International Review of Financial Analysis最新文献

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Limited efficiency of G-SIB capital regulation in curbing brown lending G-SIB资本监管抑制棕色贷款的效率有限
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104320
Henry Penikas
{"title":"Limited efficiency of G-SIB capital regulation in curbing brown lending","authors":"Henry Penikas","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104320","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104320","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The natural reaction of banks when increasing the buffer for the capital adequacy ratio seems to be the contraction of lending, as well as vice versa, i.e., buffer reduction should result in more lending. We wish the effects to be equivalent for the green and brown lending. However, we possess granular data for brown lending only. Still, we are able to discover novel findings with respect to brown lending interplay with the capital regulation of global banks. Disregarding the overall trends for the brown lending contraction within the set of global banks since 2019, we reveal that the global banks are more prone to react to capital regulation easing, rather than to its tightening. This means that G-SIB capital buffer rise does not contribute to the brown lending contraction all else being equal, while its reduction finds response in more brown lending. According to our estimate, G-SIB capital buffer reduction since the regulation introduction resulted in extra brown loans in total equal up to 20% of the brown loan book as of end-2022. Though green loans could have spurred to the same pace, all we can to quantitatively prove is the definite impact for the brown lending. It implies that decision-making within one area of Central Bank policies - namely, banking regulation - can have an unintended consequence within the environmental domain same time. In other words, when the regulator thinks that a global bank has become less systemically important and deserves a smaller G-SIB capital buffer, by such an action the regulator deteriorates the path towards meeting the climate-friendly objectives. On the opposite, requiring global banks to be more prudent results in them being greener. The only side-effect in such a case is the potential proliferation of shadow brown banking in parallel.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104320"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144321551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
LGBTQ-friendly employee policies and corporate innovation 对lgbtq友好的员工政策和企业创新
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104414
Veda Fatmy , Jukka Sihvonen , Sami Vähämaa
{"title":"LGBTQ-friendly employee policies and corporate innovation","authors":"Veda Fatmy ,&nbsp;Jukka Sihvonen ,&nbsp;Sami Vähämaa","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104414","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104414","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the association between LGBTQ-friendly employee policies and corporate innovation. Using data on large U.S. firms, we document that LGBTQ friendliness has a positive influence on innovation intensity and quality. Specifically, our results demonstrate that LGBTQ-friendly firms produce more patents, have more patent citations, and are associated with higher innovation quality as measured by patent originality, generality, and internationality. Furthermore, our empirical findings indicate that LGBTQ friendliness is positively associated with the firm-level concentration of innovative talent. Overall, our results are consistent with the view that diversity management policies may lead to competitive advantages for the firm.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104414"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144337625","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Language structure and corporate financing: The role of future time reference 语言结构与企业融资:对未来的时间参考作用
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104392
Michael Machokoto , Tesfaye T. Lemma , Marvelous Kadzima
{"title":"Language structure and corporate financing: The role of future time reference","authors":"Michael Machokoto ,&nbsp;Tesfaye T. Lemma ,&nbsp;Marvelous Kadzima","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104392","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104392","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates how linguistic structures, specifically the strength of future time reference (<span>FTR</span>) in languages, affect corporate financing decisions. Using a panel of firms from 48 countries over the period 1981—2019, we show that firms in <span>strong-FTR</span> language environments are more likely to rely on debt financing and tend to issue debt with longer maturities than those in <span>weak-FTR</span> countries. These results are robust to a range of controls and falsification tests. We further demonstrate that <span>FTR-strength</span> moderates firms’ financing responses to major institutional and macroeconomic shifts, including the Global Financial Crisis, the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), and mandatory corporate board reforms. Finally, we find that <span>FTR-strength</span> influences the relationship between financing choices and firm value. Overall, our findings position <span>FTR-strength</span> as a salient distinct informal institutional factor that shapes corporate financial behavior beyond traditional economic and legal determinants.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104392"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144329878","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Forecasting climate-sensitive industries' volatility: A regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS approach with multiple climate risk indicators 预测气候敏感行业的波动性:基于多气候风险指标的GARCH-MIDAS方法
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104412
Maria Ghani , Quande Qin
