Camila C. Pereira , Saulo B. Bastos , Daniel O. Cajueiro
{"title":"导致不确定性的词:一种基于词嵌入的测量","authors":"Camila C. Pereira , Saulo B. Bastos , Daniel O. Cajueiro","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosys.2025.101294","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of economic uncertainty on stock returns<span>. We introduce a new method that uses word vectors for word representation to estimate economic uncertainty from news stories. Our findings suggest that this measure of economic uncertainty influences the pricing of individual stocks. Furthermore, we show that firm characteristics, media coverage, public firm status, small-cap stocks, or illiquidity do not affect this relationship. We also compare our measure with two widely accepted uncertainty measures in the literature and find similar evidence.</span></div></div>","PeriodicalId":51505,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems","volume":"49 3","pages":"Article 101294"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The words that lead to uncertainty: A measure based on word embeddings\",\"authors\":\"Camila C. Pereira , Saulo B. Bastos , Daniel O. Cajueiro\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ecosys.2025.101294\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of economic uncertainty on stock returns<span>. We introduce a new method that uses word vectors for word representation to estimate economic uncertainty from news stories. Our findings suggest that this measure of economic uncertainty influences the pricing of individual stocks. Furthermore, we show that firm characteristics, media coverage, public firm status, small-cap stocks, or illiquidity do not affect this relationship. We also compare our measure with two widely accepted uncertainty measures in the literature and find similar evidence.</span></div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":51505,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Systems\",\"volume\":\"49 3\",\"pages\":\"Article 101294\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-02-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362525000068\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Systems","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0939362525000068","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
The words that lead to uncertainty: A measure based on word embeddings
This paper examines the impact of economic uncertainty on stock returns. We introduce a new method that uses word vectors for word representation to estimate economic uncertainty from news stories. Our findings suggest that this measure of economic uncertainty influences the pricing of individual stocks. Furthermore, we show that firm characteristics, media coverage, public firm status, small-cap stocks, or illiquidity do not affect this relationship. We also compare our measure with two widely accepted uncertainty measures in the literature and find similar evidence.
期刊介绍:
Economic Systems is a refereed journal for the analysis of causes and consequences of the significant institutional variety prevailing among developed, developing, and emerging economies, as well as attempts at and proposals for their reform. The journal is open to micro and macro contributions, theoretical as well as empirical, the latter to analyze related topics against the background of country or region-specific experiences. In this respect, Economic Systems retains its long standing interest in the emerging economies of Central and Eastern Europe and other former transition economies, but also encourages contributions that cover any part of the world, including Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, or Africa.