Sustainable Cities and Society最新文献_第7页

Recognizing dominant factors for urban green space degradation in the arid city 干旱区城市绿地退化的主导因素分析

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106806

Hanbing Zhang, Jian Peng, Yuming Zhu, Yuexin Zheng

{"title":"Recognizing dominant factors for urban green space degradation in the arid city","authors":"Hanbing Zhang, Jian Peng, Yuming Zhu, Yuexin Zheng","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106806","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106806","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Under the dual pressures of accelerating global urbanization and intensifying climate change, urban green space (UGS) serves as critical carriers for mitigating heat exposure and enhancing ecosystem services, whose sustainable management proves essential for achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, arid cities face dual challenges of UGS quantity reduction and quality degradation due to water resource constraint and thermal stress interactions, with significant knowledge gaps remaining in understanding driving mechanisms and ecological thresholds. This study investigated spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms of UGS’s ecological quality in Hami, a typical arid city in China, through multi-source remote sensing integration and landscape pattern analysis. The results demonstrated that from 2016 to 2024, green landscape proportion decreased by 3.08 % in Hami City, exhibiting spatial differentiation of central aggregation and suburban degradation alongside intensified landscape fragmentation yet improved proximity. Four UGS types showed significantly morphological and functional divergences, although all achieved NDVI improvement through synergistic optimization of green landscape proportion and core patch ratio. eXtreme Gradient Boosting - SHapley Additive exPlanations model-based analysis revealed a threshold effect in NDVI's influence on UGS’s ecological quality, which meant UGS’s ecological quality could not be further enhanced when NDVI was above 0.5. This study proposed an arid UGS management strategy guided by the principle of size prioritization and threshold control, and advocating smart irrigation regulation as well as patch morphology optimization to achieve ecological function enhancement under the context of water resource constraint.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106806"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107717","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Effectiveness of outdoor windcatcher and mist cooling in mitigating urban heat and improving pedestrian thermal comfort 室外捕风和雾冷却在缓解城市热量和改善行人热舒适方面的有效性

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106838

Hadi Kachmar, Jaafar Younes, Nesreen Ghaddar

{"title":"Effectiveness of outdoor windcatcher and mist cooling in mitigating urban heat and improving pedestrian thermal comfort","authors":"Hadi Kachmar, Jaafar Younes, Nesreen Ghaddar","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106838","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106838","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban heat and associated pedestrian thermal discomfort are critical issues in arid cities. This study examines the effectiveness of combining outdoor windcatchers with mist cooling to mitigate urban heat and improve outdoor thermal comfort (OTC). To simulate the effect of the windcatcher and mist cooling on urban canyon, ENVI-met urban microclimate model was utilized and validated using published experimental and modeling datasets. The validated model was applied to a realistic urban morphology for a case study in Doha, Qatar, on a hot summer day (<span><math><msub><mi>T</mi><mrow><mi>m</mi><mi>a</mi><mi>x</mi></mrow></msub></math></span>=37.7°C). Three interventions—windcatcher alone, mist cooling alone, and an integrated windcatcher–mist cooling system—were assessed against a baseline scenario without interventions.</div><div>Results showed that the windcatcher alone improved pedestrian-level airflow velocity, increasing it by five times compared to the baseline at 0.1 m/s, and reduced temperature by 0.63°C. The mist system at 2.7 l/min using three nozzles had a negligible effect on airflow but reduced pedestrian-level temperature by 1.9°C. The integrated windcatcher–mist cooling system at 2.7 l/min lowered air temperature by 3.06°C and enhanced air velocity by 0.43 m/s. When the number of nozzles was increased to 12, the localized cooling effect was significantly amplified, achieving a temperature reduction of up to 6.4°C. This enhancement decreased the Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) by 8.8°C, effectively shifting the thermal sensation by 1 to 2 categories (from very hot to warm) and improved OTC over extended periods during the day. These findings demonstrate the synergistic potential of the windcatcher–mist cooling system as a sustainable strategy for enhancing OTC.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106838"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145119133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Refined assessment of carbon emissions from land use in China: A research framework based on “provincial accounting-efficiency assessment-spatial synergy” 中国土地利用碳排放精细化评估：基于“省域核算-效率评估-空间协同”的研究框架

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106831

Jintao Li , Yun Huang , Han Liang , Liujie He , Haijiao Du , Jinqi Zhu , Bofu Zheng , Wei Wan

