Journal of Advanced Transportation最新文献

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Identification Dockless Bike-Sharing and Metro Transfer Travelers through Mobility Chain 通过移动链识别无桩共享单车和地铁换乘旅客
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-16 DOI: 10.1155/2024/4540251
Xiang Li, Qipeng Yan, Yixiong Tang, Chen Luo
{"title":"Identification Dockless Bike-Sharing and Metro Transfer Travelers through Mobility Chain","authors":"Xiang Li,&nbsp;Qipeng Yan,&nbsp;Yixiong Tang,&nbsp;Chen Luo","doi":"10.1155/2024/4540251","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/4540251","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The burgeoning dockless bike-sharing system presents a promising solution to the first- and last-mile transportation challenge by connecting trip origins/destinations to metro stations. However, the differentiation between metro passengers and DBS riders, as they belong to distinct systems, hinders the precise identification of DBS-metro transfers. This study introduces an innovative method employing mobility chains to establish spatiotemporal relationships, including spatiotemporal conflicts and similarities, among potential users from both systems. This significantly enhances the precision of user matching. An empirical study in Chengdu validates the method’s increased accuracy and examines travel patterns, yielding the following insights: (1) Introduction of the mobility chain reduces average matched pairs by 28.27% and improves accuracy by 18.36%. The addition of spatial-temporal similarity further boosts accuracy by 19.32%. (2) Median distances for DBS-metro access and egress transfers are approximately 950 meters. Short trips of 650–750 meters are prevalent, while trips exceeding 1.5 kilometers lead passengers to opt for alternative modes. (3) Temporal patterns reveal weekday peaks at 8:00, 9:00, and 17:00. On weekends, transfers are uniformly distributed, mainly within urban areas. Suburban stations exhibit reduced weekend activity. These findings can provide valuable insights for enhancing DBS bicycle redistribution, promoting transportation mode integration, and fostering urban transportation’s sustainable development.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140156388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of Hotspots in and outside School Zones: A Case Study of Seoul 学区内外热点分析:首尔案例研究
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.1155/2024/6613603
Uibeom Chun, Joonbeom Lim, Hyungkyu Kim
{"title":"Analysis of Hotspots in and outside School Zones: A Case Study of Seoul","authors":"Uibeom Chun,&nbsp;Joonbeom Lim,&nbsp;Hyungkyu Kim","doi":"10.1155/2024/6613603","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/6613603","url":null,"abstract":"<p>With growing social concern on pedestrian accidents involving children, the Korean government announced a plan to decrease the number of child deaths due to traffic accidents by 2026. Therefore, policymakers should consider various measures for school zones because a safe school walkway is essential for preventing traffic accidents around schools. Some parts of the roads within a radius of 300 m from elementary school and kindergarten entrances are designated as school zones. Certain roads experience frequent accidents within the school zone, while others experience frequent accidents outside the school zone. Hence, this study aimed to provide school zone types in Seoul by noting different occurrence accidents within and outside each school zone and suggest proper countermeasure by type. After selecting a 300 m radius analysis unit from the school zones, a distinction was made between the school zones and outside for each analysis unit. After verifying the spatial autocorrelation in each unit, hotspot analysis identified four types based on the presence or absence of hotspots in each unit. Types were defined as follows: Type A—no hotspots in school zones or outside the school zones; Type B—hotspots only outside the school zones; Type C—hotspots only the school zones; and Type D—hotspots both in school zones and outside the school zones. Subsequently, a case study was conducted to validate the types. For Types B and C, the results revealed differences in the installation of traffic safety facilities and the environment between within and outside the school zones. Therefore, Type B requires improving safety outside the school zones by expanding school zones to match the safety level within. For Type C, it implies the need to strengthen safety measures in the school zones. Lastly, for Type D, improvement projects for a safe walking environment should be implemented in primarily by conducting separate inspections.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140151324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mechanism Analysis of the Impact of COVID-19 on the Whole Process of Aircraft Turnaround Operations COVID-19 对飞机周转运行全过程的影响机理分析
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1155/2024/9635616
Xiaowei Tang, Jiaqi Wu, Cheng-Lung Wu, Shengrun Zhang
