Public Opinion Quarterly最新文献

Conditioning Public Opinion Perceptions by "Survey Methods 101": Informing, Engaging, and Motivating Individuals for Critical Processing of Public Opinion Polls. 通过“调查方法101”调节公众舆论感知：为民意调查的关键处理提供信息，参与和激励个人。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-22 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag006

Ozan Kuru

{"title":"Conditioning Public Opinion Perceptions by \"Survey Methods 101\": Informing, Engaging, and Motivating Individuals for Critical Processing of Public Opinion Polls.","authors":"Ozan Kuru","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag006","url":null,"abstract":"Can we train individuals on survey methods to boost their critical processing of public opinion evidence? While polls are one of the most systematic and scientific methods for measuring and communicating public opinion, they face credibility challenges, such as decreasing public trust, the prevalence of straw and misinformation polls, and individuals' biased dismissal of polls that deliver unfavorable results. These issues manifest and fuel misperceptions, misinformation, and polarization in public opinion, pollsters, and the media. We designed and tested a novel strategy to mitigate these challenges collectively, indirectly, and nonconfrontationally via preemptive educative interventions that cultivate polling literacy. Integrating components from pedagogical and persuasion theories, three interventions are designed to (1) inform (passive literacy), (2) inform and engage (active literacy), and (3) inform, engage, and motivate (psychological inoculation) individuals. The effects of these interventions were evaluated and compared in an extensive, preregistered, longitudinal experiment. In Wave 1, trainees were exposed to one of the interventions or a control training. In Wave 2, participants viewed polls with either poor or robust methodology, tested across different poll results (majority supporting vs. opposing; ecological validity) and issues (COVID-19 vaccines and artificial intelligence; conceptual replication), and then evaluated polling evidence. Results showed that inoculation was particularly effective. Participants' education levels and science literacy levels conditioned various intervention effects. The theoretical implications of this novel pathway to conditioning public opinion and practical insights are discussed with a qualitative review and recommendations for existing public education efforts.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 2","pages":"399-450"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13081209/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147700670","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Paying It Forward: Generalized Reciprocity in Mass Opinion on Foreign Aid. 传递：对外援助民意中的广义互惠。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-19 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag003

Joonbum Bae, Changkeun Lee

{"title":"Paying It Forward: Generalized Reciprocity in Mass Opinion on Foreign Aid.","authors":"Joonbum Bae, Changkeun Lee","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag003","url":null,"abstract":"Does providing American vaccines overseas improve views of the United States? Do beneficiaries of donated shots change their opinions on foreign aid? Can the example of the United States providing aid lead to higher support for international assistance in other nations? Utilizing original panel data from a two-wave survey fielded in South Korea in 2021 and 2022, this paper finds no evidence that American shots, whether donated or purchased, lead to more positive views of the United States. However, we document a \"pay it forward effect,\" where recipients of donated COVID-19 vaccines from the United States were more likely to pass on the generosity by supporting Korean vaccine aid to other countries in need. Information that the United States was supplying assistance to developing countries also made it more likely that vaccinated South Koreans would support their government donating vaccines abroad. This study provides evidence of second-order effects of vaccine aid that can benefit American interests by facilitating the timely distribution of vaccines across the globe, even when it does not improve the donor's image. The results highlight the role foreign aid can play in furthering international cooperation and call for broader criteria when evaluating its effect.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 2","pages":"275-309"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13081207/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147700703","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Designing Passwords for Web Survey Access: The Effects of Password Length and Complexity on Survey and Panel Recruitment. 网络调查访问密码设计：密码长度和复杂度对调查和小组招募的影响。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-14 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag001

