Energy for Sustainable Development最新文献

A machine learning-driven MCDA-TOPSIS framework for wave energy converter selection in the Philippines 菲律宾波浪能转换器选择的机器学习驱动MCDA-TOPSIS框架

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101860

Daryl Anne B. Varela, Weerakorn Ongsakul

{"title":"A machine learning-driven MCDA-TOPSIS framework for wave energy converter selection in the Philippines","authors":"Daryl Anne B. Varela, Weerakorn Ongsakul","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101860","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101860","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Wave energy is a promising yet underutilized resource for archipelagic nations such as the Philippines. Wave energy converters hold significant potential for diversifying renewable portfolios. This study introduces a hybrid Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis framework that couples scenario-based TOPSIS with machine learning-derived weights to reduce subjectivity and improve robustness in prioritizing WEC technologies for microgrid integration. The framework is applied to two datasets: Set-1 (general WEC types) and Set-2 (coastal-compatible onshore devices). Scenario-based TOPSIS evaluates ten scenarios with different normalizations and weighting schemes, while ML-TOPSIS derives criterion weights from scenario-based closeness means using eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Validation employs leave-one-out cross-validation with bootstrap confidence intervals, and rank agreement is tested using Spearman's <em>ρ</em>, Kendall's <em>τ</em>, and Top-k Jaccard overlap. Results show that scenario-based rankings remain coherent under balanced and techno-economic weights, whereas entropy weighting yields less stable outcomes. ML-TOPSIS aligns with the scenario-based signal without replicating. Learned importances emphasize cost, efficiency, technology readiness, and deployment feasibility, enabling transparent and adaptive weight generation. Across methods, Bulge Wave, OWC, and Point Absorber Devices (Set-1), and Power Wing and Wave Clapper (Set-2) consistently rank highest, with Point Absorber and Power Wing emerging as robust performers under sensitivity analysis. By mapping criteria to SDGs and aligning with RA9513 and the Philippine Energy Plan 2023–2050, this study provides one of the first ML-driven MCDA applications for marine renewables in a developing archipelagic context. The findings contribute practical value by informing policymakers and developers on sustainable technology choices for pilot deployment in the Philippines' renewable microgrid transition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101860"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145269458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A machine learning-driven MCDA-TOPSIS framework for wave energy converter selection in the Philippines 菲律宾波浪能转换器选择的机器学习驱动MCDA-TOPSIS框架

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101860

Daryl Anne B. Varela, Weerakorn Ongsakul

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引用次数: 0

Roadmap toward carbon neutrality in Pakistan: Policy challenges and strategic measures 巴基斯坦实现碳中和的路线图：政策挑战和战略措施

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101861

Hamad Hussain Shah, Giuseppe Piso, Erasmo Mancusi, Piero Bareschino, Francesco Pepe

{"title":"Roadmap toward carbon neutrality in Pakistan: Policy challenges and strategic measures","authors":"Hamad Hussain Shah, Giuseppe Piso, Erasmo Mancusi, Piero Bareschino, Francesco Pepe","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101861","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101861","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Stabilizing global mean temperature requires all countries to align with pathways that achieve carbon neutrality by the middle of the century. For late-industrializing economies, this objective is particularly demanding, since their energy demand and emissions continue to rise. This study provides a systematic assessment of Pakistan, a country ranked among the most climate-vulnerable globally and lacking a defined pathway to mid-century carbon neutrality. The analysis first establishes clear conceptual distinctions among carbon neutrality, net-zero greenhouse gases, and climate neutrality, terms that are often used interchangeably in international policy debates. Using a backcasting framework, we establish 2050 carbon neutrality as the target year and identify the intermediate stages required for convergence. The analysis integrates national energy and emissions data (2013−2023), international statistical reviews, and comparative trajectories from the European Union, the United States, and regional peer economies. The results outline a three-stage, four-step strategy that incorporates accelerated electrification, industrial decarbonization, renewable energy expansion, circular economy practices, and natural sequestration. Our findings demonstrate that a late peaking (≈2030) can still converge to carbon neutrality by mid-century, provided that policy alignment and investment mobilization occur within the next decade. This framework informs transition strategies across similarly placed economies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101861"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145269892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Roadmap toward carbon neutrality in Pakistan: Policy challenges and strategic measures 巴基斯坦实现碳中和的路线图：政策挑战和战略措施

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101861

Hamad Hussain Shah, Giuseppe Piso, Erasmo Mancusi, Piero Bareschino, Francesco Pepe

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引用次数: 0

Analysis of barriers to the implementation of net-zero carbon cities in Iran 伊朗实施净零碳城市的障碍分析

