Jianbiao Wang , Tomio Miwa , Dawei Li , Takayuki Morikawa
{"title":"Customised bus service design considering flexible vehicle size and transfer incentivization","authors":"Jianbiao Wang , Tomio Miwa , Dawei Li , Takayuki Morikawa","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2388618","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2388618","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, the flexible vehicle size and transfer incentivization strategies are incorporated to increase the potential of the customised bus system. In detail, the modular vehicle system is adopted for flexible vehicle size design since it can be connected as the assembled bus in response to demand variation. Also, the transfer among buses is considered to group passengers with the same destinations to increase bus utilisation. However, the passengers will not actively transfer as it is viewed as a disutility. Thus, the incentivization is provided and the transfer demand is elastic under incentivization. We jointly optimise passenger-route assignment, vehicle size, and incentivization scheme by transforming the original nonlinear programming model into a mixed integer linear programming model. Then, to solve the larger case study, the modified ant colony system algorithm is also proposed. The experiments validate the superiority of customised bus service considering flexible vehicle size and transfer incentivization.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142226639","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"In loving memory of Professor Richard Allsop: a great loss to HKSTS and the transportation community","authors":"S. C. Wong (Professor)","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2338993","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2338993","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140594402","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Cong Xiu , Shuguang Zhan , Jinyi Pan , Qiyuan Peng , Zhiyuan Lin , S.C. Wong
{"title":"Correlation-based feature selection and parallel spatiotemporal networks for efficient passenger flow forecasting in metro systems","authors":"Cong Xiu , Shuguang Zhan , Jinyi Pan , Qiyuan Peng , Zhiyuan Lin , S.C. Wong","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2335244","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2335244","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents a novel framework for predicting metro passenger flow that is both interpretable and computationally efficient. The proposed method first uses a correlation-based spatiotemporal feature selection strategy (Cor-STFS) to identify the optimal input scheme for the prediction model, effectively reducing unnecessary interference. The framework then introduces a new multivariate passenger flow prediction architecture called STA-PTCN-BiGRU, which combines a spatiotemporal attention (STA) mechanism, parallel temporal convolutional networks (PTCN), and bidirectional gated recurrent units (BiGRU) to capture the dynamic internal patterns of passenger flow. By utilising parallel computing, this architecture significantly reduces resource consumption. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is evaluated using four datasets from the Shanghai Metro. Experimental results show that the new method outperforms baseline approaches in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), achieving average reductions of 9.98%, 8.08%, and 13.29% in these metrics, respectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140594901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Logistics vehicle routing optimisation with synchronised transfer","authors":"Shuai Wang , Xiaoning Zhu , Siyu Zhuo , Pan Shang","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2355954","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2355954","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents a synchronized transfer strategy in which operators can schedule logistics vehicles among employees and arrange the transfer of commodities. The transfer time consists of the vehicle waiting time and commodity transition time. By adopting the strategy, logistics vehicles can visit fewer communities, resulting in savings in transportation cost under ensuring punctual delivery. An integer programming model based on a space-time-state network is proposed to describe the complex transfer process. To simplify the model, time window and vehicle capacity constraints are embedded into the network. The alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is designed to solve the model. In the ADMM-based solution framework, the original model can be converted into a series of shortest-path searching subproblems and iteratively solved using a dynamic programming (DP) algorithm. Our computational results show that the proposed model and algorithm are efficient and competitive.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141170135","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kamran Aziz , Feng Chen , Inamullah Khan , Zahid Ullah , Mona Jamjoom , Muhammad Imran Khan
{"title":"Diversity-oriented dynamic ensemble selection approach for multi-class road traffic injury severity predictions with interpretable insights","authors":"Kamran Aziz , Feng Chen , Inamullah Khan , Zahid Ullah , Mona Jamjoom , Muhammad Imran Khan","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2025.2542283","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2025.2542283","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurately predicting crash injury severity in multi-class settings is vital for improving road safety, as different injury levels require tailored interventions. This study explores the effectiveness of Dynamic Ensemble Selection (DES) combined with Static Ensemble Selection (SES) classifiers for multi-class injury severity prediction. We employ diversity-driven DES methods—DES-KNN and DES-Clustering—alongside classifiers such as Extra Trees, AdaBoost, and XG-Boost. To address data imbalance, SMOTE and its variants are applied for equitable class representation. Results show that DES-KNN with XG-Boost, using SMOTE preprocessed data, achieves the best performance with a Balanced Accuracy Score of 0.56, G-Mean of 0.66, and MCC of 0.26. Additionally, LIME is used to interpret model predictions and enhance transparency by highlighting influential features. Our findings demonstrate that integrating DES with SES classifiers significantly improves predictive performance and interpretability, highlighting DES as a valuable approach for handling imbalanced multi-class crash severity data in support of sustainable transportation strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146071084","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Subasish Das , Monire Jafari , Ahmed Hossain , Rohit Chakraborty , Mahmuda Sultana Mimi
