Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization最新文献

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Making a promise increases the moral cost of lying: Evidence from Norway and the United States 做出承诺会增加说谎的道德成本:来自挪威和美国的证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106995
Mathias Ekström , Kjetil Bjorvatn , Pablo Soto Mota , Hallgeir Sjåstad
{"title":"Making a promise increases the moral cost of lying: Evidence from Norway and the United States","authors":"Mathias Ekström ,&nbsp;Kjetil Bjorvatn ,&nbsp;Pablo Soto Mota ,&nbsp;Hallgeir Sjåstad","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106995","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106995","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>It is commonly observed that people make promises to commit future behavior to their moral ideals. But do promises work? In particular, can making a promise effectively promote honesty by increasing the moral cost of lying? We explored this research question in three high-powered experiments using representative samples from Norway and the United States (N=7,200). Based on a one-shot “mind game”, in which dishonesty is economically incentivized but impossible to detect at the individual level, we find that about 1/4 of participants are willing to lie for the chance of winning a bonus reward of $100. Crucially, dishonesty was significantly reduced, on average by 7 percentage points (25 percent), when participants were asked to make an inconsequential promise to report accurate information. This <em>promise effect</em> was equally strong in both Norway and the United States, and in different participant subgroups. However, promises reduced dishonesty only when the promise required active choice, suggesting that personal engagement increases the internal inconsistency that would arise from a subsequent lie. In contrast with predictions, an experimentally manipulated expression of trust did not impact honesty by itself or boost the effect of making a promise. Given recent debates about the replicability of dishonesty research in social science, the current work provides high-quality evidence of broad relevance, documenting a moderate but robust effect of promises on subsequent dishonesty. The promise effect is formalized in a simple model integrating cognitive dissonance theory from psychology with perspectives on moral decision-making from behavioral economics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106995"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143747214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Behavioral subgame perfect implementation 行为子游戏的完美执行
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106992
Makoto Hagiwara
{"title":"Behavioral subgame perfect implementation","authors":"Makoto Hagiwara","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106992","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106992","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine implementation problems in settings where individuals’ choice behavior may not be rational and sequential game forms are considered. First, we present an example in which a social choice rule that is not implementable in “behavioral” Nash equilibria (Proposition 6 in <span><span>de Clippel (2014)</span></span>) can be implemented in behavioral subgame perfect equilibria using a three-stage game form. Subsequently, we explore the use of sequential game forms in general implementation problems and provide a necessary condition and two sufficient conditions for implementability in behavioral subgame perfect equilibria.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106992"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143747215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shadow education, intra-household financial resource allocation, and educational achievements 影子教育、家庭内部财务资源配置与教育成就
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106993
Tanmoy Majilla
{"title":"Shadow education, intra-household financial resource allocation, and educational achievements","authors":"Tanmoy Majilla","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106993","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106993","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Studying intra-household allocation of financial resources is challenging as direct parental monetary expenditures on individual children is difficult to isolate from aggregate household expenditures. Due to such limitations, previous studies tend to examine parental allocation of resources indirectly from household expenditures or through other non-monetary investments. This article studies intra-household allocation of parental monetary expenditures on private supplementary tutoring or shadow education. I show a birth order disadvantage for later-born children in shadow education expenditures, and find evidence of disadvantages for girls in every birth order. These patterns are attributed to the preference for elder sons, which is common in India, and I subsequently test several features which stem from this preference. The analysis also shows that intra-household disparity in shadow education expenditures accounts for a substantial part of the gender gaps in cognitive test scores. The inequality contributions from the disparities in shadow education expenditures in test scores decrease as one moves down the birth order.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106993"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143738197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms 一阶和高阶通胀预期:关于家庭和企业的证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106988
Pascal Kieren , Christian König-Kersting , Robert Schmidt , Stefan Trautmann , Franziska Heinicke
