Journal of Advanced Transportation最新文献

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Ethanol Fuel Blending Program in India: Analysis of Environmental, Economic, and Policy Aspects Using System Dynamics Approach 印度乙醇燃料混合计划:利用系统动力学方法分析环境、经济和政策问题
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1155/2024/2002187
Gaurav Kumar, Ramakrushna Padhy, Debabrata Das, Sushmita A. Narayana
{"title":"Ethanol Fuel Blending Program in India: Analysis of Environmental, Economic, and Policy Aspects Using System Dynamics Approach","authors":"Gaurav Kumar,&nbsp;Ramakrushna Padhy,&nbsp;Debabrata Das,&nbsp;Sushmita A. Narayana","doi":"10.1155/2024/2002187","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/2002187","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>India initiated its ethanol fuel blending program (EBP) two decades ago to enhance energy security, reduce crude imports, and promote low-carbon transportation. However, despite government initiatives and policies, the EBP has made slower progress than anticipated. For the long-term adoption and success of the EBP, the following critical areas must be analyzed: integrated ethanol production from multiple feedstocks, demand and linkage to industries requiring ethanol, impact on the environment and revenue prospects, and evaluation of the policy measures adopted. This study addresses these topics by analyzing the interaction between various industries (demand) and ethanol production from multiple sources (supply) using system dynamics modeling. Simulation and scenario analysis have been used to evaluate the environmental and economic performance of ethanol blends under the influence of various policy parameters. The findings indicate that, contrary to the conventional belief, the production of ethanol directly from sugarcane juice does not significantly threaten food security. Higher blending ratios yield enhanced environmental benefits and revenues in the short term, but these are outweighed by the long-term benefits of lower blending ratios. The findings also indicate that encouraging second-generation ethanol production from rice stalks and increasing the blending ratios will reduce CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. However, the goals set for blending cannot be achieved until measures to diversify feedstocks and improve the infrastructure for ethanol production are scaled up.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/2002187","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142316970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Spatiotemporal Transit Accessibility: Weighted Indexing Using the CRITIC-MCDM Approach and Performance Gap Analysis 时空交通可达性评估:使用 CRITIC-MCDM 方法和性能差距分析进行加权指数计算
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1155/2024/6343594
Rohit Rathod, Gaurang Joshi, Arkatkar Shriniwas
{"title":"Evaluation of Spatiotemporal Transit Accessibility: Weighted Indexing Using the CRITIC-MCDM Approach and Performance Gap Analysis","authors":"Rohit Rathod,&nbsp;Gaurang Joshi,&nbsp;Arkatkar Shriniwas","doi":"10.1155/2024/6343594","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/6343594","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>Transit performance is greatly influenced by its accessibility, which considers the spatial distribution of transit facilities with different periods of operation. The present study analyzes the spatiotemporal variation in transit accessibility and proposes a modification to enhance the evaluation process. The proposed modification involves assigning weighted indexing to the public transport coverage index (PTCI) using the CRITIC (criteria importance through intercriteria correlation) MCDM technique. The indicators exhibit temporal and spatial variations based on network and operational characteristics, with temporal variations relying on the number of scheduled transits and spatial variations influenced by the network and other operational attributes. The case study conducted in Surat, India, reveals that areas such as the city center and inner fringe have a higher concentration of scheduled transits and bus stops. However, demand fulfillment, measured by the offered seat capacity per population, is relatively low in most zones. To prioritize areas for resource allocation and policy implementation, the use of “RAdial REferenced Scatter QUAdRant (RARE SQUARE) Performance” charts are developed, which provide a straightforward tool to validate findings. The study highlights a low relative transit demand in the city, resulting in a mode share of approximately 2.5%.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/6343594","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142316984","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
3D Monitoring Model for Real-Time Displacement of Metro Tunnel under “Dual Carbon” Background 双碳 "背景下地铁隧道实时位移三维监测模型
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1155/2024/1224240
Jianyong Chai, Limin Jia, Jian Cao, Jianfeng Liu, Zhe Chen, Shubin Li, Xuejuan Wang, Hong Han
