Applied Geography最新文献

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Spatial network characteristics of carbon balance in urban agglomerations– a case study in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city agglomeration 城市群碳平衡的空间网络特征--京津冀城市群案例研究
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103343
{"title":"Spatial network characteristics of carbon balance in urban agglomerations– a case study in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei city agglomeration","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103343","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103343","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The cities within city clusters have strong trade connections, resulting in spatial heterogeneity and correlation of carbon balances. Previous studies have not deeply explored the characteristics of the spatial association network (SAN) of carbon balance in urban agglomerations, particularly regarding network structure, node effects, and spatial-temporal inhomogeneities. This study investigated the spatial network characteristics of carbon balance in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region from 2000 to 2019, employing a modified gravity model and social network analysis (SNA). The findings revealed the following: 1) Carbon emissions increased by 106.42%, and carbon sinks increased by 31.06%, displaying spatial-temporal heterogeneity and forming a multi-level, multi-nodal SAN of carbon balance centered around Beijing. 2) The carbon balance was mainly influenced by spatial spillovers occurring at different nodes, typically moving from lower-tier to higher-tier nodes. 3) Cities assumed four roles: bidirectional spillover, net spillover, primary beneficiary, and agent, with these roles being dynamic. 4) The spatial correlation of carbon balance was primarily influenced by economic development (max 0.602), spatial distance (max 0.331), and per capita ecological land (max 0.445). This approach would refine carbon management policies and deepen the understanding of the SAN and its influencing factors, providing insights for optimizing carbon emission reduction management.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141630648","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Troubled waters at the frontier: Mapping forest-dependent people's access to surface water in the Dry Chaco 边疆的麻烦水域:绘制干查科地区依靠森林为生的人们获取地表水的地图
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103342
Patrice Soraya Matthews , Matthias Baumann , Christian Levers , Tobias Kuemmerle , Yann le Polain de Waroux
{"title":"Troubled waters at the frontier: Mapping forest-dependent people's access to surface water in the Dry Chaco","authors":"Patrice Soraya Matthews ,&nbsp;Matthias Baumann ,&nbsp;Christian Levers ,&nbsp;Tobias Kuemmerle ,&nbsp;Yann le Polain de Waroux","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103342","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103342","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141607694","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Divergent multiple actor-driven path creation and spatial evolution of emerging digital economy industry in Guangzhou City, China 中国广州市新兴数字经济产业的多元驱动路径创造与空间演化
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103341
Tianlan Fu, Kaihuai Liao, Jialiang Chen, Yunnan Cai
{"title":"Divergent multiple actor-driven path creation and spatial evolution of emerging digital economy industry in Guangzhou City, China","authors":"Tianlan Fu,&nbsp;Kaihuai Liao,&nbsp;Jialiang Chen,&nbsp;Yunnan Cai","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103341","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103341","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>While evolutionary economy geographers have paid increasing attention to the new industrial path creation in emerging economies, less has been done to compare the path creation between core and peripheral areas at the sub-regional level in the Global South. By taking the digital economy industry in Guangzhou City as a case, this study reveals that given the different initial conditions, innovative entrepreneurship, institutional entrepreneurship and place-based leadership have paid distinct and dynamic roles in different specific contexts and phases. In the well-developed core district (Tianhe) gathered universities and research institutes, innovative entrepreneurs have acted as initial drivers for the development of the digital economy industry at the early path creation phase, while institutional entrepreneurs also provided support to enhance the industrial agglomeration in the following periods. In the late-developing peripheral district (Huangpu) with the lack of innovative resources, institutional entrepreneurship and place-based leadership are crucial to nurturing the new digital industry in the early phase, while conducive industrial assets and innovative entrepreneurs are also needed to cultivate the development of new industries in the future. Therefore, a longitude and multi-actor approach is needed to understand regional industrial path creation in different geographical contexts.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606663","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exploring factors influencing the agglomeration of implicit consumption space: A comparison with explicit consumption space 探索影响隐性消费空间聚集的因素:与显性消费空间的比较
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103340
Luhan Jia , Xiliu He , Shijie Sun
