European Journal of Political Research最新文献_第8页

Stability and change in political trust: Evidence and implications from six panel studies 政治信任的稳定性和变化：来自六项小组研究的证据和启示

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-06-18 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12606

DANIEL DEVINE, VIKTOR ORRI VALGARÐSSON

{"title":"Stability and change in political trust: Evidence and implications from six panel studies","authors":"DANIEL DEVINE, VIKTOR ORRI VALGARÐSSON","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12606","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12606","url":null,"abstract":"Are political attitudes a stable feature of individuals or a rational response to changing circumstances and contexts? This question has long been a feature of political science and underpins our theories of how political attitudes are formed and what their consequences might be. In this paper, we explore this perennial question with a focus on the case of political trust, a fundamental indicator of democratic legitimacy and a long-standing topic of debate. Theoretically, we devise a framework that highlights how different theories of political trust assume different levels of stability or volatility and the implications that this has for those theories and their normative consequences. Empirically, we study within-individual stability of political trust using six panel studies that cover five countries between 1965 and 2020. Our results consistently point to trust being stable in the long term, with potential for short-term volatility in response to changing political contexts, and for substantial changes between people's formative years and their adulthood. Even over a period of 19 years, most people's responses to trust questions are remarkably similar between surveys and significant life events such as unemployment and going to University do not significantly influence trust. Changes in the political environment, like incumbent government turnover, have larger effects but these appear to return to equilibrium in a few years. The exception to this general finding is individuals who are first surveyed when they are under the age of 18, who appear much more likely to change their trust levels in subsequent waves. Overall, our results complement previous research on attitude stability, indicating that trust is approximately as stable as other attitudes, such as towards immigration and redistribution. These findings have fundamental implications for our understanding of the nature of political trust and attitude formation more broadly.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 2","pages":"478-497"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12606","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49378859","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

International threats and support for European security and defence integration: Evidence from 25 countries 国际威胁和对欧洲安全和防务一体化的支持：来自25个国家的证据

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-06-17 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12605

MATTHIAS MADER, KONSTANTIN GAVRAS, STEPHANIE C. HOFMANN, JASON REIFLER, HARALD SCHOEN, CATARINA THOMSON

{"title":"International threats and support for European security and defence integration: Evidence from 25 countries","authors":"MATTHIAS MADER, KONSTANTIN GAVRAS, STEPHANIE C. HOFMANN, JASON REIFLER, HARALD SCHOEN, CATARINA THOMSON","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12605","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12605","url":null,"abstract":"When member states of the European Union face serious international threats, does this serve as a catalyst or obstacle for European integration in the security and defence domain? To gain purchase on this question, this paper examines public opinion from a common instrument fielded in 24 EU member states (and the United Kingdom) with a total sample size of more than 40,000 respondents. We argue that theoretical accounts of perceived threat produce rival hypotheses. Threats might have either uniform or differential effects on different groups of citizens and could lead to either convergence or divergence of public opinion. We show that perceptions of foreign threats are associated with more favourable views on integration in the security and defence domain. Importantly, this association is as strong among Eurosceptics as among Europhiles. The findings presented here are consistent with the view that functional pressures may temporarily convince Eurosceptics to accept integration in the foreign and security domain.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 2","pages":"433-454"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12605","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46587426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The electoral risks of austerity 财政紧缩带来的选举风险

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-06-13 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12604

COSTIN CIOBANU

{"title":"The electoral risks of austerity","authors":"COSTIN CIOBANU","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12604","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12604","url":null,"abstract":"Does austerity influence incumbent support? Existing studies struggle with conceptualizing the evolution of austerity's impact over time, estimating a causal effect, and analysing the reactions of different voters. This study theorizes that the effect of austerity on electoral preferences is not immediate, but gradual, as voters find out about the measures' consequences via the media. It leverages a survey in the field at the time of the austerity announcement in Romania in 2010, additional survey data collected immediately after this event and comprehensive daily media coverage to show that austerity measures do not have an immediate impact on incumbent support, anticipated turnout and expressing a vote preference. Instead, there is a gradual effect that is associated with increased media attention to budgetary cuts. This natural experiment allows the estimation of the immediate causal effect of austerity on electoral intentions. Difference-in-differences (DID) models show that the announcement triggered a massive loss of support for the incumbent among those who had voted for the party in power only a few months before. Austerity also led to the demobilization of the governing party's supporters. There is no evidence that those most directly affected by the spending cuts are more likely to punish the incumbent party.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 1","pages":"348-369"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12604","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41921857","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Subjective losers of globalization 全球化的主观输家

