IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539

Lisa A. Pace , Carmen Bruno , Jan Oliver Schwarz

{"title":"Personas in scenario building: Integrating human-centred design methods in foresight","authors":"Lisa A. Pace , Carmen Bruno , Jan Oliver Schwarz","doi":"10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.futures.2025.103539","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper contributes to integrating human-centred design approaches in foresight. We emphasize design thinking as an approach that incorporates user-centred concepts and artefacts, enabling the creation and visualization of potential futures and mediating the exploration of new perspectives and areas of intervention for innovation. However, there is limited discussion in the foresight literature on the meaningful application of design approaches. We focus on the persona method and its roles and applications in scenario building. To be meaningful in scenario building, personas need to appropriately integrate users’ future needs, expectations and behaviours that shape and in turn are shaped by contexts that are yet to be realised. Based on an analysis of published case studies, the paper underscores the role of personas in fostering creative imagination, enhancing scenario engagement, and prospective sensemaking beyond their application as a storytelling vehicle in scenarios. We link persona characteristics and design to their roles in scenario building, allowing design and foresight practitioners the flexibility to tailor the persona approach to different contexts and critically assess the underlying limitations. From this, we provide recommendations for incorporating personas in scenario building and conclude with suggestions for future research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48239,"journal":{"name":"Futures","volume":"166 ","pages":"Article 103539"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143153139","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The human-AI dyad: Navigating the new frontier of entrepreneurial discourse 人类与人工智能的对立：引领创业话语的新前沿

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103529

Faith Jeremiah

{"title":"The human-AI dyad: Navigating the new frontier of entrepreneurial discourse","authors":"Faith Jeremiah","doi":"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103529","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103529","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid progression of Artificial Intelligence (AI) is further solidifying the importance of redefining entrepreneurship and reshaping how ventures and innovations are conceived, developed, and managed. This paper investigates how AI is transforming entrepreneurship by reshaping traditional business paradigms and entrepreneurs’ roles. It examines AI's influence on entrepreneurial decision-making, innovation, and identity. Through a comprehensive literature review and thematic analysis of previously published data, the research identifies emergent themes in AI's integration into entrepreneurial discourse. The findings indicate that AI enhances operational efficiency and decision-making but challenges traditional notions of entrepreneurial identity and creativity. Furthermore, entrepreneurs increasingly depend on AI for data-driven insights, strategic foresight, and personalised customer interactions, reshaping business strategies and competitive landscapes. This article emphasises the importance of AI literacy and adaptive strategies for entrepreneurs to leverage the human-AI dyad effectively while maintaining values and ethics. It also highlights the significance of concentrating research efforts on entrepreneurs as they are the very cohort to shape new norms and pioneer new business models and innovations. Future research should explore AI's long-term impacts on entrepreneurial ecosystems, including psychological, ethical, and socio-cultural dimensions, with comparative studies across industries and regions providing further insights.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48239,"journal":{"name":"Futures","volume":"166 ","pages":"Article 103529"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143153698","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Cognitive mechanisms in foresight: A bridge between psychology and futures studies 前瞻的认知机制：心理学与未来研究之间的桥梁

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2025.103547

Angela Faiella, Giovanni Emanuele Corazza

引用次数: 0

Studying long-term storage as material visions of the future 研究长期储存作为未来的物质愿景

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103521

Valérie November , Catharina Landström

引用次数: 0

Ethical approaches for engaging extended peer communities: Insight into responsible workshopping with citizens 参与扩展同伴社区的伦理方法：洞察与公民负责任的工作

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2025.103546

Jessica L. Fuller , Maiken Bjørkan , Lisbeth Iversen , Johanna M. Aarflot , Dorothy J. Dankel

{"title":"Ethical approaches for engaging extended peer communities: Insight into responsible workshopping with citizens","authors":"Jessica L. Fuller , Maiken Bjørkan , Lisbeth Iversen , Johanna M. Aarflot , Dorothy J. Dankel","doi":"10.1016/j.futures.2025.103546","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.futures.2025.103546","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The United Nation’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) represent the most ambitious and encompassing global framework for ecological, economic, and social sustainability for our planet to date. However, the relevance of the global goals to local actions remains elusive and opaque, which presents a real risk that society will be unable to adapt to growing environmental risks, such as climate change. Thus emerges the need for a responsible and ethical SDG localization process. We use a normative approach to engage a local extended peer community, which took the form of an interactive, day-long workshop. This paper describes how the T.R.U.S.T ethos of post-normal science is used to co-design and implement the workshop, which is then reviewed as a heuristic inquiry using the Three Spheres of Transformation framework for sustainability. The result of this workshop is a realization of the extended peer community that the interconnectedness of personal values, community values, and the SDGs can set a more coherent path for local collaboration across sectors. As such, this mode of using the T.R.U.S.T ethos of PNS and Three Spheres of Transformation frameworks in the SDG localization process represents an ethical approach in post-normal science.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48239,"journal":{"name":"Futures","volume":"166 ","pages":"Article 103546"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143153772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The ethics of climate generosity and the “Median Commons”: An experimental future within complexity 气候慷慨的伦理与“中间公地”：复杂性中的实验性未来

