Economic Systems最新文献

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The impact of infrastructure investment on multidimensional poverty. Evidence from Chinese rural migrant workers 基础设施投资对多维贫困的影响。来自中国农民工的证据
IF 2.8 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101239
{"title":"The impact of infrastructure investment on multidimensional poverty. Evidence from Chinese rural migrant workers","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101239","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101239","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Multidimensional poverty<span> is an important issue of the world economy. The present paper uses data from China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS) from 2015 to 2018 and macro data at the prefectural level to investigate the impact of infrastructure investment on multidimensional poverty of rural migrant workers. First, we find relatively high incidence of multidimensional poverty among rural migrant workers. Second, we find that infrastructure investment can significantly reduce poverty. Such result is robust after considering various forms of endogeneity and robustness tests. Government intervention strengthens alleviation effect of infrastructure investment on multidimensional poverty, whereas financial development weakens such effect. The multiplier effects and marginal benefits of infrastructure investment is relatively small at present, shown in the limitations in enhancement in social security and lodgment of rural migrant workers. Infrastructure investment related to transportation and telecommunication has the greatest effects in reducing poverty and the effects are stronger in regions with lower income.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101239"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141412359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
US uncertainty shocks on real and financial markets: A multi-country perspective 美国不确定性冲击对实体和金融市场的影响:多国视角
IF 2.8 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101180
{"title":"US uncertainty shocks on real and financial markets: A multi-country perspective","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101180","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101180","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>The international propagation of uncertainty shocks from the United States is not fully understood, despite extensive literature on domestic effects. This study examines the impact of U.S. financial, </span>macroeconomic<span>, and policy uncertainty on credit growth, stock prices, economic activity, bond yields, and inflation in five major recipients of U.S. foreign investment from 1950 to 2019. Findings highlight the pivotal role of U.S. financial uncertainty in driving global business cycles. Increased uncertainties in the U.S. financial sector negatively affect global economic activity by impeding credit and stock prices, limiting funding opportunities for firms and households worldwide. This underscores the significant influence of U.S. financial markets on global economic fluctuations.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101180"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139499734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How does local government debt affect bank loan pricing? Evidence from loan-level data 地方政府债务如何影响银行贷款定价?来自贷款层面数据的证据
IF 2.8 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101238
{"title":"How does local government debt affect bank loan pricing? Evidence from loan-level data","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101238","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101238","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Existing research focuses on the crowding out effect of local government debt on the quantity of corporate bank loans, but hardly explores the impact of local government debt on bank loan prices. This paper empirically finds that a rise in local government debt increases bank loan prices, based on the loan-level data of Chinese listed companies from 2011 to 2018. This result is robust to a battery of sensitivity tests. Besides, local government debt is found to affect the costs of unsecured loans and short-term loans more strongly. Hence, in response to the expansion of local government debt, enterprises may replace transaction loans with relationship loans to control financing costs. The mechanism tests show that local government debt increases loan prices by increasing both financial constraints and environmental uncertainty. The paper provides new insights into the impact of local government debt on corporate financing.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 3","pages":"Article 101238"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141253030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Individualism, innovation, and inequality: Exploring the nexus 个人主义、创新和不平等:探索两者之间的关系
IF 3.1 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101252
Daniel V. Santos, Oscar Afonso, Paulo B. Vasconcelos
{"title":"Individualism, innovation, and inequality: Exploring the nexus","authors":"Daniel V. Santos, Oscar Afonso, Paulo B. Vasconcelos","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101252","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101252","url":null,"abstract":"We provide an alternative explanation for the direction of technological change and the related wage inequality between skilled and unskilled workers. To this end, we formulate a skill-biased technological change model in which households’ decisions on consumption, savings, and human-capital accumulation are influenced by the level of individualism. We conclude that more individualistic cultures experience higher technological-knowledge bias toward skilled technologies, larger output growth rates, and higher wage inequality between skilled and unskilled workers. We also find that union bargaining only reduces wage inequality between skilled and unskilled at moderate levels of individualism, while introducing redistributive income taxes does not necessarily reduce income inequality.","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"61 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142200705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Technological catch-up, nonmonotonicity, and convergence: Parametric evidence from the BRICS and European banking systems 技术追赶、非单调性和趋同:来自金砖五国和欧洲银行体系的参数证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101253
