{"title":"Firm entry, endogenous wage moderation, and labor market dynamics","authors":"Andrea Colciago , Stefano Fasani , Lorenza Rossi","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104939","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104939","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Profit-seeking is a key driver of new business creation, which, in turn, significantly influences unemployment dynamics. This paper uses US data to estimate the joint responses of firm entry, profits, unemployment, hours worked, and other aggregates to commonly studied supply shocks. Our analysis finds a positive correlation between firm entry, profits, and total hours worked, alongside a negative correlation with the unemployment rate. We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model that captures these dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104939"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143156999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Doing business far from home: Multinational firms and labor market outcomes in Saudi Arabia","authors":"Alessandra L. González , Xianglong Kong","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104944","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104944","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the labor market outcomes at foreign firms in a host country with deep-seated cultural norms that differ substantially from their home country norms. Using employer–employee matched data of the private sector in Saudi Arabia, we find that foreign firms hire a smaller share of women but offer them disproportionately higher wages than domestic firms, suggesting that wage differentials alone do not fully explain worker share differences. To account for these findings, we develop a model incorporating both productivity and amenities to quantify their roles in determining labor market outcomes. Through the lens of our model, women experience disproportionately lower amenities at foreign firms relative to men, such that women sorting away from foreign firms is primarily driven by amenities rather than productivity. Finally, among foreign firms, workers at foreign firms from culturally similar countries to the host country experience greater amenities but lower wage premiums. Our results demonstrate amenities are quantitatively important in understanding the labor market outcomes of foreign firms in a setting where home and host country cultural norms depart.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104944"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143100337","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Key Class in Networks","authors":"Nizar Allouch , Jayeeta Bhattacharya","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104950","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104950","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines optimal targeting of multiple network players from a new perspective, focusing on classes of players holding similar network positions – and thus fulfilling similar network roles – as captured by the graph theoretic notion of equitable partition. Unlike existing centrality measures, we show that analysing the network game with local payoff complementarities under symmetry brings out new insights about the relative influence of classes of similarly positioned network players on the Nash equilibrium activity. Our analysis introduces two novel class-based centrality measures with broad theoretical and empirical applicability that geometrically characterise the key class whose removal results in the maximal reduction of aggregate and per-capita network activity, respectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104950"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143100342","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Temptation-driven preferences: A resolution to New Keynesian anomalies","authors":"Marco Airaudo","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104932","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104932","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>For empirically plausible calibrations, the New Keynesian model delivers several anomalous results: positive correlation between inflation and nominal rates, higher output volatility with more flexible prices, low government spending multipliers, and unreasonably large responses at the zero-lower-bound, . The introduction of behavioral consumers characterized by Gul–Pesendorfer’s temptation-with-self-control preferences – a well-documented feature of experimental/field evidence on individual choices under risk and over time – resolves the anomalies while retaining the elegance and analytical tractability of the baseline 3-equation framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104932"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143100318","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Faster bank runs","authors":"Oz Shy","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104915","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104915","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Bank depositors now have access to instant (real-time) money transfer and payment services. Therefore, in events such as bank runs, depositors are able to drain their bank account faster than ever before. In addition, the increased use of social media accelerates the spread of bank run information. This article analyzes the policy implications of “faster” bank runs on (i) the optimal delay in bailing out a bank, and consequently (ii) the optimal liquidity reserve requirement. The first one is an ex-post policy decision (after the run begins) whereas the second one is an ex-ante long-term decision.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104915"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143100387","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"House prices, endogenous productivity, and the effects of government spending shocks","authors":"Rasmus Bisgaard Larsen , Søren Hove Ravn , Emiliano Santoro","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104937","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104937","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We present aggregate and regional evidence showing that U.S. house prices increase persistently in response to positive shocks to fiscal spending. In sharp contrast to this, house prices decline in conventional dynamic general equilibrium models, where shocks that have short-lived effects on the shadow value of housing inevitably generate negative comovement between households’ marginal utility of consumption and house prices (see Barsky et al., 2007). In response to an increase in government spending, the negative wealth effect exerted by the simultaneous increase in the present-value tax burden increases