Public Opinion Quarterly最新文献

Disentangling the Three Facets of Mass Ideological Polarization: A Network Approach Across 78 Societies. 解读大众意识形态两极分化的三个方面：一个跨越78个社会的网络方法。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-09-08 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag037

Yufan Guo, Yilang Peng, Tian Yang

{"title":"Disentangling the Three Facets of Mass Ideological Polarization: A Network Approach Across 78 Societies.","authors":"Yufan Guo, Yilang Peng, Tian Yang","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag037","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag037","url":null,"abstract":"Public opinion research has intensively examined mass ideological polarization, often linking it to outcomes that threaten key democratic ideals. Both theory and empirical evidence suggest that it comprises multiple manifestations, with their relationships, however, remaining largely unclear. Meanwhile, previous studies have seldom conducted cross-contextual comparisons, which are essential for understanding how macrostructural factors shape mass polarization. These limitations partly arise from the methodological challenges that hinder consistent measurement across diverse contexts. To fill these gaps, this study introduces a belief network approach to compare three core manifestations of mass ideological polarization: disagreement, symbolic-operational ideological alignment, and within-operational ideological alignment. Using data from 78 societies in the World Values Survey and the European Values Study (2017-2023), we employ improved network-based measures that capture ideological alignment without relying on context-specific assumptions. Surprisingly, our findings reveal substantial cross-national variation and contrasting correlations among these manifestations, indicating that mass ideological polarization is neither singular nor universal. We further apply the network approach to examine how modernization, a critical macrostructural factor, shapes ideological polarization, showing that it predicts lower disagreement but higher ideological alignment. By offering a scalable and context-adaptable tool for comparative public opinion research, this study proposes an expanded theoretical framework of mass polarization, highlighting the need to distinguish its diverse manifestations and their structural drivers across global contexts.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 SI","pages":"1017-1048"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13553011/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148913840","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Are the Major "Western" Findings on Attitudes to Immigration Supported by Global Evidence? Mostly Yes, Actually. 关于移民态度的主要“西方”调查结果是否得到全球证据的支持？基本上是的，事实上。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-07-11 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag028

James Dennison

{"title":"Are the Major \"Western\" Findings on Attitudes to Immigration Supported by Global Evidence? Mostly Yes, Actually.","authors":"James Dennison","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag028","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag028","url":null,"abstract":"The causes of variation in attitudes to immigration have been the subject of extensive scholarship in recent decades, with some factors being repeatedly evidenced. However, these findings are overwhelmingly based on studies from a small selection of \"Western\" countries. This article makes use of recent World Values Survey data across 66 countries globally to test how generalizable such findings on the determinants of attitudes to immigration are globally. It finds that the most typically identified sociodemographic, economic, and contextual determinants of immigration policy preferences, prejudices, and perceived effects are largely generalizable globally, namely: age, low income, job worries, rurality, not having an immigrant background, social distrust, national migration rate, feeling unsafe in one's neighborhood, and national media bias. The effects of gender, education, and left-right self-placement are weaker and less generalizable. These findings are robust across world regions. Although the predictive power of all factors tend to be smaller outside of Western Europe, these findings shed light on the more profound, universal, and genuine nature of attitudes to immigration, their likely internal determinants-rather than purely external and contextual ones-and the global reliability of measuring their predictors.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 SI","pages":"1220-1260"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13553009/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148913552","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Not Your Mama's Ideology (But Close): Modest Generational Differences in Ideological Alignment in Postcommunist Europe. 不是你妈妈的意识形态（但接近）：后共产主义欧洲意识形态结盟的适度代际差异。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-06-29 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag041

Lenka Hrbková, Tadeas Cely, Matej Jungwirth

{"title":"Not Your Mama's Ideology (But Close): Modest Generational Differences in Ideological Alignment in Postcommunist Europe.","authors":"Lenka Hrbková, Tadeas Cely, Matej Jungwirth","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag041","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag041","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines whether generational change in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) is associated with shifts in how political attitudes align along the conventional economic-cultural left-right dimension. Because cohorts in the region were socialized under different political-economic systems, CEE provides a setting to assess whether younger generations display patterns of attitude alignment that differ from those of older cohorts. Using pooled European Social Survey data (2004-2023) and original surveys from Czechia, Hungary, and Lithuania, we combine an age-period-cohort analysis of left-right alignment with a network analysis of associations among thirteen salient issues. We find modest generational differences in the early 2000s, but these diminish over time, with all cohorts exhibiting similarly low levels of left-right alignment. Economic and cultural attitudes remain weakly connected, and EU- and foreign-policy issues often form separate clusters. The findings indicate that generational replacement has not produced a shift toward a more conventional left-right organization of belief systems in the region.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 SI","pages":"1084-1113"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13553006/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148913864","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Lingua Franca of Ideology? Common and Country-Specific Measures of Symbolic and Operational Ideology in Asian and Western Countries. 意识形态的通用语？亚洲和西方国家象征意识形态和操作意识形态的共同和国别措施。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-06-24 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag049