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101855

Maryam Roosta , Masoud Javadpoor , Ayyoob Sharifi

{"title":"Analysis of barriers to the implementation of net-zero carbon cities in Iran","authors":"Maryam Roosta , Masoud Javadpoor , Ayyoob Sharifi","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101855","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101855","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Developing countries, such as Iran, face barriers in their efforts to transition towards “net-zero carbon cities” (NZCCs), despite the importance of achieving this goal. It is crucial to examine these barriers. This study aims to identify and analyze the barriers to achieving NZCCs in Iran. After carefully reviewing the literature, an expert survey was conducted to identify barriers and their interlinkages. The literature review and interviews informed the selection of a list of barriers. Next, a survey was conducted to identify linkages between the barriers based on Interpretive Structural Modeling and MICMAC analysis. The results reveal that the “Lack of comprehensive policies” is the most important barrier to realizing NZCCs in Iran. Other important barriers in the hierarchical model are “Lack of public awareness”, “Lack of investment in energy technologies”, “Inappropriate land use pattern”, “Low price of fossil fuels”, and “ Limited active transport infrastructure”. Based on the MICMAC analysis, the study also identifies clusters of driving or dependence power levels among the barriers. The findings of this research can help urban planners and policymakers build strategies to reduce barriers to achieving the vision of NZCCs and promote climate-resilient urban areas in Iran.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101855"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145269459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Analysis of barriers to the implementation of net-zero carbon cities in Iran 伊朗实施净零碳城市的障碍分析

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101855

Maryam Roosta , Masoud Javadpoor , Ayyoob Sharifi

{"title":"Analysis of barriers to the implementation of net-zero carbon cities in Iran","authors":"Maryam Roosta , Masoud Javadpoor , Ayyoob Sharifi","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101855","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101855","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Developing countries, such as Iran, face barriers in their efforts to transition towards “net-zero carbon cities” (NZCCs), despite the importance of achieving this goal. It is crucial to examine these barriers. This study aims to identify and analyze the barriers to achieving NZCCs in Iran. After carefully reviewing the literature, an expert survey was conducted to identify barriers and their interlinkages. The literature review and interviews informed the selection of a list of barriers. Next, a survey was conducted to identify linkages between the barriers based on Interpretive Structural Modeling and MICMAC analysis. The results reveal that the “Lack of comprehensive policies” is the most important barrier to realizing NZCCs in Iran. Other important barriers in the hierarchical model are “Lack of public awareness”, “Lack of investment in energy technologies”, “Inappropriate land use pattern”, “Low price of fossil fuels”, and “ Limited active transport infrastructure”. Based on the MICMAC analysis, the study also identifies clusters of driving or dependence power levels among the barriers. The findings of this research can help urban planners and policymakers build strategies to reduce barriers to achieving the vision of NZCCs and promote climate-resilient urban areas in Iran.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101855"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145269463","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Potential and performance assessment of solar photovoltaic systems across diverse climatic conditions: A comprehensive analysis 太阳能光伏系统在不同气候条件下的潜力和性能评估：综合分析

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101851

Prashant Malik , Shyam Singh Chandel , Rajesh Gupta

{"title":"Potential and performance assessment of solar photovoltaic systems across diverse climatic conditions: A comprehensive analysis","authors":"Prashant Malik , Shyam Singh Chandel , Rajesh Gupta","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101851","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101851","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The installation of photovoltaic systems for power generation is rapidly expanding worldwide in the renewable energy market. However, the varying climate and geographical conditions have a significant impact on the performance of these systems which requires to be critically analyzed. Therefore, this work focuses on the investigation of PV performance under diverse topographical variations ranging from tropical to temperate climates across India. The analysis is based on the key performance parameters, including energy generation, specific energy yield, capacity factor, PV losses along with the calculation of frequency distribution of operating conditions, energy generation, and Climate-Specific Energy Rating (CSER) as per IEC 61853 standards. Additionally, mapping and clustering based on major environmental stressors are also done. The results present a more comprehensive understanding of PV system efficiency under real outdoor conditions for various locations in India. The PV energy generation is found to vary from 1250 to 1891 kWh/kWp/year, showing a 34 % variation between the highest and lowest generation locations. Most locations generate average daily energy between 4.25 and 4.50 kWh/kWp/day. The temperature losses vary from 5.30 % to 14.10 %, with over 80 % of locations experiencing temperature losses above 10 %. The energy generation analysis revealed that the most frequent operating conditions are not always the same as those where highest generation occurs. Clustering based on environmental stressors reveals regional efficiency disparities, with the highest in the northeast and the lowest in the northern and western parts of India. This research provides valuable insights for researchers, solar developers, consumers, investors, and policymakers, promoting region-specific solar energy strategies aligned with SDG 7 and SDG 13.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101851"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145269889","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Potential and performance assessment of solar photovoltaic systems across diverse climatic conditions: A comprehensive analysis 太阳能光伏系统在不同气候条件下的潜力和性能评估：综合分析

