Yuval Ofek-Shanny , Avner Strulov-Shlain , Dan Zeltzer
{"title":"Impacts of home-care subsidies: Evidence from quasi-random assignment","authors":"Yuval Ofek-Shanny , Avner Strulov-Shlain , Dan Zeltzer","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105438","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105438","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the impact of subsidizing home-based long-term care on recipients’ health and the labor supply of their working-age children. We use administrative data from Israel on the universe of welfare benefit applications linked with tax records of applicants and their adult children. To address the endogeneity of benefit recipients’ health status, we instrument for benefit receipt using the leniency of randomly assigned evaluators who assess the applicant’s functional status and determine benefit eligibility. We find that for compliers—applicants who receive subsidies only from more lenient evaluators—subsidizing home-based care has large adverse effects on recipient health (<span><math><mo>+</mo><mn>5.2</mn></math></span> p.p. one-year mortality, 95 % CI: <span><math><mn>1.5</mn></math></span> to <span><math><mn>8.9</mn></math></span> p.p.) but no detectable effects on their children’s labor market outcomes (child labor market participation: <span><math><mo>−</mo><mn>0.5</mn></math></span> p.p., 95 % CI: <span><math><mo>−</mo><mn>5.2</mn></math></span> to <span><math><mo>+</mo><mn>4.2</mn></math></span> p.p.; child income: <span><math><mo>−</mo><mn>5.5</mn></math></span> log points, 95 % CI: <span><math><mo>−</mo><mn>46</mn></math></span> to <span><math><mo>+</mo><mn>35</mn></math></span> log points). The results are consistent with the crowd-out of self-care for the marginal recipient, highlighting the need to assess the heterogeneous effects of home-care subsidies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105438"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144491027","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"To burn a slum: Urban land conflicts and the use of arson against Favelas","authors":"Rafael Pucci","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105436","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105436","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the understudied phenomenon of urban land conflicts in contexts with weak enforcement of property rights. I examine, both theoretically and empirically, the use of arson as a violent tool to force slum removal from high-value land in cities. Leveraging fine-grained geocoded data, I employ panel regression and Difference-in-Differences analyses to demonstrate that the probability of slum fires dramatically increases with rising land prices. This effect is nonlinear and driven exclusively by slums situated on private lands, highlighting the role of high-powered incentives behind arson. These results illustrate how urban land conflicts can have different outcomes than their rural counterparts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105436"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144481542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"In-kind government assistance and crowd-out of charitable services: Evidence from free school meals","authors":"Krista Ruffini , Orgül Öztürk , Pelin Pekgün","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105391","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105391","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many community organizations provide services similar to government programs, but there is limited evidence how increased government aid affects the use and availability of charitable services. This study examines how greater access to federal nutrition assistance through schoolwide free meal programs affects food bank use within the U.S.’s largest food bank network. A 10 percent increase in access to free school meals reduces the amount of food that food banks distribute by 0.9–1.4 percent, without significantly reducing donations, fundraising activity, or the amount of food available. The reduction of food bank use is only found in areas where relatively few students previously qualified for government aid. Our findings highlight that even safety net programs that serve a specific population and offer distinct services can reduce pressures on charitable organizations, particularly in areas previously underserved by government assistance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105391"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144472130","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How does medicaid managed care affect provider behavior? New evidence from spillovers on private health care","authors":"Ajin Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105434","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105434","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Medicaid is increasingly provided by private managed care plans. I examine the direct effect of Medicaid privatization on health care utilization of Medicaid beneficiaries as well as the indirect effect on non-Medicaid privately insured individuals. Exploiting the staggered rollout of the Medicaid managed care (MMC) mandate across counties in New York, I find evidence of quality improvements under MMC, such as increased routine office visits and child immunizations. MMC also expanded Medicaid beneficiaries’ access to physicians by increasing the number of providers treating Medicaid patients. I find that routine office visits similarly increased for non-Medicaid privately insured individuals, and the same-signed spillover effect is larger in low-income areas. My findings suggest that physicians may have updated their overall practice styles when the mandate affected a large share of their patients.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105434"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144312797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Franca Glenzer , Pierre-Carl Michaud , Stefan Staubli