{"title":"3D Monitoring Model for Real-Time Displacement of Metro Tunnel under “Dual Carbon” Background","authors":"Jianyong Chai,&nbsp;Limin Jia,&nbsp;Jian Cao,&nbsp;Jianfeng Liu,&nbsp;Zhe Chen,&nbsp;Shubin Li,&nbsp;Xuejuan Wang,&nbsp;Hong Han","doi":"10.1155/2024/1224240","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/1224240","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>Real-time automatic displacement monitoring of metro tunnels is vital for ensuring operational safety and contributes to carbon reduction goals by improving system efficiency. This study focuses on key monitoring elements such as displacement, settlement, convergence, and cracking. Through the analysis of continuous monitoring data, a real-time displacement monitoring model for metro tunnels based on robotic total stations is proposed. This model can timely identify potential risks, thereby ensuring the safe operation of tunnels and reducing carbon emissions from unnecessary maintenance operations, thereby reducing the carbon footprint of metro operations. This article takes the Jinan Metro Tunnel Displacement Real-time Monitoring Project in China as a case study and constructs a comprehensive monitoring framework using robotic total stations, intelligent automated deformation monitoring data collectors, and cloud servers. The implementation details of the project, displacement monitoring principles, monitoring system construction, and data analysis processes are elaborated in detail. Taking the monitoring data of Jinan Metro Line 2 from April 1, 2022, to May 31, 2023, as an example, the results show that the tunnel displacement is within the safe range, verifying the practical application value of the method proposed in this paper. It can effectively ensure the safe operation of the metro and promote sustainable development and low-carbon metro construction.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/1224240","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142244967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Measuring Travel Time Reliability for Urban Residents’ Commutes via the Integration of Information Entropy and Standard Deviation 通过整合信息熵和标准偏差测量城市居民通勤的旅行时间可靠性
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1155/2024/8249757
Junjun Zhan
{"title":"Measuring Travel Time Reliability for Urban Residents’ Commutes via the Integration of Information Entropy and Standard Deviation","authors":"Junjun Zhan","doi":"10.1155/2024/8249757","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/8249757","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>Travel Time Reliability (TTR) plays a pivotal role in commuting. Nevertheless, existing measurement methods are not specifically designed for commuting scenarios, and their direct application to assess TTR for commuting may yield results incongruent with actual commuting conditions, as they overly rely on measures like mean and percentiles. Drawing on the cyclical characteristics of commuting, the study has established a TTR measurement model based on information entropy and standard deviation, tailored to individual commuters. By selecting commuting data from extensive travel datasets and applying both this model and conventional measurement methods, the focus is on quantitatively analyzing TTR for metro commuters and car commuters under various feature conditions, with a particular emphasis on commuting to work. The objective is to verify the feasibility and advantages of the proposed model. The research indicates that, compared to typical measurement methods, this model more accurately reflects TTR for commuting purposes. The results underscore a significantly superior TTR for metro commuters over car commuters. Distance and departure time exert a substantial impact on the TTR of car commuters, while distance and transfer times moderately influence the TTR of metro commuters. These findings serve as a crucial foundation for enhancing the quality of commuting experiences.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/8249757","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142234950","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Lane Change Strategy to Enhance Traffic Safety in the Coexistence of Autonomous Vehicles and Manual Vehicles 自动驾驶汽车与手动驾驶汽车共存时提高交通安全的变道策略
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1155/2024/6126204
Young Jo, Cheol Oh