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101851

Prashant Malik , Shyam Singh Chandel , Rajesh Gupta

{"title":"Potential and performance assessment of solar photovoltaic systems across diverse climatic conditions: A comprehensive analysis","authors":"Prashant Malik , Shyam Singh Chandel , Rajesh Gupta","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101851","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101851","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The installation of photovoltaic systems for power generation is rapidly expanding worldwide in the renewable energy market. However, the varying climate and geographical conditions have a significant impact on the performance of these systems which requires to be critically analyzed. Therefore, this work focuses on the investigation of PV performance under diverse topographical variations ranging from tropical to temperate climates across India. The analysis is based on the key performance parameters, including energy generation, specific energy yield, capacity factor, PV losses along with the calculation of frequency distribution of operating conditions, energy generation, and Climate-Specific Energy Rating (CSER) as per IEC 61853 standards. Additionally, mapping and clustering based on major environmental stressors are also done. The results present a more comprehensive understanding of PV system efficiency under real outdoor conditions for various locations in India. The PV energy generation is found to vary from 1250 to 1891 kWh/kWp/year, showing a 34 % variation between the highest and lowest generation locations. Most locations generate average daily energy between 4.25 and 4.50 kWh/kWp/day. The temperature losses vary from 5.30 % to 14.10 %, with over 80 % of locations experiencing temperature losses above 10 %. The energy generation analysis revealed that the most frequent operating conditions are not always the same as those where highest generation occurs. Clustering based on environmental stressors reveals regional efficiency disparities, with the highest in the northeast and the lowest in the northern and western parts of India. This research provides valuable insights for researchers, solar developers, consumers, investors, and policymakers, promoting region-specific solar energy strategies aligned with SDG 7 and SDG 13.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101851"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145269464","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Comprehensive techno-economic assessment of biomass power generation for sustainable solution of Pakistan's energy crisis 可持续解决巴基斯坦能源危机的生物质发电综合技术经济评估

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101856

Syed Usama Ali , Talha Bin Nadeem , Syed Muhammad Asad Akhter Naqvi , Malik Kamran

{"title":"Comprehensive techno-economic assessment of biomass power generation for sustainable solution of Pakistan's energy crisis","authors":"Syed Usama Ali , Talha Bin Nadeem , Syed Muhammad Asad Akhter Naqvi , Malik Kamran","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101856","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101856","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As global energy demands escalate and fossil fuel reserves dwindle, the need for reliable alternative energy sources becomes critical. While solar and wind energy offer environmental benefits, their intermittency poses challenges for grid stability and long-term energy planning. Biomass power generation emerges as a dependable, weather-independent renewable option. This study assesses the technical and economic viability of biomass energy in Pakistan using a combined approach involving literature review and laboratory analysis. Proximate and ultimate analyses were conducted on various biomass types, including agricultural residues, wood, and organic waste, to determine moisture content, calorific value, and ash composition. Results show that Pakistan's biomass resources have the potential to generate up to 609,964 GWh per year, which is more than four times the country's current annual electricity consumption. Electricity from biomass was found to cost PKR 14.79/kWh (0.051 $/kWh), substantially lower than the PKR 37/kWh (0.132 $/kWh) from conventional sources, with a payback period of around one year. The study also explores fuel enhancement through flue gas drying and pelletization, enabling the production of high-quality fuel pellets with moisture content reduced to as low as 4 %. Blending high and low-calorific value biomass further improves combustion efficiency and energy output. Thermodynamic modeling, including enthalpy calculations, supports the integration of biomass into conventional power cycles such as the Rankine cycle. Additionally, replacing coal with biomass could reduce CO₂ emissions by up to 143,148 metric tons annually. These findings confirm that biomass power plants are a technically feasible, economically sound, and environmentally sustainable solution for Pakistan's growing energy needs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"89 ","pages":"Article 101856"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-10-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145269890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Comprehensive techno-economic assessment of biomass power generation for sustainable solution of Pakistan's energy crisis 可持续解决巴基斯坦能源危机的生物质发电综合技术经济评估

IF 4.9 2区工程技术

Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2025-10-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2025.101856

Syed Usama Ali , Talha Bin Nadeem , Syed Muhammad Asad Akhter Naqvi , Malik Kamran

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引用次数: 0