人工智能创新与欧洲地区的劳动份额

IF 2.8 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

European Economic Review Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105043

Antonio Minniti , Klaus Prettner , Francesco Venturini

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了人工智能（AI）的发展如何影响资本和劳动力之间的收入分配，以及这些变化如何导致区域收入不平等。为了研究这个问题，我们分析了2000年以来欧洲地区的数据。我们发现，区域人工智能创新每增加一倍，劳动收入占比就会下降0.5%至1.6%，这可能会使其从平均52%的水平下降0.09至0.31个百分点，而这仅仅是因为人工智能。这项新技术对中高技能工人的负面影响尤其明显，主要是通过工资压缩，而对低技能工人来说，人工智能引发的就业扩张略微抵消了相关的工资下降。人工智能的影响不是由影响欧洲区域发展的其他因素或人工智能市场的集中度驱动的。

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AI innovation and the labor share in European regions

This paper examines how the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) affects the distribution of income between capital and labor, and how these shifts contribute to regional income inequality. To investigate this issue, we analyze data from European regions dating back to 2000. We find that for every doubling of regional AI innovation, the labor share declines by 0.5% to 1.6%, potentially reducing it by 0.09 to 0.31 percentage points from an average of 52%, solely due to AI. This new technology has a particularly negative impact on high- and medium-skill workers, primarily through wage compression, while for low-skill workers, employment expansion induced by AI mildly offsets the associated wage decline. The effect of AI is not driven by other factors influencing regional development in Europe or by the concentration of the AI market.

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来源期刊

European Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

4.70

自引率

3.60%

发文量

170

期刊介绍： The European Economic Review (EER) started publishing in 1969 as the first research journal specifically aiming to contribute to the development and application of economics as a science in Europe. As a broad-based professional and international journal, the EER welcomes submissions of applied and theoretical research papers in all fields of economics. The aim of the EER is to contribute to the development of the science of economics and its applications, as well as to improve communication between academic researchers, teachers and policy makers across the European continent and beyond.