Georg-Christoph Haas, Marieke Volkert, Stefan Zins

{"title":"Designing Passwords for Web Survey Access: The Effects of Password Length and Complexity on Survey and Panel Recruitment.","authors":"Georg-Christoph Haas, Marieke Volkert, Stefan Zins","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag001","url":null,"abstract":"Online probability panels that recruit participants via postal invitation letters use passwords to manage access to the survey. While previous research has examined primarily whether providing a password affects response rates, less attention has been given to the impact of password strength, defined by length and complexity, on response propensities. Password length refers to the number of characters in a password, while complexity refers to the set of characters (e.g., lowercase letters, digits). This study evaluates the influence of password length and complexity on various participation levels (i.e., survey access, response rates, and panel registration) as well as the propensity to consent to data linkage and item response rates for income questions. We conducted an experiment in the first wave of a German online probability survey and manipulated password length and complexity. Additionally, we included a group using the default length and complexity settings (eight uppercase letters) of the survey hosting service. The participants were randomly assigned to one of these groups. The findings indicate that longer and more complex passwords increase both participation rates and the propensity to consent to data linkage between survey and administrative data.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 2","pages":"361-398"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13081210/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147700755","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How Empathy and Partisanship Affected Attitude Changes Following the Assassination of Shinzo Abe: Evidence from Panel Surveys. 安倍遇刺后，共情和党派之争如何影响态度变化：来自小组调查的证据。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-14 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag008

Zeyu Lyu, Susumu Cato

{"title":"How Empathy and Partisanship Affected Attitude Changes Following the Assassination of Shinzo Abe: Evidence from Panel Surveys.","authors":"Zeyu Lyu, Susumu Cato","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag008","url":null,"abstract":"Shinzo Abe, the longest-serving prime minister in Japan's postwar history, was assassinated on July 8, 2022, triggering widespread social reactions and shifts in public opinion. This study investigates the effects of the assassination on attitudes toward Abe using panel data from before and after the assassination. Our results suggest that, overall, attitudes toward Abe significantly improved after the assassination, and that the extent of attitude change varied between groups. Specifically, we find that individuals with strong empathy were more likely to improve their attitude toward Abe, indicating a pattern of emotion-driven attitude change. Our analysis also suggests that partisanship may have shaped individuals' attitude changes. Specifically, individuals with opposing party preferences were more resistant to attitude change, whereas partisan proximity facilitated positive reassessments. Moreover, the influence of partisanship on attitude change depended on its intensity. Individuals without sustained and strong party preferences were more susceptible to attitude change following the assassination. Overall, this study provides empirical evidence for attitude changes due to political violence and has implications for our understanding of the mechanisms of such attitude changes.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 2","pages":"518-535"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13081205/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147700679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A Demonstration of Propensity-Score Weighting to Adjust a Social Media Nonprobability Sample Survey of Political Attitudes. 倾向-得分加权对社会媒体政治态度非概率抽样调查的调整论证。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-11 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfaf071

Michael S Pollard, Michael W Robbins, Max Griswold

{"title":"A Demonstration of Propensity-Score Weighting to Adjust a Social Media Nonprobability Sample Survey of Political Attitudes.","authors":"Michael S Pollard, Michael W Robbins, Max Griswold","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfaf071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfaf071","url":null,"abstract":"Interest in using nonprobability online samples continues to grow despite concerns about selection bias. Many methods exist for adjusting nonprobability data so it may yield generalizable inferences. Here we investigate whether a propensity score weighting method can balance differences between a probability sample and a nonprobability sample of Twitter (now X) users to evaluate the feasibility of using social media data for producing generalizable inferences on public opinion. We fielded identical surveys to 2,001 probability-sampled respondents (June 30-July 22, 2022) and 949 Twitter users (March 1-July 13, 2022); final analytic sample sizes were 1,972 and 822, respectively. The nonprobability sample differed significantly in demographic characteristics (younger, lower income, higher educational attainment), and broadly endorsed significantly more liberal attitudes toward a range of political and policy issues than the probability sample. We show that the propensity score weighting procedure, using demographics, techno/psychographics, and political ideology, reconciles differences between the samples for 25 of the 27 attitudes assessed. The results demonstrate the feasibility and utility of the propensity score weighting procedure to replicate a probability sample with nonprobability social media data and add to the literature on the use of nonprobability samples to draw population-level inferences.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 2","pages":"536-565"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13081208/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147700736","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Ideological Cues, Partisanship, and Prejudice Against LGBTQ Judges. 意识形态线索、党派偏见和对LGBTQ法官的偏见。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-03 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfaf064