{"title":"Mechanism Analysis of the Impact of COVID-19 on the Whole Process of Aircraft Turnaround Operations","authors":"Xiaowei Tang,&nbsp;Jiaqi Wu,&nbsp;Cheng-Lung Wu,&nbsp;Shengrun Zhang","doi":"10.1155/2024/9635616","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/9635616","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Efficient aircraft turnaround operations at airports are vital to ensure overall air traffic network performance. After the outbreak of COVID-19, the traditional aircraft ground handling process has changed significantly due to new requirements put forward by the pandemic prevention and control policy. To better understand how COVID-19 has affected ground handling operations, a discrete-event simulation model of turnaround is established to analyze the change in the whole turnaround process before and after the pandemic. The critical path of turnaround operations was used to identify the significantly affected subprocesses to which airports should pay attention. For a case study on the two busiest airports in China, the aircraft turnaround time increased by about 18% after COVID-19. Cabin cleaning, catering, and passenger embarking were the main processes in causing this increase. By evaluating the impact mechanism of COVID-19 on turnaround operations, the study sheds light on strategic, tactical, and operational approaches for relevant authorities.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140099745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Attention Mechanism with Spatial-Temporal Joint Deep Learning Model for the Forecasting of Short-Term Passenger Flow Distribution at the Railway Station 利用时空联合深度学习模型预测火车站短期客流分布的注意力机制
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1155/2024/7985408
Zhicheng Dai, Dewei Li, Shiqing Feng
{"title":"Attention Mechanism with Spatial-Temporal Joint Deep Learning Model for the Forecasting of Short-Term Passenger Flow Distribution at the Railway Station","authors":"Zhicheng Dai,&nbsp;Dewei Li,&nbsp;Shiqing Feng","doi":"10.1155/2024/7985408","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/7985408","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Accurate understanding of passenger flow distribution is crucial for effective station crowd management. However, due to the complexity and randomness of passenger flow and the unclear spatial-temporal correlation between functional areas within the station, predicting the spatiotemporal distribution dynamics of inflow and future short-term distribution trends is challenging. Emerging deep learning models offer valuable insights for accurately predicting passenger flow distribution. Thus, we propose a deep learning architecture, named “ST-Bi-LSTM,” which combines a bidirectional long short-term memory network with a spatial-temporal attention mechanism. Initially, we outline the methodologies of Bi-LSTM, the DeepWalk-based spatial attention mechanism, and the temporal attention mechanism. The spatial attention mechanism is employed to extract station spatial network topology information and enhance the representation of passenger flow characteristics in highly correlated areas during the forecasting process. Simultaneously, the temporal attention Bi-LSTM is utilized for capturing temporal correlations. The architecture comprises four branches dedicated to station real-time video monitoring data, spatial network topology, function area attributes, and train timetables. Subsequently, leveraging in-station CCTV data, passenger travel behavior data, and train timetables, we apply the architecture to the Tianjin West High-Speed Railway Station. We conduct a comparative analysis of the prediction performance and time complexity of the proposed architecture against existing baseline models, demonstrating superior performance and robustness exhibited by the ST-Bi-LSTM model (achieving a reduction in RMSE of over 10%). This study facilitates the transition of station management from passive response to active prediction of station passenger flow dynamics.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140099739","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An Efficient and Differential Privacy-Based Scheme for Aggregating Mobility Datasets 基于隐私的高效差异化移动数据集聚合方案
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1155/2024/5374764
Qing Yang, Fujun Ji, Fei Liu
{"title":"An Efficient and Differential Privacy-Based Scheme for Aggregating Mobility Datasets","authors":"Qing Yang,&nbsp;Fujun Ji,&nbsp;Fei Liu","doi":"10.1155/2024/5374764","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/5374764","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Mobile smart devices, such as mobile phones, wearable devices, and in-vehicle navigation systems, bring us convenience and have become necessities in modern daily life. The built-in global positioning system (GPS) of these mobile devices collects the users’ mobility data to support path planning, navigation and other location-related applications, which also inevitably causes privacy issues. Previous research has shown that employing count-min sketch (CMS) to aggregate mobility datasets is a valid privacy-preserving method for resisting the reconstruction attack on population distributions. However, as the utility/accessibility of the protected datasets is excessively correlated with the size of CMS, decreasing the data transmission cost has become an unsolved issue of that approach. In this paper, we propose an efficient scheme with differential privacy to protect mobility datasets, which releases the privacy-preserving population distributions and achieves better utility as well as a much smaller data transmission cost compared to the CMS-based method. Our proposed scheme is comprised of two collaborative components, global sketch and temporal sketch. The global sketch is responsible for aggregating the raw mobility data and decreasing the data transmission cost, while the temporal sketch is in charge of guaranteeing the utility of the population distributions aggregated by the global sketch. Besides, to enhance the privacy preservation, we employ the Laplace mechanism to make the transmitted data satisfy <i>ϵ</i>-differential privacy. Through our analysis and empirical experiments, compared to the other three state-of-the-art privacy-preserving methods on mobility datasets, our scheme could preserve the privacy of the mobility datasets with much less data transmission cost under the same utility loss.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140074697","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An Explainable Stacked Ensemble Model for Static Route-Free Estimation of Time of Arrival 用于静态无路由到达时间估计的可解释堆积集合模型