{"title":"Forecasting climate-sensitive industries' volatility: A regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS approach with multiple climate risk indicators","authors":"Maria Ghani ,&nbsp;Quande Qin","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104412","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104412","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the predictive power of multiple climate-related indicators in forecasting volatility across climate-sensitive industries using a regime-switching generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity mixed-data sampling (GARCH–MIDAS) model. We examine environmental, social, and governance (ESG) metrics, climate policy uncertainty (CPU), the Transition Risk Index (TRI), the Physical Risk Index (PRI), and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) to predict stock return volatility. Our analysis covers major indices including renewable energy, transportation, mining, aggregate energy, and the green economy across Asia, Europe, and the United States. Empirically, out-of-sample results reveal that the ESG and CPU indices are superior predictors of volatility for renewable energy, clean energy, and green economy indices, particularly in Asian and U.S. markets. PRI and EPU indicators demonstrate significant predictive power for volatility in the energy, mining, and transportation sectors. Incorporating uncertainty factors into the Markov regime-switching GARCH–MIDAS framework substantially improves forecast accuracy, as supported by both economic and statistical metrics. These improvements are validated through R<sup>2</sup> direction of change and model confidence set tests. The findings carry important implications for climate policy development and implementation, offering critical insights for policymakers, investors, and industry stakeholders navigating the complexities of climate-sensitive sectors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104412"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144329880","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Examining high-frequency patterns in Robinhood users’ trading behavior 检查罗宾汉用户交易行为的高频模式
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104369
David Ardia , Clément Aymard , Tolga Cenesizoglu
{"title":"Examining high-frequency patterns in Robinhood users’ trading behavior","authors":"David Ardia ,&nbsp;Clément Aymard ,&nbsp;Tolga Cenesizoglu","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104369","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104369","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using intraday (hourly) and overnight changes in the number of Robinhood (RH) investors holding a stock, we examine their high-frequency trading behaviors in response to contemporaneous and lagged returns. RH investors do not react to <em>contemporaneous</em> returns. However, they respond to <em>lagged</em> intraday or overnight returns, exhibiting three high-frequency behaviors: (i) the number of RH investors increases more for stocks with <em>extreme</em> lagged returns than for those with <em>moderate</em> returns, suggesting attention-driven buying; (ii) this reaction is asymmetric, with larger increases in the number of RH users following extreme <em>negative</em> returns compared to extreme <em>positive</em> returns, suggesting that their contrarian buying is stronger than their momentum buying; (iii) this asymmetry is strongest immediately after extreme returns and dissipates over time. Compared to findings from daily data, our analysis shows that daily data underestimates this asymmetry. Further analyses reveal greater attention to overnight movements, exacerbated behaviors during COVID-19, and variation across firm sizes, with more contrarian buying for larger-cap firms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104369"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144304960","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Climate risks and financial stability: Evidence on the effectiveness of climate-related financial policies 气候风险与金融稳定:气候相关金融政策有效性的证据
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104304
Paola D’Orazio
{"title":"Climate risks and financial stability: Evidence on the effectiveness of climate-related financial policies","authors":"Paola D’Orazio","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104304","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104304","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the impact of climate-related risks on financial stability, focusing on the role of climate-related financial policies. Using a panel dataset of 88 countries from 2000 to 2020, the study examines how physical and transition risks, proxied by CO<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> emissions, climate vulnerability indices, and the Global Climate Risk Index, affect key financial stability indicators, including the Bank Z-score, non-performing loans (NPL) ratio, and liquidity ratio. By incorporating the Climate-Related Financial Policy Index (CRFPI), the analysis contributes to the literature by quantifying the effectiveness of climate-related financial policies in mitigating financial risks. The findings reveal that climate risks increase financial instability. However, countries with stronger climate-related financial policies exhibit greater financial resilience, particularly through lower NPL ratios and improved liquidity conditions. Overall, the results suggest that while CRFPI mitigates financial instability, its impact on solvency risk is less pronounced. Moreover, the effectiveness of these policies shows diminishing returns at higher levels of regulatory intensity. These findings underscore the importance of integrating climate considerations into financial regulatory frameworks while ensuring a balanced approach to policy design.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104304"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144280821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of NYSE American’s latency delay on informed trading 纽约证券交易所美国分公司延迟交易对知情交易的影响
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104366
Jeremy Morris , Ke Xu
{"title":"The effect of NYSE American’s latency delay on informed trading","authors":"Jeremy Morris ,&nbsp;Ke Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104366","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104366","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Informed high-frequency traders pose a major risk to liquidity providers in financial markets due to adverse selection, which can result in market failure. To mitigate this risk, some exchanges have implemented speed bumps which delay trades. Using trade and quote (TAQ) data of 50 stocks on the NYSE American and the NASDAQ from May 2017 to August 2017, we identify the impact of a trading delay of 350 microseconds on the probability of informed trading using difference-in-differences estimation. We find a statistically significant decline in the probability of informed trading due to the implementation of the speed bump on the NYSE American stock exchange.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104366"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144298282","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Risk spillover effects of climate uncertainty on commodity markets: From the dual perspective of physical risk and transition risk 气候不确定性对商品市场的风险溢出效应:基于实物风险和转型风险的双重视角