{"title":"First-order and higher-order inflation expectations: Evidence about Households and Firms","authors":"Pascal Kieren ,&nbsp;Christian König-Kersting ,&nbsp;Robert Schmidt ,&nbsp;Stefan Trautmann ,&nbsp;Franziska Heinicke","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106988","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106988","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the relationship between first-order and higher-order inflation expectations. Using two novel survey modules of German households and firms, we establish several new insights on the relation between different orders of beliefs. While our results are remarkably consistent for households and firm managers, they exhibit relevant differences to previous results documented in the literature. Most importantly, our results show that uncertainty aggregates when individuals think about the beliefs of others relative to their own beliefs. We derive implications for calibrating noisy information models with infinite regress and discuss potential sources for differences in results documented in the literature and their theoretical implications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106988"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143724422","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Forecasts as repeated cheap talk from an expert of unknown statistical bias 预测不过是一个统计偏差未知的专家反复说的廉价话
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-03-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106955
Irene Valsecchi
{"title":"Forecasts as repeated cheap talk from an expert of unknown statistical bias","authors":"Irene Valsecchi","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106955","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106955","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>For two periods an expert <span><math><mi>E</mi></math></span> announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker <span><math><mi>D</mi></math></span>. <span><math><mi>E</mi></math></span> and <span><math><mi>D</mi></math></span> disagree about the precision of the probability assessments that <span><math><mi>E</mi></math></span> makes. At the end of period 1 the state is observed, and <span><math><mi>D</mi></math></span> updates his opinion about <span><math><mi>E</mi></math></span> as a forecaster. In period 2 <span><math><mi>E</mi></math></span> tends to make announcements more extreme than his forecasts. Despite no upper bound to the cardinality of the final equilibrium partition, full revelation is never realized. In period 1 <span><math><mi>E</mi></math></span> takes into account that his report affects his reputation. This consideration can mitigate <span><math><mi>E</mi></math></span>’s incentive to exaggerate. However, full revelation is impossible and the equilibria are partitional.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106955"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143724421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ultimatum game: Regret or fairness? 最后通牒游戏:后悔还是公平?
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106969
L.H. Aleksanyan , A.E. Allahverdyan , V.G. Bardakhchyan
{"title":"Ultimatum game: Regret or fairness?","authors":"L.H. Aleksanyan ,&nbsp;A.E. Allahverdyan ,&nbsp;V.G. Bardakhchyan","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106969","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106969","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the ultimatum game, the challenge is to explain why responders reject non-zero offers thereby defying classical rationality. Fairness and related concepts have been among the main explanations so far. Here, the ultimatum game is reformulated based on probabilistic lotteries, enabling modern decision-making tools to be applied to this problem. We explain the rejection behavior via the following principle: if the responder regrets less about losing the offer than the proposer regrets not offering a better option, the offer is rejected. This principle qualifies as a rational conflict behavior. Similar concepts were applied in the economy of wars. The principle replaces the experimentally falsified classical rationality (the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium) that leads to accepting any non-zero offer. It is implemented via the transitive regret theory for probabilistic lotteries. The expected utility implementation is a limiting case of this. We show that several experimental results normally prescribed to fairness and intent-recognition can be given an alternative explanation; e.g. the comparison between “fair” and “superfair”, the behavior under raising the stakes, the influence of the initial wealth, <em>etc</em>. Hence we also propose experiments that can distinguish these two scenarios (fairness versus regret). They assume different utilities for the proposer and responder. We focus on the mini-ultimatum version of the game and also show how it can emerge from a more general setup.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106969"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143714891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Risk aversion and the punishment paradox in a crime game 犯罪博弈中的风险规避与惩罚悖论
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106985
Rabah Amir , Arup Bose , Debashis Pal , Iryna Topolyan