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1155/2024/9301691
Sören Schleibaum, Jörg P. Müller, Monika Sester
{"title":"An Explainable Stacked Ensemble Model for Static Route-Free Estimation of Time of Arrival","authors":"Sören Schleibaum,&nbsp;Jörg P. Müller,&nbsp;Monika Sester","doi":"10.1155/2024/9301691","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/9301691","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Sustainable concepts for on-demand transportation, such as ridesharing or ridehailing, require advanced technologies and novel dynamic planning and prediction methods. In this paper, we consider the prediction of taxi trip durations, focusing on the problem of the estimated time of arrival (ETA). ETA can be used to compute and compare alternative taxi schedules and to provide information to drivers and passengers. To solve the underlying hard computational problem with high precision, machine learning (ML) models for ETA are the state of the art. However, these models are mostly <i>black box</i> neural networks. Hence, the resulting predictions are difficult to explain to users. To address this problem, the contributions of this paper are threefold. First, we propose a novel stacked <i>two-level ensemble model</i> combining multiple ETA models; we show that the stacked model outperforms state-of-the-art ML models. However, the complex ensemble architecture makes the resulting predictions less transparent. To alleviate this, we investigate explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods for explaining the first- and second-level models of the ensemble. Third, we consider and compare different ways of combining first-level and second-level explanations. This novel concept enables us to explain stacked ensembles for regression tasks. The experimental evaluation indicates that the considered ETA models correctly learn the importance of those input features driving the prediction.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140054283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Distributed Cooperative Driving Strategy for Connected Automated Vehicles at Unsignalized Intersections Based on Monte Carlo Method 基于蒙特卡洛方法的互联自动驾驶车辆在无信号交叉路口的分布式合作驾驶策略
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1155/2024/6586774
Haoming Li, Wei Dong, Linjun Lu, Ying Wang, Xianing Wang
{"title":"Distributed Cooperative Driving Strategy for Connected Automated Vehicles at Unsignalized Intersections Based on Monte Carlo Method","authors":"Haoming Li,&nbsp;Wei Dong,&nbsp;Linjun Lu,&nbsp;Ying Wang,&nbsp;Xianing Wang","doi":"10.1155/2024/6586774","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/6586774","url":null,"abstract":"<p>One of the most important goals of cooperative driving is to control connected automated vehicles (CAVs) passing through conflict areas safely and efficiently without traffic signals. As a typical application scenario, allocating right-of-way reasonably at unsignalized intersections can effectively avoid collisions and reduce traffic delays. Proposed here is a new cooperative driving strategy for CAVs at unsignalized intersections based on distributed Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS). A task-area partition framework is also proposed to decompose the mission of cooperative driving into three main tasks: vehicle information sharing, passing order optimization, and trajectory control. Based on the schedule tree of the vehicle passing order, the root parallelization of MCTS combined with the majority voting rule is used to explore as many feasible passing orders (leaf nodes) as possible in a distributed way and find a nearly global-optimal passing order within the limited planning time. The aim is for CAVs to perform proper trajectory adjustments based on the obtained passing order to minimize traffic delays while making the slightest acceleration adjustments. A coupled simulation platform integrating SUMO and Python is developed to construct the unsignalized intersection scenarios and generate the proposed distributed cooperative driving strategy. Comparative analysis with conventional driving strategies demonstrates that the proposed strategy significantly enhances efficiency, safety, comfort, and emission, aligning well with innovative and environmentally friendly urban mobility aspirations.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140044718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimized ST-Moran’s I Model for Characterizing the Dynamic Evolution of Terminal Airspace Congestion 用于描述终端空域拥堵动态演变的优化 ST-Moran's I 模型
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1155/2024/7151746
Honghao Chen, Xinping Zhu, Yajun Zou, Zhongkun Li, Tianxiong Zhang
{"title":"Optimized ST-Moran’s I Model for Characterizing the Dynamic Evolution of Terminal Airspace Congestion","authors":"Honghao Chen,&nbsp;Xinping Zhu,&nbsp;Yajun Zou,&nbsp;Zhongkun Li,&nbsp;Tianxiong Zhang","doi":"10.1155/2024/7151746","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/7151746","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study aims to unveil the spatiotemporal evolution of congestion within terminal airspace, offering an in-depth analysis of congestion concerns to effectively utilize airspace resources and devise targeted control strategies, thereby enhancing airspace operation safety and efficiency. Initially, converting segment flow rates into equivalent speeds serves as a quantitative benchmark for operational status. Subsequently, an enhanced version of the ST-Moran’s I index model, specifically tailored to terminal airspace, is developed by incorporating improvements