{"title":"Predicting European banks distress events: Do financial information producers matter?","authors":"Quentin Bro de Comères","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104417","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104417","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article assesses the predictive power of sell-side stock analysts and credit rating agencies on listed European banks distress events by introducing their respective disclosures into a logit early-warning system over the 2000Q3-2020Q1 period. As direct bank failures are rare in Europe, I also account for state and private sector interventions. The model is calibrated to minimize the loss of a decision-maker committed to prevent impending distress events and is estimated in a real-time fashion. I also control for bank- and macroeconomic-level data by integrating accounting ratios and variables related to the banking sector and the business cycle as a whole. I find both financial information producers’ disclosures to display forward-looking informative and predictive performance on bank distress risk up to two years in advance. This highlights their added value on bank distress prediction with regard to accounting and macroeconomic data, that is beyond solely acting as a synthesis of such data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104417"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144549804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Managerial myopia and greenwashing: A machine learning and text analysis approach","authors":"Lifang Gao, Heng Yin","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104452","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104452","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Although there is fruitful research on the antecedents of greenwashing from the regulatory and normative perspective, the cognitive explanation is underexplored. To fill this gap, we explore the relationship between managerial myopia and greenwashing based on construal level theory. We suggest that myopic managers view greenwashing as psychologically distinct from mentally neglecting the long-term hazard. With the help of Chinese listed firm data from 2010 to 2017, we find evidence to support the positive relationship between managerial myopia and greenwashing. Moreover, we explore the boundary conditions of the proposed relationship. We show that the positive relationship is exacerbated when firms have more short-term institutional investors and attenuated when firms have more long-term institutional investors. Our study completes the greenwashing research by offering a cognitive explanation and advances the upper echelons theory by providing the psychological grounds for managerial myopia.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104452"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144549803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Peer network and financial misconduct: An analysis from the perspective of social reciprocity","authors":"Dongjie Shi , Wei Wang , Shouxun Wen , Ruohan Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104450","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104450","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Drawing on the principle of social reciprocity, this study constructs peer networks to examine how inter-firm relational structures affect financial misconduct. Using a sample of Chinese listed firms from 2007 to 2021, we examine how peer network characteristics, including network size, density, and closeness centrality, influence the propensity of focal firms to engage in financial misconduct. Empirical results reveal that peer network characteristics significantly mitigate financial misconduct, a relationship that persists across multiple robustness checks. We further investigate underlying mechanisms by examining the moderating roles of managerial characteristics, internal governance mechanisms, and external institutional environments. Specifically, managerial expertise and heterogeneity amplify the deterrent effect of peer networks, suggesting that highly knowledgeable and diverse leadership strengthens normative oversight. Moreover, both internal governance structures and external institutional pressures further moderate the deterrent efficacy of peer networks. Notably, firms exhibiting robust financial performance derive the greatest supervisory benefits from their peer network positions. The misconduct-deterring power of peer network is attenuated in contexts of high institutional ownership but amplified by stronger regulatory intensity. Our findings underscore the pivotal role of peer networks in shaping corporate conduct and offer a novel inter-firm governance perspective on the antecedents of financial misconduct.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104450"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144522145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Superstar CEOs and the presentation style of CSR reports: Truthful reflection or impression management?","authors":"Jing Liu, Yizhong Fan, Peng Yu, Yijia Ren","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104445","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104445","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we investigate A-share listed Chinese firms from 2009 to 2019 to understand the influence superstar chief executive officers (CEOs) on the presentation style of corporate social responsibility (CSR) reports and examine the underlying mechanisms involved. We find that when CEOs are highly regarded as superstars, CSR reports tend to be more comprehensive and vivid. Furthermore, these reports feature a greater prevalence of common words. The gap between CSR reports' presentation style and actual CSR performance suggests that the presentation style of CSR reports is driven more by “impression management” than “truthful reflection.” Moreover, cross-sectional tests reveal that firms with superstar CEOs are more likely to engage in impression management tactics when disclosing their CSR reports, especially in cases that involve frequent negative media coverage, greater managerial power, and noncentral state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Opportunistic CSR disclosures lead to asset mispricing. This study shows the “talking the talk while not walking the walk” phenomenon in the context of CSR. It also provides valuable insights into how investors and regulators can effectively address CSR reports' strategic manipulation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104445"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144522227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fang Zhao , Shaheem Sayed Merajuddin , Fanqi Liu , Yi Xu , Yun Zhang
{"title":"Racing toward tourism sustainability: A spatial-temporal analysis","authors":"Fang Zhao , Shaheem Sayed Merajuddin , Fanqi Liu , Yi Xu , Yun Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104448","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104448","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Sustainable tourism industry development necessitates comprehensive consideration of the interactions between economic, social, and environmental dimensions. Such a holistic approach is crucial for the tourism sector to effectively meet travelers' diverse demands, foster industry growth, mitigate environmental risks, and advance long-term sustainability. China has proactively responded to the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals through robust, top–down political mobilization, effective environmental monitoring, and protection mechanisms. As the second largest global tourism market, China has strategically aligned its tourism sector objectives with sustainable development imperatives. By integrating ecological civilization into the broader economic development agenda, China offers valuable and actionable insights for promoting other developing nations' green economic growth. This study uses publicly available yearbook data to examine the impact of ecological governance on sustainable tourism development from 2011 to 2022, employing a spatial analysis to examine the heterogeneous effects of ecological governance across regions. Findings reveal that China has made substantial advancements in sustainable tourism development and ecological governance over the past decade, with notable spatial alignment. Moreover, the results demonstrate that ecological governance has a significant positive impact on sustainable tourism development, with marked spatial heterogeneity. Specifically, the promotional effect of ecological governance is more pronounced in regions with well-developed ecological tourism, abundant tourism resource endowments, limited ethnic tourism features, and less prominent exotic tourism. Finally, this study offers strategic recommendations and policy insights into how ecological governance can be leveraged to further enhance sustainable tourism development, contributing to theoretical discourse and practical application in the field.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104448"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144534726","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Huaan Shi , Mohammad Zoynul Abedin , Xiaowei Ma , Brian Lucey