{"title":"Toll road crash severity using mixed logit model incorporating heterogeneous mean structures","authors":"Subasish Das , Monire Jafari , Ahmed Hossain , Rohit Chakraborty , Mahmuda Sultana Mimi","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2343755","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2343755","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The current study examined 1,465 crash observations (2017–2021) from Louisiana, identifying significant variables grouped into three major categories: drivers’, crash, and road characteristics. Considering crash injury severity as a dependent variable, we employed classic Multinomial Logit (MNL) model, and several other models to address unobserved heterogeneity in crash data including Random Parameter Logit (RPL), Random Parameter Logit with Heterogeneity in Means (RPLHM), and Random Parameter Logit with Heterogeneity in Means and Variance (RPLHMV). Our findings highlight the impact of factors such as driver gender, age, traffic violations, driver distractions, crash types, surface conditions, and roadway attributes on crash injury severity. These insights emphasise the complexity of toll road safety and inform targeted interventions to mitigate crash injury severity. Notably, male drivers and those under 25 years old increased property damage likelihood, while factors like driver distractions and lower posted speed limits reduced the likelihood of severe injuries or fatalities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140610480","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Haobo Sun , Qixiu Cheng , Pu Wang , Yongqi Huang , Zhiyuan Liu
{"title":"Lane change decision prediction: an efficient BO-XGB modelling approach with SHAP analysis","authors":"Haobo Sun , Qixiu Cheng , Pu Wang , Yongqi Huang , Zhiyuan Liu","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2372020","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2372020","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The lane-change decision (LCD) is a critical aspect of driving behaviour. This study proposes an LCD model based on a Bayesian optimization (BO) framework and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) to predict whether a vehicle should change lanes. First, an LCD point extraction method is proposed to refine the exact LCD points with a highD dataset to increase model learning accuracy. Subsequently, an efficient XGBoost with BO (BO-XGB) was used to learn the LCD principles. The prediction accuracy on the highD dataset was 99.14% with a computation time of 66.837s. The accuracy on the CQSkyEyeX dataset was 99.45%. Model explanation using the shapley additive explanation (SHAP) method was developed to analyse the mechanism of the BO-XGB’s LCD prediction results, including global and sample explanations. The former indicates the particular contribution of each feature to the model prediction throughout the entire dataset. The latter denotes each feature's contribution to a single sample.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141720434","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mingyuan Yang , Pablo Chon-Kan Munoz , Servet Lapardhaja , Yaobang Gong , Md. Ashraful Imran , Md. Tausif Murshed , Kemal Yagantekin , Md. Mahede Hasan Khan , Xingan (David) Kan , Choungryeol Lee
{"title":"MicroSimACC: an open database for field experiments on the potential capacity impact of commercial Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)","authors":"Mingyuan Yang , Pablo Chon-Kan Munoz , Servet Lapardhaja , Yaobang Gong , Md. Ashraful Imran , Md. Tausif Murshed , Kemal Yagantekin , Md. Mahede Hasan Khan , Xingan (David) Kan , Choungryeol Lee","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2349921","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2349921","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Commercial availability of vehicle automation has become mainstream. Most of today’s new vehicles can perform longitudinal car following autonomously via Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC). Field experiments demonstrate that today’s commercially available ACC vehicles provide similar headways and capacities as human-driven vehicles on freeways under steady-state and free-flow conditions. However, field tests also demonstrated that the design of today’s commercially available ACC vehicles can lead to further capacity reduction when operating in non-steady-state conditions where queues are present and speeds frequently fluctuate. These experiments generated MicroSimACC, a comprehensive set of field data that encompasses full speed range car following with interruptions from lane change manoeuvres. This will benefit the research community by providing benchmark data for developing models to be integrated into microscopic simulations for more prospective analyses and planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140931767","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ahmed Hossain , Xiaoduan Sun , Subasish Das , Monire Jafari , Julius Codjoe
{"title":"Investigating older driver crashes on high-speed roadway segments: a hybrid approach with extreme gradient boosting and random parameter model","authors":"Ahmed Hossain , Xiaoduan Sun , Subasish Das , Monire Jafari , Julius Codjoe","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2362362","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2362362","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Older drivers are often more susceptible to crashes due to age-related physical and cognitive limitations, particularly in complex driving environments. Considering the limited research in this area, this study focuses on investigating crashes involving older drivers on high-speed roadways (≥ 45 mph). The analysis is based on data collected from Louisiana State, encompassing 18,300 older driver-involved crashes (2017-2021). For analysis, a two-step hybrid modelling approach is employed: a) Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) is used to classify top variable features and b) Correlated Random Parameter Ordered Probit with Heterogeneity in Means (CRPOP-HM) is used to predict the likelihood of crash injury severity. . Some of the critical factors increasing the likelihood of fatal-severe or injury crashes involving older drivers on high-speed segments include the manner of collision (rear-end, right-angle, single-vehicle), primary contributing factor (violation, pedestrian action), presence of passenger (s), location type (open country, residential, business with mixed residential), and weekend.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141548599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Youngmin Choi , Bruce L. Golden , Paul M. Schonfeld
{"title":"Improving analytic approximations of TSP tour lengths with adjustment factors","authors":"Youngmin Choi , Bruce L. Golden , Paul M. Schonfeld","doi":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2346631","DOIUrl":"10.1080/23249935.2024.2346631","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Optimizing Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP) tours requires substantial computational effort, leading researchers to develop approximations relating tour length to the number of visited points, <em>n</em>. Existing models, such as the <em>√nA</em> predictor, effectively approximate tour lengths for large-capacity vehicles but sacrifice accuracy for small <em>n</em> values relevant for most practical applications. Consequently, this study addresses this gap by proposing models with uniform node distributions, which incorporate realistic factors, such as central vs. random starting points and various service zone shapes. These factors are then integrated into a single equation, enhancing applicability. Furthermore, the exponent of n is statistically estimated to be significantly different from 0.5, challenging previous studies. Our proposed model estimates TSP tour lengths more accurately, particularly for small <em>n</em> values, and maintains accuracy for large <em>n</em> values, with errors below 3.11% for up to 600 points. This model offers a more precise and versatile alternative to current models.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48871,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica A-Transport Science","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140828095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}