{"title":"Refined assessment of carbon emissions from land use in China: A research framework based on “provincial accounting-efficiency assessment-spatial synergy”","authors":"Jintao Li , Yun Huang , Han Liang , Liujie He , Haijiao Du , Jinqi Zhu , Bofu Zheng , Wei Wan","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106831","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106831","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global rise in temperatures owing to carbon emissions has emerged as a critical challenge for nations worldwide. Analyzing the dynamics of land use carbon emissions (LUCE) plays a pivotal role in meeting China’s carbon reduction goals, and its accurate accounting and efficiency assessment have important scientific value for optimizing regional emission reduction pathways. This study addresses the gap in fine-grained provincial-level assessments in China by developing an improved multi-parameter accounting system. It integrates land use, net primary production remote sensing data, and socio-economic statistics to systematically evaluate the spatiotemporal patterns of LUCE, the efficiency of land use carbon emissions (LUEE), and the driving factors across provinces in China from 2000 to 2020. The results show that: (1) The total LUCE quantity increased by 2.16-fold during the study period, with the carbon source/sink pattern undergoing reversal between 2005 and 2010. (2) The spatial autocorrelation coefficient of LUCE demonstrated significant positivity, revealing pronounced spatial heterogeneity and aggregation, forming a distinct “production-ecology” spatial configuration. (3) Provincial LUEE in China displayed a marked “high-efficiency in eastern regions, low-efficiency in western regions” pattern, with significant regional differences. (4) Significant spatial spillover effects of LUEE drivers exist, primarily influenced by land use intensity, the ratio of secondary industry, and energy intensity. This study introduces a novel analytical framework of “provincial accounting - efficiency evaluation - spatial synergy”, providing a scientific basis for targeted emission reduction policies and regional collaborative governance, supporting China’s sustainable development goals and global climate challenges.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106831"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145119134","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Afro-Asian climate response to future solar radiation management 未来太阳辐射管理对亚非气候的响应

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106825

Tolulope E. Adeliyi, Akintomide A. Akinsanola, Thierry N. Taguela

{"title":"Afro-Asian climate response to future solar radiation management","authors":"Tolulope E. Adeliyi, Akintomide A. Akinsanola, Thierry N. Taguela","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106825","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106825","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rising global temperatures due to greenhouse gas emissions are increasingly exposing billions across the densely populated Afro-Asian monsoon regions to extreme heat stress. This study assesses the potential of solar radiation management (SRM), using stratospheric aerosol injection (G6Sulfur) and solar radiation dimming (G6Solar), to mitigate future changes in temperature and heatwave characteristics during the boreal summer monsoon season (June to September) over the mid-future (2040–2069) and far-future (2070–2099), based on simulations from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) under CMIP6. Compared to the high-emission SSP5–8.5 scenario, both G6Solar and G6Sulfur substantially reduce projected increases in mean, maximum, and minimum temperatures across the South Asian, East Asian, and West African monsoon regions, with cooling exceeding 3°C in some areas by the far-future. The frequency, duration, and intensity of all heatwave characteristics are also significantly reduced, by over 20 days, 10 days, and 1.0°C, respectively. Surface energy budget diagnostics reveal that the temperature reduction is driven primarily by reduced net downward surface radiation, largely due to decreased clear-sky downward longwave radiation associated with reduced atmospheric water vapor. Moisture budget diagnostics further show that reduced atmospheric water vapor convergence is modulated by decreased thermodynamic processes, particularly specific humidity. Finally, both SRM methods lead to substantial reductions in population exposure to all heatwave types, especially in the far-future. These findings suggest that SRM could help alleviate future heat-related health risks and reduce pressure on urban infrastructure across the Afro-Asian monsoon regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106825"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145119137","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Effect of pavement watering under tree shade in a hot and humid area: a case study in Guangzhou, China 湿热地区树荫下路面浇水的效果：以广州为例

