{"title":"Demand planning for the digital supply chain: How to integrate human judgment and predictive analytics","authors":"Rebekah Brau, John Aloysius, Enno Siemsen","doi":"10.1002/joom.1257","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1257","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Our research examines how to integrate human judgment and statistical algorithms for demand planning in an increasingly data-driven and automated environment. We use a laboratory experiment combined with a field study to compare existing integration methods with a novel approach: Human-Guided Learning. This new method allows the algorithm to use human judgment to train a model using an iterative linear weighting of human judgment and model predictions. Human-Guided Learning is more accurate vis-à-vis the established integration methods of Judgmental Adjustment, Quantitative Correction of Human Judgment, Forecast Combination, and Judgment as a Model Input. Human-Guided Learning performs similarly to Integrative Judgment Learning, but under certain circumstances, Human-Guided Learning can be more accurate. Our studies demonstrate that the benefit of human judgment for demand planning processes depends on the integration method.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 6","pages":"965-982"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/joom.1257","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47127852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Saman Lagzi, Bernardo F. Quiroga, Gonzalo Romero, Nicholas Howard, Timothy C. Y. Chan
{"title":"Negative externality on service level across priority classes: Evidence from a radiology workflow platform","authors":"Saman Lagzi, Bernardo F. Quiroga, Gonzalo Romero, Nicholas Howard, Timothy C. Y. Chan","doi":"10.1002/joom.1252","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1252","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We study the potential negative impact of imbalanced compensation schemes on firm performance. We analyze data from a radiology workflow platform that connects off-site radiologists with hospitals. These radiologists select tasks from a common pool, while service level is defined by priority-specific turnaround time targets. However, imbalances between pay and workload of different tasks could result in higher priority tasks with low pay-to-workload ratio receiving poorer service. We investigate this hypothesis, showing turnaround time is decreasing in pay-to-workload for lower priority tasks, whereas it is increasing in workload for high-priority tasks. Crucially, we find evidence of an externality effect: Having many economically attractive tasks with low priority can lead to longer turnaround times for higher priority tasks, increasing their likelihood of delay, thus partially defeating the purpose of the priority classes.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 8","pages":"1257-1281"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/joom.1252","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48087523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Aydin Alptekinoglu, Ashley Stadler Blank, Margaret G. Meloy, V. Daniel R. Guide Jr.
{"title":"Can mass customization slow fast fashion down? The impact on time-to-disposal and willingness-to-pay","authors":"Aydin Alptekinoglu, Ashley Stadler Blank, Margaret G. Meloy, V. Daniel R. Guide Jr.","doi":"10.1002/joom.1255","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1255","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We experimentally investigate whether mass customization enhances sustainability and firm outcomes in a fast fashion context. Fast fashion delivers fashion trends to consumers quickly and cheaply but has detrimental effects on the environment (e.g., waste accumulation, water pollution). To mitigate these harmful effects, we examine how different points of customer involvement in mass customization affect the anticipated number of months to product disposal and willingness-to-pay for mass-customized products. We employ a series of experiments and find that consumer perceptions of the degree of customization increase as the point of customer involvement shifts upstream from <i>Use</i> to <i>Assembly</i> to <i>Fabrication</i> to <i>Design</i> and that the anticipated number of months to disposal and willingness-to-pay increase as the point of customer involvement shifts upstream to <i>Design</i>. We also find that the implementation of customer involvement in mass customization matters. Overall, these results provide evidence that mass customization via <i>Design</i> may not only help <i>slow</i> fast fashion down, which has major sustainability implications, but it may also present a win-win opportunity for both the environment <i>and</i> firms (in terms of the bottom line—provided, of course, that it does not have any major cost disadvantages).</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 8","pages":"1320-1341"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49293774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The institutionalization of sharing economy platforms in China","authors":"Dun Li, Tobias Schoenherr","doi":"10.1002/joom.1253","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1253","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Recent past has witnessed a great proliferation of sharing economy platforms with great successes, but also many failures on their journey toward institutionalization, that is, their establishment and acceptance in society. To develop insight on factors contributing to this institutionalization process, this paper relies on the literature in institutional entrepreneurship and investigates sharing economy platforms in China, highlighting institutional voids that are encountered, and suggesting ways on how they can be overcome. These insights are derived through a multiple case study approach involving 61 semi-structured interviews with managers from eight sharing economy platforms (DiDi, Uber China, Huochebang, Yunmanman, OfO, Mobike, Evcard, and Zhida) across four sharing economy industries in China (ride-sharing, logistics-sharing, bike-sharing, and car-sharing). The findings highlight the importance of exchange and collaboration with stakeholders (allies) in the network, as well as the effective response to emerging issues through the adaptation of the business models. In addition, mergers and acquisitions, and the role of government are identified as critical components in aiding platforms in their progression toward institutionalization. Further cognitive, regulative, and normative factors are found to represent valuable institutional pillars that serve as a fertile foundation throughout the institutionalization process. Overall, the findings provide an intriguing insight into the journey of Chinese sharing economy platforms toward institutionalization.