European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie最新文献_第5页

First Partner Choice in a Native Minority: The Role of Own and Parental Ethnolinguistic Affiliation. 少数民族第一伴侣的选择：自己和父母的民族语言隶属关系的作用。

IF 1.9 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2024-01-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09683-2

Caroline Uggla, Jan Saarela

{"title":"First Partner Choice in a Native Minority: The Role of Own and Parental Ethnolinguistic Affiliation.","authors":"Caroline Uggla, Jan Saarela","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09683-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09683-2","url":null,"abstract":"Despite increasing diversity within many societies, ethnically endogamous unions remain common. In contexts where one ethnic minority has lived alongside the majority for centuries, understanding who partners with whom is central to understanding how ethnic boundaries are maintained or dissolved. This study examines the role of own and parental ethnolinguistic affiliation for the first partner choice in Finland. We provide a unique test of the relevance of ethnic endogamy across two generations, in a context where both groups are native, but one (Finnish speakers) overwhelmingly outnumbers the other (Swedish speakers). Using register data on the total population, we examine how a person's ethnolinguistic affiliation and background affect the choice of the first cohabiting partner in terms of the partner's ethnolinguistic affiliation and background. We apply discrete-time competing risk models for men and women born 1970-1983. Results indicate that Swedish-registered individuals with two Swedish-registered parents are, by far, the most likely to partner with another Swedish-registered person with endogamous background. Partnering with a Swedish-registered person with exogamous background is most likely among individuals who themselves come from mixed unions. Patterns are remarkably consistent across gender, and adjustments for education and residential area only marginally alter the results.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"40 1","pages":"3"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10792144/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139473069","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Identifying and Qualifying Deviant Cases in Clusters of Sequences: The Why and The How. 识别和鉴定序列群中的偏差案例：原因与方法

IF 1.9 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09682-3

Raffaella Piccarreta, Emanuela Struffolino

{"title":"Identifying and Qualifying Deviant Cases in Clusters of Sequences: The Why and The How.","authors":"Raffaella Piccarreta, Emanuela Struffolino","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09682-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09682-3","url":null,"abstract":"Sequence analysis is employed in different fields-e.g., demography, sociology, and political sciences-to describe longitudinal processes represented as sequences of categorical states. In many applications, sequences are clustered to identify relevant types, which reflect the different empirical realisations of the temporal process under study. We explore criteria to inspect internal cluster composition and to detect deviant sequences, that is, cases characterised by rare patterns or outliers that might compromise cluster homogeneity. We also introduce tools to visualise and distinguish the features of regular and deviant cases. Our proposals offer a more accurate and granular description of the data structure, by identifying-besides the most typical types-peculiar sequences that might be interesting from a substantive and theoretical point of view. This analysis could be very useful in applications where-under the assumption of within homogeneity-clusters are used as outcome or explanatory variables in regressions. We demonstrate the added value of our proposal in a motivating application from life-course socio-demography, focusing on Italian women's employment trajectories and on their link with their mothers' participation in the labour market across geographical areas.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"40 1","pages":"1"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10730788/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138810378","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Does Abortion Liberalisation Accelerate Fertility Decline? A Worldwide Time-Series Analysis. 堕胎自由化会加速生育率下降吗？全球时间序列分析

IF 2.5 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09687-y

Juan J Fernández, Dácil Juif

{"title":"Does Abortion Liberalisation Accelerate Fertility Decline? A Worldwide Time-Series Analysis.","authors":"Juan J Fernández, Dácil Juif","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09687-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09687-y","url":null,"abstract":"Since WWII, the two most important global trends in family planning have been fertility decline and abortion liberalisation. But are they related? Specifically: Does abortion liberalisation affect changes in fertility rates? The demographic literature has yet to answer this important question and instead offers two opposing predictions. Some studies argue that liberalisation of this medical procedure reduces fertility rates. By contrast, others note that such legal reforms may merely have an average, negligible effect on fertility levels. We adjudicate between the two approaches by conducting, in our view, the most comprehensive global, quantitative analysis of the relationship between those legal reforms and changing fertility rates. The analysis relies on two-way fixed models and three different indicators of abortion policy liberalism created by independent research teams to estimate the relationship between abortion liberalisation and total fertility changes. The data cover 185 independent states between 1970 and 2019. Fertility rates are significantly related to average public education levels and alternative contraceptive use. Using multiple model specifications, however, abortion reforms do not have a robust association with the outcome. Replication materials for this article can be found at https://figshare.com/s/5336a4422f47c8c39228 .","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"39 1","pages":"36"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10697910/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138489088","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Social Climate, Uncertainty and Fertility Intentions: from the Great Recession to the Covid-19 Crisis. 社会气候、不确定性和生育意向:从大衰退到新冠肺炎危机。