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106818

Xiaohui Lu , Qiong Li , Peijie Tang , Zining Qiu , Qi Li , Qing Lin Meng

{"title":"Effect of pavement watering under tree shade in a hot and humid area: a case study in Guangzhou, China","authors":"Xiaohui Lu , Qiong Li , Peijie Tang , Zining Qiu , Qi Li , Qing Lin Meng","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106818","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106818","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The urban heat island (UHI) effect is intensified by the absorption of solar heat on impervious surfaces. Although pavement watering can alleviate thermal stress, its interaction with tree shade–a widespread yet underexplored urban feature–has not been thoroughly quantified. This study systematically assesses the combined impact of pavement watering (0.23–0.71 mm/h) under tree shade at two leaf area indices (LAI = 2.52 vs. 4.09) within a humid subtropical climate. Findings reveal that the synergy between shade and watering significantly improves cooling effectiveness compared to shade alone, lowering air temperature by 0.37 °C and increasing relative humidity by 1.38 %, while enhancing surface temperature regulation by 25.16–83.25 %. Relative to unshaded areas, the combined strategy substantially improved thermal comfort indicators: mean radiant temperature (∆MRT = -22.13 °C), Universal Thermal Climate Index (∆UTCI = -6.36 °C), and modified Physiological Equivalent Temperature (∆mPET = -8.77 °C). Energy balance analysis identified latent heat as dominant (Bowen ratio β = 0.01–0.17), effectively reducing shortwave radiation and heat accumulation. Optimal cooling occurred when watering rates slightly exceeded evaporation rates (<em>Q</em>/<em>E</em> ≈ 1.11–1.29), with the lower LAI (2.51) demonstrating superior performance, likely due to increased solar penetration enhancing evaporation potential. These results provide a physics-based framework for optimizing UHI mitigation through integrated vegetation design and water-sensitive urban management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106818"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107711","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Background environment mitigate heat islands from inadequate urban green coverage while amplifying socioeconomic thermal inequities 背景环境缓解了城市绿化覆盖不足造成的热岛，同时放大了社会经济热不平等

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106815

Shuliang Ren , Zhou Huang , Xiaoqin Yan , Ganmin Yin , Jiangpeng Zheng , Junnan Qi , Hanyu Zhang , Xiaowei Li , Yi Bao

{"title":"Background environment mitigate heat islands from inadequate urban green coverage while amplifying socioeconomic thermal inequities","authors":"Shuliang Ren , Zhou Huang , Xiaoqin Yan , Ganmin Yin , Jiangpeng Zheng , Junnan Qi , Hanyu Zhang , Xiaowei Li , Yi Bao","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106815","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106815","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The greenspace-urban heat islands (UHI) relationship is fundamental to thermal mitigation strategies. Current research predominantly treats greenspace and background environmental factors (BEFs) as isolated elements, failing to quantify how BEFs modulate greenspace's thermal environmental impacts and the resulting environmental justice risks. Additionally, conventional frameworks fragment the urban-rural system, neglecting the influence of rural landscape dynamics on UHI formation. This study employs explainable machine learning to develop an \"urban-rural differential\" analytical framework that systematically decomposes the contributions of urban-rural greenspace coverage differences (GAC) to surface UHI into (a) environment-independent main effects and (b) BEF interaction effects. Results from Beijing case study demonstrate that BEF interactions reduce ΔGAC-induced average SUHI intensity from 1.36 °C to 1.12 °C. Specifically, BEF modulation exhibits bidirectional regulation—enhancing cooling capacity in deficient green coverage areas while suppressing cooling capacity in abundant green coverage areas. Notably, we identify significant socioeconomic stratification in BEF modulation effects (<em>r</em>=-0.062, <em>p</em> < 0.05), revealing a \"dual environmental injustice\" wherein high-price neighborhoods simultaneously benefit from superior greenspace and advantageous background environments. These findings advance environmental planning paradigms from simplistic greenspace quantity expansion toward synergistic environmental optimization. Meanwhile, BEF regulatory heterogeneity should be incorporated into environmental justice assessments to support equitable thermal governance aligned with SDG11.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106815"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Corrigendum to “Navigating urban complexity: The transformative role of digital twins in smart city development” [Sustainable Cities and Society 111 (2024) 105583] “驾驭城市复杂性：数字孪生体在智慧城市发展中的变革作用”的勘误表[可持续城市与社会111 (2024)105583]

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106834

Dechen Peldon , Saeed Banihashemi , Khuong Le Nguyen , Sybil Derrible

引用次数: 0

E-scooter dynamics in a tourism-driven city: Exploring spatiotemporal patterns and nonlinear effects of the built environment in Antalya, Türkiye 旅游驱动型城市的电动滑板车动力学：探索安塔利亚建成环境的时空模式和非线性效应，土耳其