Ikuma Ogura, Hirofumi Miwa, Tetsuro Kobayashi, Yuko Kasuya

{"title":"Lingua Franca of Ideology? Common and Country-Specific Measures of Symbolic and Operational Ideology in Asian and Western Countries.","authors":"Ikuma Ogura, Hirofumi Miwa, Tetsuro Kobayashi, Yuko Kasuya","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag049","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag049","url":null,"abstract":"Comparative public opinion surveys, including the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES), often rely on identical labels and question items to measure respondents' symbolic and operational ideology across countries. However, it remains unclear whether common symbolic measures of ideology carry the same meaning across contexts, or whether the issue items used to construct common operational measures are equally relevant in national settings. To address these concerns, we compare symbolic and operational ideology as measured using common cross-national items and country-specific items. We conducted public opinion surveys before and after national elections in seven Asian and Western countries. Our analyses reveal that (i) country-specific measures of ideology are generally more stable over time than common measures, (ii) country-specific symbolic and operational ideology are more strongly associated with each other than their common counterparts, (iii) respondents tend to have a greater understanding of country-specific ideological labels than common ones, (iv) country-specific measures are generally more predictive of vote choice in elections, and (v) ideological extremity, as measured by these two types of indicators, shows different correlations with respondents' attitudes toward democratic values. These findings suggest that researchers should use country-specific measures of ideology in comparative public opinion research.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 SI","pages":"924-954"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13553003/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148913848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Who Reads Criticism Matters: How Selective Exposure Affects Public Backlash to Foreign Shaming. 谁读批评很重要：选择性曝光如何影响公众对外国羞辱的反弹。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-05-08 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag027

Jamie J Gruffydd-Jones

引用次数: 0

Computer-Assisted Mobile Phone Interviews in Low- and Middle-Income Countries Through a Total Survey Error Framework. 通过总调查误差框架在低收入和中等收入国家进行计算机辅助移动电话访谈。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-05-07 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag023

Abigail R Greenleaf, Huguette Diakabana, Charles Lau

引用次数: 0

Correcting Misperceptions Across Contexts: The Political Impact of Gender Inequality Information in Japan and South Korea. 跨语境纠正误解：日本和韩国性别不平等信息的政治影响。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-04-25 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag030

Min Hee Go, Yesola Kweon, Hirofumi Miwa, Yoshikuni Ono

{"title":"Correcting Misperceptions Across Contexts: The Political Impact of Gender Inequality Information in Japan and South Korea.","authors":"Min Hee Go, Yesola Kweon, Hirofumi Miwa, Yoshikuni Ono","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag030","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag030","url":null,"abstract":"How do citizens respond to accurate information regarding social inequality? This study examines public perceptions of gender inequality in Japan and South Korea-two high-income democracies characterized by persistent gender gaps but contrasting political contexts. Using original survey data and preregistered survey experiments (N = 7,000), we test whether corrective information about gender disparities influences support for related government policies. The findings reveal notable cross-national variation: While corrective information had a minimal effect on Japanese respondents, it significantly increased support for gender equality measures among South Koreans, especially women. These varied findings suggest that the effectiveness of informational interventions depends on contextual factors. Specifically, we argue that the success of these interventions hinges on the political salience of the issue and the national informational environment, both of which enhance the likelihood of attitude change in the South Korean context. By examining misperceptions and their correction, this study contributes to the understanding of opinion formation, policy attitudes, and the conditional effects of information in shaping public perceptions of inequality.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 SI","pages":"1114-1143"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13553012/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148913550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

United or Divided? A Polarized Society's Response to War. 联合还是分裂？两极分化的社会对战争的反应。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-04-03 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag014

