数: 0

Automated fact-checking of climate claims with large language models. 使用大型语言模型对气候声明进行自动事实核查。

npj climate action Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1038/s44168-025-00215-8

Markus Leippold, Saeid Ashraf Vaghefi, Dominik Stammbach, Veruska Muccione, Julia Bingler, Jingwei Ni, Chiara Colesanti Senni, Tobias Wekhof, Tobias Schimanski, Glen Gostlow, Tingyu Yu, Juerg Luterbacher, Christian Huggel

{"title":"Automated fact-checking of climate claims with large language models.","authors":"Markus Leippold, Saeid Ashraf Vaghefi, Dominik Stammbach, Veruska Muccione, Julia Bingler, Jingwei Ni, Chiara Colesanti Senni, Tobias Wekhof, Tobias Schimanski, Glen Gostlow, Tingyu Yu, Juerg Luterbacher, Christian Huggel","doi":"10.1038/s44168-025-00215-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s44168-025-00215-8","url":null,"abstract":"Accurate identification of true versus false climate information in the digital age is critical. Misinformation can significantly affect public understanding and policymaking. Automated fact-checking seeks to validate claims against trustworthy factual data. This study tackles the challenge of fact-checking climate claims by leveraging the currently most capable Large Language Models (LLMs). To this end, we introduce Climinator, an acronym for CLImate Mediator for INformed Analysis and Transparent Objective Reasoning. It significantly boosts the performance of automated fact-checking by integrating authoritative, up-to-date sources within a novel debating framework. This framework provides a trustworthy and context-aware analysis incorporating multiple scientific viewpoints. Climinator helps identify misinformation in real time and facilitates informed dialog on climate change, highlighting AI's role in environmental discussions and policy with reliable data.","PeriodicalId":519998,"journal":{"name":"npj climate action","volume":"4 1","pages":"17"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11860206/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143525984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0