发布求助
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献

American Journal of Political Science最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
The people think what I think: False consensus and unelected elite misperception of public opinion 人民想什么，我就想什么：虚假共识和非民选精英对民意的误解
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12833
Alexander C. Furnas, Timothy M. LaPira
{"title":"The people think what I think: False consensus and unelected elite misperception of public opinion","authors":"Alexander C. Furnas,&nbsp;Timothy M. LaPira","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12833","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12833","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Political elites must know and rely faithfully on the public will to be democratically responsive. Recent work on elite perceptions of public opinion shows that reelection-motivated politicians systematically misperceive the opinions of their constituents to be more conservative than they are. We extend this work to a larger and broader set of unelected political elites such as lobbyists, civil servants, journalists, and the like, and report alternative empirical findings. These unelected elites hold similarly inaccurate perceptions about public opinion, though not in a single ideological direction. We find this elite population exhibits egocentrism bias, rather than partisan confirmation bias, as their perceptions about others' opinions systematically correspond to their own policy preferences. Thus, we document a remarkably consistent false consensus effect among unelected political elites, which holds across subsamples by party, occupation, professional relevance of party affiliation, and trust in party-aligned information sources.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 3","pages":"958-971"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12833","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140485030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Victim or Threat? Shipwrecks, Terrorist Attacks, and Asylum Decisions in France 受害者还是威胁？法国的沉船、恐怖袭击和庇护决定
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12829
Mathilde Emeriau
{"title":"Victim or Threat? Shipwrecks, Terrorist Attacks, and Asylum Decisions in France","authors":"Mathilde Emeriau","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12829","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12829","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Tragic events such as terrorist attacks have been shown to influence voters’ policy preferences, but less is known about whether such events also affect actual immigration policy. In this study, I bring new evidence to this question by examining whether migrant shipwrecks and terrorist attacks affected asylum decisions in France during the refugee crisis of 2015–16. I find that asylum officers were more likely to approve an individual's refugee application if a shipwreck has recently been in the news than they are otherwise. Yet they were less likely to grant refugee status to asylum seekers from Syria and Iraq after a terrorist attack. Together, these findings suggest that tragic events can affect immigration policy through their influence on asylum officers.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 4","pages":"1187-1204"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12829","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140487075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Isolated Compressive Optic Neuropathy Due to Cavernous Carotid Aneurysms: A 2-Patient Case Report. 海绵状颈动脉瘤引起的孤立压迫性视神经病变:2例病例报告。
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2022-04-19 DOI: 10.1097/WNO.0000000000001591
William Coburn, Cheryl N Fonteh, Prem S Subramanian
{"title":"Isolated Compressive Optic Neuropathy Due to Cavernous Carotid Aneurysms: A 2-Patient Case Report.","authors":"William Coburn, Cheryl N Fonteh, Prem S Subramanian","doi":"10.1097/WNO.0000000000001591","DOIUrl":"10.1097/WNO.0000000000001591","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"35 1","pages":"e237-e238"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91158347","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
At Any Cost: How Ukrainians Think about Self-Defense Against Russia 不惜一切代价：乌克兰人如何思考对俄罗斯的自卫问题
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12832
Janina Dill, Marnie Howlett, Carl Müller-Crepon
{"title":"At Any Cost: How Ukrainians Think about Self-Defense Against Russia","authors":"Janina Dill,&nbsp;Marnie Howlett,&nbsp;Carl Müller-Crepon","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12832","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12832","url":null,"abstract":"<p>How do populations facing external aggression view the costs and benefits of self-defense? In Western countries, war support has been shown to follow cost–benefit calculations, resembling the moral principle of proportionality. A categorical position, in contrast, means supporting self-defense regardless of the costs. To evaluate which moral principle populations facing external aggression follow, we conducted a conjoint experiment with 1,160 Ukrainians in July 2022. We examine support for different strategies Ukraine could pursue against Russia, which vary regarding the political autonomy and territorial integrity they afford and three costs: civilian and military fatalities, and nuclear risk. We find that Ukrainians do not trade off autonomy or territory against these costs. A new method to rank conjoint-attributes, computing “nested” marginal means, shows that respondents categorically reject political or territorial concessions, regardless of costs. This provides first experimental evidence that populations resisting external aggression do not subject war outcomes to cost–benefit calculations.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 4","pages":"1460-1478"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12832","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135729711","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Necessity of Moving Averages in Dynamic Linear Regression Models 动态线性回归模型中移动平均线的必要性