IF 2.5 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09684-1

Chiara Ludovica Comolli

{"title":"Social Climate, Uncertainty and Fertility Intentions: from the Great Recession to the Covid-19 Crisis.","authors":"Chiara Ludovica Comolli","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09684-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09684-1","url":null,"abstract":"The literature on fertility in context of crises considers major crises exclusively as economic experiences, however, they are also social phenomena, affecting communities, morality and social interactions. When changes in the social climate are of a sufficient magnitude, they tend to break down the social fabric and generate additional uncertainty, more of a social form, which may affect reproductive decisions beyond economic uncertainty alone. Applying Fixed Effects Models to 18 waves of the Swiss Household Panel (2004-2021), this study evaluates the relationship between changes in social climate and social uncertainty and first and second order childbearing intentions, net of economic uncertainty, sociodemographic determinants and unobserved time-invariant individual and local area characteristics. Canton-level mean and variance of generalized trust and optimism about the future are used as proxies of the quality and the unpredictability of the social climate respondents live in. Besides parity, the study explores period variation by comparing the time around the Great Recession (before, during and after) and the years around the Covid-19 pandemic. Results show that the worsening of the social climate and its growing uncertainty correlate with lower and more uncertain first and second birth intentions. Yet, important parity-period interactions emerge.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"39 1","pages":"35"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10692021/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138471193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Gender Wage Gap and Parenthood: Occupational Characteristics Across European Countries. 性别工资差距与为人父母:欧洲国家的职业特征。

IF 2.5 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09681-4

Alícia Adsera, Federica Querin

{"title":"The Gender Wage Gap and Parenthood: Occupational Characteristics Across European Countries.","authors":"Alícia Adsera, Federica Querin","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09681-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09681-4","url":null,"abstract":"Different strands of research analyse gender occupational differences and how they relate to differential earnings, especially among parents juggling family demands. We use rich data from PIAAC across a subset of European countries and match occupational characteristics to individuals' jobs using the O*NET database to analyse, first, whether there are gender differences in the occupational characteristics of jobs, particularly among parents, and second, whether the return to key occupational characteristics varies by gender. Compared to men, women's jobs generally require more contact with others, less autonomy in decision-making, and less time pressure. In addition, positions held by mothers involve both less leadership expectations and less intensive use of machines than those held by fathers. Further, mothers receive a lower return to both of these occupational characteristics than fathers do. Finally, even though gaps in occupational characteristics such as leadership jointly with the differential sorting of mothers and fathers across sectors explain part of the gender wage gap in Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition models, especially in Continental Europe, a large share remains unexplained particularly in Eastern and Southern European countries.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"39 1","pages":"34"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10689340/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138464217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Can We Rely on Projections of the Immigrant Population? The Case of Norway. 我们能依靠移民人口预测吗?挪威的案例。

IF 2.5 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09675-2

Nico Keilman

{"title":"Can We Rely on Projections of the Immigrant Population? The Case of Norway.","authors":"Nico Keilman","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09675-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09675-2","url":null,"abstract":"Demographic forecasters must be realistic about how well they can predict future populations, and it is important that they include estimates of uncertainty in their forecasts. Here we focus on the future development of the immigrant population of Norway and their Norwegian-born children (\"second generation\"), grouped by three categories of country background: 1. West European countries plus the United States, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand; 2. Central and East European countries that are members of the European Union; 3. other countries. We show how to use a probabilistic forecast to assess the reliability of projections of the immigrant population and their children. We employ the method of random shares using data for immigrants and their children for 2000-2021. We model their age- and sex-specific shares relative to the whole population. Relational models are used for the age patterns in these shares, and time series models to extrapolate the parameters of the age patterns. We compute a probabilistic forecast for six population sub-groups with immigration background, and one for non-immigrants. The probabilistic forecast is calibrated against Statistics Norway's official population projection. We find that a few population trends are quite certain: strong increases to 2060 in the size of the immigrant population (more specifically those who belong to country group 3) and of Norwegian-born children of immigrants. However, prediction intervals around the forecasts of immigrants and their children by one-year age groups are so wide that these forecasts are not reliable.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"39 1","pages":"33"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10643711/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89720544","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Working from Home During Covid-19 Pandemic and Changes to Fertility Intentions Among Parents. 新冠肺炎大流行期间在家工作与父母生育意愿的变化。