{"title":"Frames, incentives, and education: Effectiveness of interventions to delay public pension claiming","authors":"Franca Glenzer , Pierre-Carl Michaud , Stefan Staubli","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105419","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105419","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In many retirement income systems, people forgo a higher stream of public pension income by claiming early. This paper provides survey- and quasi-experimental evidence on how increasing financial incentives, educating individuals, and changing the framing of the claiming decision affect pension claiming and the present value of expected pension benefits. We find that all three types of interventions induce delays, but they have heterogeneous financial consequences. Educating participants about the claiming decision and life expectancy leads to claiming ages with higher pension wealth. In contrast, changing the framing of the claiming decision and strengthening financial incentives do not improve, and may even worsen, financial outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105419"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Private response to exclusionary welfare policy: Evidence from Italian municipalities","authors":"Massimo Pulejo","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105425","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105425","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Exclusionary welfare policies are among the flagship proposals in the economic agenda of the far right. Yet, there is little empirical evidence as to whether – after gaining power – such parties do indeed cut welfare provisions for immigrants. Using data on more than 6 million procurement contracts within a close-election Regression Discontinuity Design, I estimate that Italian mayors supported by the far right significantly cut welfare spending for immigrants and refugees. However, using novel data on volunteering associations, I also show that the narrow victory of a far-right coalition is followed by a 9.6 % growth in the per-capita number of local NGOs. The effect is driven by social welfare associations, which provide poverty relief and assistance to vulnerable individuals. Individual-level survey data document how the growth in volunteering is driven by left-leaning citizens with positive attitudes toward immigrants. These findings show how – following political turnovers – the non-profit sector can substitute the state in the provision of public goods that are off the agenda of incumbent policymakers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105425"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307343","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Intergenerational effect of an education stipend program on child development: Evidence from Bangladesh","authors":"Sadia Priyanka , Raisa Sara","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105426","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105426","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Human capital accumulation in early childhood is a critical stage in the life cycle for forming skills that have long-lasting economic consequences. This paper studies whether an education stipend program targeted at girls’ secondary schooling had an intergenerational impact on their children’s skills development years later. Exploiting two sources of variation in the intensity of program exposure and geographic eligibility, we find significant intergenerational gains in children’s cognitive and non-cognitive skills. Assessing potential mechanisms, we find improvement in women’s empowerment along multiple dimensions and changes in parental investments and parenting behavior conducive to child development. We detect important changes in parent–child engagement and approach to child discipline, including a change in attitude regarding the use of physical violence to address child behavioral problems. Our results highlight the importance of considering the long-term spillover effects of policy interventions designed to empower adolescent girls.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105426"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144290863","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tiago Bernardino , Ricardo Duque Gabriel , João Quelhas , Márcia Silva-Pereira
{"title":"The full, persistent, and symmetric pass-through of a temporary VAT cut","authors":"Tiago Bernardino , Ricardo Duque Gabriel , João Quelhas , Márcia Silva-Pereira","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105416","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105416","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the pass-through of a temporary value-added tax (VAT) cut on selected food products to consumer prices in Portugal. Exploiting a novel data set of daily online prices, we find that the VAT cut was fully transmitted to consumer prices, persisted throughout the policy duration, and prices returned to the pre-implementation trend after reversal. We discuss two potential mechanisms driving this result: the policy’s salience to consumers in a high-inflation environment and the decline in producer prices when implemented. We estimate that the policy reduced the inflation rate by 0.68 percentage points on impact.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105416"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144242390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of economic opportunity on criminal behavior: Evidence from the fracking boom","authors":"Brittany Street","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105402","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105402","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Theory suggests crime should decrease as economic opportunities increase the returns to legal activities. However, the current literature shows crime increases when areas experience fracking, a source of increased local economic opportunity. This paper reconciles this puzzle by separating out existing residents and isolating local economic effects from changing composition. Specifically, I exploit within- and across-county variation in fracking activities in North Dakota using individual-level data on incumbent residents, mineral lease records, and criminal charges. The results rule out increases in crime for these existing residents and suggest a modest decrease. These results are consistent with theory and in contrast to the observed aggregate increases in crime from fracking, highlighting the importance of compositional changes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105402"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144242524","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The employment effects of a means-tested guaranteed income policy","authors":"Timo Verlaat , Federico Todeschini , Xavier Ramos","doi":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105420","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jpubeco.2025.105420","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Through a randomized controlled trial, we study the labor market effects of a generous means-tested guaranteed income policy targeting low-income families in Barcelona. Two years into the program, beneficiaries are 22 % less likely to work compared to subjects assigned to a control group. A lower phase-out of transfers attenuates negative employment effects and reduces the government cost per euro of benefit by two-thirds. Participation elasticities for a family of four range from 0.39 to 0.49. Treatment effects persisted at least 6 months after the program ended. We find indications that effects are driven by subjects with care duties, suggesting substitution of labor for care tasks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48436,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Economics","volume":"248 ","pages":"Article 105420"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144242389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}