{"title":"Exploring factors influencing the agglomeration of implicit consumption space: A comparison with explicit consumption space","authors":"Luhan Jia ,&nbsp;Xiliu He ,&nbsp;Shijie Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103340","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103340","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The implicit development of consumption space in buildings relying on the O2O business mode is a new form of urban renewal under experience economy and e-commerce. The concept of implicit consumption space emerged as a result. There is a lack of research on implicit consumption space and this study aims to fill this gap. Using POI data and spatial analysis methods, the paper studies the clustering characteristics and influencing factors of the explicit and implicit consumption space in the Old City of Nanjing to provide practical implications for urban renewal, and finds that the implicit consumption space grows fast and has strong clustering, and its layout basically follows the traditional commercial location theory. Commercial districts, office buildings and traffic accessibility are the common influencing factors for the distribution of explicit and implicit consumption spaces. Explicit and implicit consumption space influence each other in layout, while implicit consumption space has a stronger dependence on explicit consumption space. The influencing factors for the agglomeration of explicit and implicit consumption space have spatial variations. The implicit consumption space is an important path for the bottom-up renewal of the old city, and also provides an opportunity for urban function optimization, innovation, and entrepreneurship.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141593303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The thresholds of forest-to-grassland ratios can be critical for harmonizing ecosystem service relationships spatiotemporally in dryland regions 森林与草地比率的阈值对于协调干旱地区生态系统服务的时空关系至关重要
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103334
Ying Luo , Yihe Lü , Xingjian Guo , Yuanxin Liu , Liwei Zhang , Ting Li
{"title":"The thresholds of forest-to-grassland ratios can be critical for harmonizing ecosystem service relationships spatiotemporally in dryland regions","authors":"Ying Luo ,&nbsp;Yihe Lü ,&nbsp;Xingjian Guo ,&nbsp;Yuanxin Liu ,&nbsp;Liwei Zhang ,&nbsp;Ting Li","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103334","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103334","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With extensive ecological restoration combating land degradation, known negative effects have caused these measures to shift from widespread vegetation planting to detailed structural reengineering. The specific type and quantity of ecological land have thus become the core issue of future ecological restoration to provide more ecological functions and resist land degradation. This requires adequate landscape structure analysis to identify appropriate patterns for harmonizing multiple ecosystem services (ESs). Identifying how the forest-to-grassland ratio (FGrat) affects ES correlation (EScor) can thus assist in such detailed ecological restoration in dryland regions. During landscape planning, the scale effect is also a problem that must be considered. In this paper, the changes in the trade-offs or synergies of three critical ESs (i.e., soil retention (SR), water yield (WY), and carbon sequestration (CS)) were compared and analyzed at three scales (grid, township and county) during 2000–2020 on the Loess Plateau (LP), which is a typical dryland region. Then, the responses of the EScors to time and the FGrat were analyzed via threshold identification in the different eco-regions. The results show that the direction and change trend of most EScors in different eco-regions were similar at each spatial scale over the past 20 years. Decreased synergy and increased trade-offs can be seen in the EScors of SR-WY and SR-CS in most regions. With the growth of vegetation and natural recovery, the EScors in plain area (PA) and earth-rocky mountainous area (EM) changed from having different trends to being similar to those in other eco-regions, which indicates that natural restoration gradually harmonizes vegetation coverage and naturally regulates the EScors. This highlights the importance of ecological restoration measures that should be based on natural situations. Moreover, the turning points of EScors between SR and WY mostly occurred around 2005 and were affected by artificial ecological restoration. The turning points of the EScors related to CS mainly occurred after 2010 and was also affected by vegetation growth and natural restoration. Spatially, most EScors were synergistic and strengthened as the scale increases, and most of the thresholds response to FGrat identified revealed no significant scale effects, which is significant and conducive to cross-scale research on the planning and management of ecological restoration in drylands. We also identified different FGrat thresholds in six eco-regions with different landscape structures and local environments. When the FGrat thresholds do not change significantly with scale, such as in the response of SR-CS or WY-CS to the FGrats, ecological restoration should mainly consider regional differences rather than scale. This study improves our understanding of how interactions between ESs depend on spatial scales and can inform decision-makers about how to control the FGrat to improve the reliabil","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141582938","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Beyond distance: Measuring spatial accessibility to healthy food for older adults in Hong Kong using a 3D least-effort method 超越距离:利用三维最小努力法测量香港老年人获得健康食品的空间可达性