Yuval Feinstein, Geffen Ben-David

{"title":"United or Divided? A Polarized Society's Response to War.","authors":"Yuval Feinstein, Geffen Ben-David","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag014","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag014","url":null,"abstract":"Recent global crises have renewed interest in the rally-'round-the-flag phenomenon of public opinion. At the same time, many studies have focused on deepening political polarization across countries. This study synthesizes these two lines of research by exploring how public opinion in a deeply polarized society responds to a security crisis that, in a less polarized context, would likely have led most citizens to close ranks behind a government that declared war on national enemies. We analyzed original panel data collected in Israel before and after the October 7 Hamas attack and during the subsequent Israeli military operation in Gaza. The findings reveal a split pattern: while the vast majority of Jewish Israelis supported the war and trusted the security forces, trust in the government and prime minister remained low. The analysis further identifies two distinct sets of mechanisms of attitude. Support for the war and trust in the security forces were associated with threat perceptions and anger about the enemy's actions. In contrast, trust or mistrust in the government and prime minister hinged on whether respondents attributed blame for the crisis to the government or to the oppositional protest movement, an assessment tied to their preexisting views on the government's controversial \"judicial reform\" initiative. These results suggest that extreme political polarization can prevent the emergence of a unified rally behind governments during severe security crises, mainly when internal strife produces contested views about the government's responsibility for the crisis.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 3","pages":"657-696"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13287526/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148320374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Thinking Ideologically: The Limited Role of Left and Right Labels as Policy Shortcuts. 意识形态思维：左右标签作为政策捷径的有限作用。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-29 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag015

Sarah Lachance, Clareta Treger

{"title":"Thinking Ideologically: The Limited Role of Left and Right Labels as Policy Shortcuts.","authors":"Sarah Lachance, Clareta Treger","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag015","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag015","url":null,"abstract":"How do voters use left-right ideological labels as shortcuts for policy positions in evaluating electoral candidates? We offer a distinction between maximal and minimal forms of ideological thinking. While maximal thinking implies that voters rely on ideological proximity as a proxy for policy congruence with candidates, minimal thinking requires only that voters use ideological labels to infer candidates' positions-even if their own ideological identification is inconsistent with policy preferences. Drawing on original experimental data from Canada (N = 1,087)-a multiparty system with a fluid ideological landscape-we find that voters' ideological self-placement is often misaligned with their policy positions, especially among right-leaning individuals. However, voters still use ideological proximity to infer candidates' policy stances in the absence of policy information, supporting the Minimal Theory. These findings contribute to theories of political decision-making beyond the United States and have implications for substantive representation in systems with centrist or ideologically flexible parties.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 3","pages":"730-757"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13287524/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148320737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Scaling Open-Ended Survey Responses Using LLM-Paired Comparisons. 使用llm配对比较扩展开放式调查回应。

IF 4.6 1区社会学

Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2026-03-27 eCollection Date: 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfag013

Matthew R DiGiuseppe, Michael E Flynn

{"title":"Scaling Open-Ended Survey Responses Using LLM-Paired Comparisons.","authors":"Matthew R DiGiuseppe, Michael E Flynn","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfag013","DOIUrl":"10.1093/poq/nfag013","url":null,"abstract":"Survey researchers rely heavily on closed-ended questions to measure latent respondent characteristics like knowledge, policy positions, emotions, ideology, and various other traits. Closed-ended questions are easy to analyze and collect, but necessarily limit the depth and variability of responses. Open-ended responses allow for greater depth and variability in responses, but are labor intensive to code. Large language models (LLMs) may help with this problem, but existing approaches to using LLMs have a number of limitations. In this paper, we propose and test a pairwise comparison method to scale open-ended survey responses on a continuous scale. The approach relies on LLMs to make pairwise comparisons of statements that identify which statement \"wins\" and \"loses.\" With this information, we employ a Bayesian Bradley-Terry model to recover a \"score\" on a latent dimension for each statement. This approach allows for finer discrimination between items, reduced anchoring bias, better measurement of uncertainty, and is more flexible than methods relying on Maximum Likelihood Estimation techniques. We demonstrate the utility of this approach on an open-ended question probing knowledge of interest rates in the US economy. A comparison of six LLMs of various sizes reveals that pairwise comparisons show greater consistency than zero-shot 0-10 ratings across a variety of model sizes. Further, comparison of pairwise decisions is consistent with knowledgeable crowdsourced workers.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"90 3","pages":"630-656"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13287519/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148320718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0