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12603

NILS D. STEINER, MATTHIAS MADER, HARALD SCHOEN

{"title":"Subjective losers of globalization","authors":"NILS D. STEINER, MATTHIAS MADER, HARALD SCHOEN","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12603","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12603","url":null,"abstract":"Recent political changes in established democracies have led to a new cleavage, often described as a juxtaposition of ‘winners’ and ‘losers of globalization’. Despite a growing interest in subjective group membership and identity, previous research has not studied whether individuals actually categorize themselves as globalization winners or losers and what effect this has. Based on survey data from Germany, we report evidence of a division between self-categorized globalization winners and losers that is partially but not completely rooted in social structure and associated with attitudes towards globalization-related issues and party choices. We thereby confirm many of the assumptions from prior research – such as that (self-categorized) losers of globalization tend to hold lower levels of education and lean towards the radical right. At the same time, the self-categorizations are not merely transmission belts of socio-structural effects but seem to be politically consequential in their own right. We conclude that the categories of globalization winners and losers have the potential to form part of the identity component of the globalization cleavage and are important for understanding how political entrepreneurs appeal to voters on their side of the new divide.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 1","pages":"326-347"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12603","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46599023","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Mainstream parties and global warming: What determines parties’ engagement in climate protection? 主流政党与全球变暖:是什么决定了政党参与气候保护?

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-05-28 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12602

JAKOB SCHWÖRER

{"title":"Mainstream parties and global warming: What determines parties’ engagement in climate protection?","authors":"JAKOB SCHWÖRER","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12602","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12602","url":null,"abstract":"Global warming is not only a serious threat for humanity but increasingly structures political competition in Western Europe. The rise of green (niche) parties and public awareness of the issue pressure mainstream parties to emphasise climate protection. Yet, while scholars reflect on the factors influencing mainstream parties’ environmental agendas, we know little about what triggers climate standpoints and about the role public opinion plays in this process. This study measures the salience of climate protection in 292 election manifestos of mainstream parties in 10 Western European countries since the 1990s and estimates the impact of different factors on their climate agenda using OLS regressions. The findings suggest that green parties are not the driving factor, and that it is the public salience of environmental issues and pressure from the Fridays for Future movement influencing mainstream parties’ agendas. Accordingly, mainstream parties seem to be responsive to public opinion pressure adopting climate protection stances. The study further proposes a different measure of niche party success than that used in previous studies.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 1","pages":"303-325"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12602","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47564000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The implications of cohabitation between working age children and parents for political opinions 工作年龄子女与父母同居对政治观点的影响

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12601

ALEXANDRA JABBOUR

{"title":"The implications of cohabitation between working age children and parents for political opinions","authors":"ALEXANDRA JABBOUR","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12601","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12601","url":null,"abstract":"A large number of young adults still live with their parents because they have difficulties entering the job market, because of low wages, or the cost of housing. Despite much research in social science on the consequences of this salient social trend, we lack an understanding of its implications for public opinion. This research note fills this gap by investigating whether such living arrangements between working age children and their parents is correlated with household members' political stances. Specifically, I expect that the anxiety induced by seeing their children having difficulties to become independent will lead parents to hold more negatives political stances, while the same outcome is expected from working age children who failed to fly the nest compared to their independent peers. Using data from the European Social Survey in 32 countries covering the period between 2002 and 2016, I show that, for both parents and young adults, cohabitation is associated with negative evaluations of the national economy and of the government's performance. Studies that do not take into account the situation of other household members might miss an important part of the opinion formation puzzle.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 1","pages":"395-406"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12601","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"62802819","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

International oversight of fiscal discipline 对财政纪律的国际监督

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12600

FABIO FRANCHINO

引用次数: 0

Party-interest group ties: The resource exchange model revisited 政党-利益集团关系:资源交换模型的重新审视

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-05-10 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12595