{"title":"A Lane Change Strategy to Enhance Traffic Safety in the Coexistence of Autonomous Vehicles and Manual Vehicles","authors":"Young Jo,&nbsp;Cheol Oh","doi":"10.1155/2024/6126204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/6126204","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>Vehicle interactions with different driving behaviors in mixed traffic conditions, in which autonomous vehicles (AVs) and manual vehicles (MVs) coexist, would result in unstable traffic flow leading to a potential crash risk. A proactive traffic management strategy is required to enhance both safety and mobility by preventing hazardous events in connected environments. The purpose of this study is to develop a Proactive Lane-changE Assistant Strategy for Automated iNnovative Transportation (PLEASANT) to enhance traffic safety. PLEASANT is a strategy for providing lane change assistance information to vehicles approaching risky situations such as crashes, broken vehicles, and upcoming hazardous obstacles. In addition, this study proposed a comprehensive simulation framework that incorporates driving simulation and traffic simulation to evaluate the performance of PLEASANT when dealing with mixed traffic. To characterize vehicle interactions between AVs and MVs, this study analyzes driving behavior in mixed car-following situations based on multiagent driving simulation (MADS), which is able to synchronize the space and time domains on the road by connecting two driving simulators. The characteristics of vehicle interactions between AVs and MVs were incorporated into microscopic traffic simulations. The effectiveness of PLEASANT was evaluated based on the crash potential index from the perspective of safety. The results showed that PLEASANT was capable of enhancing traffic safety by approximately 21%. PLEASANT is expected to be useful as a novel management strategy for enhancing traffic safety in mixed-traffic environments.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/6126204","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142231124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Deep Learning Algorithms for Traffic Forecasting: A Comprehensive Review and Comparison with Classical Ones 用于交通预测的深度学习算法:全面回顾及与经典算法的比较
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1155/2024/9981657
Shahriar Afandizadeh, Saeid Abdolahi, Hamid Mirzahossein
{"title":"Deep Learning Algorithms for Traffic Forecasting: A Comprehensive Review and Comparison with Classical Ones","authors":"Shahriar Afandizadeh,&nbsp;Saeid Abdolahi,&nbsp;Hamid Mirzahossein","doi":"10.1155/2024/9981657","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/9981657","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>Accurate and timely forecasting of critical components is pivotal in intelligent transportation systems and traffic management, crucially mitigating congestion and enhancing safety. This paper aims to comprehensively review deep learning algorithms and classical models employed in traffic forecasting. Spanning diverse traffic datasets, the study encompasses various scenarios, offering a nuanced understanding of traffic forecasting methods. Reviewing 111 seminal research works since the 1980s, encompassing both deep learning and classical models, the paper begins by detailing the data sources utilized in transportation systems. Subsequently, it delves into the theoretical underpinnings of prevalent deep learning algorithms and classical models prevalent in traffic forecasting. Furthermore, it investigates the application of these algorithms and models in forecasting key traffic characteristics, informed by their utility in transport and traffic analyses. Finally, the study elucidates the merits and drawbacks of proposed models through applied research in traffic forecasting. Findings indicate that while deep learning algorithms and classic models serve as valuable tools, their suitability varies across contexts, necessitating careful consideration in future studies. The study underscores research opportunities in road traffic forecasting, providing a comprehensive guide for future endeavors in this domain.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/9981657","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142170170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
2D-Action Asynchronous Cooperative Lane Change Trajectory Planning Method for Connected and Automated Vehicles 用于互联和自动驾驶车辆的二维行动异步合作变道轨迹规划方法
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1155/2024/5540444
Liyang Wei, Weihua Zhang, Haijian Bai, Jingyu Li
{"title":"2D-Action Asynchronous Cooperative Lane Change Trajectory Planning Method for Connected and Automated Vehicles","authors":"Liyang Wei,&nbsp;Weihua Zhang,&nbsp;Haijian Bai,&nbsp;Jingyu Li","doi":"10.1155/2024/5540444","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/5540444","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>The ability to change lanes safely, efficiently, and comfortably is an important prerequisite for the application of Connected-Automated Vehicles (CAVs). Based on the five-order polynomial trajectory planning for CAVs, the 2D-Action Asynchronous Lane Change (AALC) trajectory planning model is constructed by further considering the longitudinal and lateral driving action execution time parameters. This is done to improve the applicability of the lane change model and increase the CAV lane change success rate. The continuous collision space algorithm is constructed by determining the continuity condition of collision trajectory parameter solution space through the monotonicity of trajectory curve parameters and collision form