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104390
Haiqin Ouyang , Xiaoyong Huang , Bo Yu
{"title":"Risk spillover effects of climate uncertainty on commodity markets: From the dual perspective of physical risk and transition risk","authors":"Haiqin Ouyang ,&nbsp;Xiaoyong Huang ,&nbsp;Bo Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104390","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104390","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The issue of climate change is deeply intertwined with human activity and has a significant impact on human existence. To examine the spillover effects of climate change and climate policy on China's commodity market, this study adopts a dual-model approach, combining the time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model and the dynamic conditional correlation generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (DCC-GARCH) framework for empirical analysis. Impulse response graphs and dynamic conditional correlation coefficients, we analyze the spillover intensity of climate uncertainty and climate policy on the commodity market from both aggregate and pairwise perspectives via a spillover index. We find that the risk spillovers from climate uncertainty (CU) and climate policy uncertainty (CPU) to commodity markets are dynamic and time-varying, and three distinct peaks in climate uncertainty risk spillovers are identified during 2010–2012, 2016–2018, and 2021–2022. Compared with other industries, the energy and nonferrous sectors are more significantly affected by both physical and transition risks. Based on the TVP-VAR framework, physical climate risks are found to have a stronger spillover effect on China's commodity market. From the perspective of the CU index, the impact on the commodity market is generally negative, whereas the impact of the CPU index is generally positive. While, according to the DCC-GARCH framework, CPU dominates risk spillover, indicating that transition risks are substantially greater than physical risks. The CU index remains relatively stable and positively correlated with various industries, whereas the CPU index shows no such correlation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104390"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307680","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Supply chain finance and enterprise dual innovation: The perspective of breakthrough and incremental innovation 供应链金融与企业双重创新:突破与增量创新的视角
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104415
Yonghong Ma, Enjia Zhu
{"title":"Supply chain finance and enterprise dual innovation: The perspective of breakthrough and incremental innovation","authors":"Yonghong Ma,&nbsp;Enjia Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104415","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104415","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of supply chain finance (SCF) on enterprise innovation in China by developing a comprehensive SCF index and applying negative binomial regression to a dataset of Chinese listed firms spanning from 2010 to 2023. The findings indicate that higher levels of SCF significantly enhance innovation, with a particularly strong effect on incremental innovation compared to breakthrough innovation. The positive association between SCF and innovation is more prominent among state-owned enterprises, high-tech firms, and heavily polluting industries. Furthermore, the study reveals that enterprises with stronger environmental, social, and governance (ESG) competitive advantages experience a greater positive effect of SCF on innovation, especially incremental innovation. Notably, heightened investor attention amplifies the positive influence of SCF on incremental innovation but diminishes its effect on breakthrough innovation. This research advances the literature on supply chain finance and corporate innovation by investigating the moderating roles of ESG and investor attention, while also emphasizing variations in innovation outcomes based on ownership and industry characteristics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104415"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144271158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Financial distress likelihood of European SMEs in times of economic policy uncertainty: The role of family ownership and performance aspirations 经济政策不确定时期欧洲中小企业财务困境的可能性:家族所有权和绩效愿望的作用
IF 7.5 1区 经济学
International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104418
Fadi Hawach , Ignacio Requejo
{"title":"Financial distress likelihood of European SMEs in times of economic policy uncertainty: The role of family ownership and performance aspirations","authors":"Fadi Hawach ,&nbsp;Ignacio Requejo","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104418","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104418","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This work examines the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and financial distress likelihood (FDL) in a panel of 145,611 European small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) over a ten-year period (2012−2021). Our analysis reveals a positive link between EPU and financial distress, which indicates that heightened uncertainty increases the likelihood of financial distress for SMEs. In addition, the study explores the moderating impact of family ownership and documents that family-owned SMEs are more resilient to increasing EPU. Interestingly, family firms performing below aspirations show greater resilience to EPU, resulting in a lower likelihood of financial distress. These findings offer new insights into the challenges faced by SMEs during periods of economic uncertainty and emphasize the protective role of family ownership. Our results have important implications for SME managers, family business owners, and policymakers by highlighting the need for tailored strategies to support SME survival during volatile times.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104418"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144304961","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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