Navendu Prakash, Shveta Singh, Seema Sharma
{"title":"Technological catch-up, nonmonotonicity, and convergence: Parametric evidence from the BRICS and European banking systems","authors":"Navendu Prakash, Shveta Singh, Seema Sharma","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101253","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101253","url":null,"abstract":"IT-driven productivity growth offers banks an intriguing opportunity to differentiate their offerings in a monopolistic market, introduce attractive products, enhance customer service, streamline back-office processes, and ultimately achieve the twin goals of cost minimization and profit maximization. However, there has been no convincing explanation for the observed divergence in the IT-productivity literature, raising doubts about whether IT can significantly improve performance in contemporary banking markets. The article examines the role of IT-led productivity growth in governing the direction and magnitude of intra-industry and inter-country convergence by investigating the potential nonmonotonicity of IT in influencing frontier-based efficiency of the BRICS and European banking markets. Findings reveal U-shaped associations between IT and cost (profit) efficiency, suggesting that excessive investment in IT may explain the productivity conundrum for BRICS nations. IT capital is not a significant driver of cost efficiency for European nations. Nevertheless, R&D spending significantly influences frontier efficiency, reinforcing that European banks can achieve frontier-level performance by investing in innovative solutions. Inter-regional comparisons reveal that BRICS banks are converging with their European counterparts by leveraging IT solutions, while diminishing marginal benefits for the latter reinforces the presence of a catch-up effect. Intra-industry comparisons reveal that size, age, and R&D intensity drive technological catch-up and convergence.","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142200709","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Macroprudential policy effectiveness and interaction with monetary policy: Lessons from debt service-to-income cap implementation in Kazakhstan 宏观审慎政策的有效性以及与货币政策的互动:哈萨克斯坦实施偿债与收入比率上限的经验教训
IF 3.1 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101254
Zhandos Ybrayev, Azamat Baizakov, Erlan Kailrullayev, Dana Mukhambetzhanova
{"title":"Macroprudential policy effectiveness and interaction with monetary policy: Lessons from debt service-to-income cap implementation in Kazakhstan","authors":"Zhandos Ybrayev, Azamat Baizakov, Erlan Kailrullayev, Dana Mukhambetzhanova","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101254","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101254","url":null,"abstract":"We take advantage of the early adoption of the debt-service-to-income cap (DSTI) measure in Kazakhstan, as well as available granular information from the local credit registry to study the effects of macroprudential instruments on core financial stability parameters. Our results show that implementation of a DSTI cap of 50 % leads to around a 9 % decrease in 12 months in the amount of outstanding debt on average for the range of credits originated just around the introduction of the DSTI cap. We find that DSTI cap implementation decreased the probability of delinquency rates of loans by about 20 % in 12 months on average compared to credits granted before the realization of the DSTI cap. We provide evidence on the importance of loan size heterogeneity across time when estimating the impact of macro-prudential intervention, which is partly overlooked in the existing literature. Finally, our results suggest that macroprudential and monetary policy tools can be complementary depending on the specific business cycle developments.","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142200708","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The critical role of the health-care sector in promoting employment for women and migrants in the EU. A multicountry input-output analysis 医疗保健部门在促进欧盟妇女和移民就业方面的关键作用。多国投入产出分析
IF 3.1 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101249
Izaskun Barba, Belén Iraizoz
{"title":"The critical role of the health-care sector in promoting employment for women and migrants in the EU. A multicountry input-output analysis","authors":"Izaskun Barba, Belén Iraizoz","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101249","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101249","url":null,"abstract":"A disproportionate concentration of women in low-pay and low-status sectors is a trend that has grown in significance with the globalization of production systems. For the health and social care sector, this has interesting socio-spatial implications, particularly in terms of immigration, the dimensions of which are worth investigating. This study employs the novel extended multiregional input-output FIGARO database to estimate the employment-generating capacity of the sector in the EU28, with a focus on the gender and geographic origin of its workers. The analysis takes into account both indirect and induced effects and considers both cross-country and cross-sectoral linkages. The findings identify the healthcare sector as a key source of employment for both national and immigrant women in more than half of EU countries. At the same time, this sector contributes to the earnings disadvantage experienced by women, which suggest that equality policies should consider the sectoral distribution of employment.","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"64 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141947932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effects of EU grants on SMEs: Evidence from Bulgaria 欧盟赠款对中小型企业的影响:保加利亚的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-06-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101244