{"title":"Risk aversion and the punishment paradox in a crime game","authors":"Rabah Amir ,&nbsp;Arup Bose ,&nbsp;Debashis Pal ,&nbsp;Iryna Topolyan","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106985","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106985","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study a simple game-theoretic model of criminal decision making as a coordination game between potential criminals, assuming that the expected punishment is perceived as lower than the gains from crime, for behavioral reasons. With three Nash equilibria (two in pure and one in mixed strategies), we invoke Pareto and risk dominance criteria to discuss equilibrium selection. The (completely-mixed) minmax strategies of the corresponding zero-sum game coincide with the unique mixed strategy Nash equilibrium of the original game. We show that, at the unique symmetric mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, the probability of committing a crime is positively related to the severity of punishment and negatively related to the reward from criminal activity and to the size of the population of potential criminals. We also analyze the effect of risk aversion on criminality and find that higher risk aversion increases the propensity for crime.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106985"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143705322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Competitiveness at the intersection of gender and sexual orientation 性别和性取向交叉的竞争
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106987
Billur Aksoy, Ian Chadd
{"title":"Competitiveness at the intersection of gender and sexual orientation","authors":"Billur Aksoy,&nbsp;Ian Chadd","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106987","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106987","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the relationship between sexual orientation, gender, and competitiveness in the United States using an online experiment. We document a novel sexual minority gap in willingness to compete, wherein gay and lesbian individuals compete less than their heterosexual counterparts. Furthermore, we find that the well-documented gender gap in competitiveness does not depend on sexual orientation: both lesbian and heterosexual women compete less than their male counterparts. Differences in competitiveness are mostly explained by differences in self-confidence, with the exception of the gender gap between lesbian and gay participants. Additionally, we study the consequences of inferring sexual orientation through associated indicators. We find that inference based on sexual attraction produces estimates similar to our main analysis based on identity; inference using sexual experience does not. Our findings highlight how the increased availability of self-reported identity data can provide new economic insights into these historically understudied populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106987"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143705321","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Depression and Risky Health Behaviors 抑郁和危险的健康行为
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106983
Alex Xingbang Weng
{"title":"Depression and Risky Health Behaviors","authors":"Alex Xingbang Weng","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106983","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106983","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Risky health behaviors are a major source of preventable deaths in the world. I estimate the effect of depression on risky health behaviors at different stages of the life course. To tackle unobservable confounders and reverse causality, I exploit variations in friend and family suicide attempts and a genetic score for depression as instrumental variables. I find that one standard deviation increase in depression leads to a 4% higher probability of having unprotected sex and a 16% higher probability of smoking cigarettes. Depression could promote individuals’ risky health behaviors through altering their risk preferences, noncognitive skills, and perceived social support.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106983"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143697143","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Less but better? The influence of gender on political activity 少而精?性别对政治活动的影响
IF 2.3 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2025-03-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106980
Nicolas Frémeaux , Paul Maarek
{"title":"Less but better? The influence of gender on political activity","authors":"Nicolas Frémeaux ,&nbsp;Paul Maarek","doi":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106980","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jebo.2025.106980","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this article, we study gender differences in the activity and effectiveness of French parliamentarians between 1993 and 2022. Using fixed-effect regressions, we find that women author less bills than men but there are no significant differences for other outcomes such as amendments or oral questions. The gender gap for bills is observed only for newcomers and fades after the first half of the term, suggesting a difference in attitudes rather than a selection effect. Conversely, women are substantially more effective: each term, 46 amendments authored by women pass, whereas 33 of the men’s amendments pass. This is mostly due to the use and quality of their amendments, with men being more prone to obstructive behaviors for instance. On the other hand, women in the opposition party are less slightly likely to have their bills passed than men in the opposition party. This is linked to discrimination within the party, which less often selects bills drafted by women to submit them to a vote. All these results are robust when using RDD strategies based on close elections. Overall, gender quotas have positive effects on parliamentary work as effectiveness is crucial in policy making. It is however essential to create an environment favorable to the inclusion of women.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48409,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization","volume":"233 ","pages":"Article 106980"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143696732","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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