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103516

Jonathan Paul Marshall

引用次数: 0

What futures for the Apennines? The anthropo-systemic value of mountainous inner areas 亚平宁的未来如何？山地腹地的人类系统价值

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103536

Gabriele Morettini , Fabiano Compagnucci

引用次数: 0

Island archaeology provides ecological and behavioral analogs for off-planet exploration and colonization 岛屿考古学为地外探索和殖民提供了生态学和行为学上的类比

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2025.103544

Thomas P. Leppard , Scott M. Fitzpatrick

引用次数: 0

Building sustainable futures through soft institutional interventions in the climate change context: An intergenerational experiment 气候变化背景下通过软制度干预建设可持续未来：代际实验

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103531

Vittorio Guida, Klaudijo Klaser, Luigi Mittone

{"title":"Building sustainable futures through soft institutional interventions in the climate change context: An intergenerational experiment","authors":"Vittorio Guida, Klaudijo Klaser, Luigi Mittone","doi":"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103531","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103531","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Nowadays we are all aware of the deep and long-lasting negative impacts of climate change. However, our existence is inherently dominated by our present circumstances, which affect our ability to preserve environmental resources – essential to leave unaltered the opportunities of future generations. Therefore, there is a tension, and decisions considered optimal for us today may not be consistent with sustainability between generations. We investigate this context of intergenerational tension across three experimental manipulations that aim to represent just as many different narratives of the future. The data collected from 180 participants show that it is hard to achieve collective sustainable outcomes by means of mere individual actions with no support of institutional actors. Consistently with previous findings, our study contributes to the literature by offering interesting policy implications on how institutionalized agencies appointed to provide advisory intergenerational guidance can act as catalysts among economic agents (e.g., individuals, but also firms and organizations), helping to overcome short-termism and generate more sustainable futures. However, in contrast with previous experimental studies, we find support that institutional enforcement is not an indispensable feature for these agencies to achieve intergenerational sustainability. Instead, institutionalized agencies can effectively promote sustainable futures based on a soft intergenerational advice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48239,"journal":{"name":"Futures","volume":"166 ","pages":"Article 103531"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143153133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Framing artistic practices through new materialism to ensure multispecies futuring in the built environment 通过新唯物主义构建艺术实践，确保建筑环境的多物种未来

IF 3 3区管理学

Futures Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2024.103532

Olivia T. Harre , Lea Holst Laursen , Hans Jørgen Andersen , Rike Neuhoff , Luca Simeone

{"title":"Framing artistic practices through new materialism to ensure multispecies futuring in the built environment","authors":"Olivia T. Harre , Lea Holst Laursen , Hans Jørgen Andersen , Rike Neuhoff , Luca Simeone","doi":"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103532","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103532","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the potential of applying new materialism as a frame for artistic practices to ensure multispecies perspectives in futuring initiatives. We present a case study examining artistic practices that unfolded adjacent to a construction site of an urban transformation project in Greater Copenhagen, where new residential homes are being built. As a counter-reaction to the continuous construction of new buildings without paying attention to the plurality inherent in places, our case explores how participatory, artistic, experiential, and creative formats can challenge our collective imaginations of the present and future. A growing number of researchers advocate for challenging the human-centered approaches employed in futuring and extending participation towards multispecies agency. New materialism is a theoretical and philosophical direction that foregrounds the need to consider the materiality of our world and how we, as humans, might account for our relations with nonhuman entities. By applying new materialism to artistic practices, we investigate if such practices can support multispecies futuring in the built environment. We conclude that artistic practices can 1) activate and direct attention towards the unusual in the built environment and 2) offer techniques for immersion and for shifting perspectives through anthropomorphism.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48239,"journal":{"name":"Futures","volume":"166 ","pages":"Article 103532"},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143153700","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

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