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106801

Vaghar Bahojb Ghodsi , Nima Dadashzadeh

{"title":"E-scooter dynamics in a tourism-driven city: Exploring spatiotemporal patterns and nonlinear effects of the built environment in Antalya, Türkiye","authors":"Vaghar Bahojb Ghodsi , Nima Dadashzadeh","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106801","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106801","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Exploring the travel behavior of e-scooter users and the relationship between the built environment and e-scooter usage helps urban planners and policymakers to allocate urban resources efficiently and meet demand. To the best of our knowledge, this study presents one of the first empirical evidence focusing on e-scooter usage in a tourism-driven city. It explores the nonlinear and threshold effects of the built environment on e-scooter usage using a machine learning technique, i.e., Gradient Boosted Regression Trees (GBRT). To this end, it examines extensive 8-month trajectory records of 16,480 e-scooter trips in Antalya, Türkiye. Trips were recorded mainly in the southwest part of Antalya, specifically along the coastline. In summer, e-scooter is primarily used for tourism in coastal and residential areas, while in winter for educational and residential purposes. Besides, e-scooter usage was impacted negatively by temperature and rain. People tend to ride e-scooters mainly in the evening during the summer and at midday during the winter season. The results indicate that the most influential factors on e-scooter usage were recorded as educational and touristic/offshore land use variables, residential area land use, intersection count, and bus accessibility, with respective 42 %, 24 %, 8.08 %, 5 %, and 4 % contributions. The results of this research can be useful for transportation policies over dockless e-scooter usage in port and touristic cities such as Antalya.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106801"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145050297","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Joint price and power optimization experiment for workplace charging stations 工作场所充电站价格与功率联合优化实验

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106784

Ayşe Tuğba Öztürk , Hassan Obeid , Teng Zeng , Wente Zeng , Scott J. Moura

{"title":"Joint price and power optimization experiment for workplace charging stations","authors":"Ayşe Tuğba Öztürk , Hassan Obeid , Teng Zeng , Wente Zeng , Scott J. Moura","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106784","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106784","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Workplace electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure is a key enabler of sustainable urban transitions—by facilitating daytime charging aligned with renewable energy and expanding access for drivers without home-charging options. However, financial sustainability remains challenging as these services are often provided for free or at flat rates. This paper demonstrates the effectiveness of joint price and power optimization in increasing revenue and shifting load at workplace charging stations. We integrate empirically estimated behavioral models to influence user decisions through price signals that: (i) enable smart charging and reduce operational costs, (ii) increase charging service revenue, and (iii) maintain adequate utilization. Our framework considers the trade-offs between high utilization and the first two objectives. We achieve high utilization and smart charging outcomes by incentivizing delayed charging only when cost savings are available. We achieve high utilization and high gross revenue by modeling the choice of not charging as an increasing function of the charging tariff. We demonstrate our approach through a 33-day pilot at the University of California, Berkeley, achieving a 28.9% increase in net revenue, 18.4% reduction in utility costs, and a 17% load shift to low-cost periods.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106784"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Interrelationship among treatable mortality, healthcare provision, and urban shrinkage: A panel vector autoregression approach 可治疗死亡率、医疗保健提供和城市收缩之间的相互关系：面板向量自回归方法

IF 12 1区工程技术

Sustainable Cities and Society Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2025.106810

Eunji Kim , Heeyeun Yoon

{"title":"Interrelationship among treatable mortality, healthcare provision, and urban shrinkage: A panel vector autoregression approach","authors":"Eunji Kim , Heeyeun Yoon","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106810","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2025.106810","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the past decades, urban shrinkage has caused disparities in healthcare provision across regions. While some studies have demonstrated inequalities in treatable mortality (TM) associated with this trend, the interrelationships among urban shrinkage, healthcare provision, and TM remain unexplored. Against this backdrop, this study examines the dynamic interactions among the TM rate, healthcare provision—represented as the number of physicians or inpatient rooms per 100 population—and the net inflow rate of the young population in South Korea from 2012 to 2022, using panel vector autoregressive models and Granger causality test. The results suggest that the expansion of inpatient rooms is the most effective factors in reducing TM. In contrast, the number of physicians did not lead TM changes, implying that mere presence of medical personnel is insufficient for the purpose. Additionally, an increase in the TM rate discourages the inflow of young population, whereas a higher inflow of young population promotes growth in both healthcare provision indicators. All variables exhibited self-reinforcing dynamics, suggesting that disparities in public health, medical resources, and urban shrinkage are likely to persist without targeted intervention. It is therefore crucial to address these issues before the situation deteriorates further. Our findings offer valuable insights for sustainable regional development and informing public health strategies amid ongoing global urban shrinkage.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 106810"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0