across spatial weight matrices, standard state parameters, and temporal dimensions. Validating this model with actual operational data from Chengdu’s terminal airspace, the research demonstrates significant advancements. Compared to conventional models, the proposed model enhances recognition rates for congestion in spatial and temporal dimensions by 62.5% and 43.61%, respectively. Congestion within terminal airspace predominantly occurs at the intersection of departure-climb and approach-departure segments, exhibiting evident spatiotemporal migration behavior. The proposed model accurately delineates the spatiotemporal characteristics of segment congestion, offering support for tailored congestion management strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140044900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correcting the Cognitive Bias for Commuting Time to Relieve the Driving Stress Level in Snow Weather Condition: A Naturalistic Driving Study in Harbin, China 纠正通勤时间认知偏差,减轻雪天驾驶压力:中国哈尔滨的自然驾驶研究
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1155/2024/8474050
Zifeng Yang, Zhenwu Shi, Di Lu, Jie Liu
{"title":"Correcting the Cognitive Bias for Commuting Time to Relieve the Driving Stress Level in Snow Weather Condition: A Naturalistic Driving Study in Harbin, China","authors":"Zifeng Yang,&nbsp;Zhenwu Shi,&nbsp;Di Lu,&nbsp;Jie Liu","doi":"10.1155/2024/8474050","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/8474050","url":null,"abstract":"<p>As a negative emotion, professional drivers’ stress levels significantly affected driving behavior and thus were related to driving safety issues. Nevertheless, current evidence fell considerably short of explaining whether and why private drivers’ stress levels might be influenced while commuting driving in a specific scenario and how to relieve their stress levels. This study aimed to identify and analyze the contributing factors of the drivers’ stress levels while commuting driving in various scenarios (clear or snow weather conditions). On weekdays between 1<sup>st</sup> October 2020 and 31<sup>st</sup> January 2022, the questionnaire data from a sample of 985 private drivers were collected from six different locations of business districts in Harbin, China. Based on the naturalistic driving study (NDS) database, a 7-item questionnaire was designed for participants to self-report their driving stress levels in various scenarios, which was generated from the shortened and adapted version of the Perceived Stress Scale (PSS). The results showed that participants’ stress levels had significantly increased in snow weather conditions, especially nervous and stressed feeling, and unable to control the arrival time, which indicated that participants’ highly increased cognitive bias for commuting time could be the critical reason. The results of hierarchical linear regression models indicated that overall stress scores could be predicted through participants’ sociodemographic characteristics, driving experience, commuting driving, and cognitive bias for commuting time. Such an association was significantly strongest with commuting time gaps, especially in snow weather conditions. In addition, a recommendation was derived from these results that correcting the cognitive bias for commuting time could relieve participants’ stress levels. The implication of the reminder message supported this recommendation. The participants’ stress levels were reduced significantly after providing a reminder message every 10 mins while commuting driving in clear weather conditions and every 5 mins in snow weather conditions.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140033349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of Factors Affecting Road Transport Accidents of Hazardous Materials Based on PG-BN 基于 PG-BN 的危险品公路运输事故影响因素分析
IF 2.3 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1155/2024/5558952
Zewen Li, Mengmeng Zhang
{"title":"Analysis of Factors Affecting Road Transport Accidents of Hazardous Materials Based on PG-BN","authors":"Zewen Li,&nbsp;Mengmeng Zhang","doi":"10.1155/2024/5558952","DOIUrl":"10.1155/2024/5558952","url":null,"abstract":"<p>To analyze the factors affecting road accidents involving hazardous materials, the Bayesian network (BN) model was used to fit the accident data. However, considering the possible overfitting phenomenon of the BN model, the model was optimised by combining Pearson’s chi-squared test and Granger causality test (PG) methods. First, the data of hazardous materials accidents were preprocessed, and the index system of factors affecting hazardous materials road transport was constructed from five dimensions of “people, vehicles, hazmat, roads, and environment”; second, Pearson’s chi-squared test and the Granger causality test were used to screen the factors affecting hazardous materials road transport accidents and to determine the causal relationship between the factors; finally, the BN model was constructed with accident severity and accident processing time as target nodes, and the results were analyzed and validated. The results show that the overall relative error rate of the model is less than 10% and can be used to explore the risk factors of hazardous materials transport accidents; weather, visibility, lighting, intersection type, road condition, road type, driver condition, vehicle type, etc. are all important factors affecting the severity of hazardous materials transport accidents. The study can serve as a reference for the safety supervision and management of hazardous materials transport enterprises and industrial management departments.</p>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140001772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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