classification. AALC trajectory safety judgment is realized through this algorithm. A cooperative lane change trajectory evaluation objective function is constructed, considering multivehicle comfort and efficiency. Finally, the AALC model is solved in the continuous collision space according to the optimal objective function, and the lane change is divided into free, cooperative, and refused according to the optimization. The results indicate that the AALC model achieves the transfer of collision space between lanes through asynchronous process of behavior execution time window, thereby reducing the possibility of vehicle collision. The AALC model reduces the degree of change of cooperative lane change parameters by asynchronous process of behavior, increasing the number of free lane change trajectories by about 17%, effectively reducing the occurrence of lane change refusal, improving the successful rate of lane change, and enhancing the overall evaluation of the lane change. The AALC model realizes the reallocation of collision space between different lanes through asynchronous process, making it more suitable for environments with large differences in vehicle gaps such as ramp merging. The collision-based trajectory optimization algorithm can quickly obtain the corresponding safety space and optimal trajectory. The maximum calculation time for a single cooperative lane change is 0.073 s, thus enabling real-time trajectory planning.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/5540444","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142160186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exploring Safe Overtaking Behavior on Two-Lane Two-Way Road Using Multiagent Driving Simulators and Traffic Simulation 利用多代理驾驶模拟器和交通模拟探索双线双向道路上的安全超车行为
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1155/2024/8242764
Taeho Oh, Heechan Kang, Zhibin Li
{"title":"Exploring Safe Overtaking Behavior on Two-Lane Two-Way Road Using Multiagent Driving Simulators and Traffic Simulation","authors":"Taeho Oh,&nbsp;Heechan Kang,&nbsp;Zhibin Li","doi":"10.1155/2024/8242764","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/8242764","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>Safety and efficiency of autonomous driving behavior are a tradeoff. Behaviors that are too focused on safety can reduce road operation efficiency, while those that are too efficient can compromise passengers’ safety beyond their tolerance. Therefore, it is important to understand people’s characteristics and maintain a balance between safety and efficiency. Overtaking, which involves passing the preceding vehicle and improving road capacity, requires complex interaction as collisions with opposing vehicles must be avoided on a two-lane, two-way road. Overtaking to increase road capacity can induce unnecessary deceleration in oncoming vehicles, harming oncoming traffic flow. To address these concerns, a diverse dataset of natural overtaking behavior is a priority. We conduct experiments using a network connection between two multiagent driving simulators to collect a human behavior-based overtaking dataset and develop driving behavior models engaged in overtaking situations using the Extra Trees model. The behavior models are embedded in microsimulation to generate human behavior-based datasets under different conditions using a dynamic link library and component object model interfaces. To understand the interaction in an overtaking scenario by the generated datasets, we used a K-means clustering technique to analyze the different reaction behaviors between the oncoming and overtaking vehicles. The threshold for achieving a balanced combination of safety and efficiency is established using XGboost. Finally, safe overtaking behavior is analyzed using a combination of the classified driving styles and thresholds. The results show that the overtaking vehicle can safely start overtaking without endangering oncoming vehicles when both speed and distance conditions are met simultaneously; the speed is lower than 44.29 km/h and it is 407 m away from oncoming vehicles.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/8242764","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142130433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimization of the Operation Plan of Airport Express Train with Consideration of Train Departure Time Window 考虑列车出发时间窗口的机场快线列车运行计划优化
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1155/2024/2206358
Jin He, Yinzhen Li, Yuhong Chao, Ruhu Gao