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 5","pages":"764-793"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47693313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The signaling effect of supplier's customer network instability on service price: Insights from the container shipping charter market","authors":"Pankaj Kumar, Agnieszka Nowinska, Hans-Joachim Schramm","doi":"10.1002/joom.1254","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1254","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In a service exchange setting, the supply management literature generally assumes, with notable exceptions, the availability of complete information regarding supplier reliability. Highlighting the information asymmetry in supplier evaluation and using signaling theory, we argue that for a focal buyer, a supplier's downstream ego-network instability, that is, other buyers' turnover in a supplier's network from one period to the next, acts as a <i>signal</i> of supplier unreliability, thereby reducing the price that the buyer pays to the supplier in a service exchange. Furthermore, we suggest that focal buyer–supplier relationship strength and structural equivalence weaken the negative effect of instability because the buyer has a more direct and positive experience with the supplier. Using a dataset of 3263 unique dyads formed by 260 buyers (shipoperators) and 493 suppliers (shipowners) during the 2000–2018 period in the container shipping charter market, we find support for our hypotheses, except for the contingent effect of structural equivalence. Our study contributes to signaling literature and network research by developing a supplier's downstream ego-network instability as a salient heuristic for a focal buyer's pricing decisions. These findings equip buyer managers who may not accurately foresee supplier service quality in the charter market with a new supplier evaluation tool: a supplier's downstream ego-network instability.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 8","pages":"1282-1319"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/joom.1254","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46627520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Building responsive and resilient supply chains: Lessons from the COVID-19 disruption","authors":"Xiang Li, Xiande Zhao, Hau L. Lee, Chris Voss","doi":"10.1002/joom.1250","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1250","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Since the first case was identified, COVID-19 has spread to more than 200 countries. As of October 25, 2022, it had resulted in over 6 million deaths and 600 million confirmed cases. The rapid widespread of COVID-19 led to large-scale disruptions with major supply and demand shocks in supply chains, causing significant negative impacts on the global economy. The World Bank reported that the world GDP growth rate for 2020 was −3.27%, indicating the worst recession since 1961.</p><p>First, the initial epidemic-control efforts blocked the flows of raw materials across the world, and limited labor movements by imposing temporary travel restrictions. As a result, many firms struggled with supply disruptions and labor shortages, setting off a chain reaction of disruption in global supply chains. Fortune (2020) reported that as of February 21, 2020, 94% of the <i>Fortune 1000</i> companies had experienced supply-chain disruptions due to COVID-19.<sup>1</sup> According to the <i>Institute for Supply Management</i>, almost 75% of companies reported supply-chain disruptions in some capacity due to coronavirus-related transportation restrictions.<sup>2</sup> A survey conducted by the <i>National Association of Manufacturers</i> reported that 78.3% of manufacturers believed that COVID-19 had a significant negative influence on their financial performance, and 35.5% of them had experienced some type of supply chain disruptions.<sup>3</sup></p><p>Second, the demand for essential personal-protective equipment increased dramatically because the virus was easily transmitted from person to person through air-borne droplets; accompanied by a drop in the need for other manufactured products (Nicola et al., <span>2020</span>). For example, COVID-19 had caused a surge in the demand of face masks that were necessary to prevent infection among frontline workers (who were directly exposed to the virus when treating infected patients or conducting nucleic acid tests) and individuals in public places. China was the main producer of masks at the start of the crisis, accounting for approximately half of world production. In January 2020, China could produce 20 million masks per day, which was insufficient to equip even just healthcare workers in China. As a result of extensive efforts by the government and companies, Chinese production increased six-fold and reached 116 million masks per day by the end of February, 2020. But even this was insufficient to meet its own demand, and China imported a large quantity of masks. Similarly, Germany also experienced very limited availability of face masks in the spring of 2020. To increase the supply of face masks, the German government contracted with hundreds of companies and introduced a series of incentives to encourage local, non-medical manufacturers to temporarily transform to produce masks.</p><p>More generally, demand patterns for supplies of all types became less predictable from the beginning of pandemic. Significant chan","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 3","pages":"352-358"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/joom.1250","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46437121","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Huseyn Abdulla, James D. Abbey, A. Selin Atalay, Margaret G. Meloy