{"title":"Customer spillover effects of corporate social responsibility and supply chain sustainability","authors":"Huaan Shi , Mohammad Zoynul Abedin , Xiaowei Ma , Brian Lucey","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104437","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104437","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) is crucial for business growth, yet empirical evidence on its spillover effects within supply chains and its role in supply chain sustainability remains limited. This study investigates the customer spillover effects of CSR and their impact on supply chain resilience from a supply chain perspective. We find that customer CSR has a positive effect on supplier CSR, with this effect being more pronounced in the context of state-owned supplier firms, when customer size exceeds that of the supplier, and when customer external environmental regulations exceed those of the supplier. This effect is primarily achieved through the convergence of green ideas, absorption of green knowledge, and stimulation of green innovation. Meanwhile, the supplier's network position and customer concentration have a positive moderating effect. Moreover, our results confirm that the customer spillover effect of CSR positively affects supply chain sustainability. These findings enrich the existing literature and offer valuable insights for corporate managers and policymakers aiming to improve CSR performance and foster sustainable supply chain development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104437"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144515298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dongmin Kong , Zheng Shi , Shaohuang Wang , Shuang Lin
{"title":"Conflicting or complementary? Peer effects on green breakthrough technological innovation: Evidence from China","authors":"Dongmin Kong , Zheng Shi , Shaohuang Wang , Shuang Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104441","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104441","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact and mechanisms of peer effects on green breakthrough technological innovation in Chinese manufacturing firms. Using data from firms listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges between 2007 and 2022, we find that: (i) peer effects influence green breakthrough technological innovation in Chinese manufacturing firms; (ii) these effects are mainly driven by firms' proactive responses to government-led, market-oriented regulations, rather than complying with government command regulations; (iii) stronger peer effects are observed in state-owned enterprises, firms with fewer financial constraints, better governance, and those in sectors with high climate uncertainty or advanced manufacturing; (iv) firms with green credit support and strong intellectual property protection exhibit more pronounced peer effects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104441"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144522229","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Christos Alexakis , Periklis Gogas , Giovanni Petrella , Michael Polemis , Federica Salvadè
{"title":"Investigating the investment readiness of European SMEs: A machine learning approach","authors":"Christos Alexakis , Periklis Gogas , Giovanni Petrella , Michael Polemis , Federica Salvadè","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104439","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104439","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study exploits machine learning techniques to investigate the investment readiness of European small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Understanding the drivers behind SMEs' willingness to use equity capital and foster innovation is crucial for promoting economic growth. Our analysis is grounded on the Survey on the Access to Finance of Enterprises (SAFE) released by the European Commission and the European Central Bank, which covers a vast sample of European SMEs. The empirical findings reveal that factors associated with the entrepreneurial ecosystem—such as regulatory frameworks, the availability of skilled staff, and perceived market outlook within a country—are critical drivers of investment readiness. Importantly, we find that access to debt financing and firm risk do not significantly influence SMEs' willingness to raise equity capital. Lastly, this research offers valuable insights for policymakers and equity providers, suggesting that tailored investment readiness programs that consider cultural and country-specific characteristics can unlock the full potential dynamics of European SMEs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104439"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144515295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Labor outcomes of partial privatization in state-owned enterprises: Evidence on employment and compensation under mixed ownership","authors":"Yeyu Wu , Sujuan Xie , Yang Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104449","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104449","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of partial privation on labor outcomes in state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Using data from listed SOEs from 2007 to 2022, we find that increased or stable private shareholding does not significantly alter the growth rate of employee size but considerably reduces the growth rate of employee compensation. Our further analysis indicates that private shareholders primarily achieve this reduction by curbing excessive and inefficient labor investments. Specifically, private shareholders scale back short-term compensation and benefits and lower the proportion of low-skilled positions, shifting workforce composition toward higher productivity and better incentives. This adjustment in compensation structure largely occurs through mitigating the inherent soft budget constraints faced by SOEs. Overall, private capital involvement preserves SOEs' social objective of employment creation while enhancing operational efficiency.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104449"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144515296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Laura Gardini , Davide Radi , Noemi Schmitt , Iryna Sushko , Frank Westerhoff
{"title":"On the limits of informationally efficient stock markets: New insights from a chartist-fundamentalist model","authors":"Laura Gardini , Davide Radi , Noemi Schmitt , Iryna Sushko , Frank Westerhoff","doi":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104436","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104436","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We utilize a chartist-fundamentalist model to examine the limits of informationally efficient stock markets. In this model, chartists are permanently active in the stock market, while fundamentalists trade only when their mispricing-dependent trading signals are sufficiently strong. As a result, the model dynamics are driven by a two-dimensional piecewise-linear discontinuous map. Our findings suggest the possible coexistence of two distinct regimes. Depending on the initial conditions, the stock market may exhibit either constant or oscillatory mispricing. Constant mispricing occurs when chartists remain the sole active speculators, causing the stock price to converge toward a nonfundamental value. Conversely, the stock price oscillates around its fundamental value when fundamentalists repeatedly enter and exit the market. Interestingly, these oscillatory dynamics are associated with a new type of attractor, termed a “weird quasiperiodic attractor”. When subjected to dynamic noise, our model reproduces several important stylized facts of stock markets and can thus be considered validated.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48226,"journal":{"name":"International Review of Financial Analysis","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 104436"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144515299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}