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103336
Ka Yiu Ng , Andy Hong , Christopher D. Higgins , Michael J. Widener , Keumseok Koh
{"title":"Beyond distance: Measuring spatial accessibility to healthy food for older adults in Hong Kong using a 3D least-effort method","authors":"Ka Yiu Ng ,&nbsp;Andy Hong ,&nbsp;Christopher D. Higgins ,&nbsp;Michael J. Widener ,&nbsp;Keumseok Koh","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103336","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103336","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>An age-inclusive built environment is essential for promoting an accessible food landscape for the elderly population. However, previous research has focused on least-distance/time travel metrics in a 2D environment, potentially overlooking travelers' physical constraints and underestimating actual walking distances. In contrast, this study employs advanced geocomputational methods that leverage 3D building models, 3D pedestrian networks, and elevation data to appraise the fine-scale spatial accessibility to healthy food in Hong Kong. Guided by the principles of least effort, our findings suggest that 95% of older adults can access healthy food within 913.3m due to Hong Kong's compact and transit-oriented built environment. However, nearly half (47%) of older adults may encounter difficult pedestrian paths even with the least-effort route. Subsequently, the Aggregated Accessibility Index (AAI) is devised to identify communities that require improvement in promoting active living for older people. Site visits were also conducted to validate the AAI and present real-world situations to better articulate the mobility challenges imposed on older adults. Our study underscores the instrumental role of advanced spatial data computation in shaping age-friendly communities that prioritize and enhance spatial accessibility to healthy food, advocating for nuanced urban planning approaches that address the diverse needs of aging populations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0143622824001413/pdfft?md5=88858bae91f9ab465e4918d9c68b2fa7&pid=1-s2.0-S0143622824001413-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141582936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The thermal environmental effects of changes in urban green space: A mesoscale modelling perspective 城市绿地变化的热环境效应:中尺度建模视角
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103338
Xiangwen Deng , Qian Cao , Lunche Wang , Wei Wang , Haiting Li , Shuai Wang
{"title":"The thermal environmental effects of changes in urban green space: A mesoscale modelling perspective","authors":"Xiangwen Deng ,&nbsp;Qian Cao ,&nbsp;Lunche Wang ,&nbsp;Wei Wang ,&nbsp;Haiting Li ,&nbsp;Shuai Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103338","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103338","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Green space is an important adaptation strategy against urban thermal environmental change. However, the impact of the spatiotemporal changes in green space on urban mesoscale meteorology and human thermal comfort has been understudied. Here, we incorporated gridded urban green fraction (GF) corresponding to 2016 and 2020 in central Wuhan into the Weather Research and Forecasting model to investigate the thermal environmental effects of changes in GF. Results show that a 10% increase in GF produced a nighttime cooling of 0.167 °C and a daytime cooling of 0.075 °C. Meanwhile, it increased atmospheric moisture content by 0.131 g/kg in the daytime and 0.042 g/kg at night. Consequently, the nighttime heat index (HI) was reduced by 0.258 °C but the daytime HI was raised by 0.056 °C. Addition of GF induced a greater magnitude of change in 2-m air temperature and the HI when the GF in a grid cell exceeded 0.6. The reduction in ground heat flux due to the conversion of urban fraction to green fraction, in conjunction with the weak turbulence, contributed to the greater magnitude of cooling in the nighttime than in the daytime. To enhance green space connectivity should be an effective pathway to thermal adaptation in high-density built environments like Wuhan.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141582937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investigating urban mobility through multi-source public transportation data: A multiplex network perspective 通过多源公共交通数据调查城市流动性:多重网络视角
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103337
Zhitao Li , Jinjun Tang , Tao Feng , Biao Liu , Junqiang Cao , Tianjian Yu , Yifeng Ji
{"title":"Investigating urban mobility through multi-source public transportation data: A multiplex network perspective","authors":"Zhitao Li ,&nbsp;Jinjun Tang ,&nbsp;Tao Feng ,&nbsp;Biao Liu ,&nbsp;Junqiang Cao ,&nbsp;Tianjian Yu ,&nbsp;Yifeng Ji","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103337","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103337","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The integration of multi-source and diverse spatio-temporal travel data provides a comprehensive insight into urban mobility. Using data from Shenzhen's public transportation system, this study presents an analytical framework based on multiplex networks to examine variations in multi-mode public transportation usage (metro, bus, taxi, and shared bike) and their correlation with the built environment. This framework encompasses the analysis of network topological characteristics, centrality, and communities. The examination of network topological characteristics reveals