ERASMO GIAMBONA, RAFAEL MATTA, JOSE-LUIS PEYDRO, YE WANG
{"title":"Quantitative Easing, Investment, and Safe Assets: The Corporate Bond–Lending Channel","authors":"ERASMO GIAMBONA, RAFAEL MATTA, JOSE-LUIS PEYDRO, YE WANG","doi":"10.1111/jmcb.13272","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13272","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We show that Quantitative Easing (QE) stimulates investment via a corporate bond–lending channel. Fed's large-scale purchases of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and treasuries create a vacuum of safe assets, prompting safer firms to invest by issuing relatively “safe” bonds. Using microdata around different QE rounds, our robust results suggest that QE increases the investment of firms with bond market access. The effect is larger for safer firms. This growth is financed with senior bonds, without higher shareholders' payouts. Results hold excluding the financial crisis period. The findings support a stylized model where lower supply of treasuries reduces “safe” corporate bond yields, stimulating investment.</p>","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 2","pages":"329-364"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147563628","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fiscal Policy, Government Ideology, and Economic Activity: Evidence from OECD Countries","authors":"RAPHAELLE G. COULOMBE","doi":"10.1111/jmcb.13162","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jmcb.13162","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study explores the role played by a country's political environment in the origin and effect of government spending. Using a rich data set that contains time-varying ideological party positions, I show that both government ideology and the timing of elections are key determinants of government spending shocks and Granger-cause government spending shocks estimated from traditional structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models that ignore political considerations. I find that the magnitude of the spending multiplier depends on the political context: highly polarized countries have smaller multipliers relative to countries with a low degree of polarization, and established democracies have smaller multipliers than younger democracies.</p>","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 2","pages":"591-617"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140997619","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Expectations for Gasoline Prices and Inflation: Evidence from Households","authors":"CONSTANTIN BÜRGI, PRACHI SRIVASTAVA, KARL WHELAN","doi":"10.1111/jmcb.13260","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13260","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Gasoline prices are highly salient to consumers and, for this reason, they may have an outsized influence on their thinking about inflation. We examine how people's expectations about gasoline prices influence their expectations for overall inflation. We find little evidence from two U.S. household surveys that people overreact to their beliefs about expected gasoline prices when formulating their expectations about overall inflation.</p>","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 2","pages":"619-630"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jmcb.13260","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147564948","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exchange Rates and Prices in the Netherlands and Britain over the Past Four Centuries","authors":"JAMES R. LOTHIAN, JOHN DEVEREUX","doi":"10.1111/jmcb.13213","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jmcb.13213","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The paper studies the long-term stability of the purchasing-power-parity (PPP) relation using data for the Netherlands and Great Britain (earlier the Dutch Republic and England) from 1590 until 2020. We begin by investigating the behavior of the real exchange rate in rate-of-growth form finding strong evidence supporting long-run relative PPP. Turning to price levels, we find evidence of mean-reverting behavior over the whole period with one long-lived shift in mean between 1788 and 1931. The myriad other factors that varied over this long period that might have affected the stability of the PPP relation do not appear to have mattered.</p>","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 2","pages":"449-469"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142207893","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Measuring the Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policies on the U.S. Banking and Bond Markets at the Lower Bound","authors":"PETER SPENCER","doi":"10.1111/jmcb.13201","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jmcb.13201","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The effects of credit and monetary policy shocks are analyzed using a shadow rate model of the Eurodollar (ED) and Treasury bond markets. This model uses three factors common to both markets and two spread factors that capture the term structure of the rate differential. The results show that the policy initiatives that followed the Lehman default in 2008 were much more effective in restraining risk premiums in banking markets than in the Treasury market and that, besides the shadow policy rate, the shadow ED rate is a useful indicator of the effect of default risk on the economy.</p>","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 2","pages":"533-562"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142207891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Effects of an Aging Population on the Structure of Bank Assets and Liabilities","authors":"PANAGIOTIS AVRAMIDIS, GEORGE G. PENNACCHI","doi":"10.1111/jmcb.70020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.70020","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Consistent with a lifecycle model and localized deposit issuance and lending, this paper finds that banks operating in local areas with older populations issue less wholesale funding and more retail deposits that are paid relatively low interest rates, particularly at longer maturities. Despite these banks’ deposit rates being lower and slower to adjust, their deposits are less likely to be withdrawn when market interest rates rise. Moreover, these banks’ assets are composed of more securities and fewer loans, particularly business and residential loans. They also choose securities and loans with relatively long maturities, significantly raising their asset–liability maturity gap.</p>","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"57 8","pages":"2211-2251"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-11-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145779466","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"","authors":"","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 4","pages":"1233-1249"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148091631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"","authors":"","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 4","pages":"1233-1249"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148094405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"","authors":"","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 4","pages":"937-967"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148083376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"","authors":"","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48328,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Money Credit and Banking","volume":"58 4","pages":"937-967"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148083377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}