Chien-Yu Huang , Ching-Chong Lai , Pietro F. Peretto
{"title":"Public R&D, private R&D and growth: A Schumpeterian approach","authors":"Chien-Yu Huang , Ching-Chong Lai , Pietro F. Peretto","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107087","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107087","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper introduces public R&D in a tractable Schumpeterian model to study analytically the dynamic effects of changes in public R&D on private R&D, market structure, growth and welfare. While public and private R&D can move in opposite directions in the short run, they move in the same direction in the long run. The tension between the personnel-interaction and knowledge-base effects on one side, and the crowding-out effect on the other, drive these dynamics. The three effects jointly determine firm-level private R&D behavior and thus economic growth in the short run. However, net entry-exit sterilizes the crowding-out effect in the long run, leaving only the first two effects. This difference between short- and long-run behavior rationalizes some of the empirical puzzles documented in the literature. To evaluate quantitatively these analytical insights, we calibrate the model to the USA and feed to it a halving of public R&D that mimics the massive reduction that took place from 1964 to 2021. The economy experiences a long transition characterized by falling productivity of labor in private R&D driven by the falling ratio of public to private knowledge. In the new steady state the growth rate of income per capita falls from 2% to 1.44%. Accounting for the whole transition, welfare falls by about 14%.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107087"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144366076","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The right to benefit: Using videos to encourage citizen involvement in resource revenue management","authors":"Christa Brunnschweiler , Nanang Indra Kurniawan , Päivi Lujala , Primi Putri , Sabrina Scherzer , Indah Surya Wardhani","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107065","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107065","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The governance of natural resource wealth is a key factor in promoting strong institutions and economic development in resource-rich countries. In this article, we explore how individuals’ engagement in local natural resource revenue (NRR) management can be enhanced and encouraged. We focus on Indonesia, which is a large gold and petroleum producer, among other natural resources, with local challenges such as underdevelopment of resource-rich areas and corruption. We run a randomized survey experiment among 807 local community members in an oil-rich district using videos with three information treatments that give citizens salient and easily understandable information on local NRR and additional motivation to use this information to engage in NRR management. Our outcomes include survey questions on stated behavior and citizen rights perceptions and two behavioral measures. We find that providing information increases respondents’ sense of the right to personally influence how NRR are used and the propensity to donate to an anti-corruption NGO. Our positive-example treatment strengthened respondents’ sense of their right to benefit from NRR and their right to influence NRR management, while our negative-example treatment had no impact on our outcomes. The mechanism analysis shows that the information and positive-example treatments act through changing the salience of the issue; the negative-example treatment instead increases grievance without affecting our outcomes. We find that individuals who are already concerned about the local impacts of the extractives sector are most responsive to our interventions. Providing the population of resource-rich areas with clear and locally relevant information on NRR management can change attitudes, but encouraging action for better NRR governance is more challenging.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107065"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144366075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jonathan Benchimol , Lahcen Bounader , Mario Dotta
{"title":"Estimating Behavioral Inattention","authors":"Jonathan Benchimol , Lahcen Bounader , Mario Dotta","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107068","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107068","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Bounded rationality and limited attention significantly influence expectation formation and macroeconomic dynamics, yet empirical quantification of these behavioral phenomena remains challenging. This paper provides the first cross-country estimation of both micro- and macro-level attention parameters using a structurally identified behavioral New Keynesian model. Employing Bayesian techniques on harmonized data from 22 OECD countries (1996–2019) and ensuring robust parameter identification, we document substantial heterogeneity in behavioral inattention across countries. Our cognitive discounting estimates range from 0.76 to 0.98, with higher values indicating greater attention. We establish three key empirical regularities: (1) attention parameters are positively associated with macroeconomic volatility, supporting rational inattention theory; (2) surprise movements in key macroeconomic variables and online information-seeking behavior significantly influence attention allocation; and (3) institutional quality, particularly government effectiveness, is correlated with attention levels. These findings reveal that attention is both a behavioral and a structural phenomenon, responding to institutional factors and economic conditions. Our results provide an empirical foundation for calibrating country-specific models and yield important implications for the design and transmission of monetary policy under bounded rationality, showing that policy effectiveness may systematically vary with the macroeconomic environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107068"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144366074","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Trade-off aversion and indecisive behaviours","authors":"Edwin Ip, Stephen Nei","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107095","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107095","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Why do people suffer from choice overload but still prefer larger choice sets? We present a model of indecision where decision makers find making trade-offs psychologically painful. We show that aversion to making trade-offs leads to indecisive behaviours (choice avoidance and choice overload). However, not all trade-off averse decision makers succumb to indecisions. Decision makers who are aware of their trade-off aversion should anticipate indecisive behaviours and mitigate them accordingly by restricting their consideration set. Our results suggest that indecisive behaviours are not simply a problem of having indecisive preferences but also a problem of self-awareness.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107095"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144330187","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Gendered effects of labels on advanced course enrollment","authors":"Paola Ugalde A.","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107077","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107077","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates gender differences in how high school students react to standardized test performance labels regarding their advanced math and English enrollment decisions. Using a regression discontinuity design, I find that women labeled as not proficient in math are less likely to enroll in advanced math courses than their proficient-labeled peers. In English, the effect of labels on women’s enrollment decisions is smaller and nosier. While, on average, men enroll in advanced classes at a lower rate than women, men’s likelihood of enrollment is not impacted by the labels they receive, regardless of subject. These findings highlight unintended consequences of testing practices that affect human capital investment decisions differentially by gender, potentially contributing to the persistent underrepresentation of women in male-dominated fields.