that the multiplex transportation network exhibits high global accessibility and local connectivity. Network centrality analysis, focusing on weighted outdegree centrality, captures the patterns of public transportation ridership. Centrality modeling, employing the light gradient boosting machine, demonstrates a nonlinear relationship between ridership and the built environment. Factors including population density, residential land use percentage, entertainment service density, restaurant density, and metro station density consistently exhibit positive correlations with ridership across different times of the day. The community structure analysis, using consensus community detection, indicates that distinct urban areas exhibit clustering behavior based on public transportation demand patterns, forming distinct communities that closely align with the functional zoning of urban planning. These findings could provide valuable insights for the strategic planning of transportation services and the built environment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141540428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Resist or retreat? Beach erosion and the climate crisis in Italy: Scenarios, impacts and challenges 抵抗还是撤退?意大利的海滩侵蚀与气候危机:情景、影响和挑战
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103335
Filippo Celata, Eleonora Gioia
{"title":"Resist or retreat? Beach erosion and the climate crisis in Italy: Scenarios, impacts and challenges","authors":"Filippo Celata,&nbsp;Eleonora Gioia","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103335","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103335","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The ongoing erosion of beaches due to anthropic pressure, together with the effects of sea level rise are expected to have devastating effects on sandy coastlines. This paper identifies the Italian beaches under threat and their regional distribution, examining the implications for beach-dependent activities and coastal management, based on the integration of various projections and datasets. As a result, by the year 2050 erosion is expected to affect 70% of Italian beaches. One-fifth of the current beaches' surface is likely to be almost completely submerged by 2050 and 45% by the end of the century, with the regions of Sardinia, Campania, Lazio, and Apulia likely to lose more than half of their equipped beaches. Although beaches naturally tend to migrate landward when subjected to erosion, and such shift can be favoured by managed retreat measures, these solutions are severely limited by the increasing urbanisation of back beaches. Adaptation in Italy is almost exclusively based on coastal protections, which exacerbate overall erosion and undermine beaches’ natural resilience. A transformative and nature-based rethinking of the coastal management regime is needed to avoid the artificialization of a huge portion of the sandy coastline and increasing threats to coastal settlements and economies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0143622824001401/pdfft?md5=5859a20dfed313953501a145ebe1624d&pid=1-s2.0-S0143622824001401-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141540427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Incorporating spatial autocorrelation in dasymetric mapping: A hierarchical Poisson spatial disaggregation regression model 将空间自相关性纳入数据测绘:分层泊松空间分类回归模型
IF 4 2区 地球科学
Applied Geography Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103333
Bowen He , Jonathan M. Gilligan , Janey V. Camp
{"title":"Incorporating spatial autocorrelation in dasymetric mapping: A hierarchical Poisson spatial disaggregation regression model","authors":"Bowen He ,&nbsp;Jonathan M. Gilligan ,&nbsp;Janey V. Camp","doi":"10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103333","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103333","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The growing demand for spatially detailed population products in various fields continues to rise, as users shift their focus from aggregated areal totals to high-resolution grid estimates. Aggregating demographic data to areas, such as census tracts or block groups, can mask localized heterogeneities within those areas. This paper presents a new pycnophylactic (density-preserving) geospatial model for disaggregating population to high-resolution grids. We describe a Bayesian Hierarchical Poisson Spatial Disaggregation Regression Model (HPSDRM), which incorporates land cover covariates and two levels of spatial autocorrelation. We evaluated the model's predictive ability first with simulation studies, and then by disaggregating census population data for Davidson County, TN, from the census tract-level to a fine grid and comparing predicted to actual block-level population counts. The interpolated population map successfully identified spatial heterogeneities, such as hot- and cold-spots within census tracts. The HPDSRM model out-performed three other types of disaggregation modeling, which suggests the value of incorporating spatial autocorrelation. Based upon this study, HPSDRM has potential for disaggregating other demographic data, such as socioeconomic indicators.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48396,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geography","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0143622824001383/pdfft?md5=7726c12db5ac2b0ad35619cd72cca84e&pid=1-s2.0-S0143622824001383-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141540426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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