Andrew R Stone, Tony Zirui Yang

{"title":"Ideological Cues, Partisanship, and Prejudice Against LGBTQ Judges.","authors":"Andrew R Stone, Tony Zirui Yang","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfaf064","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfaf064","url":null,"abstract":"How does the gender and sexual identity of a prospective judge shape public support for their nomination? We build upon recent scholarship on instrumental inclusivity and argue that, after accounting for nominee ideology, Americans of all partisan stripes will penalize LGBTQ nominees. Using a conjoint experiment, we randomly vary a prospective Biden US Supreme Court nominee's gender and sexual identity. Crucially, we also randomize the nominee's ideology, enabling us to disentangle LGBTQ identity from the ideological signal it sends and differentiate between genuine and instrumental support for LGBTQ nominees. Contrary to recent findings suggesting that Democrats reward minority judges, we find that respondents from both parties penalize LGBTQ nominees. The magnitude of these effects-roughly 14 percentage points for transgender nominees and 8 percentage points for gay or lesbian nominees-is considerable and second only to shared partisanship. Our study underscores that ideological alignment does not necessarily foster genuine inclusivity for LGBTQ individuals and highlights the persistent challenges of representation for marginalized groups in an era of polarized judicial nominations.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 1","pages":"218-237"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13034043/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147595846","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Unwilling to Disclose: Privacy and Pregnancy in Post-Roe America. 不愿披露：罗伊案后美国的隐私与怀孕。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-03 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfaf062

Cindy D Kam, Colette Marcellin

引用次数: 0

Measuring Party Identification in Public Opinion Surveys of Americans. 在美国民意调查中衡量党派认同。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-02-23 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfaf065

Joshua J Dyck, Jack Santucci

{"title":"Measuring Party Identification in Public Opinion Surveys of Americans.","authors":"Joshua J Dyck, Jack Santucci","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfaf065","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfaf065","url":null,"abstract":"How should we measure \"pure\" or \"true\" independents? For years, the respective item required a respondent to volunteer that answer. Recent surveys have moved toward presenting it explicitly. Those that do produce estimates of pure independents that are much larger than in past surveys. We present evidence of this phenomenon across multiple surveys and ask: Are self-administered surveys overcounting independents, or are traditional live-interviewer surveys undercounting independents? We answer that question by comparing live-interview and self-administered samples from the 2012 and 2016 American National Election Studies, by undertaking tests to rule out mode effects (including an experiment), and by seeing which question wording correlates more strongly with measures of latent ideology, vote choice, and ratings of the parties. Our findings suggest that surveys that include an explicit response option, allowing Americans to self-identify easily as \"(pure) independent,\" offer a more precise measurement of the concept of party identification. This has implications for the study of independents, as well as for discussions about polarization and party-system dealignment.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 1","pages":"65-95"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2026-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13034036/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147595857","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How Can We Size Your Core Issue? Assessing Salience Validity Using Psychophysiology. 我们如何评估你的核心问题？运用心理生理学评估显著性效度。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2025-12-05 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfaf041

Camille Tremblay-Antoine, Yannick Dufresne, François Vachon

引用次数: 0

A Measurement Gap? Effect of Survey Instrument and Scoring on the Partisan Knowledge Gap. 测量差距？调查工具与计分对党派知识差距的影响。

IF 2.7 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2025-11-22 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfaf044

Lucas Shen, Gaurav Sood, Daniel Weitzel

引用次数: 0