{"title":"Optimization of the Operation Plan of Airport Express Train with Consideration of Train Departure Time Window","authors":"Jin He,&nbsp;Yinzhen Li,&nbsp;Yuhong Chao,&nbsp;Ruhu Gao","doi":"10.1155/2024/2206358","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/2206358","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>This paper proposes an optimization model for the train operation scheme of the Airport Express Line (AEL) based on the expected arrival time of passengers by the introduction of the train departure time to cope with the time-dependent passenger flow and provide better prompt train service according to passengers’ demand. Considering factors such as train sections, station arrangement, passenger capacity, departure time windows, passenger flow conservation, and boarding and disembarkation processes, this paper also aims to find the optimal combination of the passengers’ total travel time and the train operation cost. A set of alternative train options is introduced to simplify the model and convert integer variables related to train pairs into 0-1 variables. The elaborately designed simulated annealing algorithm mainly focuses on the key elements of strategies like initial solution generation, neighborhood solution construction, and the allocation of passenger flows, tailored to the model’s unique features and the time-dependent passenger flow. Neighborhood solution strategies include the increase or haut of train operations and the adjustment of the number of stops, which refines the solution space and boosts the process efficiency of the heuristic algorithm. Additionally, the model and algorithm proposed in this paper are practiced during the peak hour of Nanjing Metro Line S1 for empirical validation. The research findings demonstrate that the optimized train operation scheme is better synchronized with the fluctuating number of time-dependent passenger flows and exhibits notable improvement in computational efficiency and convergence.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/2206358","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142123125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling Uncertainties for Automated and Connected Vehicles in Mixed Traffic 混合交通中自动驾驶和互联车辆的不确定性建模
IF 2 4区 工程技术
Journal of Advanced Transportation Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1155/2024/2406230
Yuchao Sun, Liam Cummins, Yan Ji, Thomas Stemler, Nicholas Pritchard
{"title":"Modeling Uncertainties for Automated and Connected Vehicles in Mixed Traffic","authors":"Yuchao Sun,&nbsp;Liam Cummins,&nbsp;Yan Ji,&nbsp;Thomas Stemler,&nbsp;Nicholas Pritchard","doi":"10.1155/2024/2406230","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/2406230","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 <p>The advent of automated vehicles (AVs) and connected automated vehicles (CAVs) creates significant uncertainties in infrastructure planning due to many unknowns, such as performance variability and user adaptation. As technologies are still emerging with low market penetration, limited observational data hinder validation and escalate prediction uncertainty. This study addresses these gaps by employing diverse vehicle models and wide performance ranges in Aimsun microsimulations. It involved three AV/CAV car-following models with the default Gipps human-driven vehicle (HDV) model. We evaluated the performance of a mixed fleet in three well-calibrated real-world corridor models, including two highways and one freeway. Vehicle parameters in Aimsun are commonly drawn from a corresponding truncated normal distribution with fixed mean, min, and max values. However, to account for future uncertainty and heterogeneity, our AV/CAV models were given truncated normal distributions with variable means for important parameters to incorporate broader performance ranges. The variable means are drawn from intervals with uniform probability, and some of the interval extended below HDV values to account for scenarios where riders opt for smoother rides at the cost of traffic flow. Recognizing that precise future prediction is unattainable, we aimed to establish traffic performance boundaries that define best- and worst-case scenarios in a mixed-fleet environment. Enumerating all possible combinations is impractical, so a refined optimization algorithm was employed to expedite solution discovery. Our findings suggest that AVs/CAVs, even with conservative performance parameters, can improve traffic operations by reducing peak delays and enhancing travel time reliability. Freeways benefited more than arterial roads, especially with full CAV penetration, although the authors speculate this could create bottlenecks at off-ramps. The added capacity may induce traffic demand that is difficult to estimate. Instead, we conducted a demand sensitivity analysis to gauge additional traffic accommodation without worsening delays. Compared to point predictions, establishing the range of possibilities can help us future-proof infrastructure by considering uncertainties in the planning process. Our framework can be adopted to test alternative models or scenarios as more data becomes available.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50259,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Advanced Transportation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/2024/2406230","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142100312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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