IF 2.5 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09678-z

Anna Kurowska, Anna Matysiak, Beata Osiewalska

{"title":"Working from Home During Covid-19 Pandemic and Changes to Fertility Intentions Among Parents.","authors":"Anna Kurowska, Anna Matysiak, Beata Osiewalska","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09678-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09678-z","url":null,"abstract":"The Covid-19 pandemic and related massive spread of home based work led to substantial changes in the conditions for combining work and childbearing. On the one hand, working from home helped parents to accommodate increased childcare needs during the pandemic. On the other hand, it led to acute experiences of blurred boundaries between work and family life during childcare and school closures. Therefore, the direction of the impact of working from home on fertility intentions during the pandemic is not unequivocal. In this paper, we investigate how working from home was related to change in fertility intentions of mothers and fathers during the pandemic and discuss the complex mechanisms behind these relationships. With the use of unique Familydemic Survey data from a representative sample of parents in Poland, we estimate multinomial logit regressions by gender and consider a set of potential moderators, including financial well-being, gender relations, and occupational characteristics. We find evidence for an overall negative relationship between home based work and fertility intentions for mothers, but we also uncover some positive moderating effects. In particular, we shed light on the unobvious moderating role of gendered division of unpaid labor from before the pandemic.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"39 1","pages":"32"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10581933/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41240796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Employment Instability and Childbirth over the Last 20 Years in Italy. 意大利过去20年的就业不稳定与生育。

IF 2.5 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-10-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09680-5

Stefani Scherer, Elisa Brini

{"title":"Employment Instability and Childbirth over the Last 20 Years in Italy.","authors":"Stefani Scherer, Elisa Brini","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09680-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09680-5","url":null,"abstract":"Family formation is fostered by circumstances of plannability and economic and social stability. Conversely, as documented in previous literature, employment instability can hamper fertility decisions. Based on data from the Italian Labour Force Survey, this paper examines the association between employment-related instability and the likelihood of having a first or additional child from 2000 to 2020 in Italy, covering a period characterised by increasing labour market deregulation. Our results show that individual employment instability, such as temporary employment or unemployment, negatively influences the likelihood of having a first and second child, while the progression to higher parities is less affected by employment situations. Building upon previous research, we demonstrate how the negative association between fertility and employment instability has intensified over recent decades, especially for women. The large sample size also allowed for the examination of specific differences by educational levels and both partners' employment situation. In contrast to traditional views about gender roles, the employment situation of one's partner seems to matter less for women than for men.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"39 1","pages":"31"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10570255/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41219752","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Influence of Place of Birth on Adult Mortality: The Case of Spain. 出生地对成人死亡率的影响：西班牙案例。

IF 1.9 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09679-y

Néstor Aldea, Dariya Ordanovich, Alberto Palloni, Diego Ramiro, Francisco Viciana

引用次数: 0

Implications of the Theory of Basic Human Values for the Second Demographic Transition: Interdependence and Individualism in the Era of Self-Fulfillment. 人类基本价值观理论对第二次人口结构转型的影响：自我实现时代的相互依存与个人主义》。

IF 2.5 2区社会学

European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-023-09677-0

Oscar Smallenbroek

{"title":"Implications of the Theory of Basic Human Values for the Second Demographic Transition: Interdependence and Individualism in the Era of Self-Fulfillment.","authors":"Oscar Smallenbroek","doi":"10.1007/s10680-023-09677-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10680-023-09677-0","url":null,"abstract":"I examine the implications of a modern psychological theory of values for the Second Demographic Transition (SDT). The SDT derives its values theory and measurement from Maslow, who noted that resource-rich environments cause value shifts towards personal-focused growth values. However, Maslow has been replaced by the theory of basic human values (TBHV) which distinguishes person and social-focused growth values. This distinction has two important implications for the SDT. First, some individualistic and self-expressive values identified by the SDT are not growth but basic need motivated and therefore functions of resource-poor environments. Second, the TBHV values on interdependence and independence are strongly influenced by gender and reflect preferences for family and care or career. Therefore, these values can be used to address critiques of the SDT based on the stalled gender revolution. I show that distinguishing values as described in the TBHV can be useful for the SDT. I find that benevolence (interdependence) is positively and openness to change (autonomy/stimulation) is negatively related to marriage in the Netherlands using longitudinal panel data and discrete event history models.","PeriodicalId":51496,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie","volume":"39 1","pages":"29"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10473998/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10148334","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0