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107077"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144330186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Mental health and labour productivity","authors":"Nigel Rice , Jennifer Roberts , Cristina Sechel","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107075","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107075","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We present novel evidence of the effect of mental health on productivity using a direct measure of productivity from the COVID-19 modules of the UK Household Longitudinal Study. We employ spatial variation in COVID-19 deaths as an instrumental variable and supplement results by computing bounds by considering coefficient stability to observable factors to infer the influence of unobservables. Our findings reveal a substantive positive relationship between poor mental health and decreased productivity. Our estimates suggest productivity losses of around 54 min per week (on average) for individuals who report a decline in mental health.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107075"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144335664","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Anticipated monitoring, inhibited detection, and diminished deterrence","authors":"Matthew Philip Makofske","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107084","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107084","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Monitoring programs—by creating expected costs to regulatory violations—promote compliance through general deterrence, and are essential for regulating firms with potentially hazardous products and imperfectly observable compliance. Yet, evidence on how monitoring deployment affects perceived detection probabilities and—by extension—compliance, is sparse. Beginning in May 2020, pandemic-related protocols in Maricopa County, Arizona, required routine health inspections to occur by video-conference at food establishments with vulnerable populations (e.g., hospitals and nursing homes). Unlike conventional on-site inspections—which continued at most food establishments—these “virtual” inspections were scheduled in advance, and thus, easily anticipated. The virtual format also likely inhibits observation of some violations, further reducing detection probability. Tracking five violations that are detected by tests in both inspection formats, I find evidence of substantial anticipation-enabled detection avoidance. Comparing against contemporaneous on-site inspections, virtual inspections detect 53% fewer of these specific violations relative to pre-treatment levels, and that decrease reverses entirely when treated establishments are subsequently inspected on-site. Detected counts of all violations decrease 39% in virtual inspections. Consistent with general deterrence, this decrease is <em>more</em> than offset in establishments’ first post-treatment on-site inspections, where detected counts exceed the pre-treatment average by 25%. Deterrence-effect heterogeneity suggests a simple dynamic policy could improve overall compliance with existing agency resources.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107084"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144330185","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Efficiently imprecise contracts: The role of conventionality","authors":"Toru Suzuki","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107099","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107099","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Actual contracts are often imprecise. This paper presents a principal–agent model that incorporates writing costs and contractual interpretation to analyze contractual impreciseness. The model allows us to examine how the complexity of a good, along with the conventionality of a good, affects the contractual impreciseness in an efficient equilibrium. It is shown that complexity alone does not determine the degree of contractual impreciseness. If two goods are equally conventional, a more complex good results in a more imprecise contract due to the writing costs. However, a less complex good can have a more imprecise contract if it is sufficiently more conventional, as conventionality allows the principal to write a contract without specifying the details. It is also shown that if a good is sufficiently unconventional relative to its complexity, the principal internalizes production. This paper provides a foundation for incomplete contracts and offers explanations for empirical findings in the literature.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107099"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144314542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Product quality, institutional quality, and market globalization","authors":"Masatoshi Tsumagari","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107089","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107089","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper theoretically examines how market integration, especially globalization, affects average product quality and country welfare. Using a market model in which consumers do not observe product quality and institutions help eliminate inferior quality goods from markets, I show that the effect of market integration significantly depends on institutional quality. Globalization may have a negative effect on a country’s welfare when making progress without harmonized institutional development, and may also expand the size of government, thus increasing the cost of sustaining high institutional quality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107089"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144314541","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guanchun Liu , Hangjuan Liu , Jiaqi Wu , Linqing You
{"title":"Macroprudential assessment framework and firms’ access to bank credit: Evidence from China","authors":"Guanchun Liu , Hangjuan Liu , Jiaqi Wu , Linqing You","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107111","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107111","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how macroprudential policies for managing systematic risk affect bank lending to the real sector. Taking China’s macroprudential assessment (MPA) framework in 2015 as a quasi-natural experiment, our difference-in-differences identification utilizes two-dimensional variations: firms’ reliance on bank financing (i.e., high versus low) and year (i.e., before and after 2015). We find that the MPA framework significantly reduces firms’ access to bank credit, and a one standard deviation increase in firms’ bank dependence lowers the amount of available bank credit by 23.9%. In particular, corporate debt maturity becomes shorter as a result of decreasing long-term debt relative to short-term debt and constrained firms experience a stronger negative credit effect than unconstrained firms, which is consistent with the credit supply theory. Moreover, the decreased bank credit is more pronounced when firms face higher risk, rely more on small banks, and are located in cities with greater growth pressure. In addition, firms experience production shrinkage and bank risk-taking declines. We argue that the MPA framework curbs credit growth while helping to maintain financial stability, providing valuable insights into the economic effects of macroprudential policies in a typical emerging market.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"236 ","pages":"Article 107111"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144297121","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}