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12825
Garrett N. Vande Kamp, Soren Jordan
{"title":"The Necessity of Moving Averages in Dynamic Linear Regression Models","authors":"Garrett N. Vande Kamp,&nbsp;Soren Jordan","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12825","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12825","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Consensus from the debate over lagged dependent variables in dynamic linear regression models advises that including enough lags of the dependent and independent variables will fully model autocorrelation in the error term. But this approach fails to account for a long-neglected source of autocorrelation in the error term—moving averages—which cannot be represented with a finite number of lags. Approximating moving averages results in either inconsistent or inefficient estimates of relevant quantities of interest, a claim demonstrated here via Monte Carlo simulations and three empirical demonstrations. Ultimately, we argue that moving averages should be a standard part of dynamic analysis and offer guidance for incorporating them into various modeling strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"176-193"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12825","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135537487","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anger, Hatred, and Judgment in Aristotle's Rhetoric 亚里士多德修辞学中的愤怒、仇恨与判断
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12830
Alexander S. Duff
{"title":"Anger, Hatred, and Judgment in Aristotle's Rhetoric","authors":"Alexander S. Duff","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12830","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12830","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Aristotle's analysis in the <i>Rhetoric</i> of the intelligibility of passionately angry political speech is an urgently needed addition to the ongoing scholarly reassessment of his relevance to democratic practices. Aristotle shows his readers—both orators and their auditors, citizens who might both rule and be ruled—that anger is prone to exaggeration and distortion and is therefore liable to be amplified into hatred. He shows further though that if instead of simply being exaggerated, anger is taken “seriously,” then a more sober and measured politics can ensue, one less destructive of a good legal order.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"240-251"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135815565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Erratum: Does Public Support Help Democracy Survive? 勘误：公众支持有助于民主生存吗？
IF 4.2 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-09-23 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12828
Christopher Claassen
{"title":"Erratum: Does Public Support Help Democracy Survive?","authors":"Christopher Claassen","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12828","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12828","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The author thanks Hu, Tai, and Solt (<span>2022</span>) for identifying these errors.</p><p>These errors have been corrected, democratic support re-estimated, and the analyses employed in the Claassen (<span>2020</span>) rerun. The corrected Tables 1 and 2 and Figures 1 and 3 are provided below. The corrected replication data set is available at https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/HWLW0J, as is a document with corrected supplementary information and analyses.</p><p>The corrected results are similar to those reported in the original article. For example, in model 1.1., Claassen (<span>2020</span>) originally reported an effect of support on democracy of 0.267 with a standard error of 0.094. In the corrected results, the corresponding coefficient and standard error are 0.273 and 0.094. As such, the corrected analyses confirm the conclusions drawn in Claassen (<span>2020</span>).</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 2","pages":"850-854"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2023-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12828","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139336908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Erratum to “The Well-Ordered Society under Crisis: A Formal Analysis of Public Reason vs. Convergence Discourse” American Journal of Political Science, Volume 64, Issue 1, January 2020, pp. 82–101 危机下秩序井然的社会》勘误：公共理性与趋同论述的形式分析》，《美国政治学杂志》，第 64 卷第 1 期，2020 年 1 月，第 82-101 页
IF 4.2 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-09-23 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12831
Hun Chung