the marginal utility of consumption. Even overcoming the consumption crowding-out puzzle is not sufficient to resolve this shortcoming. To tackle this problem, we extend an otherwise standard model embedding a lender-borrower relationship with alternative – yet, potentially complementary – propagation channels that leverage the expansion in total factor productivity stemming from a positive shock to fiscal spending, so as to contrast the negative wealth effect of higher taxes. This class of models succeeds in generating a persistent expansion in house prices, although the propagation required to match the data is stronger – in some cases significantly so – than what is typically found in the literature. The positive interplay between house prices and productivity finds support in both aggregate and regional data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104937"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143157000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sveva Vitellozzi , Francesco Cecchi , Chiara Rapallini
{"title":"The invisible family load and the gender earnings gap in Kenya","authors":"Sveva Vitellozzi , Francesco Cecchi , Chiara Rapallini","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104934","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104934","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the effect of the family load – the invisible cognitive and emotional burden of household management and childcare – on the gender earnings gap. We focus on two main components of this gap: labor productivity and job selection. We conduct an experiment in Nairobi randomly triggering family load-related thoughts and then assigning participants to perform manual or cognitive tasks. The family load reduces productivity for women on average. This effect is entirely driven by performance in the manual task, with no impact on the cognitively demanding one, but with no discernible productivity changes for men. Negative income effects for women persist in a subsequent session in which participants are given the choice of which task to perform. Yet, we find that it is treated men who change job preferences towards less remunerated but less cognitively challenging ones. We interpret this as evidence of a gender-differentiated effect of the family load, weighing substantially more on women in terms of productivity and income. Men, however, are far from immune to it: often the main income earners in a household, they respond by seeking safer income sources.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104934"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143100317","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Motivated political reasoning: On the emergence of belief-value constellations","authors":"Kai Barron , Anna Becker , Steffen Huck","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104929","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104929","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the relationship between moral values (“ought” statements) and factual beliefs (“is” statements). We show that thinking about values affects the beliefs people hold. This effect is mediated by prior political leanings, thereby contributing to the polarization of factual beliefs. We document these findings in a pre-registered online experiment with a nationally representative sample of over 1,800 individuals in the US. We also show that participants do not distort their beliefs in response to financial incentives to do so, suggesting that deep values exert a stronger motivational force than financial incentives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104929"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143100336","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does the child penalty strike twice?","authors":"Mette Gørtz , Sarah Sander , Almudena Sevilla","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104942","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104942","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper compares the labor market trajectories of grandparents before and after the arrival of their first grandchild. We find gender gaps in earnings of 4 and 10 percent five and ten years, respectively, after the first grandchild. These effects are driven by changes in women’s labor supply at both the intensive and extensive margin. We provide evidence from multiple data sources that grandmothers’ caregiving complements formal daycare, thereby offering essential flexibility for young parents. We document that grandchild penalties were larger in earlier periods characterized by low availability of daycare, shorter parental leave, and an earlier retirement age. Linking register data to geographical variations in daycare centers reveals that local daycare coverage is not associated with grandchild penalties. Detailed time use data show that grandmothers carry larger responsibilities for childcare than grandfathers. Recognizing the complementary nature of grandmaternal childcare is important for the design of policies attempting to reduce child penalties for both mothers and grandmothers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 104942"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143156997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Boris Chafwehé , Andrea Colciago , Romanos Priftis
{"title":"Reallocation, productivity, and monetary policy in an energy crisis","authors":"Boris Chafwehé , Andrea Colciago , Romanos Priftis","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104963","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104963","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents a New Keynesian multi-sector model incorporating firm heterogeneity, entry-exit dynamics, and energy production from both fossil fuels and renewables. We investigate the effects of a sustained increase in fossil fuel prices on sectoral size, labor productivity, and inflation. A rise in fossil fuel prices leads to higher energy costs. Due to ex-ante heterogeneity in energy intensity, sectoral profitability is impacted asymmetrically. As production costs rise, new entrants must have higher idiosyncratic productivity to remain profitable, boosting average labor productivity but reducing firm entry and the number of active firms in each sector. When the price effects of the shock are persistent, a central bank with a strong anti-inflationary stance can mitigate the resulting inflation by curbing wage costs. This policy entails higher output costs and a milder response in average productivity, but enables a faster recovery in business dynamism. Our results thus reveal a novel trade-off for monetary policy between stabilizing aggregate activity and business dynamism.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 104963"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}