{"title":"Show, don't tell: Education and physical exposure effects in remanufactured product markets","authors":"Huseyn Abdulla, James D. Abbey, A. Selin Atalay, Margaret G. Meloy","doi":"10.1002/joom.1248","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1248","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We study the effectiveness of two theoretically and practically relevant interventions designed to increase familiarity with and thereby stimulate the appeal of and willingness to pay (WTP) for remanufactured (refurbished) consumer products that are often found repulsive by consumers: (1) educating consumers about the remanufacturing process, (2) providing physical exposure to remanufactured products. We find that education does not cause an increase in the appeal of and WTP for remanufactured consumer products. Providing physical exposure to remanufactured products, relative to text and text-plus picture or video modalities, significantly increases both the appeal and WTP as a result of increasing perceived quality and decreasing disgust. Sellers can benefit from marketing remanufactured consumer products through physical channels (i.e., brick-and-mortar, outlet, showroom stores) as opposed to solely through online channels, which is the common practice among many sellers.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"70 2","pages":"243-256"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48277512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jose Benedicto Duhaylongsod, Felix Papier, Ayse Onculer
{"title":"Reference-dependent preferences in flat penalty service-level contracts","authors":"Jose Benedicto Duhaylongsod, Felix Papier, Ayse Onculer","doi":"10.1002/joom.1251","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1251","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper investigates a supply chain governed by a flat penalty service-level contract in which missing the target fill rate can lead to costly operational disruption. We focus on near-miss bias: (1) the preference for near-miss events, that is, risky production quantities that reach the target but narrowly avoid disruption; and (2) riskier decision-making due to such preferences. We propose a reference-dependent behavioral model that explains the near-miss bias. The findings of a laboratory experiment show that production quantities are evaluated based on realized profits and are below the optimal model prediction. Contracts associated with lower perceived severity, that is, the ratio of flat penalty to wholesale price, result in lower production quantities than those with higher perceived severity, even though the standard model does not predict any effect. A structural estimation analysis indicates that the behavioral model performs better than the standard model in terms of predictive accuracy and goodness of fit. Our analysis provides insights for managers who design supply chain contracts in settings with considerable risk of disruption due to a shortage of critical parts.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 8","pages":"1219-1234"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/joom.1251","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135592899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yoonseock Son, Angela Aerry Choi, Kaitlin D. Wowak, Corey M. Angst
{"title":"Gender mismatch and bias in people-centric operations: Evidence from a randomized field experiment","authors":"Yoonseock Son, Angela Aerry Choi, Kaitlin D. Wowak, Corey M. Angst","doi":"10.1002/joom.1249","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1249","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While considerable progress has been made in understanding gender mismatch and bias in the physical workplace, there is a limited understanding of how these biases manifest in online platforms where gender masking and manipulation can easily occur. In this study, we collaborate with an online product and service firm in Asia and propose a field experiment design to examine how gender bias influences people-centric operations in online platforms. By assigning different gender combinations of clients and consultants, we examine how the effect of gender bias differs depending on the gender match or mismatch of the entities in the information exchange process. Using 7 months of data, we provide preliminary evidence of gender biases of different client-consultant gender pairings. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"70 5","pages":"E1-E17"},"PeriodicalIF":6.5,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41524696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jingyun Li, Indranil R. Bardhan, Suresh Sethi, W. Steves Ring
{"title":"Hospital and surgeon experience and patient health outcomes after coronary artery bypass graft surgery","authors":"Jingyun Li, Indranil R. Bardhan, Suresh Sethi, W. Steves Ring","doi":"10.1002/joom.1247","DOIUrl":"10.1002/joom.1247","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program imposes financial penalties on hospitals with excess readmission rates for various conditions, including coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. While prior research has focused mainly on hospital-specific factors and their impact on patient mortality, surgeon risk factors and patient outcomes, such as readmission risk, have received less attention. We study three drivers of CABG readmission risk—hospital and surgeon case volume, variation in surgeon volume, and surgeon familiarity with hospitals. Drawing on unique patient data sets of CABG surgeries spanning 3 years, we study the relationships between hospital and surgeon case volume, readmission risk, and postoperative length of stay (PLOS). We find evidence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between case volume and readmission risk and a U-shaped relationship with PLOS. Our results also indicate that surgeon volume variation moderates the relationship between surgeon volume and readmission risk, where readmission risk increases with greater variation in surgeon volume. We observe that the impact of surgeon experience on readmission risk at the focal hospital outweighs their experience at other hospitals. Our study has significant implications for hospital resource management as it highlights the role of surgeon and hospital experience in improving patient outcomes after CABG surgery.</p>","PeriodicalId":51097,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Operations Management","volume":"69 7","pages":"1153-1175"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48075017","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}