Daniel Nigohosyan, Iglika Vassileva, Albena Vutsova
{"title":"The effects of EU grants on SMEs: Evidence from Bulgaria","authors":"Daniel Nigohosyan, Iglika Vassileva, Albena Vutsova","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101244","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101244","url":null,"abstract":"The paper explores the effects of European Union (EU) support on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Bulgaria in the 2014–2020 programming period. In particular, it applies two standard counterfactual techniques (Difference-in-Differences and Propensity Score Matching) to review a 200-million EUR scheme under the Operational Programme ‘Innovation and Competitiveness’ (2014–2020). The analysis shows a positive and statistically significant effect of the grants on the assets of the supported companies. Some positive effects on the SMEs' revenues and revenues per employee have also been observed. However, the paper finds no evidence that the SME grants have supported the companies' profitability and employment. Thus, the findings raise questions about the design of grant schemes supporting competitiveness, which may lead to selecting better-performing companies (‘cherry-picking’) without providing any substantial positive effects.","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141550645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Counterfeiting and firm survival. Evidence from the Italian manufacturing industry 假冒与企业生存。来自意大利制造业的证据。
IF 3.1 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101175
Rosanna Pittiglio
{"title":"Counterfeiting and firm survival. Evidence from the Italian manufacturing industry","authors":"Rosanna Pittiglio","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101175","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2023.101175","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a dataset obtained by matching and merging three major databases, this paper investigates the impact of counterfeiting on firm survival in a sample of Italian manufacturing firms established between 2004–2006. This paper contributes to the literature on firm survival, which has identified firm-level characteristics, macroeconomic conditions and institutional features as key contributing factors to growth and survival probability among firms. The topic is hugely significant since this illegal competition may displace and damage the firms that produce genuine products. Overall, our analysis finds that the presence of counterfeit products negatively affects the chances of firms surviving. Moreover, after performing an in-depth analysis, we find that the presence of counterfeit products affects firms operating in lower tech sectors and smaller in size. Our evidence, which is robust to an alternative measure of counterfeiting and different estimation methods, provides room for policy interventions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101175"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362523001140/pdfft?md5=c80cd8ea070d6b7ab37ed69a673429fd&pid=1-s2.0-S0939362523001140-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139079193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Contagion among European financial indices, evidence from a quantile VAR approach 欧洲金融指数之间的传染,来自量化 VAR 方法的证据
IF 3.1 2区 经济学
Economic Systems Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101183
Giulio Palomba, Marco Tedeschi
{"title":"Contagion among European financial indices, evidence from a quantile VAR approach","authors":"Giulio Palomba,&nbsp;Marco Tedeschi","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101183","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101183","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic relationships binding European financial market indices over the decade 2013–2022. In particular, we estimate a quantile VAR to study spillovers in different volatility scenarios using a measure of realised volatility robust to jumps and microstructural noise. Our results reveal that, especially for low quantiles, the degree of implied interconnectedness between the indices is affected negatively by the Brexit and the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while it augments after the Covid-19 pandemic occurrence. We also found that the EU central markets (Belgian, Dutch, French, and German) are important for the stability of the Eurozone system when uncertainty increases. On the other hand, the Italian and Portuguese markets transmit spillovers when volatility is high, whereas when the volatility is moderate or reduced, they absorb spillovers. The role of Scandinavian markets is mixed since the Finnish and Swedish markets are spillover emitters, while the Danish and the Norwegian emit only when the volatility is high. Our empirical analysis provides valuable information to policymakers, practitioners, and </span>financial institutions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"48 2","pages":"Article 101183"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139515228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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