ELIN HAUGSGJERD ALLERN, VIBEKE WØIEN HANSEN, DAVID MARSHALL, SIMON OTJES

{"title":"Party-interest group ties: The resource exchange model revisited","authors":"ELIN HAUGSGJERD ALLERN, VIBEKE WØIEN HANSEN, DAVID MARSHALL, SIMON OTJES","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12595","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12595","url":null,"abstract":"We examine the existence and strength of organizational ties between parties and interest groups by innovating on classic resource exchange theory. First, we propose that the nature of interest groups’ policy orientation and their general organizational capacity primarily explain the presence of ties, that is, ties are less likely to materialize when groups lack ideological policy goals and have limited organizational capacity. Second, the size and types of resources on offer from both sides are what principally account for the strength of existing ties. We hypothesize that resources from both parties and interest groups are positively associated with institutionalized relationships, but also that resources are hierarchically ordered, that is, resources that are exclusive for the transaction are particularly important for ties at higher levels of institutionalization. Using data from a novel organizational survey of parties and interest groups in seven Western democracies, we find support for the hypotheses using an integrated design of analysis.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 1","pages":"89-110"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12595","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48475520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The image of the digital world and the perception of digitalization policy in the public consciousness of Russians 数字世界的形象和数字化政策在俄罗斯公众意识中的感知

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-1-76-90

M. Vinogradov, E. Dzhibilova, N. Popov, G. Sultanova, E. Fidrya

{"title":"The image of the digital world and the perception of digitalization policy in the public consciousness of Russians","authors":"M. Vinogradov, E. Dzhibilova, N. Popov, G. Sultanova, E. Fidrya","doi":"10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-1-76-90","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-1-76-90","url":null,"abstract":"The modern world is rapidly transforming due to the development of digital technologies. As a result of digitalization, social relations in society are undergoing changes, the habitual way of life of a large part of the population is changing, which affects their perception of new technologies. In the Russian literature, there is a whole layer of research aimed at studying the attitude of the country's population to the processes of digitalization, at studying the factors of positive and negative attitudes towards technology. This study is devoted to the study of images of the digital world in the mass consciousness of the population, to identify public expectations and fears associated with the development and implementation of digital technologies in society, as well as the attitude of citizens to the state policy on digitalization of various spheres. As part of the project, 6 focus groups were held online with residents of three regions of Russia - Moscow, Irkutsk, Volgograd in different age categories. As the study showed, the digital world is poorly conceptualized in the public mind of the respondents. Respondents' perceptions of digital technologies are superficial and differ in different age groups. The respondents’ lack of a reflective view of digital technologies is also reflected in their assessments of the positive and negative aspects of digitalization. In general, in the worldview of respondents, digital technologies, first of all, are tools for improving the convenience and comfort of life. The actions of the authorities to transfer many public services and services online are evaluated mainly positively. However, the threat of total control of the population (by the state or large corporations) is the main fear associated with the digitalization process.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"100 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80598747","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

More than Conservatism: Historical and Political Foundations of Russian Statehood 超越保守主义:俄罗斯国家地位的历史与政治基础

IF 5.3 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-1-27-37

A. Polosin

{"title":"More than Conservatism: Historical and Political Foundations of Russian Statehood","authors":"A. Polosin","doi":"10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-1-27-37","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.12737/2587-6295-2023-7-1-27-37","url":null,"abstract":"The paper is dedicated to the problem of updating existing ideas about the historical and political foundations of Russian statehood. The main goal of the paper is to update the existing academic discourse, aimed at complex and systematic reflection of Russian political thought, and the presentation of an unorthodox reading of the intellectual and philosophical foundation of Russian politics. Regardless contemporary focus on conservative political philosophy is the most common for such studies, the author believes it is necessary to go beyond this position and turn to a more systematic and comprehensive understanding of the key positions of the Russian worldview. For this, it is necessary to turn to the underestimated, sometimes even ignored concepts of communitarianism, solidarism and Russian cosmism, which should be revealed within the framework of a civilizational approach. The main conclusion of the work is that, considered as a developing system, these concepts embody the value constants of community, sobornost’ (catholicity), harmony and solidarity that are significant for Russian civilization, and also emphasize the global rootedness of the Russian worldview with simultaneous original understanding and interpreting the ideological guidelines of the leading trends in social political thought. The author believes it is extremely important to take into account these circumstances dealing with current public opinion and the process of reforming the scientific and educational sector that has begun in Russia. It also emphasizes the need to optimize methodological work during the study of political thought - through the awareness of the indoctrination of contemporary social sciences and their conceptual apparatus, clear understanding the natural dynamics of civilizational development and the impossibility of dogmatically reducing multiform and multinational cultures to a simplified formal doctrine.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73746831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0