{"title":"Erratum to “The Well-Ordered Society under Crisis: A Formal Analysis of Public Reason vs. Convergence Discourse” American Journal of Political Science, Volume 64, Issue 1, January 2020, pp. 82–101","authors":"Hun Chung","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12831","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12831","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the article titled “The Well-Ordered Society Under Crisis: A Formal Analysis of Public Reason vs. Convergence Discourse,” which was published in January 2020 in Volume 64, Issue 1 of the <i>American Journal of Political Science</i>, an error has been identified in the payoffs attributed to the game tree presented in Figure 4, labeled as “The Well-Ordered Society under Crisis with Public Reason” (Chung <span>2020</span>: 89). The corrected Figure 4, containing the corrected payoffs, is provided below:</p><p>The statement of Proposition 2 and Proposition 3 (Chung <span>2020</span>: 90) along with their corresponding proofs (Chung <span>2020</span>: 98) were all established on the basis of the correct payoffs delineated in the corrected Figure 4 provided above. Consequently, no revisions are required for the textual content or the formal analyses presented within the original paper.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 2","pages":"855-856"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2023-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12831","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139336936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Presidential Cues and the Nationalization of Congressional Rhetoric, 1973–2016 1973-2016 年总统的暗示与国会修辞的国家化
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-09-17 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12822
Benjamin S. Noble
{"title":"Presidential Cues and the Nationalization of Congressional Rhetoric, 1973–2016","authors":"Benjamin S. Noble","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12822","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12822","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Presidents occupy a unique role as both the head of the executive branch and a de facto party leader. They nationalize politics and polarize lawmaking. Members of Congress know this, and they leverage the president's symbolic power to heighten political conflict. I argue that lawmakers, particularly those in the nonpresidential party, invoke the president to nationalize legislative debate and polarize constituent opinion. Using the text of House and Senate floor speeches between 1973 and 2016 and a within-member panel design, I find that legislators reference the president more frequently in the out-party and increasingly so as a district's media environment becomes more nationalized. Presidential references are also moderated by constituency partisanship. I support the behavioral implications with a vignette experiment: when a Republican Senator invokes President Biden in a policy speech, Republican respondents increase approval of that Senator and oppose political compromise. This research highlights the institutional consequences of nationalization and negative partisanship.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 4","pages":"1386-1402"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135258705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Political Consequences of Depression: How Conspiracy Beliefs, Participatory Inclinations, and Depression Affect Support for Political Violence 抑郁症的政治后果：阴谋论信念、参与倾向和抑郁症如何影响对政治暴力的支持
IF 4.2 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12827
Matthew A. Baum, James N. Druckman, Matthew D. Simonson, Jennifer Lin, Roy H. Perlis
{"title":"The Political Consequences of Depression: How Conspiracy Beliefs, Participatory Inclinations, and Depression Affect Support for Political Violence","authors":"Matthew A. Baum,&nbsp;James N. Druckman,&nbsp;Matthew D. Simonson,&nbsp;Jennifer Lin,&nbsp;Roy H. Perlis","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12827","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12827","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Depression can affect individuals’ attitudes by enhancing cognitive biases and altering perceptions of control. We investigate the relationship between depressive symptoms and Americans’ attitudes regarding domestic extremist violence. We develop a theory that suggests the association between depression and support for political violence depends on conspiracy beliefs, participatory inclinations, and their combination. We test our theory using a two-wave national survey panel from November 2020 and January 2021. We find that among those who hold conspiracy beliefs and/or have participatory inclinations, depression is positively associated with support for election violence and the January 6 Capitol riots. The participatory inclination dynamic is particularly strong for men. Our findings reveal how the intersection of two concerning features of American society—poor mental health and conspiratorial beliefs—strongly relate to another feature: support for political violence. The results also make clear that interventions aimed at addressing depression can potentially have substantial political consequences.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 2","pages":"575-594"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2023-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12827","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135983113","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
首页 上一页 下一页 尾页
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整，为了账户安全，请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们：info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务，方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号：604180095
Book学术官方微信